Sunday, December 31, 2006
Saturday, December 30, 2006
Time to Focus on Africa


Time for the world to focus on Africa:
In Rawanda over 800,000 minority Tutsis were massacred in one of Africa's worst racial conflicts. The UN and the World said we would never let it happen again...yet today the world has largely stood silent as 400,000 people have been killed in a genocide ongoing since 2003. In almost four years we have failed in getting a strong UN and African Union force into the country to put a stop to these war crimes. Economic interests such as oil and Chinese/Indian influence in the region have only stalled this conflict further. David Kilger was calling for action on this file prior to the Paul Martin government falling. Since that time, only minimal debate has taken place in parliament and at the UN Security Council. The time for international cooperation on this issue is well past due, it is time to save some lives and keep our word to Africa.
On top of the Sudan issue, Somalia has also seen a recent conflict as terrorists have been overthrowing warlords in an attempt to set up a Taliban style regime. Because of their goals to expand into Kenya and Ethiopia, Ethiopian troops have waged a military campaign that has forced militants outside of the country and most recently out of the capital. Ethiopia is trying to back the interm government set up by the UN but in reality has exercised little authority over Somalia since it was put in place. The African Union and the United States is supporting Ethiopia and the government, while Saudi Arabia, Iran, Eritrea, Yemen, Syria, Pakistan, and others are supporting the Islamic Courts.
Other issues also remain with regards to Africa...
1, What happen to Bono? Debt relief and raising foreign aid as a percentage of GDP as well as trade concession promises have largely not been lived up to since all of the Live 8 concerts in 2005.
2, There are still health issues such as AIDS, Malaria, Malnutrition, Acute Respiratory Illness and vaccine preventable diseases. There remains a problem finding cheap drugs, basic healthcare and education.
3, There are also economic issues. The need for infrastructure, technology and communication, energy, government stability and corruption. In many cases there is racial violence and ethnic tensions. There is the blood diamond trade as we now see in the movies. Democracy is improving but many bad governments remain. Zimbabwe has turned the clock backwards on it's economy since Mugabe suspended democracy and implemented several failed economic policies.
4, Poverty is a real problem. Starvation and a lack of clean water don't even allow many Africans to have even the basics in life.
5, A lack of fair trade. Tariffs and protectionism have made it even harder for Africans to compete in the global economy.
6. Conflicts throughout the region causing refugees, war crimes/brutal violence, further poverty and often times the use of child soldiers.
Africa has the potential to improve life for those who live on the continent. It is time to give Africa the world attention it requires to get ahead. South Africa, Kenya and a few other democracies with growing economies gives us reason for hope, but we can not morally sit back and allow thousands to be killed in genocides or by starvation and preventable illness each and every day. It is time for Western politicans to make a positive difference in this region. Hopefully 2007 will finally bring about some action.
Thanks for reading...
Darryl
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Canadian military has 'zero' capacity left over for Sudan, says top soldier
ALEXANDER PANETTA
OTTAWA (CP) - The commitment in Afghanistan has left the Canadian military with "zero" capacity to make a difference in Sudan, says the country's top soldier.
Even if UN peacekeepers were deployed to stop the carnage, Canadians would not be among them, says Gen. Rick Hillier, the chief of defence staff.
His comments in a recent interview came after the government of Chad - Sudan's western neighbour - said it would welcome international troops.
The butchering of villagers and the burning of homes by mainly Arab militias has spilled over from Sudan, which has resisted calls for a UN mission.
Hillier said a UN force does not appear imminent and - even if it were - there's not much Canada could do.
"Our capacity to do anything there on the ground with a land force is zero. It's as simple as that," he said in a pre-Christmas interview.
"We're using every single part of our land forces to do the mission in Afghanistan while continuing to maintain appropriate readiness here at home for things that could occur."
The Canadian army has 21,000 full-time and 15,000 reserve soldiers. About 2,500 at a time are deployed in Afghanistan on average six-month tours.
At the same time, other soldiers are either training, preparing for Afghanistan, resting from their previous deployment, enjoying family time, or on standby in case of a natural disaster or attack.
The head of Amnesty International Canada expressed skepticism that there's nothing the Canadian military could do.
In Sudan and now in Chad, hundreds of thousands of people have been killed or displaced in waves of ethnic bloodletting that show no signs of abating.
"The pace with which the international community - including Canada - has got its act together and begun to take meaningful steps forward has been abysmally slow," said Alex Neve, Amnesty Canada's secretary general.
"Canada shouldn't easily say, 'Sorry, we don't have the people, we don't have the equipment. Can't do it.'
"At the very least we need to convince ourselves - and (the government) should be demanding this from the military - that every option has been considered.
"We could be contributing anything from 20 troops, to 2,000 troops or beyond."
In fact, Canada has 25 military observers in Sudan.
It has also pledged more than $190 million since 2004 to the African Union mission there, and has provided military equipment, helped train African peacekeepers, and provided food, water, sanitation, and basic health care.
But after a recent visit to Chad, Neve said the situation screams out for more immediate and substantial help from the international community.
Neve described countless horror stories from locals about murderous hordes plowing their way through villages - and about how many of those killers were wearing Sudanese military uniforms.
The UN Security Council has proposed sending 20,000 troops to the Darfur region but the Sudanese government has only agreed to allow a much smaller African Union force on its territory.
Neve said the situation has not only erupted in Chad but is also spreading to the Central African Republic.
"Chad is very sadly now an absolute extension of Darfur. It's not even just that it's beginning to spill over, or starting to spread," he said.
"It's now deeply and firmly entrenched in Chad."
Hillier pointed out that Canada is helping in Sudan. But he was adamant that there's nothing further the Canadian Forces can do.
He said the problem isn't just a shortage of manpower, but also of equipment, and of support staff like medical workers and intelligence specialists.
"We have no capacity to participate in a mission in Sudan other than what we're doing now," Hillier said.
"We've got some folks there that are helping train, we've got some aircraft that are leased there, and we're helping the African Union become more capable is what we're doing.
"But that's the limit of our capacity."
Hillier blamed the current shortages on how the military was "run down so much over this past decade and a bit" by major budget cuts in the 1990s.
The budget cuts have been steadily reversed but Hillier said it will take a few more years to recover.
The Canadian Forces are undergoing a major equipment overhaul and are scheduled for a further budget boost of $12.8 billion over the next five years.
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Sudan leader backs Darfur plan but concerns remain
12/27/06
Sudanese President Omar Hassan al-Bashir has told the United Nations he endorses a plan for a joint African Union-U.N. peacekeeping force to help quell violence and protect civilians in Darfur. But in a December 23 letter to U.N. Secretary-General Kofi Annan made public on Tuesday, Bashir also said the plan should be carried out through a special panel on which Khartoum has a seat, a move diplomats said would effectively give Sudan veto power over all aspects of its implementation. Diplomats who have seen the letter, distributed to members of the 15-nation U.N. Security Council on Tuesday, said that while Bashir's message contained positive elements, it was not clear whether it represented a real step forward in putting the plan into effect. To help sort out the situation, the council is expected to invite Annan to brief it on the letter later this week, U.N. officials said. The question of whether Bashir was now standing aside and eliminating obstacles to the plan, or clinging to ambiguities in an effort to further stall its implementation, was crucial as Annan is preparing to leave office this Sunday to make way for new Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon of South Korea. Bashir has flatly opposed a purely U.N. force, calling it a move to recolonize his vast East African nation. He has made a series of contradictory statements on a hybrid force. Under the hybrid plan, which has already been endorsed by the African Union, the force would be under AU command. But the commander would report to a special envoy who would be jointly appointed by the African Union and the United Nations and who would be in charge of the overall political direction of the international mission in Darfur.
Sudan 'agrees to UN force'
http://english.aljazeera.net/NR/exeres/575E6596-66C8-4DE0-A8A6-257AD349C57B.htm
The UN estimates that fighting in Darfur has displaced more than 2.5 million people
The United Nations has said that Sudan has agreed to allow a small number of UN troops to support a struggling African Union force in Darfur.
Sudan will allow a small UN observer force of 105 soldiers and police to be stationed in Darfur to work with AU troops, an AU-UN statement said on Wednesday.
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But it remains unclear if Khartoum had agreed to a larger joint UN-AU peacekeeping force in Darfur, an area of western Sudan where 200,000 have been killed in the last four years.
Most international observers say that pro-government forces have carried out most of the violence there.
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An estimated 2.5 million Darfuris have also been driven from their homes by militias armed and backed by the Sudanese government.
Weeks of discussions
Sudan's agreement paves the way for 38 UN observers to deploy by the end of the year and the rest of the 105 during January, Wednesday's statement said.
"We have agreed on three phases of support from the United Nations to the African Union ... financial, technical and personnel"
Ali al-Sadigforeign ministry spokesman
"It was agreed that UN military and police officers will wear their national uniforms with a blue UN beret. In addition, they will wear an AU armband," the joint UN-AU statement said.
The UN will also provide $21 million to the African Union, including computers, communications equipment and water tankers.
"We have agreed on three phases of support from the United Nations to the African Union ... financial, technical and personnel," Sudanese foreign ministry spokesman Ali al-Sadig told a news conference in Khartoum.
Asked if there was agreement on a joint force, three government ministers at the news conference said: "No."
Al-Sadig said there was agreement on "a joint operation", making it clear any UN personnel in Darfur would be working on computers or advising rather than peace enforcing soldiers.
Sudanese hesitation
Sudan's government had previously refused to allow any UN forces in Darfur.
In a letter made public on Tuesday, Omar Hassan al-Bashir, the Sudanese president, told the UN he endorsed the joint AU-UN force, but said he wanted a veto over its implementation.
Despite an AU-mediated peace deal in May, violence has escalated in Darfur after rebel factions who reject the deal renewed hostilities with the government in June.
Lacking equipment, logistical experience and funds, the AU has failed to stem the clashes and its operations have been severely restricted by attacks on its personnel.
Mostly non-Arab rebels took up arms in Darfur in early 2003, accusing central government of marginalising the remote region on the border with Chad.
To quell the revolt, Khartoum armed militia, who now stand accused of a campaign of rape, murder and pillage that Washington calls genocide.
Khartoum denies genocide, but the International Criminal Court is investigating alleged war crimes in the region.
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Seven killed in Darfur clashes
http://english.aljazeera.net/NR/exeres/42613293-353A-463A-BE1D-61BF67F0D360.htm
Peacekeepers have been too thin on the ground tobe effective against the violence [AP]
Fighting between Darfur rebels and government forces near the northern town of Kutum has killed seven people.
On Sunday, fighters said they shot down two army helicopters in the area plagued by violence.
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Despite a peace deal in May, violence has increased in Sudan's remote west after rebels who rejected the accord formed a military alliance and renewed hostilities with the government.
Amnesty International said this month that 85,000 civilians have been unlawfully killed in fighting in Darfur.
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Your Views
Amnesty Internationalsaid this month that 85,000 civilianshave been unlawfully killed in fighting in Darfur.Send your viewsJar el-Neby, a Darfur rebel commander, told Reuters via satellite telephone: "The government troops and Janjawid militia attacked our positions and then attacked a village, killing five men and ... two women."
He said the government and their allied militia, known locally as Janjawid, attacked rebel positions near Kutum three days ago and the village of el-Goba, about 16km east of Kutum town on Friday.
Heavy clashes
In a separate statement, Esam el-Din Hajj, a Darfur rebel official, said his fighters had shot down two army helicopters during the clashes.
An army spokesman confirmed heavy fighting with the National Redemption Front (NRF), but denied that the attack on the village or that any aircraft had been shot down.
He said: "We did not use any helicopters or planes during the clashes so of course they could not shoot them down.
"Four soldiers were killed and around 20 to 25 injured."
Revolt
He also said that the rebels had attacked an army position in Shag al-Nakharah near Kutum.
He said the NRF had lost many troops and vehicles and eventually retreated.
Mostly non-Arab rebels took up arms in early 2003, accusing central government of marginalising the arid west.
World leaders say Khartoum armed militias to quell the revolt. Those militias stand accused of a campaign of rape, murder and pillage dubbed genocide by Washington.
Khartoum denies genocide but the International Criminal Court (ICC) is investigating alleged war crimes in the region.
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Ethiopian tanks move south
http://english.aljazeera.net/NR/exeres/C3B6C066-0AD2-4E66-BF20-AA0700714CE9.htm
Crowds cheered Gedi's arrival inMogadishu [AFP]
Ethiopian tanks have driven south from Mogadishu to attack fighters of the Islamic courts movement whose leader reportedly urged them to make a stand in Kismayu, a port city in Somalia.
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Sheikh Hassan Dahir Aweys apparently made the call during Friday prayers at a mosque, a day after armed units of his Somalia Islamic Courts Council fled the capital in the face of government troops backed by Ethiopian armour.
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Ali Mohamed Gedi, the Somali prime minister, entered Mogadishu on Friday after a 10-day land and air offensive by Ethiopia in support of his weak interim government.
Your Views
"The Islamic Courts used fear and force to take over Mogadishu and other areas"
Mack Rogers, Chattanooga, TN, US
Send us your viewsGedi said that the fight for political survival had been won, but Islamic courts leaders promised resistance.
Gedi also called on the Islamic courts fighters to enter into a dialogue. At the same time he warned of serious reprisals if the fighters followed through on threats to launch a guerrilla campaign.
Ethiopian fighter jets were seen over Kismayu and the nearby town of Jilib on Friday and Saturday, the military expert said.
A Somali government soldier said Islamic courts fighters - accused by Addis Ababa and Washington of being backed by al-Qaeda - had sown the road from Mogadishu with mines as they pulled back.
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The War for the Horn of Africa
Ethiopian troops are closing in on Somalia's capital in a proxy battle in the war between the West and Islamist extremistsBy ALEX PERRY/CAPE TOWN
SUBSCRIBE TO TIMEPRINTE-MAILMORE BY AUTHOR
Somalia: Terror's Playground
Flashback: Anatomy of a Disaster
Posted Wednesday, Dec. 27, 2006In a lightning advance, Ethiopian troops have fought Somalia's Islamist militias to within 50 miles of the Somali capital Mogadishu and declared they are preparing for a final attack on the city. Ethiopian Prime Minister Meles Zenawi has said 1,000 people have been killed and 3,000 wounded. The United Nations says 35,000 refugees have crossed into Kenya to escape the fighting and has suspended aid to 2 million Somalis. It has warned of a bloodbath should Ethiopia try to occupy the capital, and humanitarian agencies have called for a ceasefire. But the U.S. has signaled its tacit support for the offensive, and while it is not providing overt military support, it has long trained Ethiopian troops and is likely to be passing them intelligence and aerial surveillance. Other Western and African nations — including the African Union — have either backed Ethiopia or kept silent. The reason? The fighting is about more than control of an obscure part of eastern Africa.
For much of the time since the overthrow of President Mohamed Siad Barre in 1991, Mogadishu and much of Somalia has been ruled by clan-based warlords who laid waste the country and turned Mogadishu into an anarchic, continuous battlefield. More than 100,000 people died in the fighting in 1991-92, and when the U.N. launched a massive relief operation in April 1992, the U.S. was drawn into the conflict — at first guarding the relief, then delivering it, then attacking the warlords that were stealing it. In October 1993, in events depicted in the film Black Hawk Down, Somali militiamen shot down a Blackhawk helicopter over Mogadishu and 18 U.S. servicemen were killed in the crash and subsequent rescue attempt. After gruesome scenes of the bodies of some American servicemen being stripped and paraded through the streets of the city were flashed around the world, the U.S. withdrew from Somalia by March 1994.
With that background, the world — and the U.S. in particular — was never going to forget Somalia easily. As the only officially Christian country in the Horn of Africa, Ethiopia has long been wary of Somalia's Islamic militias, which it describes as a "regional menace." (While it is officially Christian, Ethiopia has a population that is about half Muslim.) It shares that anti-Islamist position with the U.S., particularly since August 1998 when simultaneous suicide bombings destroyed the American embassies in Nairobi and Dar es Salaam, killing more than 200 people. The ringleaders were tracked to Somalia, and an Islamist attack on an Israeli-owned hotel in Kenya in November 2002 was also said to have been planned by the same group.
Ethiopia and the U.S. — whose close relationship has long included U.S. training for Ethiopian troops inside Ethiopia — back a transitional Somali government formed in October 2004 after talks between warlords and civilian leaders. Until now, that government has won international recognition, but never exercised real power and has been confined to the small southern Somali town of Baidoa. Both the U.S. and Ethiopia have backed the warlords as well. The exact nature of those relations have never been made public, but an indication of their value to the U.S. came in March 2003, when warlord Mohammed Dhere captured one of the suspects in the east Africa bombings and handed him over to the U.S.
The U.S. support for the corrupt, violent and self-serving warlords alienated many Somalis — and some analysts argue actually strengthened the popularity of the Islamists, enabling Somalia's top Islamic body, the Council of Islamic Courts, to take over Mogadishu and expel the warlords in June. The arrival of Islamist rule in Mogadishu, and the initial imposition of law and order that accompanied it, was widely welcomed on the war-torn streets of the capital. As Ethiopian troops advanced toward them, thousands of supporters of the Courts were reported to have staged rallies in Mogadishu. The Islamists are are also backed by Eritrea, the predominantly Muslim nation on the Red Sea coast that has been a historic enemy of Ethiopia. Eritrea has sent more than 2,000 troops to support the Council of Islamic Courts, according to the U.N.
Somalia's fate is attracting international attention because of its link to the war against terror. After dismissing comparisons to the Taliban when they took over the Somali capital this summer, the Islamic Courts promptly set about emulating them. Clerics threatened death to those who did not pray five times a day and enforced strict dress codes while Courts leader Sheikh Hassan Dahir Aweys declared holy war on Ethiopia, whose eastern parts he claimed belonged to a greater Somalia, along with northeastern Kenya and Djibouti, home to a U.S. base. As TIME reported earlier this year As TIME reported earlier this year, the Courts also sent fighters to Lebanon in the summer to help Hizbollah fight Israel, and in return received weapons from Syria and Iran. The Courts even won backing from Osama bin Laden, who urged foreign jihadis to flock to Somalia to open up a third front in the war against America — a call the U.N. reported had been answered by hundreds of Pakistanis, Yemenis, Syrians, Libyans and Chechens.
Sheikh Hassan has now called on all Islamist forces to fall back to Mogadishu and prepare for a long war against the invaders. Whether that materializes remains to be seen. But what is certain is that the strife-torn Horn is more divided today than ever — and is increasingly the arena for an international war between the forces of radical Islam, and the West and its allies.
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A Dark Deja Vu in Somalia
Analysis: The war between Islamist rebels and neighboring Ethiopia recalls an era when the agendas driving Africa's conflicts were never exclusively local, even if most of the victims wereBy TONY KARON
The War: Ethopian Troops Close In
Posted Wednesday, Dec. 27, 2006To many Africans old enough to remember the Cold War, the bloody conflict currently unfolding in Somalia will be awfully familiar. Back before the Berlin Wall fell, localized power struggles all over the continent often turned into full-scale regional wars when the protagonists cast themselves, or were cast — however improbably — as torch-bearers for Washington or Moscow. Such association would bring boundless diplomatic and financial support, not to mention boatloads of weapons and other military assistance, enabling local strongmen to wage self-serving wars for years on end. There's no Cold War any longer, of course, but in the case of Somalia, the "Global War on Terror" may be having a similar effect.
The U.S. has backed Ethiopia's military intervention on behalf of the beleaguered and unpopular — but internationally recognized — Somali government, in what looks set to be a protracted war that could draw in most of Somalia's neighbors. Washington's reason for supporting the offensive, rather than calling for an end to hostilities, is that the enemies of the Ethiopians and the Somali government are an Islamist movement viewed by the U.S. as in cahoots with al-Qaeda.
But the "war on terror" prism conceals the complexity of a conflict based on clan, political and regional rivalries that, in some cases, date back to the 1960s. And regional analysts fear that the tension will be exacerbated rather than resolved by the responses of outside players.
While the U.S. and Ethiopia have backed the Somali government and the warlords that operate under its umbrella on the banner of fighting al-Qaeda, the Islamists have allegedly rallied financial and military support from such quarters as Saudi Arabia, Libya, Syria and Iran by painting themselves as victims of an Islamophobic Western conspiracy. And Osama bin Laden certainly helped Ethiopia and the Somali government make their case for U.S. support when, in October, he warned Western governments to stay out of Somalia.
Ethiopia is not simply acting as Washington's regional policeman, however. It has a long-running border dispute with Somalia that led to two years of open warfare in the late 1970s, and it sees the nationalist inclination of the Islamists — and their vow to take control of the Ogaden desert from Ethiopia — as an immediate threat to its own interests. (The Islamists actually back secessionist insurgents in that region.) Given Ethiopia's intervention on behalf of the government, it comes as no surprise that Addis Ababa's fiercest foe, neighboring Eritrea, is supporting and arming the Somali Islamists.
For all the involvement of outside players, however, the Somali conflict remains a domestic power struggle at heart. It pits the Transitional Federal Government, a product of years of painstaking horse-trading among rival clan warlords, against the Council of Islamic Courts, a loose Islamist alliance strongly nationalist in character — which has vowed to break the power of the warlords and unite all of Somalia under Sharia law (although it happens to be led by clan rivals of the dominant clan in the government camp).
Like the Taliban in Afghanistan in the early 1990s, the Islamists' displacement of hated warlords in southern and central Somalia was largely welcomed by the population. However, the strictures they have imposed on the population in the name of a fiercely conservative interpretation of Islam have also generated resentment. But the regional and international context of Somalia is quite different from that of Afghanistan a decade ago: The Islamists cannot prevail as long as Ethiopia is willing to lend the beleaguered government its military muscle — well-armed and trained by U.S. advisers, in contrast to the ragtag and mostly teenage light infantry of the Islamists.
But it is equally unlikely that Ethiopian military power will subdue the Islamist challenge inside Somalia. Indeed, the government's reliance on forces of the old enemy is unlikely to endear it to the Somali citizenry. Although Ethiopia promises to withdraw its forces within days, they had been active in Somalia for months before their presence was officially acknowledged, and a speedy withdrawal would leave a vacuum that the Islamists would once again fill. Yet having effectively repelled an Islamist advance on Baidoa, the Ethiopians risk losing much of their tactical advantage if they tried to capture Islamist strongholds, particularly the capital. Their goal, instead, according to Ethiopia's Prime Minister Meles Zenawi, is to weaken the Islamists militarily in order to force them to negotiate with the government from a weaker position. But the fierce fighting last weekend and the passions stoked by open Ethiopian intervention may militate against any new compromise.
Instead, the escalating war will likely ensure that Somalia remains a failed state for the foreseeable future, a battleground not only for local clan and political rivalries but also for regional and international strategic "great games." There are unlikely to be any clear winners anytime soon, but the losers almost certainly will be the Somali people, who after more than 16 years of war, warlordism and famine, can only look forward to more of the same.
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Islamists abandon Somali capital
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/africa/6213499.stm
Ethiopian-backed government troops are close to MogadishuIslamist fighters have left the Somali capital as government forces backed by Ethiopian troops advance on the city.
As they withdrew, gunfire was heard and armed supporters of the city's warlords began taking control of key facilities.
Some residents say lawlessness has returned to Mogadishu - which had been under Islamic rule for six months.
Ethiopia began a large-scale offensive at the weekend to back Somalia's interim government, capturing ground previously held by Islamist militias.
A senior Islamist leader, Sheikh Sharif Ahmed, told al-Jazeera television his forces had left Mogadishu "to avert heavy bombing because Ethiopian forces are practising genocide against the Somali people".
The BBC's Mohammed Olad Hassan in Mogadishu says clan militiamen appeared as soon as the news of the withdrawal emerged early on Thursday, and UIC offices have been looted.
We have taken over the two control points on the main roads outside the city
Abdirahman DinariSomali government spokesman
Conflict in pictures
Violence alarms press
US keeps a close watch
Residents in the north of the city have reported cars and mobile phones being stolen.
Rising insecurity has forced most businesses to stop trading.
The situation seems to be descending back into anarchy, our correspondent adds.
Observers say the UIC's departure leaves a power vacuum in Mogadishu, raising fears of a return to clan warfare that has plagued the city and Somalia for 16 years.
Last stronghold
Government forces are reported to be near Afgoye, 20km (12 miles) west of Mogadishu, cutting off the capital to the north and west.
Government spokesman Abdirahman Dinari said the army would enter Mogadishu in the "coming hours".
Militias allied to the government have taken control of key installations, including the airport, AFP news agency reports.
Islamic fighters are said to have fled towards the port city of Kismayo, their last remaining stronghold, 300 miles (500km) to the south.
But a senior UIC official Omar Idris said the retreat was "not the end".
He told the BBC's World Today radio programme: "We know what happened in Iraq... I think this is very, very early to say that the Islamic Court forces were defeated."
At the weekend Ethiopia began a major offensive to support the weak government against the UIC - which previously held much of central and southern Somalia.
The conflict has killed hundreds of people. The head of the International Red Cross Somalia delegation said it was "extremely concerned about civilians caught up in the fighting".
Troubled history
The African Union has called for Ethiopian forces to leave Somalia.
However the UN Security Council has failed to agree on a statement calling for the withdrawal of all foreign forces.
HAVE YOUR SAY
What the Ethiopian government doesn't understand is that it is making a continual enemy to Ethiopians at large
Tsegaye Girma, Addis Ababa
Send us your comments
A special adviser to Ethiopian Prime Minister Meles Zenawi, Bereket Simon, declined to specify when his country's troops would leave.
"It all depends on how we find the extremist groups whether they are trying to reorganise," he said
The UIC has its roots in the north of the capital Mogadishu.
Courts administering Islamic law restored order in a city bedevilled by anarchy since the overthrow of former President Mohamed Siad Barre in 1991.
The UIC assumed control of the whole capital in June, driving warlords out and rapidly extending their influence to much of southern Somalia - with the exception of Baidoa, the seat of the transitional Somali government.
That body, set up in 2004 after talks between Somali factions, has been unable to meet in the capital because of opposition first from warlords, then from the UIC.
UIC leader Sheikh Hassan Dahir Aweys is accused by both Ethiopia and the US of having links to al-Qaeda - charges he denies.
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African Union tested over Somalia
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/africa/6209583.stm
By Martin Plaut BBC Africa analyst
The African Union (AU) has backed Ethiopia's military involvement in the growing crisis in Somalia.
In a BBC interview, senior AU official Patrick Mazimhaka conceded that the union had failed to act in time.
Aid agencies have warned of the civilian cost of fightingAfrican leaders have seldom been known for their decisive intervention in the affairs of other African states so it was something of a surprise to hear an African Union spokesman coming out quite so decisively in favour of Somalia's transitional government.
In one sense the decision is entirely logical. The Somali government, which was formed two years ago after months of bitter wrangling among Somali factions, was the 14th attempt to establish a new government for the country.
President Abdullahi Yusuf was recognised not just by the African Union, but also by the United Nations.
But he had a narrow following among Somalis, an appeal that was further eroded when he immediately turned to Ethiopia - Somalia's traditional enemy - for 20,000 troops to bolster his administration.
Ethiopia's tough task The regional African grouping was badly split on the issue. Ethiopia wanted forces sent to assist the new government. Eritrea was vociferously opposed.
The United Nations pondered its options, more concerned by the problems of Iraq and Darfur.
Finally this month, the UN Security Council came down in favour of sending African troops to Somalia to support the transitional government.
Uganda, which had previously offered a battalion, decided against.
Sudan has been mentioned, as has South Africa. But so far there are no firm plans for providing the 8,000-strong peacekeeping force envisaged by the African Union.
Later this week the African Union hopes to get together with the Arab League and the regional grouping - Igad - to try to chart a way forward.
In the meantime, Ethiopia, now with the blessing of the African Union and the covert support of the United States, is fighting the war in Somalia that others shied away from.
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Somalian government forces head into final showdown with Islamic militia
Elizabeth A. Kennedy, Canadian Press
Published: Saturday, December 30, 2006
MOGADISHU, Somalia (AP) - Thousands of Somalian and Ethiopian troops closed in Saturday on the last remaining stronghold of a militant Islamic movement in southern Somalia, as the prime minister called for talks to avoid further bloodshed.
Some 3,000 Muslim militiamen have taken a stand in the port city of Kismayo, wedged between the Kenyan border and the Indian Ocean, and the U.S. government believes they may include four suspects in the 1998 bombings of the U.S. Embassies in Kenya and Tanzania.
The Islamic movement's leader, Sheik Sharif Sheik Ahmed, pledged to continue its fight despite losing capital and other key towns in recent days. "I want to tell you that the Islamic courts are still alive and ready to fight against the enemy of Allah," he told residents in Kismayo.
The military advance on Kismayo marks the latest move in a stunning turnaround for Somalia's government, which just weeks ago could barely control one town, its base of Baidoa in the west. Since Ethiopia's dramatic entry into the war last week, however, government troops have retaken the capital, Mogadishu, and pushed the Islamists from much of the territory they held for six months.
The Somalian and Ethiopian troops, riding in 16 Ethiopian tanks and armoured vehicles, were positioned about 120 kilometres north of Kismayo on Saturday. A trickle of Somalis began to leave the city in anticipation of an attack.
"We are going to advance from different directions to try and encircle the city and force the Islamic group to retreat and so minimize the loss of civilians," government spokesman Abdirahman Dinari told The Associated Press.
Prime Minister Ali Mohamed Gedi called for talks with the Islamic courts movement, but said the government was ready to fight if necessary.
"We are calling on the Somali representatives of the Islamic courts for dialogue and to join us," Gedi said on the outskirts of the capital, where he was meeting with local clan elders to smooth the handover of the city. But he added: "If the remnants of the terrorists try to attack, yes of course bloodshed will take place."
On Friday, Gedi had ruled out immediate talks, even after key Islamic officials travelled to Kenya for possible peace negotiations.
"We cannot talk peace after all this bloodshed," he told The Associated Press at the time.
The conflict in Somalia has drawn the attention of the United States, which is eager to capture suspected al-Qaida terrorists in the Horn of Africa.
The U.S. navy's Fifth Fleet has a maritime task force patrolling international waters off the Somali coast. Gedi said his government was in daily contact with the Americans.
The U.S. government, which says four suspects in the 1998 bombings of U.S. embassies in Kenya and Tanzania have become leaders in the Islamic movement, has a counterterrorism task force based in neighbouring Djibouti and has been training Kenyan and Ethiopian forces to protect their borders.
Somalia's President Abdullahi Yusuf said Saturday, meanwhile, that the government was continuing its plans to move to the Somalian capital. He also pledged to bring more troops to help secure the region, while Gedi also said he expects to disarm militias in the city within three weeks.
Many in overwhelmingly Muslim Somalia are skeptical of the government's reliance on neighbouring Ethiopia, a traditional rival with a large Christian population and one of Africa's largest armies. Ethiopia and Somalia fought a bloody war in 1977.
In Mogadishu, protesters in some neighbourhoods denounced the government on Saturday, while about 300 people held a rally in another area in support of the troops. Many were holding signs and chanting, "We support the government."
Before the Islamists established control, Mogadishu had been ruled by competing clans who came together to support the Islamic fighters. Now, some fear the clans could return to fighting one another and may reject the government's authority. Somalia's complex clan politics have been the undoing of at least 14 attempts to install a government in this violent, anarchic country.
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Somalia: Who supports who?
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/africa/5092586.stm
The Islamist group that has controlled much of Somalia for the last six months has abandoned the capital after an Ethiopian-backed government offensive. But there are fears that the hostilities could still engulf the region in conflict. So where does each side get its money, weapons and moral support?
TRANSITIONAL GOVERNMENT
The transitional government is formally supported by the African Union, the United Nations and the regional grouping, the Inter-governmental Authority on Development (Igad).
Mr Yusuf's government has been based in Baidoa, not Mogadishu
But its strongest support comes from Ethiopia, where Prime Minister Meles Zenawi is determined not to see an Islamic state established on his borders.
Somalia's interim President Abdullahi Yusuf has always had close ties with Ethiopia.
His first foreign visit after taking office in 2004 was to Addis Ababa, and it was reported that he wanted a 20,000-strong mainly Ethiopian force to strengthen his government, which has been based in Baidoa, not the capital, Mogadishu.
The Somali parliament in Baidoa approved the deployment of foreign forces inside Somalia, a move strenuously resisted by the Islamists in Mogadishu.
For months, Ethiopia denied claims that it had troops in Somalia, only admitting to having military trainers there working with government forces.
But in late December Ethiopia launched a large-scale offensive taking territory captured by the Islamists over the last six months.
Ethiopia says it has no plans to stay in Somalia in the long term.
Apart from the support President Yusuf's government has received from Ethiopia, there are a number of reports of Yemeni planes arriving in Baidoa, bringing arms and ammunition.
A group of Europeans and Australians has been arrested in Yemen, accused of breaking a United Nations arms embargo on Somalia.
The Union of Islamic Courts (UIC) also accuses Kenya, where the transitional government was formed after years of discussions, of being biased in favour of the government.
THE UNION OF ISLAMIC COURTS
During the six months that the Union of Islamic Courts ruled Mogadishu, it brought order to the capital.
The Union of Islamic Courts has brought order to Mogadishu
Finances for the courts are reportedly being provided by rich individuals in Saudi Arabia and the Gulf States.
The government also says that Islamist radicals from around the world have gone to help the UIC.
This is strongly denied by the Islamic courts.
There have also been reports that Eritrea - which has a long-running border dispute with Ethiopia - has been supplying arms to the Islamists.
A leaked UN report says that 2,000 "fully equipped" Eritrean troops are working with the UIC.
This is denied by the authorities in Asmara.
The chairman of the Union of Islamic Courts, Sharif Sheikh Ahmed, wrote to the UN, the European Union and the United States, calling for the establishment of friendly relations with the international community, based on mutual respect.
In a four-page letter he denied giving sanctuary to Islamic extremists, or groups loyal to al-Qaeda.
But another key UIC leader, Sheikh Hassan Dahir Aweys, is on a US list of individuals linked to terror groups.
THE INTERNATIONAL COMMUNITY
The African Union has called for Ethiopian forces to leave Somalia following their offensive, however the UN Security Council has failed to agree on a statement calling for the withdrawal of all foreign forces.
Earlier in December, the Security Council passed a unanimous resolution to provide an 8,000-strong African peacekeeping force to protect the weak government.
This follows the establishment of the International Contact Group on Somalia by diplomats in June, which had the support of the US, Britain, Norway, Sweden, Italy, Tanzania and the EU.
The African Union, Arab League and Kenya participated as observers.
The Contact Group was formed after the collapse of the previous US strategy, which was to back the warlords who had controlled Mogadishu for many years.
The US was represented by Jendayi Frazer, Assistant Secretary of State for African Affairs.
She has claimed that radical forces have sidelined more moderate forces in the Union of Islamic Courts.
"The top layer of the courts are extremists to the core, they are terrorists and they are creating this logic of war," she said in December.
Earlier she had said the union needed to be aware that the status of terrorists was a "core interest" of the US.
Meanwhile, the contact group had called for talks between the interim government and the UIC
But three rounds of peace talks in the Sudanese capital, Khartoum, organised by the Arab League were inconclusive.
At one stage, the rivals had agreed a ceasefire but the Islamists continued to gain ground and both sides swapped fiery rhetoric.
The government no longer trusts the Arab League to mediate and the final round broke up without agreement in November.
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US wary of Somali 'terror' links
By Martin Plaut BBC Africa analyst
Somali government soldiers have advanced with Ethiopian backingThe United States has closely followed the gains made by Somali government forces, supported by Ethiopian armour and troops, against Islamist militiamen.
Washington is determined to prevent the spread of fundamentalist Islam to Africa and has been deeply concerned by the rise of the Union of Islamic Courts.
The US has seen the fight against terrorism as its highest priority in Africa ever since 7 August 1998, when two car bombs exploded outside the American embassies in the Kenyan capital, Nairobi, and Dar es Salaam in Tanzania.
Al-Qaeda claimed responsibility for the explosions, which killed more than 250 people and left 4,000 wounded.
Since then US officials say they have found links between key supporters of the UIC, and the attacks on the US embassies.
'Threat'
"We continue to be concerned about the state of security in the sub-region in eastern Horn of Africa; the threat that in some ways Somalia poses in terms of criminality and arms coming out of there, as well as the issue of terrorists' safe haven," the US Secretary of State for African Affairs, Jendayi Frazer, said while visiting Kenya earlier this year.
The UIC leadership has denied links to al-Qaeda, but there is evidence to suggest that some supporters of the UIC were indeed connected to the embassy attacks.
The US developed a strategy to tackle the Islamists. First Washington supported the warlords who controlled the Somali capital, Mogadishu.
But in June the militia of the Islamic Courts drove out the warlords, who are believed to have escaped to an American ship waiting offshore.
Since then the US has given diplomatic backing to the Somali transitional government at the United Nations, pressing for an African peacekeeping force to be sent to strengthen its position.
The Americans have worked closely with Ethiopia, using troops based in neighbouring Djibouti.
There is no suggestion that American forces are involved in the current Ethiopian offensive in Somalia, but Washington has satellite images and intelligence information that would be extremely useful to Addis Ababa as it attempts to crack the Islamic Court's hold on Somalia.
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Rwanda genocide accused remanded
http://english.aljazeera.net/NR/exeres/AAB0C9EF-4B97-41A8-A25F-FA6EFF63F150.htm
A British court has remanded four Rwandan men accused of taking part in the 1994 genocide of minority Tutsis.
The men, in their 40s and 50s, appeared in a Westminster magistrates’ court on Friday after they were arrested in raids conducted in various parts of Britain.
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Vincent Bajinya, Charles Munyaneza, Celestin Ugirashebuja and Emmanuel Nteziryayo all face the same charges that between January 1, 1994 and December 12, 1994 they murdered, plotted to murder and aided the murder of Tutsis intending to eradicate them all.
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Over 800,000 Tutsis were massacred by majority Hutus in one of Africa's worst racial conflicts.
At a hearing at a Westminster magistrates’ court, Nteziryayo was remanded in custody until January 5. Bajinya, Munyaneza and Ugirashebuja were remanded until a further court appearance on January 26, a Crown Prosecution Service spokeswoman said.
Prosecutors alleged that Munyaneza, 48, Ugirashebuja, 53 and Nteziryayo, 44, had been local mayors with sweeping powers in their areas while Bajinya, 45, was accused of having been a militia coordinator in the capital Kigali.
All four men deny the accusations against them. Under an agreement between Britain and Rwanda, revealed in court for the first time on Friday, the men would not be given the death penalty if they were convicted.
The massacre took place in the spring of 1994 as gangs of machete-wielding Hutus roamed the country slaughtering not only ethnic Tutsis but also moderate members of their own race while the outside world simply stood by.
Rwanda began holding trials 10 years ago in connection with the genocide.
Earlier this month a United Nations court trying leaders of the genocide sentenced a former Catholic priest to 15 years in jail for ordering bulldozers to flatten a church in which 2,000 Tutsis were taking refuge.
Father Athanese Seromba had denied the charges. He was the 27th person to be convicted by the International Criminal Tribunal for Rwanda.
The process took on a new twist last month when a French anti-terrorism judge called for Paul Kagame, the Rwandan president, to stand trial for the shooting down of a plane carrying then President Juvenal Habyarimana that triggered the genocide.
Kigali has ridiculed the accusations, cut diplomatic ties and accused France of trying to cover what it says is its own guilt over the massacre.
"We are heading to Jilib in a convoy of 15 Ethiopian tanks," Ahmednur Yasin told Reuters by telephone. "There are more forces heading to Buale and I am sure the fighting will start soon."
A Somali government source said: "All the terrorists are in Jilib and Kismayu."
Militia leaders
One Islamic courts fighter, who asked not to be named, said: "We will fight the Ethiopian invaders. The jihad will not stop."
Parliament was expected to vote on Saturday to declare three months of martial law aimed at disarming thousands of men loyal to various clan chiefs and local militia leaders blamed for years of anarchy.
Gedi's government depends almost entirely on Addis Ababa for its military muscle, analysts say, and it was far from clear how it would maintain security without Ethiopian troops.
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Congo gets new prime minister
http://english.aljazeera.net/NR/exeres/BFC37812-3FB4-410E-B1F1-9C436DDB7DE2.htm
Gizenga had been widely expected to become the prime minister [AFP]
Joseph Kabila, the newly-elected president of the Democratic Republic of Congo, has named Antoine Gizenga, the 81-year-old opposition veteran, as the country's new prime minister.
Kabila announced the decision through a presidential decree read on state television on Saturday.
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The nomination of Gizenga, leader of the Socialist-leaning Unified Lumumbist Party (PALU), has been widely expected since Kabila was sworn in on December 6 as the country's first democratically elected president in more than 40 years.
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Gizenga, who came third in the first round of a presidential election in July, signed an agreement with Kabila's political coalition ahead of an October runoff, promising his support in exchange for a guarantee that the post of prime minister would go to a member of his party.
"PALU is extremely pleased," Godefroid Mayobo, Gizenga's spokesman, told Reuters shortly after the announcement.
"We have finally come back to where we were when we were pushed aside."
Gizenga served as deputy to Patrice Lumumba, Congo's first prime minister, who was assassinated in early 1961 months after the vast, mineral-rich country spanning central Africa achieved independence from Belgium the previous year.
He later headed a rebel government of Lumumba's supporters in Kisangani in the country's northeast, following a coup led by Mobutu Sese Seko.
First arrested, then driven into exile for nearly three decades, Gizenga has not had an official government post since 1960.
Until the 2006 elections, his PALU party had never held a parliamentary seat, having refused to take part in a series of undemocratic elections in Mobutu's dictatorship, during which the country's politics was largely reduced to kleptocracy.
The UN-backed elections were meant to draw a line under a 1998-2003 war and resulting humanitarian crisis that killed an estimated four million Congolese, mostly from starvation and disease. However, militia violence continues in eastern areas.
Joseph Kabila came to power as the world's youngest head of state following the murder of his father Laurent in 2001.
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Rebels end Nigeria oilfield sieges
http://english.aljazeera.net/NR/exeres/6D7EEBE3-D4C8-40AE-B384-CCB445D025DA.htm
Nigerian oil industry spokesmen say two different armed groups have lifted sieges of two oilfield stations in the country, releasing more than 20 local workers.
About 18 staff members at Agip's Tebidaba oilfield in Bayelsa state were released on Tuesday after five days in captivity.
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On the same day, five workers at Shell's nearby Nun River facility were freed after a 12-day siege.
A Shell spokesman said on Thursday that the company had begun to resume production of 14,000 barrels per day (bpd) from the facility.
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The chief executive of Agip, a unit of Eni, the Italian oil giant, visited Olusegun Obasanjo, the Nigerian president, on Wednesday to discuss the crisis.
The company's spokesmen said it was unclear what led to the lifting of the two oilfield sieges on Tuesday, but that talks with the attackers were led by the state government and involved elders from nearby villages.
Escalation expected
Industry executives expect violence to escalate in the run-up to Nigeria's general elections in April as local politicians fight turf wars for access to elected office and a share of the government's oil revenue.
Four foreign oil workers - three Italians and one Lebanese - are still being held hostage by a different armed group after an attack on Agip's Brass River export terminal on December 7.
The captors, from the Movement for the Emancipation of the Niger Delta (Mend), have demanded money, jobs and infrastructure for their communities in the remote region of mangrove-lined creeks and swamp in southern Nigeria.
Mend says it has spurned ransom offers and wants the Nigerian government to release two jailed leaders from the region.
It has threatened to keep the men for six months.
Weekly occurrence
Kidnappings and attacks on oil facilities have become an almost weekly occurrence in the world's eighth-largest exporter.
Western oil companies recently evacuated hundreds of dependants of expatriate staff after two car bombings by Mend at oil company compounds in Port Harcourt, capital of Rivers state in the Niger Delta.
Senior industry executives say the rising tide of violence could force them to withdraw from some areas completely.
Shell has already shut down its entire oil operation in the western side of the delta after a series of attacks in February which cut Nigeria's oil output by a fifth.
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Nigeria governor sacking reversed
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/africa/6215057.stm
A court in the south-eastern Nigerian state of Anambra has reversed a controversial impeachment of the state governor, Peter Obi.
He was impeached in November for gross misconduct and replaced by his deputy.
The state assembly's speaker said some of the 23 members who had apparently voted to impeach Mr Obi later denied being present when the vote took place.
This is the third sacking this year of a governor that has been declared illegal by Nigeria's courts.
Last week, Anambra's chief judge and three other senior judges were suspended over their alleged roles in these sackings.
Some say the recent impeachments are part of a fight against corruption.
But critics say it is often more about rival politicians trying to take charge of the states so they can control the elections due early next year.
Power struggles
A spokesman for Mr Obi told the BBC that Anambra High Court judge Nri Ezedi had ruled the impeachment was null and void.
His deputy, Virginia Etiaba, had become Nigeria's first female governor after the impeachment decision last month.
Both Mrs Etiaba and Mr Obi, from the opposition All Progressives Grand Alliance (APGA), only occupied their posts in March this year.
They took power after a court ruled that Mr Obi's predecessor had rigged the election in 2003.
Chris Ngige, from the governing People's Democratic Party, had been Anambra's governor for three years, but had fallen out with senior party figures soon after the election.
He said it was because he refused to loot public money to pay them back for their support.
Since Mr Obi took office in March, he has been locked in a power struggle with one of the president's closest aides, Andy Uba, who wants to win the governorship in next year's elections.
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Population in Nigeria tops 140m
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/africa/6217719.stm
Nigeria's oil wealth is distributed according to the populationThe provisional results of Nigeria's first census in 15 years show that Africa's most populous nation has a population of more than 140m.
The National Population Commission said this was an increase of 63% since 1991.
The headcount is sensitive, as funding and political representation for Nigeria's states depend on the results.
Previous results have been mired in controversy and allegations of fraud, but March's census left out questions on religion and ethnicity.
The government was concerned that such information would trigger ethnic riots.
Surprise
The National Population Commission (NPC) chairman said this time he felt there would be no problems.
FACTS AND FIGURES
Total: 140m
Men: 71.7m
Women: 68.3m
Thumbs up?
Counting controversy
"I don't expect any controversy because we have done a transparent and credible census. We have done it as honestly as we can, using the most scientific methods of census taking," Sumaila Makama told the BBC's Focus on Africa programme.
The BBC's Mannir Dan Ali in the capital, Abuja, says the big surprise in the results so far is that Nigeria has three million more men than women.
The last census put Nigeria's population at about 88.5m.
"I am not alarmed about the total figure because it is still within the range of what we are planning," President Olusegun Obasanjo said.
Wait
Our correspondent says most Nigerians are more interested in finding out the regional and local spread of the population - figures that have not been revealed yet.
The census questionnaire was two pages long
The higher a state's population the more money it gets from the federal government.
Allocation of some government posts is also supposed to reflect different regions' populations.
But Nigerians must wait until the president, state governors and former heads of states have met to consider and agree to these figures.
Many people had wanted to find out how many Christians and Muslims there are in Nigeria, our reporter says.
But that aspect was left out of the census questionnaire.
Past censuses have generated so much controversy that many of them have been officially discarded, leaving Nigeria to use estimates for planning purposes.
The counting operation in March was a logistical challenge for the NPC.
It used digital processing of the forms, and satellite positioning to identify the areas to be counted.
Other questions included in the census were:
Education background
Occupation
Income
Size of house
Type of water supply
Toilet facilities
Type of fuel used
Access to radio, television, telephone
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Zimbabwe in talks on China loan
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/business/6202447.stm
Critics say President Robert Mugabe has ruined Zimbabwe's economyZimbabwe is preparing to open talks with China for a $2bn (£1.1bn) loan, in a bid to boost its crumbling economy.
Much of the money would be used to fight Zimbabwe's soaring inflation, the state-run Herald newspaper reported.
China has been looking to extend its influence in Africa and recently hosted a summit of African leaders.
Zimbabwe has been struggling to cope with economic collapse brought about, critics say, by the policies of President Robert Mugabe.
The southern African country - previously one of the continent's most developed economies - has seen inflation leap above 1,000%, while food and fuel shortages are rife.
The International Monetary Fund warned earlier this week that Zimbabwe's dire economic situation could get worse.
Economic myth
If agreed, the Chinese loan would be the biggest foreign loan secured by President Mugabe's government.
"China's government is ready to negotiate with the government for a $2bn loan facility to fight inflation and other aspects of the economy," Zimbabwe's ambassador to China, Chris Mutsvangwa, said.
He said China's assistance to Zimbabwe would "dispel the myth" that the country's economic problems were beyond redemption.
China had appointed an official to open talks with Zimbabwe's finance minister and central bank governor, the Herald reported.
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Madagascar confirms poll result
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/africa/6206351.stm
Marc Ravalomanana was re-elected with a substantial majorityMadagascar's constitutional court has confirmed the victory of incumbent President Marc Ravalomanana in the 3 December election.
Mr Ravalomanana gained 54.8% of the vote in the first round of the poll, securing a second five-year term.
His rivals had lodged complaints with the court about the vote but election observers said the poll was fair.
Mr Ravalomanana, a former dairy magnate, said he felt "optimistic" about the island nation's future.
"I am very happy," Mr Ravalomanana told Agence France Presse.
"This confirms our confidence with Madagascans and the international community."
The court took an additional two weeks to confirm the result due to the time taken to collect the ballot boxes from the furthest regions of the island, some 1,600km (1,000 miles) long.
Mr Ravalomanana is expected to be formally sworn in within the first half of January.
In 2001, the island nation was pushed to the brink of civil war after the then-incumbent Didier Ratsiraka refused to accept defeat.
Roland Ratsiraka, nephew of the former president, gained 10.14% of the vote, coming third after former parliamentary speaker Jean Lahiniriko, who gained 11.65%.
In mid-December authorities said they had arrested an army general wanted over a coup attempt last month.
The officer, known as General Fidy, took control of a military base in November and called on the army to remove President Marc Ravalomanana.
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S Africa is losing its way - Tutu
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/africa/5384310.stm
Tutu has long spoken out against injustices in South AfricaNobel Prize winner Desmond Tutu has warned that South Africa is in danger of losing its moral direction.
He said it had failed to sustain the idealism that ended apartheid and warned of growing ethnic divisions.
Referring to South Africa's high murder rate and the rape of children as young as nine months, he said the African reverence for life had been lost.
The retired Anglican archbishop opposes ex-Vice President Jacob Zuma becoming president due to his "moral failings".
Mr Zuma's presidential aspirations received a major boost earlier this month after corruption charges were dropped against him. He was acquitted earlier this year on a rape charge.
Respect
Archbishop Tutu said the country had achieved a remarkable degree of stability in 12 years of democracy despite problems poverty, Aids, corruption and crime.
HAVE YOUR SAY
There is a very low sense of moral self esteem in South Africa today. It is really shameful
David Amana, Cape Town
Send us your comments
South Africa's deepening malaise
But delivering the Steve Biko memorial lecture at University of Cape Town, he questioned why a respect for the law, environment and even life, were missing in South Africa.
"What has happened to us? It seems as if we have perverted our freedom, our rights into licence, into being irresponsible. Rights go hand in hand with responsibility, with dignity, with respect for oneself and for the other.
"The fact of the matter is we still depressingly do not respect one another. I have often said black consciousness did not finish the work it set out to do," he said.
Zuma's comments on HIV during his rape trial shocked Aids activists
He said government officials often acted like former officials during the apartheid era - treating people rudely.
He said South Africa should oppose xenophobia and act sensitively when place names were being changed rather than appearing to gloat and ride roughshod over the feelings of others.
He also made a plea for people to pick up litter, to care for their own environments and for their fellow citizens.
"Perhaps we did not realise just how apartheid has damaged us so that we seem to have lost our sense of right and wrong, so that when we go on strike as is our right to do, we are not appalled that some of us can chuck people out of moving trains because they did not join the strike, or why is it common practice now to trash, to go on the rampage?
He said that South Africa remained a wonderful country that had produced outstanding people - such as Steve Biko, the anti-apartheid leader who died in police custody in 1977.
"The best memorial to Steve Biko would be a South Africa where everyone respects themselves, has a positive self image filled with a proper self esteem and holds others in high regard."
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South Africa's 2010 Cup challenge
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/africa/5141582.stm
Money from the World Cup would be welcomed by township dwellersA ceremony is being held in Germany to officially hand over the World Cup to South Africa, which in 2010 will become the first African country to host the championship. The BBC's Mohammed Allie looks at what needs to be done.
South Africa's 2010 football World Cup is set to be the most commercially successful since the first tournament was held 76 years ago.
The event has already attracted more marketing and television attention than the 2006 event, according to Fifa President Sepp Blatter.
"The market trusts Africa," Mr Blatter says.
2010 budget
5bn rand for stadiums
3.5bn rand other capital investment
5.2bn rand for upgrading airports
3.5bn rand for better roads and railways
(7 rand = $1) "The contracts we have already signed for 2010 are higher than the contracts for 2006 in Germany by about 25%."
Agreements with five strategic partners for 2010 are valued at more than 1bn Swiss francs (about $821 million). This dwarfs the 850m francs ($700m) worth of deals done for the German World Cup.
Companies have to fork out around $125m to be one of the six worldwide partners involved with the 2010 World Cup.
In addition there will also be eight World Cup sponsors and four to six national sponsors. Entry level sponsorship is likely to be around $40m.
Confidence
Being entrusted by Fifa to host its flagship event is indeed a massive vote of confidence in the infrastructure and organisational capacity of South Africa, more so since it will be the first time the event will be held on African soil.
Events in recent months have, however, given the sceptics ample ammunition as South Africa's state of readiness comes under the microscope. The scepticism surfaced after potential shortcomings were exposed in the space of a few weeks earlier this year.
This is an artists impression of the upgraded soccer city stadium in JohannesburgFirst, there were a series of unannounced cuts to Cape Town's electricity supply.
Next, there was a report to Parliament's Communications Portfolio Committee which revealed that the country's 30-year old broadcast infrastructure was not ready to cope with the needs of the World Cup.
Sentech Chief Executive Sebiletso Mokone-Matabane says a multibillion dollar investment in digital broadcasting transmission is needed to properly serve a worldwide television audience.
Sentech, the state-owned national broadcasting signal distributor, is due for an upgrade which will allay fears about the broadcasting capacity while Eskom, the national electricity supplier, has already started plans to upgrade its capacity.
Stadium row
Transport is an ongoing headache: South Africa's cities rely on privately-owned minibus taxis, and long-anticipated plans to upgrade the fleet are only now starting to get under away.
In this children's world cup in South Africa, Germany lost to CubaThe Gautrain, an ambitious rail project aimed at easing traffic congestion in the Johannesburg-Pretoria area, will only be partly completed by 2010. It will take tourists from the airport as far as the suburb of Sandton, but will go nowhere near any of the stadiums.
In Cape Town, a proposed new 67,000-seat stadium, earmarked to host a semi-final match, has also got off to a faltering start.
The city's new Mayor, Helen Zille, from the opposition Democratic Alliance, has questioned where the more than 1bn rand (about $160m) will come from to finance the construction of the stadium.
Ms Zille does not want the stadium to sideline more pressing needs like housing, sanitation and other essential services for the city's poor.
Even the Congress of South African Trade Unions (Cosatu), allied to the ANC, supported the mayor's stance, saying the needs of the poor should come before an expensive football stadium.
Ms Zille's fears on funding the stadium seem to have been allayed following a meeting with government officials and the Local Organising Committee (LOC), but there are still questions over the site of Cape Town's stadium.
The designated area, which is magnificently located with Robben Island and Table Mountain on either side, will displace a 130-year-old golf course. This proposal has met with stiff opposition from local residents and members of the golf club.
Still, most of the five new stadiums to be constructed in Durban, Cape Town, Port Elizabeth, Polokwane and Nelspruit are due to begin by November and are expected to be ready for trial runs at the 2009 Confederations Cup which features the champions of all six Fifa Confederations together with the World Champions and the host nation.
Upgrades
The other more established venues require minor upgrades which will commence at a later stage. "Many of the stadiums already have world class facilities and only require technical upgrades. The alterations at established venues such as Ellis Park, Bloemfontein and Soccer City can be left for a later date. With the continuous technical developments it makes sense to start these closer to 2010," says Danny Jordaan, Chief Executive of the LOC.
Given the employment and business prospects associated with hosting an event as big as the World Cup, South Africa's beleaguered textile industry is hoping that the tournament will revive its fortunes.
The industry, which has lost an estimated 200,000 jobs over the past five years due mainly to the influx of cheaper Chinese imports, is looking at cashing in on producing memorabilia like T-shirts, caps, hats and scarves.
"The reason we're backing the World Cup is that there should be employment and procurement opportunities for locals. It shouldn't just benefit those who are already wealthy," says Tony Ehrenreich, Cosatu's Western Cape general secretary.
"If we aren't happy with economic opportunities for locals we will be protesting at the 2010 World Cup."
Opportunities
Danny Jordaan agrees with the principle of using the tournament to provide economic opportunities, saying there were already policies in place to ensure the empowerment of black business and entrepreneurs.
The LOC predicts that the tournament will create 160,000 jobs and will contribute more than 20 billion rand (about $3.6 billion) to the country's gross domestic product.
Many local small business owners are, however, concerned that they may have to pay exorbitant licensing fees to Fifa, which controls its own marketing and television rights. This implies that companies which are not licensed by Fifa would not be able to sell their products or services in or around the World Cup venues.
"Many local clothing manufacturers I've spoken to say they won't be able to afford the fees and would therefore simply try to sidestep the rules when the event draws closer," says Navavee Matthews, who works for a marketing company.
The money-making potential of the World Cup is enormous and it will be a great tragedy if the expectations of so many of the country's aspirant entrepreneurs are stifled by Fifa's tight licensing conditions.
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SA same-sex marriage law signed
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/africa/6159991.stm
South Africa is the first African country to approve such unionsSouth Africa's Deputy President Phumzile Mlambo-Ngcuka has signed the Civil Union Act which gives same-sex couples the right to marry.
South Africa will be the first African country where gay people can wed when the law comes into force on Friday.
The law was approved by MPs two weeks ago despite objections from religious groups and traditional leaders.
The Constitutional Court ruled last year that the existing laws discriminated against homosexuals.
The Civil Union Act gives gay people the same rights as heterosexual couples.
The ruling was based on the constitution, which was the first in the world specifically to outlaw discrimination on the grounds of sexual orientation.
It is an historic decision in terms of the African continent
Fikile VilakazGay Joint Working Group
To wed or not?
Gay marriage around the globe
This is unusual in Africa where homosexuality is largely taboo - notably in its neighbour Zimbabwe.
Reuters news agency reports that religious groups had mounted a last-ditch effort to block the new marriage law, demanding a referendum on the issue.
"To force the morality of the radical homosexual minority on the people of South Africa through law is, in effect, to lead the masses astray," the Christian Action Network said in a statement.
But gay activists have welcomed the law.
"We are very happy. We welcome the political commitment shown by the country's leaders," said Fikile Vilakazi spokeswoman for the Joint Working Group, a network gay organisations, AFP news agency reports.
"It is an historic decision in terms of the African continent."
During the parliamentary debate earlier this month, Home Affairs Minister Nosiviwe Mapisa-Nqakula told MPs: "In breaking with our past... we need to fight and resist all forms of discrimination and prejudice, including homophobia."
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U.N.: Ivorian diamond trade goes on despite ban
POSTED: 1:37 p.m. EST, December 18, 2006
Story Highlights
• U.N.: Diamonds are smuggled out of the Ivory Coast via Mali and Ghana• Ghana risks suspension from the U.N.-backed Kimberley Process, U.N. says• The Kimberley Process fights "blood" or "conflict" diamond sales • No action can be taken against Mali as it was not a Kimberley Process participant
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ABIDJAN, Ivory Coast (Reuters) -- Diamonds are still being smuggled out of war-divided Ivory Coast via Mali and Ghana in violation of a U.N. embargo despite rebel assertions to the contrary, according to a U.N. report.
U.N. experts identified Malian nationals who had been buying gems in the town of Seguela, which lies in the rebel-held north of Ivory Coast, and had observed "intensive mining" in the area during an aerial survey in November.
"The identification of these Malian buyers further underlines the significant smuggling of Ivorian diamonds to Mali in violation of United Nations sanctions," the group of experts said in a report to the U.N. Security Council.
The report, seen by Reuters on Monday, also said Ghana risked suspension from the Kimberley Process -- a U.N.-backed scheme to ensure "blood" or "conflict" diamonds are not sold on the black market to buy weapons -- after smuggled Ivorian gems were found among diamond exports registered as Ghanaian.
For example, diamonds of non-Ghanaian origin had been found in a shipment transported from Ghana to Dubai, an important international diamond-trading center, the report said.
It said a "detailed action plan" had been agreed with Ghana to strengthen its controls over the diamond sector. Progress would be evaluated by a Kimberley Process review team in February next year.
"If the evaluation team is not satisfied, Ghana could face suspension from the Kimberley Process," the report said.
No action could be taken against Mali as it was not a Kimberley Process participant.
Rebels seized the north of Ivory Coast in a 2002/2003 civil war and admit they smuggle cocoa -- the country's main export -- to neighboring states to fund their movement.
But they deny dealing in conflict diamonds despite allegations by U.N. experts that they generate revenue of between $9 million and $23 million from the trade.
The U.N. report also said criminal networks had been breaking an arms embargo on Ivory Coast, using international courier firms to import shipments of small arms.
"Currently the ports are wide open to abuse and the U.N. Operation in Ivory Coast has not conducted a port inspection since August," the report said.
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AK-47: the Sierra Leone child soldier
Like this boy, Sangeba was still a child when he fought in the warAll this week, BBC World Service's The World Today programme is looking at the stories behind one of the world's most iconic weapons, the AK-47.
Throughout the week we will be speaking to the people who trade in it, the people who carry it, and the people whose lives have been destroyed by it.
CHILD SOLDIER, SIERRA LEONE
In Africa up to 100,000 children are thought to have been involved in armed conflict last year. The AK-47 is the weapon of choice for child soldiers, as it is light and easy to use but can discharge 600 rounds per minute.
Sierra Leone is a country notorious for its use of child soldiers in its 10-year civil war. Both the government and rebels recruited children. Sangeba was recruited by the rebels
I was a small boy, 12 years old, and I was going to school when the rebels captured me and a lot of my friends. They caught my mother and father, and then killed my father in my presence. Then they went with us to the bush to go and train how to fight.
AK-47 STORIES
Monday:
Colombian guerrilla
We were called the Small Boys' Unit (SBU). They sent us to go and loot. They trained us how to load and fire guns including the AK-47. Whether attacking the government forces or civilian towns, we would take the guns.
Normally they sent us ahead to go and spy on a place, and then attacked it later. Most of those guns they used were AK-47 because the AK-47 is the most popular gun.
Once they took us to a jungle in Eastern Province, and I saw a lot of guns, mostly AK47s, and some heavy artillery - G3, FN [both rifles] and RPG [rocket-propelled grenades], you know. I panicked because I had never seen such an amount of weapons before.
THE AK-47
Stands for Avtomat Kalashnikova model 1947
Designed by Mikhail Kalashnikov while wounded in hospital - though he later said he wished he invented the lawnmower instead
Produced in greater numbers than any other 20th-Century assault rifle
Fires 600 rounds a minute
Estimated 70-100m in the world
The AK47 has spawned many derivatives, such as the Chinese-manufactured Type 56
AK-47: Iconic weapon Our commanders explained to us that they got them from the Liberians, some said they got them from soldiers they killed, and from Guinea.
Our commanders instructed us to fight to defend ourselves. So I was handling my AK-47 with this in mind. I cannot remember how many people I killed. I was not really intending to do so but for the fact that I was holding this weapon to defend myself.
If you don't fight to kill, whether anybody's coming, whether enemy or friend, if they kill you, they or your commander will leave your body there and go.
That is why I defended myself. I killed a lot of people. I feel so bad now that I am in the town, training people for skilled jobs. I feel so discouraged for the fact that I have been killing people, so sad for the lives that I have dislodged. May God have mercy upon me.
Rock, rap, reunions at Live 8 concerts
Pink Floyd, Stevie Wonder, Sting among artists at worldwide concert
Stephen Hird / Reuters
Dave Gilmour and Pink Floyd reunited to play together for the first time since 1981 at Saturday's Live 8 concert in London.
• Live 8 concerts• Live 8 concerts open around the world
• Will Smith welcomes world to Philly
• Best viewing to be found online
• NBC: Many moving moments in London
• Thousands rock out in Circus Maximus
• Concert for poverty in shadow of Versailles
• Green Day fires up crowd in Berlin
• Only 10,000 show up for concert in Japan
LONDON - Twenty years after a scruffy one-hit wonder first demonstrated his gift for lofty dreams and grandiose statements, hundreds of the world’s top performers and more than 1 million fans united for 10 free concerts across the globe aimed at fighting African poverty.
Bob Geldof claimed Saturday’s shows would be “the greatest concert ever,” and it was hard to argue with him after the unprecedented gathering drew everyone from Snoop Dogg to Bill Gates, Mandela to Madonna.
But the ultimate success of the Live 8 extravaganza will be judged by whether the world’s most powerful leaders, gathering next week for the Group of Eight summit meeting, listen to Geldof’s demands for debt forgiveness, trade concessions and $25 billion in aid for Africa.
Pink Floyd, Stevie Wonder, Sting among artists at worldwide concert
Stephen Hird / Reuters
Dave Gilmour and Pink Floyd reunited to play together for the first time since 1981 at Saturday's Live 8 concert in London.
• Live 8 concerts• Live 8 concerts open around the world
• Will Smith welcomes world to Philly
• Best viewing to be found online
• NBC: Many moving moments in London
• Thousands rock out in Circus Maximus
• Concert for poverty in shadow of Versailles
• Green Day fires up crowd in Berlin
• Only 10,000 show up for concert in Japan
LONDON - Twenty years after a scruffy one-hit wonder first demonstrated his gift for lofty dreams and grandiose statements, hundreds of the world’s top performers and more than 1 million fans united for 10 free concerts across the globe aimed at fighting African poverty.
Bob Geldof claimed Saturday’s shows would be “the greatest concert ever,” and it was hard to argue with him after the unprecedented gathering drew everyone from Snoop Dogg to Bill Gates, Mandela to Madonna.
But the ultimate success of the Live 8 extravaganza will be judged by whether the world’s most powerful leaders, gathering next week for the Group of Eight summit meeting, listen to Geldof’s demands for debt forgiveness, trade concessions and $25 billion in aid for Africa.
“History and the generations to come will judge our leaders by the decisions they make in the coming weeks,” former South African president Nelson Mandela said after taking the stage in Johannesburg, where the crowd of more than 8,000 people gave him a five-minute ovation. “I say to all those leaders: Do not look the other way, do not hesitate ... It is within your power to prevent a genocide.”
“This is our moment. This is our time. This is our chance to stand up for what’s right,” U2 frontman Bono told a crowd of 200,000 in London’s Hyde Park.
“We’re not looking for charity, we’re looking for justice,” Bono said. “We cannot fix every problem, but the ones we can, we must.”
‘Declaration of interdependence’In Philadelphia, on the Independence Day weekend, actor Will Smith called the festivities a worldwide “declaration of interdependence.”
“Today we hold this truth to be self-evident: We are all in this together,” Smith said. Beamed around the world by satellite, he led the audience in snapping their fingers every three seconds, signifying the child death rate in Africa.
Neil Young performed rousing renditions of “Keep on Rockin’ In The Free world” and “O Canada” before 35,000 roaring fans at Canada’s event in Barrie, Ontario.
Stephen Hird / Reuters
Paul McCartney performs at the Live 8 concert in London's Hyde Park on Saturday.
Paul McCartney and U2 opened the flagship show of the free 10-concert festival with a rousing performance of “Sgt. Pepper’s Lonely Hearts Club Band.” A thunderous roar erupted from the crowd of about 200,000 as icons McCartney and Bono belted out the first line: “It was 20 years ago today...” — a nod to Geldof’s mammoth Live Aid benefit that raised millions for African famine relief in 1985.
Bono, dressed in black and wearing his trademark wraparound shades, wrapped the crowd around his finger, enticing tens of thousands to sing along to the anthemic “One” and “Beautiful Day.” The crowd cheered when a flock of white doves was released overhead.
Geldof appeared onstage to introduce Microsoft billionaire and philanthropist Gates, whom the crowd greeted with a rock star’s roar.
“We can do this, and when we do it will be the best thing that humanity has ever done,” Gates said.
The crowd joined in as REM sang “Man on the Moon,” then heard U.N. Secretary-General Kofi Annan declare: “This is really the United Nations ... The whole world has come together in solidarity with the poor.”
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FREE VIDEO
• Musical missionJuly 2: Millions, and perhaps billions of eyes were focused Saturday on Live 8. Can star power fight global poverty? NBC’s Ron Allen reports.
Nightly NewsGeldof’s claim that 3 billion people around the world were watching Saturday seemed overblown, as did talk in Philadelphia that a million people were on hand. But Live 8 was huge nonetheless, with a mile-long crowd stretching from the front steps of the Philadelphia Museum of Art and America Online saying that more than 5 million people sampled its live video streams, which broadcast all 10 concerts in their entirety.
The first concert kicked off in Japan, where Bjork and Good Charlotte joined local bands for a show that failed to generate much interest in Asia’s only G-8 nation. Despite Bjork making her first live performance in two years, the crowd of 10,000 people was only half of what the hall in the Tokyo suburb of Makuhari could hold.
Still, “we believe passionately in what this is about,” Bjork said. “Just the acknowledgment of the problem is an important step.”
“This is our moment. This is our time. This is our chance to stand up for what’s right,” U2 frontman Bono told a crowd of 200,000 in London’s Hyde Park.
“We’re not looking for charity, we’re looking for justice,” Bono said. “We cannot fix every problem, but the ones we can, we must.”
‘Declaration of interdependence’In Philadelphia, on the Independence Day weekend, actor Will Smith called the festivities a worldwide “declaration of interdependence.”
“Today we hold this truth to be self-evident: We are all in this together,” Smith said. Beamed around the world by satellite, he led the audience in snapping their fingers every three seconds, signifying the child death rate in Africa.
Neil Young performed rousing renditions of “Keep on Rockin’ In The Free world” and “O Canada” before 35,000 roaring fans at Canada’s event in Barrie, Ontario.
Stephen Hird / Reuters
Paul McCartney performs at the Live 8 concert in London's Hyde Park on Saturday.
Paul McCartney and U2 opened the flagship show of the free 10-concert festival with a rousing performance of “Sgt. Pepper’s Lonely Hearts Club Band.” A thunderous roar erupted from the crowd of about 200,000 as icons McCartney and Bono belted out the first line: “It was 20 years ago today...” — a nod to Geldof’s mammoth Live Aid benefit that raised millions for African famine relief in 1985.
Bono, dressed in black and wearing his trademark wraparound shades, wrapped the crowd around his finger, enticing tens of thousands to sing along to the anthemic “One” and “Beautiful Day.” The crowd cheered when a flock of white doves was released overhead.
Geldof appeared onstage to introduce Microsoft billionaire and philanthropist Gates, whom the crowd greeted with a rock star’s roar.
“We can do this, and when we do it will be the best thing that humanity has ever done,” Gates said.
The crowd joined in as REM sang “Man on the Moon,” then heard U.N. Secretary-General Kofi Annan declare: “This is really the United Nations ... The whole world has come together in solidarity with the poor.”
getCSS("3088867")
FREE VIDEO
• Musical missionJuly 2: Millions, and perhaps billions of eyes were focused Saturday on Live 8. Can star power fight global poverty? NBC’s Ron Allen reports.
Nightly NewsGeldof’s claim that 3 billion people around the world were watching Saturday seemed overblown, as did talk in Philadelphia that a million people were on hand. But Live 8 was huge nonetheless, with a mile-long crowd stretching from the front steps of the Philadelphia Museum of Art and America Online saying that more than 5 million people sampled its live video streams, which broadcast all 10 concerts in their entirety.
The first concert kicked off in Japan, where Bjork and Good Charlotte joined local bands for a show that failed to generate much interest in Asia’s only G-8 nation. Despite Bjork making her first live performance in two years, the crowd of 10,000 people was only half of what the hall in the Tokyo suburb of Makuhari could hold.
Still, “we believe passionately in what this is about,” Bjork said. “Just the acknowledgment of the problem is an important step.”
Live 8 then rolled on to Johannesburg. That show, plus one featuring African artists in southwestern England, were organized following criticism that African artists had been left out of an event aimed at their own continent.
“Africans are involved in helping Africa, which doesn’t happen too often,” Cameroonian singer Coco Mbassi said before the England show. “We’re presenting a different image of Africa.”
Near Paris, an eclectic lineup including Italian tenor Andrea Bocelli and Goth-rockers The Cure played to a crowd of 100,000 at the 17th-century Palace of Versailles. Faith Hill and Duran Duran joined Italian stars in Rome for a concert at the ancient Circus Maximus, which was packed with about 200,000 fans.
“Africans are involved in helping Africa, which doesn’t happen too often,” Cameroonian singer Coco Mbassi said before the England show. “We’re presenting a different image of Africa.”
Near Paris, an eclectic lineup including Italian tenor Andrea Bocelli and Goth-rockers The Cure played to a crowd of 100,000 at the 17th-century Palace of Versailles. Faith Hill and Duran Duran joined Italian stars in Rome for a concert at the ancient Circus Maximus, which was packed with about 200,000 fans.
German crowd-pleasers Die Toten Hosen kicked off Berlin’s show — which attracted about 150,000 people — with a string of power anthems while reminding revelers that helping Africa stood above the music.
“This is no rock concert, it’s a reminder about next Wednesday,” singer Campino told the crowds, referring to the G-8 meeting.
Canadian favorite Tom Cochrane started that country’s concert with “Life is a Highway” before 35,000 roaring fans on a crisp sunny morning in Barrie, Ontario. And in Moscow, where 20 years ago residents heard little or nothing about Live Aid because of tight Soviet information controls, tens of thousands jammed a square in the shadows of the Kremlin.
Jo Hale / Getty Images
Madonna performed several of her hits at the Hyde Park show.
In London, Madonna performed “Like a Prayer” hand-in-hand with Birham Woldu, an Ethiopian woman who as a malnourished toddler appeared in some of the most wrenching footage of the 1984-85 famine. Her life was saved, Geldof said, partly through donations from Live Aid viewers.
As night fell, Sting performed “Every Breath You Take” as a message to the G-8 leaders — “We’ll be watching you,” he sang. The Who belted out their classic “Who Are You?” to a backdrop of images of the G8 chiefs.
And the crowd went wild for the reunion of ’70s supergroup Pink Floyd — the first time guitarist David Gilmour, drummer Nick Mason, keyboard player Richard Wright and bassist Roger Waters appeared onstage together since 1981.
London concertgoer Tula Contostavlos, 19, said she was there to see Mariah Carey — and to send a political message.
“Obviously some people are here for just music,” she said, “but they’re forgetting what’s important and what they’re here for.”
“This is no rock concert, it’s a reminder about next Wednesday,” singer Campino told the crowds, referring to the G-8 meeting.
Canadian favorite Tom Cochrane started that country’s concert with “Life is a Highway” before 35,000 roaring fans on a crisp sunny morning in Barrie, Ontario. And in Moscow, where 20 years ago residents heard little or nothing about Live Aid because of tight Soviet information controls, tens of thousands jammed a square in the shadows of the Kremlin.
Jo Hale / Getty Images
Madonna performed several of her hits at the Hyde Park show.
In London, Madonna performed “Like a Prayer” hand-in-hand with Birham Woldu, an Ethiopian woman who as a malnourished toddler appeared in some of the most wrenching footage of the 1984-85 famine. Her life was saved, Geldof said, partly through donations from Live Aid viewers.
As night fell, Sting performed “Every Breath You Take” as a message to the G-8 leaders — “We’ll be watching you,” he sang. The Who belted out their classic “Who Are You?” to a backdrop of images of the G8 chiefs.
And the crowd went wild for the reunion of ’70s supergroup Pink Floyd — the first time guitarist David Gilmour, drummer Nick Mason, keyboard player Richard Wright and bassist Roger Waters appeared onstage together since 1981.
London concertgoer Tula Contostavlos, 19, said she was there to see Mariah Carey — and to send a political message.
“Obviously some people are here for just music,” she said, “but they’re forgetting what’s important and what they’re here for.”
PowerPoint Presentation on Darfur Script for PowerPoint Presentation
Darfur Backgrounder and Policy Talking Points
Situation in Darfur
According to recent estimates, at least 400,000 people have died in Darfur since the genocide began in February of 2003. It is impossible to know what the final number will be, however, as the genocide is still taking place today. What is known is that there are approximately 3.5 million men, women and children in the western Darfur region of Sudan trying to survive the Sudanese government-sponsored campaign of violence and forced starvation. These innocent victims are essentially on life support, their continued existence dependent on U.S. and international humanitarian aid and the presence of African Union peacekeepers. Despite the best efforts of the under-funded and under-manned African Union peacekeeping force, attacks have increased in recent months, leading to tens of thousands of new arrivals at refugee camps in Darfur and across the border in Chad.
This situation has been seriously exacerbated by the Government of Sudan’s military offensive in Darfur, initiated in late August, which has displaced thousand of additional Darfurians and will likely cost thousands of additional lives. Given this new offensive, civilians are looking at an ever more precarious future, one in which dependency on international aid is likely to rise. Violence is already visibly increasing. The International Rescue Committee reported a dramatic increase in systematic rape earlier this summer, and more humanitarian aid workers were killed in July of this year than had been killed in the previous three years combined.
This increase in violence has put the humanitarian life-support system on life-support itself, and the nightmare scenario of a complete security collapse and the spike in death-rate that will surely follow now appears to be not a possibility, but a probability. UN official Jan Egland has previously said that he believes the death-rate could rise as high as 100,000 per month if security collapses. The situation in Darfur may soon test that theory.
International Action
On August 31, the UN Security Council passed resolution 1706, authorizing a robust peacekeeping force for Darfur with a strong mandate to protect civilians. While this was a crucial step, it will remain merely words on paper until there are UN boots on the ground. Adding further urgency is the tenuous nature of the African Union’s operations in Darfur. Already short on funding, manpower, and clarity of mandate, the African Union has begun to reduce its protective operations, including firewood patrols which had proved moderately successful at protecting women from rape. The African Union and many African heads of state have repeatedly called for a transition to a UN peacekeeping force, but their call has thus far fallen on deaf ears in Khartoum, where President Omar el-Bashir continues to resist the deployment of UN peacekeepers to Darfur, leaving the prospects for peace in Darfur hanging by and increasingly thin thread.
A Challenge to the International Community
We now find ourselves approaching what may be the decisive hour for the future of Darfur. U.S. Secretary of State Rice put it well when she recently said that the Government of Sudan faces a choice between cooperation and confrontation. The UN has authorized a strong peacekeeping force to protect civilians, help implement the Darfur Peace Agreement, and promote the continuation of the peace process. The African Union has said that it wants that peacekeeping force to be deployed as soon as possible. Perhaps most importantly, the people of Darfur themselves have demanded that UN peacekeepers be deployed. And yet President Bashir and the Government of Sudan are standing in the way of that UN deployment, daring the international community to live up to its responsibility to protect those who cannot protect themselves. If this pattern continues, and more innocent lives are jeopardized as a result, the world must act.
To be clear, the preferred solution is for the international community to flex its diplomatic muscles, not its military ones, in order to compel President Bashir’s consent to the UN force. What is also clear, however, is that the international community must not take no for an answer when it comes to protecting civilians in Darfur. The United Nations has made its decision, the African Union has endorsed that decision, millions of concerned individuals all over the world have spoken out, and the people of Darfur themselves have demanded that the UN peacekeeping force be deployed as soon as possible. This is how the UN international conflict resolution system is supposed to work. If the Security Council and its member states wash their hands of their responsibility and allow that system to fail, they will lose their credibility in the bargain.
What Needs to Happen Now
Below are several concrete steps that should be taken to improve security, improve diplomacy, and ensure sufficient grassroots political pressure to get the job done:
Security
Deploy the United Nations peacekeeping force now: The robust UN peacekeeping force recently authorized (Aug. 31) by the UN Security Council must be deployed immediately to take over for the current under-funded and under-manned African Union peacekeeping force in Darfur. While there are no doubt difficulties to overcome in order to make this happen, there can be no doubt that they must be overcome. The U.S. and the international community must find a way to get it done.
Support the African Union troops until the UN peacekeepers are on the ground: The African Union forces have stood as the only line of defense for millions of Darfuris for far too long, and have reached the limits of their effectiveness. Until the UN peacekeeping force is deployed and operational, the international community must help the African Union provide at least some security to the people of Darfur.
Enforce a No-Fly Zone in Darfur already established by the UN Security Council: UN Security Council resolution 1591 called for a no-fly zone by banning all Sudanese military flights in Darfur, but that no-fly zone has never been enforced. The U.S. should lead the international community in making sure that the Sudanese Government’s indiscriminant bombing of villages is brought to an end.
Diplomacy
President Bush must make peace in Darfur a higher priority: It has been over two years since President Bush declared Darfur a genocide, and yet the genocide continues. The President and his
Administration have made some progress, but the situation on the ground has continued to deteriorate. The escalating nature of the crisis demands more than words on paper, it demands results on the ground.
The UN Security Council and its member nations must enforce sanctions already on the books against the Government of Sudan: The UN Security Council has already agreed to sanctions against the Sudanese government, but the UN Sanctions Committee has yet to enforce them.
International pressure on Sudan from individual UN Security Council members: Individual governments can pressure Sudan directly to accept the UN peacekeeping force and end its military offensive in Darfur. China in particular has a lot of influence with Sudan given their status as Sudan’s top trading partner. Additionally, member-nations of the African Union and Arab League have strong relationships with Sudan and could be diplomatically persuasive.
Legislation
To contact the President, call (202) 456-1111, or email comments@whitehouse.gov, to contact your Representative and Senators, call the Capitol operator at (202) 224-3121 or go to http://www.house.gov/ and http://www.senate.gov/ to find email information
Urge the President to request and Congress to approve adequate funding for Darfur in the Fiscal Year 2008 budgeting process: While we hope that the situation in Darfur will be in vastly improved when Fiscal Year 2008 begins on October 1, 2007, the reality is that peacekeeping, humanitarian aid, and development will likely still be needed. The budgeting process for FY08 has already begun, and we must make sure that the President and his Administration request sufficient funds to cover the projected needs. It’s important to remember that Congress can always choose not to fund the President’s request if events have gone better than expected and the need is no longer there when the funding bills are eventually passed. It is very difficult, however, for Congress to add significantly to a funding bill if they have not been factored into the budgeting process all along. The President should therefore make sure that the necessary funds are included in the FY08 budget from the start.
Urge Congress to provide additional funding for Darfur immediately to make up the pending funding gap:
Increased funding for the planned UN peacekeeping operation in Darfur
The President’s FY07 budget provides only $441 million for UN peacekeeping operation in Sudan, all of which was intended for the UN force in South Sudan, not Darfur. The proposed Darfur UN force will be both at least twice the size of the force in South Sudan, and will have a much more difficult mission. While the total cost of the force is not yet known, it is abundantly clear that it will require a substantial amount of U.S. funding if it is to succeed.
Increased funding for the current African Union peacekeeping operation in Darfur
While a UN peacekeeping force is the ultimate goal, Congress cannot let future plans blind them from current needs. Until such time as a UN force is deployed (not expected now until 2007) we need to continue to support the African Union peacekeepers who are already there. The President’s budget contains no funding for the African Union peacekeepers for the final three months of this year, despite the strong possibility that they will remain on the ground through
December. At an international African Union donor pledging conference on July 18, the international community committed to provided less than half of the funding necessary to keep the African Union mission afloat for the remainder of the year. While the U.S. was the largest single donor, the money pledged was limited to funds that have already approved by Congress. In essence, the U.S. pledged only what money they had already promised to provide.
Increased funding for humanitarian aid in Darfur
Earlier this year, the World Food Program announced that it was cutting daily rations to half the minimum safe level due to lack of funding. That situation cannot be allowed to happen again. Congress should not rely on mid-year emergency supplemental funding bills to provide its commitment to Darfur.
Citizen Activism
Send a letter to President Bush and the UN Secretary-General: Visit http://www.savedarfur.org/ and send a postcard to President Bush and the UN Secretary-General urging further action on Darfur.
Lobby your elected officials: Write, call, or email your elected officials and ask them to do more for the people of Darfur. Options on how to make your voice heard can be found at http://www.savedarfur.org/action/lobby. The most important thing is just to let them know you care. If you do want to get a bit more specific, however, please take a look at the various “asks” below.
Global Activism: On September 17, individuals across the world joined together in a global and unified show of support for Darfur, calling for the immediate deployment of UN peacekeepers. With event in dozens of countries spanning six continents, there can be no question that the issue of Darfur now concerns the entire international community. Visit http://www.dayfordarfur.org/ to find out more about our international partners and additional ways you can participate overseas.
Darfur Backgrounder and Policy Talking Points
Situation in Darfur
According to recent estimates, at least 400,000 people have died in Darfur since the genocide began in February of 2003. It is impossible to know what the final number will be, however, as the genocide is still taking place today. What is known is that there are approximately 3.5 million men, women and children in the western Darfur region of Sudan trying to survive the Sudanese government-sponsored campaign of violence and forced starvation. These innocent victims are essentially on life support, their continued existence dependent on U.S. and international humanitarian aid and the presence of African Union peacekeepers. Despite the best efforts of the under-funded and under-manned African Union peacekeeping force, attacks have increased in recent months, leading to tens of thousands of new arrivals at refugee camps in Darfur and across the border in Chad.
This situation has been seriously exacerbated by the Government of Sudan’s military offensive in Darfur, initiated in late August, which has displaced thousand of additional Darfurians and will likely cost thousands of additional lives. Given this new offensive, civilians are looking at an ever more precarious future, one in which dependency on international aid is likely to rise. Violence is already visibly increasing. The International Rescue Committee reported a dramatic increase in systematic rape earlier this summer, and more humanitarian aid workers were killed in July of this year than had been killed in the previous three years combined.
This increase in violence has put the humanitarian life-support system on life-support itself, and the nightmare scenario of a complete security collapse and the spike in death-rate that will surely follow now appears to be not a possibility, but a probability. UN official Jan Egland has previously said that he believes the death-rate could rise as high as 100,000 per month if security collapses. The situation in Darfur may soon test that theory.
International Action
On August 31, the UN Security Council passed resolution 1706, authorizing a robust peacekeeping force for Darfur with a strong mandate to protect civilians. While this was a crucial step, it will remain merely words on paper until there are UN boots on the ground. Adding further urgency is the tenuous nature of the African Union’s operations in Darfur. Already short on funding, manpower, and clarity of mandate, the African Union has begun to reduce its protective operations, including firewood patrols which had proved moderately successful at protecting women from rape. The African Union and many African heads of state have repeatedly called for a transition to a UN peacekeeping force, but their call has thus far fallen on deaf ears in Khartoum, where President Omar el-Bashir continues to resist the deployment of UN peacekeepers to Darfur, leaving the prospects for peace in Darfur hanging by and increasingly thin thread.
A Challenge to the International Community
We now find ourselves approaching what may be the decisive hour for the future of Darfur. U.S. Secretary of State Rice put it well when she recently said that the Government of Sudan faces a choice between cooperation and confrontation. The UN has authorized a strong peacekeeping force to protect civilians, help implement the Darfur Peace Agreement, and promote the continuation of the peace process. The African Union has said that it wants that peacekeeping force to be deployed as soon as possible. Perhaps most importantly, the people of Darfur themselves have demanded that UN peacekeepers be deployed. And yet President Bashir and the Government of Sudan are standing in the way of that UN deployment, daring the international community to live up to its responsibility to protect those who cannot protect themselves. If this pattern continues, and more innocent lives are jeopardized as a result, the world must act.
To be clear, the preferred solution is for the international community to flex its diplomatic muscles, not its military ones, in order to compel President Bashir’s consent to the UN force. What is also clear, however, is that the international community must not take no for an answer when it comes to protecting civilians in Darfur. The United Nations has made its decision, the African Union has endorsed that decision, millions of concerned individuals all over the world have spoken out, and the people of Darfur themselves have demanded that the UN peacekeeping force be deployed as soon as possible. This is how the UN international conflict resolution system is supposed to work. If the Security Council and its member states wash their hands of their responsibility and allow that system to fail, they will lose their credibility in the bargain.
What Needs to Happen Now
Below are several concrete steps that should be taken to improve security, improve diplomacy, and ensure sufficient grassroots political pressure to get the job done:
Security
Deploy the United Nations peacekeeping force now: The robust UN peacekeeping force recently authorized (Aug. 31) by the UN Security Council must be deployed immediately to take over for the current under-funded and under-manned African Union peacekeeping force in Darfur. While there are no doubt difficulties to overcome in order to make this happen, there can be no doubt that they must be overcome. The U.S. and the international community must find a way to get it done.
Support the African Union troops until the UN peacekeepers are on the ground: The African Union forces have stood as the only line of defense for millions of Darfuris for far too long, and have reached the limits of their effectiveness. Until the UN peacekeeping force is deployed and operational, the international community must help the African Union provide at least some security to the people of Darfur.
Enforce a No-Fly Zone in Darfur already established by the UN Security Council: UN Security Council resolution 1591 called for a no-fly zone by banning all Sudanese military flights in Darfur, but that no-fly zone has never been enforced. The U.S. should lead the international community in making sure that the Sudanese Government’s indiscriminant bombing of villages is brought to an end.
Diplomacy
President Bush must make peace in Darfur a higher priority: It has been over two years since President Bush declared Darfur a genocide, and yet the genocide continues. The President and his
Administration have made some progress, but the situation on the ground has continued to deteriorate. The escalating nature of the crisis demands more than words on paper, it demands results on the ground.
The UN Security Council and its member nations must enforce sanctions already on the books against the Government of Sudan: The UN Security Council has already agreed to sanctions against the Sudanese government, but the UN Sanctions Committee has yet to enforce them.
International pressure on Sudan from individual UN Security Council members: Individual governments can pressure Sudan directly to accept the UN peacekeeping force and end its military offensive in Darfur. China in particular has a lot of influence with Sudan given their status as Sudan’s top trading partner. Additionally, member-nations of the African Union and Arab League have strong relationships with Sudan and could be diplomatically persuasive.
Legislation
To contact the President, call (202) 456-1111, or email comments@whitehouse.gov, to contact your Representative and Senators, call the Capitol operator at (202) 224-3121 or go to http://www.house.gov/ and http://www.senate.gov/ to find email information
Urge the President to request and Congress to approve adequate funding for Darfur in the Fiscal Year 2008 budgeting process: While we hope that the situation in Darfur will be in vastly improved when Fiscal Year 2008 begins on October 1, 2007, the reality is that peacekeeping, humanitarian aid, and development will likely still be needed. The budgeting process for FY08 has already begun, and we must make sure that the President and his Administration request sufficient funds to cover the projected needs. It’s important to remember that Congress can always choose not to fund the President’s request if events have gone better than expected and the need is no longer there when the funding bills are eventually passed. It is very difficult, however, for Congress to add significantly to a funding bill if they have not been factored into the budgeting process all along. The President should therefore make sure that the necessary funds are included in the FY08 budget from the start.
Urge Congress to provide additional funding for Darfur immediately to make up the pending funding gap:
Increased funding for the planned UN peacekeeping operation in Darfur
The President’s FY07 budget provides only $441 million for UN peacekeeping operation in Sudan, all of which was intended for the UN force in South Sudan, not Darfur. The proposed Darfur UN force will be both at least twice the size of the force in South Sudan, and will have a much more difficult mission. While the total cost of the force is not yet known, it is abundantly clear that it will require a substantial amount of U.S. funding if it is to succeed.
Increased funding for the current African Union peacekeeping operation in Darfur
While a UN peacekeeping force is the ultimate goal, Congress cannot let future plans blind them from current needs. Until such time as a UN force is deployed (not expected now until 2007) we need to continue to support the African Union peacekeepers who are already there. The President’s budget contains no funding for the African Union peacekeepers for the final three months of this year, despite the strong possibility that they will remain on the ground through
December. At an international African Union donor pledging conference on July 18, the international community committed to provided less than half of the funding necessary to keep the African Union mission afloat for the remainder of the year. While the U.S. was the largest single donor, the money pledged was limited to funds that have already approved by Congress. In essence, the U.S. pledged only what money they had already promised to provide.
Increased funding for humanitarian aid in Darfur
Earlier this year, the World Food Program announced that it was cutting daily rations to half the minimum safe level due to lack of funding. That situation cannot be allowed to happen again. Congress should not rely on mid-year emergency supplemental funding bills to provide its commitment to Darfur.
Citizen Activism
Send a letter to President Bush and the UN Secretary-General: Visit http://www.savedarfur.org/ and send a postcard to President Bush and the UN Secretary-General urging further action on Darfur.
Lobby your elected officials: Write, call, or email your elected officials and ask them to do more for the people of Darfur. Options on how to make your voice heard can be found at http://www.savedarfur.org/action/lobby. The most important thing is just to let them know you care. If you do want to get a bit more specific, however, please take a look at the various “asks” below.
Global Activism: On September 17, individuals across the world joined together in a global and unified show of support for Darfur, calling for the immediate deployment of UN peacekeepers. With event in dozens of countries spanning six continents, there can be no question that the issue of Darfur now concerns the entire international community. Visit http://www.dayfordarfur.org/ to find out more about our international partners and additional ways you can participate overseas.
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Glittering towers in a war zone
Dec 7th 2006 EL-FASHER, JUBA AND KHARTOUM
From The Economist print edition
Oil could break or make Africa's largest country. But at the moment there is more breaking than making
Eyevine
AT THE confluence of the White Nile and the Blue Nile in Khartoum lies Africa's largest commercial construction site. Across 1,500 acres, at a place called Alsunut, Sudanese and Chinese workmen are working in shifts around the clock to build a new Dubai: a vast complex of gleaming offices, duplexes and golf courses that will turn Khartoum, it is hoped, into the commercial and financial hub of Islamist east Africa.
The first tower of this $4 billion development, due to be finished by next October, will be the headquarters of the Greater Nile Petroleum Operating Company. Close behind, in a building shaped like a sail, will rise the headquarters of Petrodar. Both these companies—Chinese, Malaysian, Indian and Sudanese joint ventures—are pumping out Sudan's oil, most of which is being bought by China.
A Sudanese company, DAL Group, is investing about $700m in the infrastructure for the project, but the buildings themselves are being put up by their new owners, a Who's Who of the oil-producing Arab world and oil-consuming Asia. All the Gulf states are buying plots. Khartoum is not only awash in its own oil money, but is also mopping up some of the surplus petrodollars of the Middle East. The Kuwaitis, the Malaysians and the Chinese are well represented. A Pakistani group is adding a snazzy 350-room hotel.
And that is just on one side of the White Nile. Opposite Alsunut, on the Omdurman side, Saudi and Kuwaiti investors have bought a large plot of land on which they intend to build a huge financial centre. And all this is taking shape in a country which is still subject to comprehensive economic sanctions, imposed by America, for giving shelter and support to terrorists—including, at one time, Osama bin Laden.
Sudan is now one of the fastest-growing economies in Africa. The IMF expects its GDP to grow by 13% this year, and the investors in Alsunut seem confident the boom will go on. Having found itself isolated in the 1990s for its Islamist extremism and terrorism, Sudan has found a way back into international esteem without the West, by re-inventing itself as the new entrepôt state of east Africa.
But this, of course, is not the whole story. Behind the fast-rising glittering towers lies a region that has been ignored: Sudan's south, where 80% of the oil lies. After 1956, when the country gained independence, the south, which is Christian and animist, was in an almost permanent state of rebellion against the Muslim Arab north, demanding a bigger share of the national wealth and a greater degree of self-rule. This region, which holds the key to the development of Sudan, also holds the key to its peace in future; not only in the south, but also in the war-ravaged western region of Darfur.
Taking grenades to school
Under intense American pressure, a comprehensive peace agreement (CPA) was signed between the north and the south in 2005. Under the CPA the political arm of the main rebel group, the Sudan People's Liberation Movement (SPLM), is now part of the national government in Khartoum; Salva Kiir, the SPLM leader, is both vice-president of Sudan and president of the official new government of South Sudan. This is an interim arrangement; in 2011, southerners are meant to decide whether they want to stay as part of Sudan, or found their own independent state.
Southern Sudan remains a tense, chaotic place in which memories of fighting have not faded. In Juba, the capital of the putative state of South Sudan, Mr Venisto (he will give no first name), wonders what to do about boys who bring hand grenades to his primary school. His “boys” range in age from six to 25; some bring guns, others turn up drunk. They have known little else in their lives but bush warfare. Like everyone in Juba, Mr Venisto has to survive on his wits rather than money, trying to instruct more than 2,980 pupils with just 51 teachers, all of them new to the job. With as many as 150 in each class, the tents that serve as classrooms are ripped and shredded as the pupils tumble out of them. Mr Venisto insists on a full morning of classes, as breaks quickly degenerate into all-out fighting.
The new government of South Sudan, composed of former commanders of the Sudan People's Liberation Army, is trying to enrol 750,000 new pupils this year, out of a population of 12m. If they succeed, still only about 30% of school-age children will be at school. But it is progress of sorts, and at least the south is in a state of relative peace. At the moment, the best guess is that a huge majority of southerners will vote for their own state when they get the chance.
Their own state would mean their own oil industry. Riek Machar, South Sudan's vice-president, eagerly outlines a plan for a refinery just east of Juba and pipelines through Congo to the Atlantic and Kenya to the Indian Ocean. The construction companies, he says, have already been chosen for the pipelines and the finance is nearly in place; the fact that the Kenya pipeline is supposed to reach the sea at Lamu, a World Heritage site, does not worry him. (“They're just tourists.”)
Mr Machar's plans, combined with the election schedule, mean that the northern government may have only five years to extract as much oil from the south as it can before it loses control. And this deadline puts the peace in jeopardy. The aggressive search for, and extraction of, oil by north-sponsored companies is not only messing up the environment but also inflaming tensions with the southern government. And it is provoking a dangerous backlash.
Cows, oil and poisoning
The dangers can be seen all too clearly in remote villages like Longuchuk, near the oil-rich Sudd marshes of Upper Nile state. Two years ago, Chinese oil workers arrived there. They were escorted by armed men in T-shirts, whom locals later identified as Sudanese soldiers. They stayed for six months, sank four wells and cleared access roads, all without talking to the villagers or asking their permission. A pool of slimy water beside one of the capped wells shows where the surplus oil was dumped. A hundred cows, the villagers say, died from drinking that water. When the oilmen came back last April, the local people—furious that they had got neither jobs from the project, nor compensation for their losses—refused to let them in.
Diane de Guzman, a specialist on oil in Sudan for the United Nations, argues that the rape of Longuchuk is part of a pattern across the oil zones of the south. Villagers are displaced by militias to allow exploration, the land is despoiled, cattle die within hours of drinking contaminated water. Under the terms of the CPA, the southern government is meant to be consulted about these oil missions; but it is not, and almost no compensation has been paid.
The southern government has just begun to fight back; it recently impounded two oil-company helicopters that were carrying out unauthorised seismic tests. Individual villages and militias have also begun to mount their own attacks on oil workers and installations. The past few weeks alone have brought reports of seven oil workers killed around the village of Paloich and an attack, by a group from another village, on a convoy of 21 oil tankers. More worrying for the northern government is the news that rebel groups from elsewhere are joining in. On November 27th, for the first time, one such band ventured out of terrorised Darfur to attack a refinery at Abu Jabra in North Kordofan state. This is not yet an insurgency against oil companies of the type that has been seen in Nigeria, but the first signs are there.
The northern grip
Oil is at the heart of other critical disagreements between the north and the south. The CPA requires the proper delineation of the north-south border; but the north has rejected the rulings of a border commission in the oil-rich Abyei region, fearing that too much land will go to the south. This has delayed the whole process of marking out the border. At present, the southern government is said to be getting half of the net oil revenues from the southern oilfields, as they are entitled to under the peace agreement. But it is the north that provides the statement of the net amount. Southern politicians say they are not allowed to examine the books to see whether they are getting their fair share.
Most disappointing of all, little progress has been made towards demobilising the scores of militias that roamed the south during the war. These militias, constantly shifting their alliances, were sometimes used as proxy fighters for the northern government. The Sudanese army has pulled back from most of its bases in the southernmost states, but only as far as the oilfields. There the north also keeps up to 60,000 of the more Islamist Popular Defence Forces, which it can deploy whenever it likes.
The danger of having so many armed militias still wandering about was dramatically illustrated last week in the town of Malakal. In the biggest breach of the 2005 ceasefire so far, the SPLM engaged in several days of fighting with both a militia group and the regular (northern) Sudanese army. Hundreds died. Previous weeks had seen about 20 attacks on the main road from Juba into Kenya, leaving more than 100 dead. Having caught 15 of the attackers, the SPLM identified them as members of a militia directed by the Sudanese army. Pa'gan Amum, the secretary-general of the SPLM, called this “an act of war” and an attempt to “terrorise and destabilise” the south.
In such an atmosphere of distrust, it is not surprising that the southern government is rapidly converting its old guerrilla force into a proper army. In the latest budget, over 40% of the precious oil money, South Sudan's only source of income, has been earmarked for military expenditure. If the north is spoiling for a fight over the oilfields and southern secession, then the south wants to make sure it is ready.
Next year 1m refugees are expected to return to the south, and a census is planned for November to pave the way for elections in the whole of Sudan in 2008. Failure could see the south reverting to chronic instability, or even to war again. Peace was achieved in the south only when America, the European Union and regional African countries bullied the north into making the necessary deals. Now that pressure has been relaxed.
The Darfur distraction
The reason is obvious. American and European attention has become focused on a much more unhappy province, Darfur in the west. Since rebel groups there started their own military campaign against the Islamist north, in 2003, the northern government has been trying to expel or kill the African pastoral tribes, even though most of them are Muslim. Appalling acts of barbarity have displaced over 2m people and killed about 300,000 more. The disaster in Darfur, and in particular the West's endless wrangling with Khartoum over whether or not to get a UN force into the region, is sapping the outside backing that is essential for securing the north-south peace accord.
The conflict in Darfur continues unabated. Indeed, despite the comings (and goings) of ceasefires and peace talks, the fighting today is as intense, and the human toll as dreadful, as ever. The north's campaign there, however, appears increasingly futile. In the past month the Sudanese army has suffered two considerable defeats in Darfur, one at Umm Sidir and the other at Karyare; there, the rebels killed about 100 government soldiers and took 200 prisoner.
Even the government's strongholds do not appear secure. This week the UN evacuated most of its staff from el-Fasher, the capital of North Darfur, after fighting broke out in the market with rebel fighters; there had been rumours of an imminent attack on the town by a coalition of rebel groups. The northern army seems demoralised and ineffective, which is one reason why it has reverted to using the fearsome janjaweed Arab militias as its proxies, in combination with high-level bombing, to terrorise and subdue the locals. But the army's defeats may not lead to meaningful peace deals; so many different rebel groups now infest Darfur that striking any sort of agreement with them all has become dauntingly difficult.
Chris Czerwinski, head of the World Food Programme (WFP) in el-Fasher, says that the recent fighting has created another 20,000 refugees to add to the hundreds of thousands already in the area. In the couple of months since the breakdown of a peace deal signed in May between one of the rebel groups and the government, many places have become too dangerous for aid workers.
Between June and September, 13 local staff members of NGOs were killed in attacks on vehicle convoys in North Darfur. As a result, NGOs are now withdrawing staff from permanent postings servicing the refugee camps in some of the more remote areas. In a recent attack the janjaweed pillaged four WFP stores, taking about 1,000 tonnes of food destined for refugees. The fighting in Darfur has also spilled over into the Central African Republic and Chad; there, Sudanese-backed militias are attempting to overthrow President Idriss Déby's regime, creating more refugees on the border between the two countries.
Under the CPA, elections throughout Sudan (including for the presidency and the national assembly) have to be held not later than the summer of 2009. These may provide a way out of the current impasse in the south and the west. Sudan's president, Omar al-Bashir, thinks that their problems have been overblown anyway, especially in the case of Darfur, which he presents as a distant and unimportant province. The Western media, he says, exaggerates it all. In Khartoum, at least, he has a sympathetic audience, for 70% of all the foreign money pouring into Sudan—according to the minister of investment—is flowing into Khartoum state, the heart of the regime, binding people there all the more closely to the ruling National Congress Party.
Yet Mr Bashir's oppressive government is not popular outside Khartoum. Indeed, it is hard to see how it could win a majority in national elections. The economy may be booming, but it is also displaying all the classic symptoms of an overheating petro-economy, with a rapidly appreciating currency, rising prices and creeping corruption, both in the northern and southern governments. Not many Sudanese have a real stake in the current oil boom, and elections might just sufficiently reshape the political landscape to alleviate the pressures from the centre on the long-suffering peoples of Darfur and the south. Perhaps the most urgent task facing everyone involved in Sudan is to hold the CPA together to ensure that those elections take place.
Timid stakeholders
On paper, a properly united Sudan seems well worth aiming for: an oil-rich but underdeveloped south complementing an educated, commercial north with few natural resources. But the northern government still feels no obligation either to share its wealth with poorer peripheral provinces, or to behave well towards them. What is more, too many countries now have a large financial stake in Sudan. Their wish to be nice to the regime in Khartoum means they have no interest in forcing it to mend its ways, by, for instance, imposing further sanctions over Darfur. The Chinese would never agree; but there has been little help from the Arab League either, or from India and Malaysia. They are more focused on the German pile-drivers laying the foundations of the towers of Alsunut—and on the oil concessions.
Alsunut is not the only huge construction site in Khartoum. About 15km (9 miles) across the city the largest American embassy in Africa is going up, which will supposedly house the biggest CIA listening post outside America. It reflects the spooks' cosy relationship with the Sudanese intelligence services in the name of the “war on terror”. When it comes to that particular war, and the lure of oil, old enmities—and the old hopes of peace in Sudan—can rapidly be forgotten.
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War, SMS and Arsenal
http://www.economist.com/theworldin/middleeastafrica/displayStory.cfm?story_id=8131199&d=2007
Jonathan Ledgard NAIROBI
From The World in 2007 print edition
Two steps forward, one step back in east Africa
For east Africa, 2007 will be a year of war, technology and globalisation. It will be the fighting that grabs the headlines, of course, obscuring progress on other fronts.
Many of the headlines will come from Somalia, where Islamists will continue to hold the balance of power, with explosive results. The Islamists took control of Mogadishu and central Somalia in 2006, helped by America’s decision to back hated warlords in the name of limiting terror. The Islamist grouping is broad, including radicals trained in al-Qaeda camps in Afghanistan. America believes the Islamists are sheltering al-Qaeda operatives responsible for the 1998 terrorist attacks in Kenya and Tanzania. Aid workers prefer to emphasise that schools and hospitals have improved under Islamist control.
Moderate Islamists outnumber the radicals, but it is the radicals who control the militias and a growing stockpile of weapons. Somalia’s feeble un-backed transitional government will stagger on into 2007, with Ethiopia its biggest supporter. Ethiopia will try to use the African Union (based in Addis Ababa) to send a force of peacekeepers into Somalia, including Ugandan and Sudanese troops. This will provoke the Islamists, who strongly oppose any foreign presence in Somalia.
Internet-capable mobile phones will be revolutionary, at least for those who can read and have the money to buy data bundles
Ethiopia has legitimate security worries. Radical Islamists want to establish an austere Islamic emirate taking in parts of Ethiopia and Kenya. Some have been implicated in terrorist attacks in Addis Ababa. Ethiopia worries that the Islamists will strengthen homegrown rebel movements, including the Oromo Liberation Front and the Ogaden National Liberation Front.
The result will be a war that will threaten the stability of Ethiopia. It will not resemble the 1977 Ogaden war, when Somalia came in with conventional forces. The Islamists have no tanks or air power. Instead, they will rely on guerrilla tactics and terrorist operations.
Mobile economics
Away from the fireworks, there will be better news. Technology will make inroads in east Africa, offering a chance for decrepit economies to get a little better. Cheaper solar panels will make a difference in rural areas. Electricity generators run on human waste will light up city slums, extending the working day and deterring crime.
Getty Images
The biggest impact will come from mobile phones. Despite the philanthropic efforts of Microsoft and others, computers have failed to penetrate much beyond the urban middle class in east Africa. Laptops are targeted by thieves, desktops are stymied by power cuts and a lack of broadband access. But mobile-phone operators are bullish. Except in restrictive Ethiopia and Eritrea, the market has taken off in the region, and 2007 will see the first high-speed internet access through mobiles. Some companies, such as South Africa’s Breakdesign, a developer of software for phones, predict that mobiles will become east Africa’s primary portal to the internet. Smart mobiles will finally push landline telephone monopolies to become more competitive.
Internet-capable mobile phones will be revolutionary, at least for those who can read and have the money to buy data bundles. The humble SMS will have an even greater effect on east Africa in 2007. Innovative uses of SMS will allow people to move money by text message; to receive information on, say, maize prices, along with tips on planting; and to receive medical advice, a particular benefit to those living with tuberculosis or AIDS.
Joining the global game
Such media services offered on mobile phones underline a tectonic shift. Ever so slowly, from Khartoum to Maputo, east Africa is joining the global village.
Symbolic of this is the addiction to English Premier League football. Even Somali Islamists sometimes have a picture of Thierry Henry, a player for Arsenal, on the wall alongside a framed quote from the Koran. Arsenal, a London club, is a phenomenon across the region. Attendance at local football matches has collapsed as access to satellite sports channels has increased. The hope is that east Africa’s addiction to Arsenal and other foreign clubs may presage a more worldly and open economy.
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Glittering towers in a war zone
Dec 7th 2006 EL-FASHER, JUBA AND KHARTOUM
From The Economist print edition
Oil could break or make Africa's largest country. But at the moment there is more breaking than making
Eyevine
AT THE confluence of the White Nile and the Blue Nile in Khartoum lies Africa's largest commercial construction site. Across 1,500 acres, at a place called Alsunut, Sudanese and Chinese workmen are working in shifts around the clock to build a new Dubai: a vast complex of gleaming offices, duplexes and golf courses that will turn Khartoum, it is hoped, into the commercial and financial hub of Islamist east Africa.
The first tower of this $4 billion development, due to be finished by next October, will be the headquarters of the Greater Nile Petroleum Operating Company. Close behind, in a building shaped like a sail, will rise the headquarters of Petrodar. Both these companies—Chinese, Malaysian, Indian and Sudanese joint ventures—are pumping out Sudan's oil, most of which is being bought by China.
A Sudanese company, DAL Group, is investing about $700m in the infrastructure for the project, but the buildings themselves are being put up by their new owners, a Who's Who of the oil-producing Arab world and oil-consuming Asia. All the Gulf states are buying plots. Khartoum is not only awash in its own oil money, but is also mopping up some of the surplus petrodollars of the Middle East. The Kuwaitis, the Malaysians and the Chinese are well represented. A Pakistani group is adding a snazzy 350-room hotel.
And that is just on one side of the White Nile. Opposite Alsunut, on the Omdurman side, Saudi and Kuwaiti investors have bought a large plot of land on which they intend to build a huge financial centre. And all this is taking shape in a country which is still subject to comprehensive economic sanctions, imposed by America, for giving shelter and support to terrorists—including, at one time, Osama bin Laden.
Sudan is now one of the fastest-growing economies in Africa. The IMF expects its GDP to grow by 13% this year, and the investors in Alsunut seem confident the boom will go on. Having found itself isolated in the 1990s for its Islamist extremism and terrorism, Sudan has found a way back into international esteem without the West, by re-inventing itself as the new entrepôt state of east Africa.
But this, of course, is not the whole story. Behind the fast-rising glittering towers lies a region that has been ignored: Sudan's south, where 80% of the oil lies. After 1956, when the country gained independence, the south, which is Christian and animist, was in an almost permanent state of rebellion against the Muslim Arab north, demanding a bigger share of the national wealth and a greater degree of self-rule. This region, which holds the key to the development of Sudan, also holds the key to its peace in future; not only in the south, but also in the war-ravaged western region of Darfur.
Taking grenades to school
Under intense American pressure, a comprehensive peace agreement (CPA) was signed between the north and the south in 2005. Under the CPA the political arm of the main rebel group, the Sudan People's Liberation Movement (SPLM), is now part of the national government in Khartoum; Salva Kiir, the SPLM leader, is both vice-president of Sudan and president of the official new government of South Sudan. This is an interim arrangement; in 2011, southerners are meant to decide whether they want to stay as part of Sudan, or found their own independent state.
Southern Sudan remains a tense, chaotic place in which memories of fighting have not faded. In Juba, the capital of the putative state of South Sudan, Mr Venisto (he will give no first name), wonders what to do about boys who bring hand grenades to his primary school. His “boys” range in age from six to 25; some bring guns, others turn up drunk. They have known little else in their lives but bush warfare. Like everyone in Juba, Mr Venisto has to survive on his wits rather than money, trying to instruct more than 2,980 pupils with just 51 teachers, all of them new to the job. With as many as 150 in each class, the tents that serve as classrooms are ripped and shredded as the pupils tumble out of them. Mr Venisto insists on a full morning of classes, as breaks quickly degenerate into all-out fighting.
The new government of South Sudan, composed of former commanders of the Sudan People's Liberation Army, is trying to enrol 750,000 new pupils this year, out of a population of 12m. If they succeed, still only about 30% of school-age children will be at school. But it is progress of sorts, and at least the south is in a state of relative peace. At the moment, the best guess is that a huge majority of southerners will vote for their own state when they get the chance.
Their own state would mean their own oil industry. Riek Machar, South Sudan's vice-president, eagerly outlines a plan for a refinery just east of Juba and pipelines through Congo to the Atlantic and Kenya to the Indian Ocean. The construction companies, he says, have already been chosen for the pipelines and the finance is nearly in place; the fact that the Kenya pipeline is supposed to reach the sea at Lamu, a World Heritage site, does not worry him. (“They're just tourists.”)
Mr Machar's plans, combined with the election schedule, mean that the northern government may have only five years to extract as much oil from the south as it can before it loses control. And this deadline puts the peace in jeopardy. The aggressive search for, and extraction of, oil by north-sponsored companies is not only messing up the environment but also inflaming tensions with the southern government. And it is provoking a dangerous backlash.
Cows, oil and poisoning
The dangers can be seen all too clearly in remote villages like Longuchuk, near the oil-rich Sudd marshes of Upper Nile state. Two years ago, Chinese oil workers arrived there. They were escorted by armed men in T-shirts, whom locals later identified as Sudanese soldiers. They stayed for six months, sank four wells and cleared access roads, all without talking to the villagers or asking their permission. A pool of slimy water beside one of the capped wells shows where the surplus oil was dumped. A hundred cows, the villagers say, died from drinking that water. When the oilmen came back last April, the local people—furious that they had got neither jobs from the project, nor compensation for their losses—refused to let them in.
Diane de Guzman, a specialist on oil in Sudan for the United Nations, argues that the rape of Longuchuk is part of a pattern across the oil zones of the south. Villagers are displaced by militias to allow exploration, the land is despoiled, cattle die within hours of drinking contaminated water. Under the terms of the CPA, the southern government is meant to be consulted about these oil missions; but it is not, and almost no compensation has been paid.
The southern government has just begun to fight back; it recently impounded two oil-company helicopters that were carrying out unauthorised seismic tests. Individual villages and militias have also begun to mount their own attacks on oil workers and installations. The past few weeks alone have brought reports of seven oil workers killed around the village of Paloich and an attack, by a group from another village, on a convoy of 21 oil tankers. More worrying for the northern government is the news that rebel groups from elsewhere are joining in. On November 27th, for the first time, one such band ventured out of terrorised Darfur to attack a refinery at Abu Jabra in North Kordofan state. This is not yet an insurgency against oil companies of the type that has been seen in Nigeria, but the first signs are there.
The northern grip
Oil is at the heart of other critical disagreements between the north and the south. The CPA requires the proper delineation of the north-south border; but the north has rejected the rulings of a border commission in the oil-rich Abyei region, fearing that too much land will go to the south. This has delayed the whole process of marking out the border. At present, the southern government is said to be getting half of the net oil revenues from the southern oilfields, as they are entitled to under the peace agreement. But it is the north that provides the statement of the net amount. Southern politicians say they are not allowed to examine the books to see whether they are getting their fair share.
Most disappointing of all, little progress has been made towards demobilising the scores of militias that roamed the south during the war. These militias, constantly shifting their alliances, were sometimes used as proxy fighters for the northern government. The Sudanese army has pulled back from most of its bases in the southernmost states, but only as far as the oilfields. There the north also keeps up to 60,000 of the more Islamist Popular Defence Forces, which it can deploy whenever it likes.
The danger of having so many armed militias still wandering about was dramatically illustrated last week in the town of Malakal. In the biggest breach of the 2005 ceasefire so far, the SPLM engaged in several days of fighting with both a militia group and the regular (northern) Sudanese army. Hundreds died. Previous weeks had seen about 20 attacks on the main road from Juba into Kenya, leaving more than 100 dead. Having caught 15 of the attackers, the SPLM identified them as members of a militia directed by the Sudanese army. Pa'gan Amum, the secretary-general of the SPLM, called this “an act of war” and an attempt to “terrorise and destabilise” the south.
In such an atmosphere of distrust, it is not surprising that the southern government is rapidly converting its old guerrilla force into a proper army. In the latest budget, over 40% of the precious oil money, South Sudan's only source of income, has been earmarked for military expenditure. If the north is spoiling for a fight over the oilfields and southern secession, then the south wants to make sure it is ready.
Next year 1m refugees are expected to return to the south, and a census is planned for November to pave the way for elections in the whole of Sudan in 2008. Failure could see the south reverting to chronic instability, or even to war again. Peace was achieved in the south only when America, the European Union and regional African countries bullied the north into making the necessary deals. Now that pressure has been relaxed.
The Darfur distraction
The reason is obvious. American and European attention has become focused on a much more unhappy province, Darfur in the west. Since rebel groups there started their own military campaign against the Islamist north, in 2003, the northern government has been trying to expel or kill the African pastoral tribes, even though most of them are Muslim. Appalling acts of barbarity have displaced over 2m people and killed about 300,000 more. The disaster in Darfur, and in particular the West's endless wrangling with Khartoum over whether or not to get a UN force into the region, is sapping the outside backing that is essential for securing the north-south peace accord.
The conflict in Darfur continues unabated. Indeed, despite the comings (and goings) of ceasefires and peace talks, the fighting today is as intense, and the human toll as dreadful, as ever. The north's campaign there, however, appears increasingly futile. In the past month the Sudanese army has suffered two considerable defeats in Darfur, one at Umm Sidir and the other at Karyare; there, the rebels killed about 100 government soldiers and took 200 prisoner.
Even the government's strongholds do not appear secure. This week the UN evacuated most of its staff from el-Fasher, the capital of North Darfur, after fighting broke out in the market with rebel fighters; there had been rumours of an imminent attack on the town by a coalition of rebel groups. The northern army seems demoralised and ineffective, which is one reason why it has reverted to using the fearsome janjaweed Arab militias as its proxies, in combination with high-level bombing, to terrorise and subdue the locals. But the army's defeats may not lead to meaningful peace deals; so many different rebel groups now infest Darfur that striking any sort of agreement with them all has become dauntingly difficult.
Chris Czerwinski, head of the World Food Programme (WFP) in el-Fasher, says that the recent fighting has created another 20,000 refugees to add to the hundreds of thousands already in the area. In the couple of months since the breakdown of a peace deal signed in May between one of the rebel groups and the government, many places have become too dangerous for aid workers.
Between June and September, 13 local staff members of NGOs were killed in attacks on vehicle convoys in North Darfur. As a result, NGOs are now withdrawing staff from permanent postings servicing the refugee camps in some of the more remote areas. In a recent attack the janjaweed pillaged four WFP stores, taking about 1,000 tonnes of food destined for refugees. The fighting in Darfur has also spilled over into the Central African Republic and Chad; there, Sudanese-backed militias are attempting to overthrow President Idriss Déby's regime, creating more refugees on the border between the two countries.
Under the CPA, elections throughout Sudan (including for the presidency and the national assembly) have to be held not later than the summer of 2009. These may provide a way out of the current impasse in the south and the west. Sudan's president, Omar al-Bashir, thinks that their problems have been overblown anyway, especially in the case of Darfur, which he presents as a distant and unimportant province. The Western media, he says, exaggerates it all. In Khartoum, at least, he has a sympathetic audience, for 70% of all the foreign money pouring into Sudan—according to the minister of investment—is flowing into Khartoum state, the heart of the regime, binding people there all the more closely to the ruling National Congress Party.
Yet Mr Bashir's oppressive government is not popular outside Khartoum. Indeed, it is hard to see how it could win a majority in national elections. The economy may be booming, but it is also displaying all the classic symptoms of an overheating petro-economy, with a rapidly appreciating currency, rising prices and creeping corruption, both in the northern and southern governments. Not many Sudanese have a real stake in the current oil boom, and elections might just sufficiently reshape the political landscape to alleviate the pressures from the centre on the long-suffering peoples of Darfur and the south. Perhaps the most urgent task facing everyone involved in Sudan is to hold the CPA together to ensure that those elections take place.
Timid stakeholders
On paper, a properly united Sudan seems well worth aiming for: an oil-rich but underdeveloped south complementing an educated, commercial north with few natural resources. But the northern government still feels no obligation either to share its wealth with poorer peripheral provinces, or to behave well towards them. What is more, too many countries now have a large financial stake in Sudan. Their wish to be nice to the regime in Khartoum means they have no interest in forcing it to mend its ways, by, for instance, imposing further sanctions over Darfur. The Chinese would never agree; but there has been little help from the Arab League either, or from India and Malaysia. They are more focused on the German pile-drivers laying the foundations of the towers of Alsunut—and on the oil concessions.
Alsunut is not the only huge construction site in Khartoum. About 15km (9 miles) across the city the largest American embassy in Africa is going up, which will supposedly house the biggest CIA listening post outside America. It reflects the spooks' cosy relationship with the Sudanese intelligence services in the name of the “war on terror”. When it comes to that particular war, and the lure of oil, old enmities—and the old hopes of peace in Sudan—can rapidly be forgotten.
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War, SMS and Arsenal
http://www.economist.com/theworldin/middleeastafrica/displayStory.cfm?story_id=8131199&d=2007
Jonathan Ledgard NAIROBI
From The World in 2007 print edition
Two steps forward, one step back in east Africa
For east Africa, 2007 will be a year of war, technology and globalisation. It will be the fighting that grabs the headlines, of course, obscuring progress on other fronts.
Many of the headlines will come from Somalia, where Islamists will continue to hold the balance of power, with explosive results. The Islamists took control of Mogadishu and central Somalia in 2006, helped by America’s decision to back hated warlords in the name of limiting terror. The Islamist grouping is broad, including radicals trained in al-Qaeda camps in Afghanistan. America believes the Islamists are sheltering al-Qaeda operatives responsible for the 1998 terrorist attacks in Kenya and Tanzania. Aid workers prefer to emphasise that schools and hospitals have improved under Islamist control.
Moderate Islamists outnumber the radicals, but it is the radicals who control the militias and a growing stockpile of weapons. Somalia’s feeble un-backed transitional government will stagger on into 2007, with Ethiopia its biggest supporter. Ethiopia will try to use the African Union (based in Addis Ababa) to send a force of peacekeepers into Somalia, including Ugandan and Sudanese troops. This will provoke the Islamists, who strongly oppose any foreign presence in Somalia.
Internet-capable mobile phones will be revolutionary, at least for those who can read and have the money to buy data bundles
Ethiopia has legitimate security worries. Radical Islamists want to establish an austere Islamic emirate taking in parts of Ethiopia and Kenya. Some have been implicated in terrorist attacks in Addis Ababa. Ethiopia worries that the Islamists will strengthen homegrown rebel movements, including the Oromo Liberation Front and the Ogaden National Liberation Front.
The result will be a war that will threaten the stability of Ethiopia. It will not resemble the 1977 Ogaden war, when Somalia came in with conventional forces. The Islamists have no tanks or air power. Instead, they will rely on guerrilla tactics and terrorist operations.
Mobile economics
Away from the fireworks, there will be better news. Technology will make inroads in east Africa, offering a chance for decrepit economies to get a little better. Cheaper solar panels will make a difference in rural areas. Electricity generators run on human waste will light up city slums, extending the working day and deterring crime.
Getty Images
The biggest impact will come from mobile phones. Despite the philanthropic efforts of Microsoft and others, computers have failed to penetrate much beyond the urban middle class in east Africa. Laptops are targeted by thieves, desktops are stymied by power cuts and a lack of broadband access. But mobile-phone operators are bullish. Except in restrictive Ethiopia and Eritrea, the market has taken off in the region, and 2007 will see the first high-speed internet access through mobiles. Some companies, such as South Africa’s Breakdesign, a developer of software for phones, predict that mobiles will become east Africa’s primary portal to the internet. Smart mobiles will finally push landline telephone monopolies to become more competitive.
Internet-capable mobile phones will be revolutionary, at least for those who can read and have the money to buy data bundles. The humble SMS will have an even greater effect on east Africa in 2007. Innovative uses of SMS will allow people to move money by text message; to receive information on, say, maize prices, along with tips on planting; and to receive medical advice, a particular benefit to those living with tuberculosis or AIDS.
Joining the global game
Such media services offered on mobile phones underline a tectonic shift. Ever so slowly, from Khartoum to Maputo, east Africa is joining the global village.
Symbolic of this is the addiction to English Premier League football. Even Somali Islamists sometimes have a picture of Thierry Henry, a player for Arsenal, on the wall alongside a framed quote from the Koran. Arsenal, a London club, is a phenomenon across the region. Attendance at local football matches has collapsed as access to satellite sports channels has increased. The hope is that east Africa’s addiction to Arsenal and other foreign clubs may presage a more worldly and open economy.
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Sudan leader backs Darfur plan but concerns remain
12/27/06
Sudanese President Omar Hassan al-Bashir has told the United Nations he endorses a plan for a joint African Union-U.N. peacekeeping force to help quell violence and protect civilians in Darfur. But in a December 23 letter to U.N. Secretary-General Kofi Annan made public on Tuesday, Bashir also said the plan should be carried out through a special panel on which Khartoum has a seat, a move diplomats said would effectively give Sudan veto power over all aspects of its implementation. Diplomats who have seen the letter, distributed to members of the 15-nation U.N. Security Council on Tuesday, said that while Bashir's message contained positive elements, it was not clear whether it represented a real step forward in putting the plan into effect. To help sort out the situation, the council is expected to invite Annan to brief it on the letter later this week, U.N. officials said. The question of whether Bashir was now standing aside and eliminating obstacles to the plan, or clinging to ambiguities in an effort to further stall its implementation, was crucial as Annan is preparing to leave office this Sunday to make way for new Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon of South Korea. Bashir has flatly opposed a purely U.N. force, calling it a move to recolonize his vast East African nation. He has made a series of contradictory statements on a hybrid force. Under the hybrid plan, which has already been endorsed by the African Union, the force would be under AU command. But the commander would report to a special envoy who would be jointly appointed by the African Union and the United Nations and who would be in charge of the overall political direction of the international mission in Darfur.
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Sudan 'agrees to UN force'
http://english.aljazeera.net/NR/exeres/575E6596-66C8-4DE0-A8A6-257AD349C57B.htm
The UN estimates that fighting in Darfur has displaced more than 2.5 million people
The United Nations has said that Sudan has agreed to allow a small number of UN troops to support a struggling African Union force in Darfur.
Sudan will allow a small UN observer force of 105 soldiers and police to be stationed in Darfur to work with AU troops, an AU-UN statement said on Wednesday.
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But it remains unclear if Khartoum had agreed to a larger joint UN-AU peacekeeping force in Darfur, an area of western Sudan where 200,000 have been killed in the last four years.
Most international observers say that pro-government forces have carried out most of the violence there.
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An estimated 2.5 million Darfuris have also been driven from their homes by militias armed and backed by the Sudanese government.
Weeks of discussions
Sudan's agreement paves the way for 38 UN observers to deploy by the end of the year and the rest of the 105 during January, Wednesday's statement said.
"We have agreed on three phases of support from the United Nations to the African Union ... financial, technical and personnel"
Ali al-Sadigforeign ministry spokesman
"It was agreed that UN military and police officers will wear their national uniforms with a blue UN beret. In addition, they will wear an AU armband," the joint UN-AU statement said.
The UN will also provide $21 million to the African Union, including computers, communications equipment and water tankers.
"We have agreed on three phases of support from the United Nations to the African Union ... financial, technical and personnel," Sudanese foreign ministry spokesman Ali al-Sadig told a news conference in Khartoum.
Asked if there was agreement on a joint force, three government ministers at the news conference said: "No."
Al-Sadig said there was agreement on "a joint operation", making it clear any UN personnel in Darfur would be working on computers or advising rather than peace enforcing soldiers.
Sudanese hesitation
Sudan's government had previously refused to allow any UN forces in Darfur.
In a letter made public on Tuesday, Omar Hassan al-Bashir, the Sudanese president, told the UN he endorsed the joint AU-UN force, but said he wanted a veto over its implementation.
Despite an AU-mediated peace deal in May, violence has escalated in Darfur after rebel factions who reject the deal renewed hostilities with the government in June.
Lacking equipment, logistical experience and funds, the AU has failed to stem the clashes and its operations have been severely restricted by attacks on its personnel.
Mostly non-Arab rebels took up arms in Darfur in early 2003, accusing central government of marginalising the remote region on the border with Chad.
To quell the revolt, Khartoum armed militia, who now stand accused of a campaign of rape, murder and pillage that Washington calls genocide.
Khartoum denies genocide, but the International Criminal Court is investigating alleged war crimes in the region.
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Seven killed in Darfur clashes
http://english.aljazeera.net/NR/exeres/42613293-353A-463A-BE1D-61BF67F0D360.htm
Peacekeepers have been too thin on the ground tobe effective against the violence [AP]
Fighting between Darfur rebels and government forces near the northern town of Kutum has killed seven people.
On Sunday, fighters said they shot down two army helicopters in the area plagued by violence.
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Despite a peace deal in May, violence has increased in Sudan's remote west after rebels who rejected the accord formed a military alliance and renewed hostilities with the government.
Amnesty International said this month that 85,000 civilians have been unlawfully killed in fighting in Darfur.
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Your Views
Amnesty Internationalsaid this month that 85,000 civilianshave been unlawfully killed in fighting in Darfur.Send your viewsJar el-Neby, a Darfur rebel commander, told Reuters via satellite telephone: "The government troops and Janjawid militia attacked our positions and then attacked a village, killing five men and ... two women."
He said the government and their allied militia, known locally as Janjawid, attacked rebel positions near Kutum three days ago and the village of el-Goba, about 16km east of Kutum town on Friday.
Heavy clashes
In a separate statement, Esam el-Din Hajj, a Darfur rebel official, said his fighters had shot down two army helicopters during the clashes.
An army spokesman confirmed heavy fighting with the National Redemption Front (NRF), but denied that the attack on the village or that any aircraft had been shot down.
He said: "We did not use any helicopters or planes during the clashes so of course they could not shoot them down.
"Four soldiers were killed and around 20 to 25 injured."
Revolt
He also said that the rebels had attacked an army position in Shag al-Nakharah near Kutum.
He said the NRF had lost many troops and vehicles and eventually retreated.
Mostly non-Arab rebels took up arms in early 2003, accusing central government of marginalising the arid west.
World leaders say Khartoum armed militias to quell the revolt. Those militias stand accused of a campaign of rape, murder and pillage dubbed genocide by Washington.
Khartoum denies genocide but the International Criminal Court (ICC) is investigating alleged war crimes in the region.
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Ethiopian tanks move south
http://english.aljazeera.net/NR/exeres/C3B6C066-0AD2-4E66-BF20-AA0700714CE9.htm
Crowds cheered Gedi's arrival inMogadishu [AFP]
Ethiopian tanks have driven south from Mogadishu to attack fighters of the Islamic courts movement whose leader reportedly urged them to make a stand in Kismayu, a port city in Somalia.
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Sheikh Hassan Dahir Aweys apparently made the call during Friday prayers at a mosque, a day after armed units of his Somalia Islamic Courts Council fled the capital in the face of government troops backed by Ethiopian armour.
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Ali Mohamed Gedi, the Somali prime minister, entered Mogadishu on Friday after a 10-day land and air offensive by Ethiopia in support of his weak interim government.
Your Views
"The Islamic Courts used fear and force to take over Mogadishu and other areas"
Mack Rogers, Chattanooga, TN, US
Send us your viewsGedi said that the fight for political survival had been won, but Islamic courts leaders promised resistance.
Gedi also called on the Islamic courts fighters to enter into a dialogue. At the same time he warned of serious reprisals if the fighters followed through on threats to launch a guerrilla campaign.
Ethiopian fighter jets were seen over Kismayu and the nearby town of Jilib on Friday and Saturday, the military expert said.
A Somali government soldier said Islamic courts fighters - accused by Addis Ababa and Washington of being backed by al-Qaeda - had sown the road from Mogadishu with mines as they pulled back.
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The War for the Horn of Africa
Ethiopian troops are closing in on Somalia's capital in a proxy battle in the war between the West and Islamist extremistsBy ALEX PERRY/CAPE TOWN
SUBSCRIBE TO TIMEPRINTE-MAILMORE BY AUTHOR
Somalia: Terror's Playground
Flashback: Anatomy of a Disaster
Posted Wednesday, Dec. 27, 2006In a lightning advance, Ethiopian troops have fought Somalia's Islamist militias to within 50 miles of the Somali capital Mogadishu and declared they are preparing for a final attack on the city. Ethiopian Prime Minister Meles Zenawi has said 1,000 people have been killed and 3,000 wounded. The United Nations says 35,000 refugees have crossed into Kenya to escape the fighting and has suspended aid to 2 million Somalis. It has warned of a bloodbath should Ethiopia try to occupy the capital, and humanitarian agencies have called for a ceasefire. But the U.S. has signaled its tacit support for the offensive, and while it is not providing overt military support, it has long trained Ethiopian troops and is likely to be passing them intelligence and aerial surveillance. Other Western and African nations — including the African Union — have either backed Ethiopia or kept silent. The reason? The fighting is about more than control of an obscure part of eastern Africa.
For much of the time since the overthrow of President Mohamed Siad Barre in 1991, Mogadishu and much of Somalia has been ruled by clan-based warlords who laid waste the country and turned Mogadishu into an anarchic, continuous battlefield. More than 100,000 people died in the fighting in 1991-92, and when the U.N. launched a massive relief operation in April 1992, the U.S. was drawn into the conflict — at first guarding the relief, then delivering it, then attacking the warlords that were stealing it. In October 1993, in events depicted in the film Black Hawk Down, Somali militiamen shot down a Blackhawk helicopter over Mogadishu and 18 U.S. servicemen were killed in the crash and subsequent rescue attempt. After gruesome scenes of the bodies of some American servicemen being stripped and paraded through the streets of the city were flashed around the world, the U.S. withdrew from Somalia by March 1994.
With that background, the world — and the U.S. in particular — was never going to forget Somalia easily. As the only officially Christian country in the Horn of Africa, Ethiopia has long been wary of Somalia's Islamic militias, which it describes as a "regional menace." (While it is officially Christian, Ethiopia has a population that is about half Muslim.) It shares that anti-Islamist position with the U.S., particularly since August 1998 when simultaneous suicide bombings destroyed the American embassies in Nairobi and Dar es Salaam, killing more than 200 people. The ringleaders were tracked to Somalia, and an Islamist attack on an Israeli-owned hotel in Kenya in November 2002 was also said to have been planned by the same group.
Ethiopia and the U.S. — whose close relationship has long included U.S. training for Ethiopian troops inside Ethiopia — back a transitional Somali government formed in October 2004 after talks between warlords and civilian leaders. Until now, that government has won international recognition, but never exercised real power and has been confined to the small southern Somali town of Baidoa. Both the U.S. and Ethiopia have backed the warlords as well. The exact nature of those relations have never been made public, but an indication of their value to the U.S. came in March 2003, when warlord Mohammed Dhere captured one of the suspects in the east Africa bombings and handed him over to the U.S.
The U.S. support for the corrupt, violent and self-serving warlords alienated many Somalis — and some analysts argue actually strengthened the popularity of the Islamists, enabling Somalia's top Islamic body, the Council of Islamic Courts, to take over Mogadishu and expel the warlords in June. The arrival of Islamist rule in Mogadishu, and the initial imposition of law and order that accompanied it, was widely welcomed on the war-torn streets of the capital. As Ethiopian troops advanced toward them, thousands of supporters of the Courts were reported to have staged rallies in Mogadishu. The Islamists are are also backed by Eritrea, the predominantly Muslim nation on the Red Sea coast that has been a historic enemy of Ethiopia. Eritrea has sent more than 2,000 troops to support the Council of Islamic Courts, according to the U.N.
Somalia's fate is attracting international attention because of its link to the war against terror. After dismissing comparisons to the Taliban when they took over the Somali capital this summer, the Islamic Courts promptly set about emulating them. Clerics threatened death to those who did not pray five times a day and enforced strict dress codes while Courts leader Sheikh Hassan Dahir Aweys declared holy war on Ethiopia, whose eastern parts he claimed belonged to a greater Somalia, along with northeastern Kenya and Djibouti, home to a U.S. base. As TIME reported earlier this year As TIME reported earlier this year, the Courts also sent fighters to Lebanon in the summer to help Hizbollah fight Israel, and in return received weapons from Syria and Iran. The Courts even won backing from Osama bin Laden, who urged foreign jihadis to flock to Somalia to open up a third front in the war against America — a call the U.N. reported had been answered by hundreds of Pakistanis, Yemenis, Syrians, Libyans and Chechens.
Sheikh Hassan has now called on all Islamist forces to fall back to Mogadishu and prepare for a long war against the invaders. Whether that materializes remains to be seen. But what is certain is that the strife-torn Horn is more divided today than ever — and is increasingly the arena for an international war between the forces of radical Islam, and the West and its allies.
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A Dark Deja Vu in Somalia
Analysis: The war between Islamist rebels and neighboring Ethiopia recalls an era when the agendas driving Africa's conflicts were never exclusively local, even if most of the victims wereBy TONY KARON
The War: Ethopian Troops Close In
Posted Wednesday, Dec. 27, 2006To many Africans old enough to remember the Cold War, the bloody conflict currently unfolding in Somalia will be awfully familiar. Back before the Berlin Wall fell, localized power struggles all over the continent often turned into full-scale regional wars when the protagonists cast themselves, or were cast — however improbably — as torch-bearers for Washington or Moscow. Such association would bring boundless diplomatic and financial support, not to mention boatloads of weapons and other military assistance, enabling local strongmen to wage self-serving wars for years on end. There's no Cold War any longer, of course, but in the case of Somalia, the "Global War on Terror" may be having a similar effect.
The U.S. has backed Ethiopia's military intervention on behalf of the beleaguered and unpopular — but internationally recognized — Somali government, in what looks set to be a protracted war that could draw in most of Somalia's neighbors. Washington's reason for supporting the offensive, rather than calling for an end to hostilities, is that the enemies of the Ethiopians and the Somali government are an Islamist movement viewed by the U.S. as in cahoots with al-Qaeda.
But the "war on terror" prism conceals the complexity of a conflict based on clan, political and regional rivalries that, in some cases, date back to the 1960s. And regional analysts fear that the tension will be exacerbated rather than resolved by the responses of outside players.
While the U.S. and Ethiopia have backed the Somali government and the warlords that operate under its umbrella on the banner of fighting al-Qaeda, the Islamists have allegedly rallied financial and military support from such quarters as Saudi Arabia, Libya, Syria and Iran by painting themselves as victims of an Islamophobic Western conspiracy. And Osama bin Laden certainly helped Ethiopia and the Somali government make their case for U.S. support when, in October, he warned Western governments to stay out of Somalia.
Ethiopia is not simply acting as Washington's regional policeman, however. It has a long-running border dispute with Somalia that led to two years of open warfare in the late 1970s, and it sees the nationalist inclination of the Islamists — and their vow to take control of the Ogaden desert from Ethiopia — as an immediate threat to its own interests. (The Islamists actually back secessionist insurgents in that region.) Given Ethiopia's intervention on behalf of the government, it comes as no surprise that Addis Ababa's fiercest foe, neighboring Eritrea, is supporting and arming the Somali Islamists.
For all the involvement of outside players, however, the Somali conflict remains a domestic power struggle at heart. It pits the Transitional Federal Government, a product of years of painstaking horse-trading among rival clan warlords, against the Council of Islamic Courts, a loose Islamist alliance strongly nationalist in character — which has vowed to break the power of the warlords and unite all of Somalia under Sharia law (although it happens to be led by clan rivals of the dominant clan in the government camp).
Like the Taliban in Afghanistan in the early 1990s, the Islamists' displacement of hated warlords in southern and central Somalia was largely welcomed by the population. However, the strictures they have imposed on the population in the name of a fiercely conservative interpretation of Islam have also generated resentment. But the regional and international context of Somalia is quite different from that of Afghanistan a decade ago: The Islamists cannot prevail as long as Ethiopia is willing to lend the beleaguered government its military muscle — well-armed and trained by U.S. advisers, in contrast to the ragtag and mostly teenage light infantry of the Islamists.
But it is equally unlikely that Ethiopian military power will subdue the Islamist challenge inside Somalia. Indeed, the government's reliance on forces of the old enemy is unlikely to endear it to the Somali citizenry. Although Ethiopia promises to withdraw its forces within days, they had been active in Somalia for months before their presence was officially acknowledged, and a speedy withdrawal would leave a vacuum that the Islamists would once again fill. Yet having effectively repelled an Islamist advance on Baidoa, the Ethiopians risk losing much of their tactical advantage if they tried to capture Islamist strongholds, particularly the capital. Their goal, instead, according to Ethiopia's Prime Minister Meles Zenawi, is to weaken the Islamists militarily in order to force them to negotiate with the government from a weaker position. But the fierce fighting last weekend and the passions stoked by open Ethiopian intervention may militate against any new compromise.
Instead, the escalating war will likely ensure that Somalia remains a failed state for the foreseeable future, a battleground not only for local clan and political rivalries but also for regional and international strategic "great games." There are unlikely to be any clear winners anytime soon, but the losers almost certainly will be the Somali people, who after more than 16 years of war, warlordism and famine, can only look forward to more of the same.
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Islamists abandon Somali capital
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/africa/6213499.stm
Ethiopian-backed government troops are close to MogadishuIslamist fighters have left the Somali capital as government forces backed by Ethiopian troops advance on the city.
As they withdrew, gunfire was heard and armed supporters of the city's warlords began taking control of key facilities.
Some residents say lawlessness has returned to Mogadishu - which had been under Islamic rule for six months.
Ethiopia began a large-scale offensive at the weekend to back Somalia's interim government, capturing ground previously held by Islamist militias.
A senior Islamist leader, Sheikh Sharif Ahmed, told al-Jazeera television his forces had left Mogadishu "to avert heavy bombing because Ethiopian forces are practising genocide against the Somali people".
The BBC's Mohammed Olad Hassan in Mogadishu says clan militiamen appeared as soon as the news of the withdrawal emerged early on Thursday, and UIC offices have been looted.
We have taken over the two control points on the main roads outside the city
Abdirahman DinariSomali government spokesman
Conflict in pictures
Violence alarms press
US keeps a close watch
Residents in the north of the city have reported cars and mobile phones being stolen.
Rising insecurity has forced most businesses to stop trading.
The situation seems to be descending back into anarchy, our correspondent adds.
Observers say the UIC's departure leaves a power vacuum in Mogadishu, raising fears of a return to clan warfare that has plagued the city and Somalia for 16 years.
Last stronghold
Government forces are reported to be near Afgoye, 20km (12 miles) west of Mogadishu, cutting off the capital to the north and west.
Government spokesman Abdirahman Dinari said the army would enter Mogadishu in the "coming hours".
Militias allied to the government have taken control of key installations, including the airport, AFP news agency reports.
Islamic fighters are said to have fled towards the port city of Kismayo, their last remaining stronghold, 300 miles (500km) to the south.
But a senior UIC official Omar Idris said the retreat was "not the end".
He told the BBC's World Today radio programme: "We know what happened in Iraq... I think this is very, very early to say that the Islamic Court forces were defeated."
At the weekend Ethiopia began a major offensive to support the weak government against the UIC - which previously held much of central and southern Somalia.
The conflict has killed hundreds of people. The head of the International Red Cross Somalia delegation said it was "extremely concerned about civilians caught up in the fighting".
Troubled history
The African Union has called for Ethiopian forces to leave Somalia.
However the UN Security Council has failed to agree on a statement calling for the withdrawal of all foreign forces.
HAVE YOUR SAY
What the Ethiopian government doesn't understand is that it is making a continual enemy to Ethiopians at large
Tsegaye Girma, Addis Ababa
Send us your comments
A special adviser to Ethiopian Prime Minister Meles Zenawi, Bereket Simon, declined to specify when his country's troops would leave.
"It all depends on how we find the extremist groups whether they are trying to reorganise," he said
The UIC has its roots in the north of the capital Mogadishu.
Courts administering Islamic law restored order in a city bedevilled by anarchy since the overthrow of former President Mohamed Siad Barre in 1991.
The UIC assumed control of the whole capital in June, driving warlords out and rapidly extending their influence to much of southern Somalia - with the exception of Baidoa, the seat of the transitional Somali government.
That body, set up in 2004 after talks between Somali factions, has been unable to meet in the capital because of opposition first from warlords, then from the UIC.
UIC leader Sheikh Hassan Dahir Aweys is accused by both Ethiopia and the US of having links to al-Qaeda - charges he denies.
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African Union tested over Somalia
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/africa/6209583.stm
By Martin Plaut BBC Africa analyst
The African Union (AU) has backed Ethiopia's military involvement in the growing crisis in Somalia.
In a BBC interview, senior AU official Patrick Mazimhaka conceded that the union had failed to act in time.
Aid agencies have warned of the civilian cost of fightingAfrican leaders have seldom been known for their decisive intervention in the affairs of other African states so it was something of a surprise to hear an African Union spokesman coming out quite so decisively in favour of Somalia's transitional government.
In one sense the decision is entirely logical. The Somali government, which was formed two years ago after months of bitter wrangling among Somali factions, was the 14th attempt to establish a new government for the country.
President Abdullahi Yusuf was recognised not just by the African Union, but also by the United Nations.
But he had a narrow following among Somalis, an appeal that was further eroded when he immediately turned to Ethiopia - Somalia's traditional enemy - for 20,000 troops to bolster his administration.
Ethiopia's tough task The regional African grouping was badly split on the issue. Ethiopia wanted forces sent to assist the new government. Eritrea was vociferously opposed.
The United Nations pondered its options, more concerned by the problems of Iraq and Darfur.
Finally this month, the UN Security Council came down in favour of sending African troops to Somalia to support the transitional government.
Uganda, which had previously offered a battalion, decided against.
Sudan has been mentioned, as has South Africa. But so far there are no firm plans for providing the 8,000-strong peacekeeping force envisaged by the African Union.
Later this week the African Union hopes to get together with the Arab League and the regional grouping - Igad - to try to chart a way forward.
In the meantime, Ethiopia, now with the blessing of the African Union and the covert support of the United States, is fighting the war in Somalia that others shied away from.
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Somalian government forces head into final showdown with Islamic militia
Elizabeth A. Kennedy, Canadian Press
Published: Saturday, December 30, 2006
MOGADISHU, Somalia (AP) - Thousands of Somalian and Ethiopian troops closed in Saturday on the last remaining stronghold of a militant Islamic movement in southern Somalia, as the prime minister called for talks to avoid further bloodshed.
Some 3,000 Muslim militiamen have taken a stand in the port city of Kismayo, wedged between the Kenyan border and the Indian Ocean, and the U.S. government believes they may include four suspects in the 1998 bombings of the U.S. Embassies in Kenya and Tanzania.
The Islamic movement's leader, Sheik Sharif Sheik Ahmed, pledged to continue its fight despite losing capital and other key towns in recent days. "I want to tell you that the Islamic courts are still alive and ready to fight against the enemy of Allah," he told residents in Kismayo.
The military advance on Kismayo marks the latest move in a stunning turnaround for Somalia's government, which just weeks ago could barely control one town, its base of Baidoa in the west. Since Ethiopia's dramatic entry into the war last week, however, government troops have retaken the capital, Mogadishu, and pushed the Islamists from much of the territory they held for six months.
The Somalian and Ethiopian troops, riding in 16 Ethiopian tanks and armoured vehicles, were positioned about 120 kilometres north of Kismayo on Saturday. A trickle of Somalis began to leave the city in anticipation of an attack.
"We are going to advance from different directions to try and encircle the city and force the Islamic group to retreat and so minimize the loss of civilians," government spokesman Abdirahman Dinari told The Associated Press.
Prime Minister Ali Mohamed Gedi called for talks with the Islamic courts movement, but said the government was ready to fight if necessary.
"We are calling on the Somali representatives of the Islamic courts for dialogue and to join us," Gedi said on the outskirts of the capital, where he was meeting with local clan elders to smooth the handover of the city. But he added: "If the remnants of the terrorists try to attack, yes of course bloodshed will take place."
On Friday, Gedi had ruled out immediate talks, even after key Islamic officials travelled to Kenya for possible peace negotiations.
"We cannot talk peace after all this bloodshed," he told The Associated Press at the time.
The conflict in Somalia has drawn the attention of the United States, which is eager to capture suspected al-Qaida terrorists in the Horn of Africa.
The U.S. navy's Fifth Fleet has a maritime task force patrolling international waters off the Somali coast. Gedi said his government was in daily contact with the Americans.
The U.S. government, which says four suspects in the 1998 bombings of U.S. embassies in Kenya and Tanzania have become leaders in the Islamic movement, has a counterterrorism task force based in neighbouring Djibouti and has been training Kenyan and Ethiopian forces to protect their borders.
Somalia's President Abdullahi Yusuf said Saturday, meanwhile, that the government was continuing its plans to move to the Somalian capital. He also pledged to bring more troops to help secure the region, while Gedi also said he expects to disarm militias in the city within three weeks.
Many in overwhelmingly Muslim Somalia are skeptical of the government's reliance on neighbouring Ethiopia, a traditional rival with a large Christian population and one of Africa's largest armies. Ethiopia and Somalia fought a bloody war in 1977.
In Mogadishu, protesters in some neighbourhoods denounced the government on Saturday, while about 300 people held a rally in another area in support of the troops. Many were holding signs and chanting, "We support the government."
Before the Islamists established control, Mogadishu had been ruled by competing clans who came together to support the Islamic fighters. Now, some fear the clans could return to fighting one another and may reject the government's authority. Somalia's complex clan politics have been the undoing of at least 14 attempts to install a government in this violent, anarchic country.
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Somalia: Who supports who?
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/africa/5092586.stm
The Islamist group that has controlled much of Somalia for the last six months has abandoned the capital after an Ethiopian-backed government offensive. But there are fears that the hostilities could still engulf the region in conflict. So where does each side get its money, weapons and moral support?
TRANSITIONAL GOVERNMENT
The transitional government is formally supported by the African Union, the United Nations and the regional grouping, the Inter-governmental Authority on Development (Igad).
Mr Yusuf's government has been based in Baidoa, not Mogadishu
But its strongest support comes from Ethiopia, where Prime Minister Meles Zenawi is determined not to see an Islamic state established on his borders.
Somalia's interim President Abdullahi Yusuf has always had close ties with Ethiopia.
His first foreign visit after taking office in 2004 was to Addis Ababa, and it was reported that he wanted a 20,000-strong mainly Ethiopian force to strengthen his government, which has been based in Baidoa, not the capital, Mogadishu.
The Somali parliament in Baidoa approved the deployment of foreign forces inside Somalia, a move strenuously resisted by the Islamists in Mogadishu.
For months, Ethiopia denied claims that it had troops in Somalia, only admitting to having military trainers there working with government forces.
But in late December Ethiopia launched a large-scale offensive taking territory captured by the Islamists over the last six months.
Ethiopia says it has no plans to stay in Somalia in the long term.
Apart from the support President Yusuf's government has received from Ethiopia, there are a number of reports of Yemeni planes arriving in Baidoa, bringing arms and ammunition.
A group of Europeans and Australians has been arrested in Yemen, accused of breaking a United Nations arms embargo on Somalia.
The Union of Islamic Courts (UIC) also accuses Kenya, where the transitional government was formed after years of discussions, of being biased in favour of the government.
THE UNION OF ISLAMIC COURTS
During the six months that the Union of Islamic Courts ruled Mogadishu, it brought order to the capital.
The Union of Islamic Courts has brought order to Mogadishu
Finances for the courts are reportedly being provided by rich individuals in Saudi Arabia and the Gulf States.
The government also says that Islamist radicals from around the world have gone to help the UIC.
This is strongly denied by the Islamic courts.
There have also been reports that Eritrea - which has a long-running border dispute with Ethiopia - has been supplying arms to the Islamists.
A leaked UN report says that 2,000 "fully equipped" Eritrean troops are working with the UIC.
This is denied by the authorities in Asmara.
The chairman of the Union of Islamic Courts, Sharif Sheikh Ahmed, wrote to the UN, the European Union and the United States, calling for the establishment of friendly relations with the international community, based on mutual respect.
In a four-page letter he denied giving sanctuary to Islamic extremists, or groups loyal to al-Qaeda.
But another key UIC leader, Sheikh Hassan Dahir Aweys, is on a US list of individuals linked to terror groups.
THE INTERNATIONAL COMMUNITY
The African Union has called for Ethiopian forces to leave Somalia following their offensive, however the UN Security Council has failed to agree on a statement calling for the withdrawal of all foreign forces.
Earlier in December, the Security Council passed a unanimous resolution to provide an 8,000-strong African peacekeeping force to protect the weak government.
This follows the establishment of the International Contact Group on Somalia by diplomats in June, which had the support of the US, Britain, Norway, Sweden, Italy, Tanzania and the EU.
The African Union, Arab League and Kenya participated as observers.
The Contact Group was formed after the collapse of the previous US strategy, which was to back the warlords who had controlled Mogadishu for many years.
The US was represented by Jendayi Frazer, Assistant Secretary of State for African Affairs.
She has claimed that radical forces have sidelined more moderate forces in the Union of Islamic Courts.
"The top layer of the courts are extremists to the core, they are terrorists and they are creating this logic of war," she said in December.
Earlier she had said the union needed to be aware that the status of terrorists was a "core interest" of the US.
Meanwhile, the contact group had called for talks between the interim government and the UIC
But three rounds of peace talks in the Sudanese capital, Khartoum, organised by the Arab League were inconclusive.
At one stage, the rivals had agreed a ceasefire but the Islamists continued to gain ground and both sides swapped fiery rhetoric.
The government no longer trusts the Arab League to mediate and the final round broke up without agreement in November.
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US wary of Somali 'terror' links
By Martin Plaut BBC Africa analyst
Somali government soldiers have advanced with Ethiopian backingThe United States has closely followed the gains made by Somali government forces, supported by Ethiopian armour and troops, against Islamist militiamen.
Washington is determined to prevent the spread of fundamentalist Islam to Africa and has been deeply concerned by the rise of the Union of Islamic Courts.
The US has seen the fight against terrorism as its highest priority in Africa ever since 7 August 1998, when two car bombs exploded outside the American embassies in the Kenyan capital, Nairobi, and Dar es Salaam in Tanzania.
Al-Qaeda claimed responsibility for the explosions, which killed more than 250 people and left 4,000 wounded.
Since then US officials say they have found links between key supporters of the UIC, and the attacks on the US embassies.
'Threat'
"We continue to be concerned about the state of security in the sub-region in eastern Horn of Africa; the threat that in some ways Somalia poses in terms of criminality and arms coming out of there, as well as the issue of terrorists' safe haven," the US Secretary of State for African Affairs, Jendayi Frazer, said while visiting Kenya earlier this year.
The UIC leadership has denied links to al-Qaeda, but there is evidence to suggest that some supporters of the UIC were indeed connected to the embassy attacks.
The US developed a strategy to tackle the Islamists. First Washington supported the warlords who controlled the Somali capital, Mogadishu.
But in June the militia of the Islamic Courts drove out the warlords, who are believed to have escaped to an American ship waiting offshore.
Since then the US has given diplomatic backing to the Somali transitional government at the United Nations, pressing for an African peacekeeping force to be sent to strengthen its position.
The Americans have worked closely with Ethiopia, using troops based in neighbouring Djibouti.
There is no suggestion that American forces are involved in the current Ethiopian offensive in Somalia, but Washington has satellite images and intelligence information that would be extremely useful to Addis Ababa as it attempts to crack the Islamic Court's hold on Somalia.
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Rwanda genocide accused remanded
http://english.aljazeera.net/NR/exeres/AAB0C9EF-4B97-41A8-A25F-FA6EFF63F150.htm
A British court has remanded four Rwandan men accused of taking part in the 1994 genocide of minority Tutsis.
The men, in their 40s and 50s, appeared in a Westminster magistrates’ court on Friday after they were arrested in raids conducted in various parts of Britain.
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Vincent Bajinya, Charles Munyaneza, Celestin Ugirashebuja and Emmanuel Nteziryayo all face the same charges that between January 1, 1994 and December 12, 1994 they murdered, plotted to murder and aided the murder of Tutsis intending to eradicate them all.
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Over 800,000 Tutsis were massacred by majority Hutus in one of Africa's worst racial conflicts.
At a hearing at a Westminster magistrates’ court, Nteziryayo was remanded in custody until January 5. Bajinya, Munyaneza and Ugirashebuja were remanded until a further court appearance on January 26, a Crown Prosecution Service spokeswoman said.
Prosecutors alleged that Munyaneza, 48, Ugirashebuja, 53 and Nteziryayo, 44, had been local mayors with sweeping powers in their areas while Bajinya, 45, was accused of having been a militia coordinator in the capital Kigali.
All four men deny the accusations against them. Under an agreement between Britain and Rwanda, revealed in court for the first time on Friday, the men would not be given the death penalty if they were convicted.
The massacre took place in the spring of 1994 as gangs of machete-wielding Hutus roamed the country slaughtering not only ethnic Tutsis but also moderate members of their own race while the outside world simply stood by.
Rwanda began holding trials 10 years ago in connection with the genocide.
Earlier this month a United Nations court trying leaders of the genocide sentenced a former Catholic priest to 15 years in jail for ordering bulldozers to flatten a church in which 2,000 Tutsis were taking refuge.
Father Athanese Seromba had denied the charges. He was the 27th person to be convicted by the International Criminal Tribunal for Rwanda.
The process took on a new twist last month when a French anti-terrorism judge called for Paul Kagame, the Rwandan president, to stand trial for the shooting down of a plane carrying then President Juvenal Habyarimana that triggered the genocide.
Kigali has ridiculed the accusations, cut diplomatic ties and accused France of trying to cover what it says is its own guilt over the massacre.
"We are heading to Jilib in a convoy of 15 Ethiopian tanks," Ahmednur Yasin told Reuters by telephone. "There are more forces heading to Buale and I am sure the fighting will start soon."
A Somali government source said: "All the terrorists are in Jilib and Kismayu."
Militia leaders
One Islamic courts fighter, who asked not to be named, said: "We will fight the Ethiopian invaders. The jihad will not stop."
Parliament was expected to vote on Saturday to declare three months of martial law aimed at disarming thousands of men loyal to various clan chiefs and local militia leaders blamed for years of anarchy.
Gedi's government depends almost entirely on Addis Ababa for its military muscle, analysts say, and it was far from clear how it would maintain security without Ethiopian troops.
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Congo gets new prime minister
http://english.aljazeera.net/NR/exeres/BFC37812-3FB4-410E-B1F1-9C436DDB7DE2.htm
Gizenga had been widely expected to become the prime minister [AFP]
Joseph Kabila, the newly-elected president of the Democratic Republic of Congo, has named Antoine Gizenga, the 81-year-old opposition veteran, as the country's new prime minister.
Kabila announced the decision through a presidential decree read on state television on Saturday.
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The nomination of Gizenga, leader of the Socialist-leaning Unified Lumumbist Party (PALU), has been widely expected since Kabila was sworn in on December 6 as the country's first democratically elected president in more than 40 years.
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Gizenga, who came third in the first round of a presidential election in July, signed an agreement with Kabila's political coalition ahead of an October runoff, promising his support in exchange for a guarantee that the post of prime minister would go to a member of his party.
"PALU is extremely pleased," Godefroid Mayobo, Gizenga's spokesman, told Reuters shortly after the announcement.
"We have finally come back to where we were when we were pushed aside."
Gizenga served as deputy to Patrice Lumumba, Congo's first prime minister, who was assassinated in early 1961 months after the vast, mineral-rich country spanning central Africa achieved independence from Belgium the previous year.
He later headed a rebel government of Lumumba's supporters in Kisangani in the country's northeast, following a coup led by Mobutu Sese Seko.
First arrested, then driven into exile for nearly three decades, Gizenga has not had an official government post since 1960.
Until the 2006 elections, his PALU party had never held a parliamentary seat, having refused to take part in a series of undemocratic elections in Mobutu's dictatorship, during which the country's politics was largely reduced to kleptocracy.
The UN-backed elections were meant to draw a line under a 1998-2003 war and resulting humanitarian crisis that killed an estimated four million Congolese, mostly from starvation and disease. However, militia violence continues in eastern areas.
Joseph Kabila came to power as the world's youngest head of state following the murder of his father Laurent in 2001.
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Rebels end Nigeria oilfield sieges
http://english.aljazeera.net/NR/exeres/6D7EEBE3-D4C8-40AE-B384-CCB445D025DA.htm
Nigerian oil industry spokesmen say two different armed groups have lifted sieges of two oilfield stations in the country, releasing more than 20 local workers.
About 18 staff members at Agip's Tebidaba oilfield in Bayelsa state were released on Tuesday after five days in captivity.
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On the same day, five workers at Shell's nearby Nun River facility were freed after a 12-day siege.
A Shell spokesman said on Thursday that the company had begun to resume production of 14,000 barrels per day (bpd) from the facility.
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The chief executive of Agip, a unit of Eni, the Italian oil giant, visited Olusegun Obasanjo, the Nigerian president, on Wednesday to discuss the crisis.
The company's spokesmen said it was unclear what led to the lifting of the two oilfield sieges on Tuesday, but that talks with the attackers were led by the state government and involved elders from nearby villages.
Escalation expected
Industry executives expect violence to escalate in the run-up to Nigeria's general elections in April as local politicians fight turf wars for access to elected office and a share of the government's oil revenue.
Four foreign oil workers - three Italians and one Lebanese - are still being held hostage by a different armed group after an attack on Agip's Brass River export terminal on December 7.
The captors, from the Movement for the Emancipation of the Niger Delta (Mend), have demanded money, jobs and infrastructure for their communities in the remote region of mangrove-lined creeks and swamp in southern Nigeria.
Mend says it has spurned ransom offers and wants the Nigerian government to release two jailed leaders from the region.
It has threatened to keep the men for six months.
Weekly occurrence
Kidnappings and attacks on oil facilities have become an almost weekly occurrence in the world's eighth-largest exporter.
Western oil companies recently evacuated hundreds of dependants of expatriate staff after two car bombings by Mend at oil company compounds in Port Harcourt, capital of Rivers state in the Niger Delta.
Senior industry executives say the rising tide of violence could force them to withdraw from some areas completely.
Shell has already shut down its entire oil operation in the western side of the delta after a series of attacks in February which cut Nigeria's oil output by a fifth.
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Nigeria governor sacking reversed
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/africa/6215057.stm
A court in the south-eastern Nigerian state of Anambra has reversed a controversial impeachment of the state governor, Peter Obi.
He was impeached in November for gross misconduct and replaced by his deputy.
The state assembly's speaker said some of the 23 members who had apparently voted to impeach Mr Obi later denied being present when the vote took place.
This is the third sacking this year of a governor that has been declared illegal by Nigeria's courts.
Last week, Anambra's chief judge and three other senior judges were suspended over their alleged roles in these sackings.
Some say the recent impeachments are part of a fight against corruption.
But critics say it is often more about rival politicians trying to take charge of the states so they can control the elections due early next year.
Power struggles
A spokesman for Mr Obi told the BBC that Anambra High Court judge Nri Ezedi had ruled the impeachment was null and void.
His deputy, Virginia Etiaba, had become Nigeria's first female governor after the impeachment decision last month.
Both Mrs Etiaba and Mr Obi, from the opposition All Progressives Grand Alliance (APGA), only occupied their posts in March this year.
They took power after a court ruled that Mr Obi's predecessor had rigged the election in 2003.
Chris Ngige, from the governing People's Democratic Party, had been Anambra's governor for three years, but had fallen out with senior party figures soon after the election.
He said it was because he refused to loot public money to pay them back for their support.
Since Mr Obi took office in March, he has been locked in a power struggle with one of the president's closest aides, Andy Uba, who wants to win the governorship in next year's elections.
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Population in Nigeria tops 140m
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/africa/6217719.stm
Nigeria's oil wealth is distributed according to the populationThe provisional results of Nigeria's first census in 15 years show that Africa's most populous nation has a population of more than 140m.
The National Population Commission said this was an increase of 63% since 1991.
The headcount is sensitive, as funding and political representation for Nigeria's states depend on the results.
Previous results have been mired in controversy and allegations of fraud, but March's census left out questions on religion and ethnicity.
The government was concerned that such information would trigger ethnic riots.
Surprise
The National Population Commission (NPC) chairman said this time he felt there would be no problems.
FACTS AND FIGURES
Total: 140m
Men: 71.7m
Women: 68.3m
Thumbs up?
Counting controversy
"I don't expect any controversy because we have done a transparent and credible census. We have done it as honestly as we can, using the most scientific methods of census taking," Sumaila Makama told the BBC's Focus on Africa programme.
The BBC's Mannir Dan Ali in the capital, Abuja, says the big surprise in the results so far is that Nigeria has three million more men than women.
The last census put Nigeria's population at about 88.5m.
"I am not alarmed about the total figure because it is still within the range of what we are planning," President Olusegun Obasanjo said.
Wait
Our correspondent says most Nigerians are more interested in finding out the regional and local spread of the population - figures that have not been revealed yet.
The census questionnaire was two pages long
The higher a state's population the more money it gets from the federal government.
Allocation of some government posts is also supposed to reflect different regions' populations.
But Nigerians must wait until the president, state governors and former heads of states have met to consider and agree to these figures.
Many people had wanted to find out how many Christians and Muslims there are in Nigeria, our reporter says.
But that aspect was left out of the census questionnaire.
Past censuses have generated so much controversy that many of them have been officially discarded, leaving Nigeria to use estimates for planning purposes.
The counting operation in March was a logistical challenge for the NPC.
It used digital processing of the forms, and satellite positioning to identify the areas to be counted.
Other questions included in the census were:
Education background
Occupation
Income
Size of house
Type of water supply
Toilet facilities
Type of fuel used
Access to radio, television, telephone
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Zimbabwe in talks on China loan
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/business/6202447.stm
Critics say President Robert Mugabe has ruined Zimbabwe's economyZimbabwe is preparing to open talks with China for a $2bn (£1.1bn) loan, in a bid to boost its crumbling economy.
Much of the money would be used to fight Zimbabwe's soaring inflation, the state-run Herald newspaper reported.
China has been looking to extend its influence in Africa and recently hosted a summit of African leaders.
Zimbabwe has been struggling to cope with economic collapse brought about, critics say, by the policies of President Robert Mugabe.
The southern African country - previously one of the continent's most developed economies - has seen inflation leap above 1,000%, while food and fuel shortages are rife.
The International Monetary Fund warned earlier this week that Zimbabwe's dire economic situation could get worse.
Economic myth
If agreed, the Chinese loan would be the biggest foreign loan secured by President Mugabe's government.
"China's government is ready to negotiate with the government for a $2bn loan facility to fight inflation and other aspects of the economy," Zimbabwe's ambassador to China, Chris Mutsvangwa, said.
He said China's assistance to Zimbabwe would "dispel the myth" that the country's economic problems were beyond redemption.
China had appointed an official to open talks with Zimbabwe's finance minister and central bank governor, the Herald reported.
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Madagascar confirms poll result
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/africa/6206351.stm
Marc Ravalomanana was re-elected with a substantial majorityMadagascar's constitutional court has confirmed the victory of incumbent President Marc Ravalomanana in the 3 December election.
Mr Ravalomanana gained 54.8% of the vote in the first round of the poll, securing a second five-year term.
His rivals had lodged complaints with the court about the vote but election observers said the poll was fair.
Mr Ravalomanana, a former dairy magnate, said he felt "optimistic" about the island nation's future.
"I am very happy," Mr Ravalomanana told Agence France Presse.
"This confirms our confidence with Madagascans and the international community."
The court took an additional two weeks to confirm the result due to the time taken to collect the ballot boxes from the furthest regions of the island, some 1,600km (1,000 miles) long.
Mr Ravalomanana is expected to be formally sworn in within the first half of January.
In 2001, the island nation was pushed to the brink of civil war after the then-incumbent Didier Ratsiraka refused to accept defeat.
Roland Ratsiraka, nephew of the former president, gained 10.14% of the vote, coming third after former parliamentary speaker Jean Lahiniriko, who gained 11.65%.
In mid-December authorities said they had arrested an army general wanted over a coup attempt last month.
The officer, known as General Fidy, took control of a military base in November and called on the army to remove President Marc Ravalomanana.
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S Africa is losing its way - Tutu
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/africa/5384310.stm
Tutu has long spoken out against injustices in South AfricaNobel Prize winner Desmond Tutu has warned that South Africa is in danger of losing its moral direction.
He said it had failed to sustain the idealism that ended apartheid and warned of growing ethnic divisions.
Referring to South Africa's high murder rate and the rape of children as young as nine months, he said the African reverence for life had been lost.
The retired Anglican archbishop opposes ex-Vice President Jacob Zuma becoming president due to his "moral failings".
Mr Zuma's presidential aspirations received a major boost earlier this month after corruption charges were dropped against him. He was acquitted earlier this year on a rape charge.
Respect
Archbishop Tutu said the country had achieved a remarkable degree of stability in 12 years of democracy despite problems poverty, Aids, corruption and crime.
HAVE YOUR SAY
There is a very low sense of moral self esteem in South Africa today. It is really shameful
David Amana, Cape Town
Send us your comments
South Africa's deepening malaise
But delivering the Steve Biko memorial lecture at University of Cape Town, he questioned why a respect for the law, environment and even life, were missing in South Africa.
"What has happened to us? It seems as if we have perverted our freedom, our rights into licence, into being irresponsible. Rights go hand in hand with responsibility, with dignity, with respect for oneself and for the other.
"The fact of the matter is we still depressingly do not respect one another. I have often said black consciousness did not finish the work it set out to do," he said.
Zuma's comments on HIV during his rape trial shocked Aids activists
He said government officials often acted like former officials during the apartheid era - treating people rudely.
He said South Africa should oppose xenophobia and act sensitively when place names were being changed rather than appearing to gloat and ride roughshod over the feelings of others.
He also made a plea for people to pick up litter, to care for their own environments and for their fellow citizens.
"Perhaps we did not realise just how apartheid has damaged us so that we seem to have lost our sense of right and wrong, so that when we go on strike as is our right to do, we are not appalled that some of us can chuck people out of moving trains because they did not join the strike, or why is it common practice now to trash, to go on the rampage?
He said that South Africa remained a wonderful country that had produced outstanding people - such as Steve Biko, the anti-apartheid leader who died in police custody in 1977.
"The best memorial to Steve Biko would be a South Africa where everyone respects themselves, has a positive self image filled with a proper self esteem and holds others in high regard."
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South Africa's 2010 Cup challenge
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/africa/5141582.stm
Money from the World Cup would be welcomed by township dwellersA ceremony is being held in Germany to officially hand over the World Cup to South Africa, which in 2010 will become the first African country to host the championship. The BBC's Mohammed Allie looks at what needs to be done.
South Africa's 2010 football World Cup is set to be the most commercially successful since the first tournament was held 76 years ago.
The event has already attracted more marketing and television attention than the 2006 event, according to Fifa President Sepp Blatter.
"The market trusts Africa," Mr Blatter says.
2010 budget
5bn rand for stadiums
3.5bn rand other capital investment
5.2bn rand for upgrading airports
3.5bn rand for better roads and railways
(7 rand = $1) "The contracts we have already signed for 2010 are higher than the contracts for 2006 in Germany by about 25%."
Agreements with five strategic partners for 2010 are valued at more than 1bn Swiss francs (about $821 million). This dwarfs the 850m francs ($700m) worth of deals done for the German World Cup.
Companies have to fork out around $125m to be one of the six worldwide partners involved with the 2010 World Cup.
In addition there will also be eight World Cup sponsors and four to six national sponsors. Entry level sponsorship is likely to be around $40m.
Confidence
Being entrusted by Fifa to host its flagship event is indeed a massive vote of confidence in the infrastructure and organisational capacity of South Africa, more so since it will be the first time the event will be held on African soil.
Events in recent months have, however, given the sceptics ample ammunition as South Africa's state of readiness comes under the microscope. The scepticism surfaced after potential shortcomings were exposed in the space of a few weeks earlier this year.
This is an artists impression of the upgraded soccer city stadium in JohannesburgFirst, there were a series of unannounced cuts to Cape Town's electricity supply.
Next, there was a report to Parliament's Communications Portfolio Committee which revealed that the country's 30-year old broadcast infrastructure was not ready to cope with the needs of the World Cup.
Sentech Chief Executive Sebiletso Mokone-Matabane says a multibillion dollar investment in digital broadcasting transmission is needed to properly serve a worldwide television audience.
Sentech, the state-owned national broadcasting signal distributor, is due for an upgrade which will allay fears about the broadcasting capacity while Eskom, the national electricity supplier, has already started plans to upgrade its capacity.
Stadium row
Transport is an ongoing headache: South Africa's cities rely on privately-owned minibus taxis, and long-anticipated plans to upgrade the fleet are only now starting to get under away.
In this children's world cup in South Africa, Germany lost to CubaThe Gautrain, an ambitious rail project aimed at easing traffic congestion in the Johannesburg-Pretoria area, will only be partly completed by 2010. It will take tourists from the airport as far as the suburb of Sandton, but will go nowhere near any of the stadiums.
In Cape Town, a proposed new 67,000-seat stadium, earmarked to host a semi-final match, has also got off to a faltering start.
The city's new Mayor, Helen Zille, from the opposition Democratic Alliance, has questioned where the more than 1bn rand (about $160m) will come from to finance the construction of the stadium.
Ms Zille does not want the stadium to sideline more pressing needs like housing, sanitation and other essential services for the city's poor.
Even the Congress of South African Trade Unions (Cosatu), allied to the ANC, supported the mayor's stance, saying the needs of the poor should come before an expensive football stadium.
Ms Zille's fears on funding the stadium seem to have been allayed following a meeting with government officials and the Local Organising Committee (LOC), but there are still questions over the site of Cape Town's stadium.
The designated area, which is magnificently located with Robben Island and Table Mountain on either side, will displace a 130-year-old golf course. This proposal has met with stiff opposition from local residents and members of the golf club.
Still, most of the five new stadiums to be constructed in Durban, Cape Town, Port Elizabeth, Polokwane and Nelspruit are due to begin by November and are expected to be ready for trial runs at the 2009 Confederations Cup which features the champions of all six Fifa Confederations together with the World Champions and the host nation.
Upgrades
The other more established venues require minor upgrades which will commence at a later stage. "Many of the stadiums already have world class facilities and only require technical upgrades. The alterations at established venues such as Ellis Park, Bloemfontein and Soccer City can be left for a later date. With the continuous technical developments it makes sense to start these closer to 2010," says Danny Jordaan, Chief Executive of the LOC.
Given the employment and business prospects associated with hosting an event as big as the World Cup, South Africa's beleaguered textile industry is hoping that the tournament will revive its fortunes.
The industry, which has lost an estimated 200,000 jobs over the past five years due mainly to the influx of cheaper Chinese imports, is looking at cashing in on producing memorabilia like T-shirts, caps, hats and scarves.
"The reason we're backing the World Cup is that there should be employment and procurement opportunities for locals. It shouldn't just benefit those who are already wealthy," says Tony Ehrenreich, Cosatu's Western Cape general secretary.
"If we aren't happy with economic opportunities for locals we will be protesting at the 2010 World Cup."
Opportunities
Danny Jordaan agrees with the principle of using the tournament to provide economic opportunities, saying there were already policies in place to ensure the empowerment of black business and entrepreneurs.
The LOC predicts that the tournament will create 160,000 jobs and will contribute more than 20 billion rand (about $3.6 billion) to the country's gross domestic product.
Many local small business owners are, however, concerned that they may have to pay exorbitant licensing fees to Fifa, which controls its own marketing and television rights. This implies that companies which are not licensed by Fifa would not be able to sell their products or services in or around the World Cup venues.
"Many local clothing manufacturers I've spoken to say they won't be able to afford the fees and would therefore simply try to sidestep the rules when the event draws closer," says Navavee Matthews, who works for a marketing company.
The money-making potential of the World Cup is enormous and it will be a great tragedy if the expectations of so many of the country's aspirant entrepreneurs are stifled by Fifa's tight licensing conditions.
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SA same-sex marriage law signed
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/africa/6159991.stm
South Africa is the first African country to approve such unionsSouth Africa's Deputy President Phumzile Mlambo-Ngcuka has signed the Civil Union Act which gives same-sex couples the right to marry.
South Africa will be the first African country where gay people can wed when the law comes into force on Friday.
The law was approved by MPs two weeks ago despite objections from religious groups and traditional leaders.
The Constitutional Court ruled last year that the existing laws discriminated against homosexuals.
The Civil Union Act gives gay people the same rights as heterosexual couples.
The ruling was based on the constitution, which was the first in the world specifically to outlaw discrimination on the grounds of sexual orientation.
It is an historic decision in terms of the African continent
Fikile VilakazGay Joint Working Group
To wed or not?
Gay marriage around the globe
This is unusual in Africa where homosexuality is largely taboo - notably in its neighbour Zimbabwe.
Reuters news agency reports that religious groups had mounted a last-ditch effort to block the new marriage law, demanding a referendum on the issue.
"To force the morality of the radical homosexual minority on the people of South Africa through law is, in effect, to lead the masses astray," the Christian Action Network said in a statement.
But gay activists have welcomed the law.
"We are very happy. We welcome the political commitment shown by the country's leaders," said Fikile Vilakazi spokeswoman for the Joint Working Group, a network gay organisations, AFP news agency reports.
"It is an historic decision in terms of the African continent."
During the parliamentary debate earlier this month, Home Affairs Minister Nosiviwe Mapisa-Nqakula told MPs: "In breaking with our past... we need to fight and resist all forms of discrimination and prejudice, including homophobia."
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U.N.: Ivorian diamond trade goes on despite ban
POSTED: 1:37 p.m. EST, December 18, 2006
Story Highlights
• U.N.: Diamonds are smuggled out of the Ivory Coast via Mali and Ghana• Ghana risks suspension from the U.N.-backed Kimberley Process, U.N. says• The Kimberley Process fights "blood" or "conflict" diamond sales • No action can be taken against Mali as it was not a Kimberley Process participant
Adjust font size:
ABIDJAN, Ivory Coast (Reuters) -- Diamonds are still being smuggled out of war-divided Ivory Coast via Mali and Ghana in violation of a U.N. embargo despite rebel assertions to the contrary, according to a U.N. report.
U.N. experts identified Malian nationals who had been buying gems in the town of Seguela, which lies in the rebel-held north of Ivory Coast, and had observed "intensive mining" in the area during an aerial survey in November.
"The identification of these Malian buyers further underlines the significant smuggling of Ivorian diamonds to Mali in violation of United Nations sanctions," the group of experts said in a report to the U.N. Security Council.
The report, seen by Reuters on Monday, also said Ghana risked suspension from the Kimberley Process -- a U.N.-backed scheme to ensure "blood" or "conflict" diamonds are not sold on the black market to buy weapons -- after smuggled Ivorian gems were found among diamond exports registered as Ghanaian.
For example, diamonds of non-Ghanaian origin had been found in a shipment transported from Ghana to Dubai, an important international diamond-trading center, the report said.
It said a "detailed action plan" had been agreed with Ghana to strengthen its controls over the diamond sector. Progress would be evaluated by a Kimberley Process review team in February next year.
"If the evaluation team is not satisfied, Ghana could face suspension from the Kimberley Process," the report said.
No action could be taken against Mali as it was not a Kimberley Process participant.
Rebels seized the north of Ivory Coast in a 2002/2003 civil war and admit they smuggle cocoa -- the country's main export -- to neighboring states to fund their movement.
But they deny dealing in conflict diamonds despite allegations by U.N. experts that they generate revenue of between $9 million and $23 million from the trade.
The U.N. report also said criminal networks had been breaking an arms embargo on Ivory Coast, using international courier firms to import shipments of small arms.
"Currently the ports are wide open to abuse and the U.N. Operation in Ivory Coast has not conducted a port inspection since August," the report said.
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AK-47: the Sierra Leone child soldier
Like this boy, Sangeba was still a child when he fought in the warAll this week, BBC World Service's The World Today programme is looking at the stories behind one of the world's most iconic weapons, the AK-47.
Throughout the week we will be speaking to the people who trade in it, the people who carry it, and the people whose lives have been destroyed by it.
CHILD SOLDIER, SIERRA LEONE
In Africa up to 100,000 children are thought to have been involved in armed conflict last year. The AK-47 is the weapon of choice for child soldiers, as it is light and easy to use but can discharge 600 rounds per minute.
Sierra Leone is a country notorious for its use of child soldiers in its 10-year civil war. Both the government and rebels recruited children. Sangeba was recruited by the rebels
I was a small boy, 12 years old, and I was going to school when the rebels captured me and a lot of my friends. They caught my mother and father, and then killed my father in my presence. Then they went with us to the bush to go and train how to fight.
AK-47 STORIES
Monday:
Colombian guerrilla
We were called the Small Boys' Unit (SBU). They sent us to go and loot. They trained us how to load and fire guns including the AK-47. Whether attacking the government forces or civilian towns, we would take the guns.
Normally they sent us ahead to go and spy on a place, and then attacked it later. Most of those guns they used were AK-47 because the AK-47 is the most popular gun.
Once they took us to a jungle in Eastern Province, and I saw a lot of guns, mostly AK47s, and some heavy artillery - G3, FN [both rifles] and RPG [rocket-propelled grenades], you know. I panicked because I had never seen such an amount of weapons before.
THE AK-47
Stands for Avtomat Kalashnikova model 1947
Designed by Mikhail Kalashnikov while wounded in hospital - though he later said he wished he invented the lawnmower instead
Produced in greater numbers than any other 20th-Century assault rifle
Fires 600 rounds a minute
Estimated 70-100m in the world
The AK47 has spawned many derivatives, such as the Chinese-manufactured Type 56
AK-47: Iconic weapon Our commanders explained to us that they got them from the Liberians, some said they got them from soldiers they killed, and from Guinea.
Our commanders instructed us to fight to defend ourselves. So I was handling my AK-47 with this in mind. I cannot remember how many people I killed. I was not really intending to do so but for the fact that I was holding this weapon to defend myself.
If you don't fight to kill, whether anybody's coming, whether enemy or friend, if they kill you, they or your commander will leave your body there and go.
That is why I defended myself. I killed a lot of people. I feel so bad now that I am in the town, training people for skilled jobs. I feel so discouraged for the fact that I have been killing people, so sad for the lives that I have dislodged. May God have mercy upon me.
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Canada Year in Review 2006
Canada Year in Review 2006:
Here is a collection of articles from various sources talking about some of the most popular news stories, web searches and events for 2006. I have also included the Politics Watch list for 2006 ranking top performing MPs and cabinet ministers as well. I will add to this post as hopefully a month by month account of some of the big Canadian events will be published in the newspapers tomorrow.
Here is a good chart of the year's events in the Canadian media...
Good luck with your new years resolution!!!
-Darryl
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Year in review 2006
Your top stories
The news stories you clicked on the most in 2006
Last Updated Dec. 18, 2006
CBC News
From politics to quirky court defences to heinous crime… by looking at the stories you viewed the most we came up with this Top 25 list of the most-clicked news stories from CBC.ca in 2006.
Woman, gunman dead in Montreal school rampage (Sept. 13)
Five charged in biker gang killings (April 4)
Harper sworn in as 22nd prime minister (Feb. 6)
RCMP takes over search for 2 missing ferry passengers (March 22)
8 bodies found in Ontario farm field (April 8)
Cabinet includes defector and senator-to-be (Feb. 6)
Bank of England releases names of bomb plot suspects (Aug. 10)
Harper brushes off U.S. criticism of Arctic plan (Jan. 26)
'Shania Twain' defence works in drunk driver's favour (Mar. 28)
P.E.I. student paper publishes cartoons of Prophet (Feb. 8)
U.S. fired on Canadian diplomats without warning, envoy says (Feb. 1)
From paper-clip to house, in 14 trades (July 7)
All bets off as casino refuses to pay jackpot (July 4)
Western Canadian magazine publishes Muhammad cartoons (Feb. 13)
4 Canadian soldiers killed in Afghanistan (Aug. 3)
Suspect accused of wanting to behead PM, lawyer claims (June 6)
Winter batters Canada, killing at least 5 (Feb 17)
Much work ahead despite JonBenet arrest, prosecutor warns (Aug. 17)
Mine officials 'sincerely regret' miscommunication over deaths (Jan. 4)
Missing B.C. girl found alive (May 18)
Families desperate for news of Egyptian ferry tragedy (Feb. 3)
Bernardo confessed to more crimes: lawyer (Feb. 21)
CIA authenticates tape, bin Laden promises more attacks in U.S. 'soon' (Jan. 19)
Medic emerges as heroic figure in Afghan convoy tragedy (Jan. 15)
Harper doubts UN post deliberately targeted (July 25)
Your top stories
The news stories you clicked on the most in 2006
Last Updated Dec. 18, 2006
CBC News
From politics to quirky court defences to heinous crime… by looking at the stories you viewed the most we came up with this Top 25 list of the most-clicked news stories from CBC.ca in 2006.
Woman, gunman dead in Montreal school rampage (Sept. 13)
Five charged in biker gang killings (April 4)
Harper sworn in as 22nd prime minister (Feb. 6)
RCMP takes over search for 2 missing ferry passengers (March 22)
8 bodies found in Ontario farm field (April 8)
Cabinet includes defector and senator-to-be (Feb. 6)
Bank of England releases names of bomb plot suspects (Aug. 10)
Harper brushes off U.S. criticism of Arctic plan (Jan. 26)
'Shania Twain' defence works in drunk driver's favour (Mar. 28)
P.E.I. student paper publishes cartoons of Prophet (Feb. 8)
U.S. fired on Canadian diplomats without warning, envoy says (Feb. 1)
From paper-clip to house, in 14 trades (July 7)
All bets off as casino refuses to pay jackpot (July 4)
Western Canadian magazine publishes Muhammad cartoons (Feb. 13)
4 Canadian soldiers killed in Afghanistan (Aug. 3)
Suspect accused of wanting to behead PM, lawyer claims (June 6)
Winter batters Canada, killing at least 5 (Feb 17)
Much work ahead despite JonBenet arrest, prosecutor warns (Aug. 17)
Mine officials 'sincerely regret' miscommunication over deaths (Jan. 4)
Missing B.C. girl found alive (May 18)
Families desperate for news of Egyptian ferry tragedy (Feb. 3)
Bernardo confessed to more crimes: lawyer (Feb. 21)
CIA authenticates tape, bin Laden promises more attacks in U.S. 'soon' (Jan. 19)
Medic emerges as heroic figure in Afghan convoy tragedy (Jan. 15)
Harper doubts UN post deliberately targeted (July 25)
*********************
The Year in Bad Ideas (I)
Lessons in what not to do, courtesy of Joe Volpe, David Emerson, that guy who befouled the National War Memorial and more
Chris Selley, Macleans.ca Updated Tuesday, December 26, 2006, at 12:40 EST
BAD IDEAS IN LEADERSHIP CAMPAIGNS
Running for leader if you're Joe VolpeOn April 21, the Member of Parliament for Eglinton-Lawrence announced he woud be seeking the Liberal leadership. And so began a saga that would prove thoroughly entertaining for anyone not in possession of a Liberal membership.
First, there was the $27,000 in donations he had accepted in the names of five minors - all of them the children of Apotex executives. Volpe returned the money and insisted that no laws had been broken, but he had already been reduced to comic fodder.
Youth for Volpe, a satirical website, featured testimonials from the likes of "Ann Lee, age 4," who enthused that "Joe Volpe's deep commitment to integrity inspired me to support his campaign! I borrowed $5,400 from my parents in a manner compliant with all campaign finance regulations as they then existed."
In July, citing Volpe's strident support for Israel in its campaign against Hezbollah in southern Lebanon, campaign chair Jim Karygiannis - himself known for questionable campaign tactics - jumped ship. "With the stuff that's happening in Lebanon, you've got to have a balance," he said. Shortly thereafter, the Toronto Star reported that police had to be called to settle a dispute when Karygiannis turned up at Volpe's campaign headquarters.
It got worse. In September, it emerged that among the 4,352 new members Team Volpe had enlisted in Quebec were people who hadn't paid their own dues, weren't aware of their membership or were dead. Volpe alleged that an anti-Italian bias was at work in the Toronto Star investigation that uncovered it, once more refused to withdraw from the race and successfully appealed the $20,000 fine imposed on his campaign by the Liberal party. But the damage, as he himself admitted, had been done.
Fewer than half of Volpe's elected delegates showed up at the Liberals' leadership convention in Montreal, prompting him to drop out before the first ballot's votes had been counted.
Booking Glen Pearson as your warm-up act
The newly elected London MP gave a rousing introduction to Stéphane Dion's speech at the Liberal leadership convention in Montreal. Unfortunately, he also gave an extremely verbose introduction. Dion couldn't make up the time that Pearson had chewed up, leaving organizers to cut him off mid-speech - and a good chunk of his written text to go unheard.
Following Scott Brison across the floor
Whether it was out of principle or sheer bad luck, the Nova Scotia MP has an uncanny knack for throwing his support behind the wrong guy. Once he dropped off the ballot at the Liberals' convention, Brison crossed over to Bob Rae's camp. This was not unexpected, and many other Liberals did likewise. But once Rae was knocked off, Brison became the only leadership candidate to throw to Michael Ignatieff - who was promptly and predictably defeated by Stéphane Dion.
This was not an unfamiliar fate for Brison. At the 2002 Progressive Conservative leadership convention, he formed an alliance with Jim Prentice after being eliminated from contention - only to watch Prentice fall to Peter MacKay.
BAD IDEAS IN JOURNALISM
Heartfelt odes to Caribbean despots
It is possible that while scuba diving in Cuba, Pierre Trudeau once saw Fidel Castro "prying sea urchins off the ocean floor, grinning" - 60 feet under, mind you, and without the benefit of an oxygen tank. But when Pierre's son Alexandre included it in his astonishing 1,440-word tribute to the ailing Cuban dictator, published in the August 13 edition of the Toronto Star, it acquired a certain veneer of absurdity.
"His intellect is one of the most broad and complete that can be found," Trudeau informed Star readers. "He is an expert on genetics, on automobile combustion engines, on stock markets. On everything."
He is, in Trudeau's estimation, "something of a superman" - which presumably explains why, when Cubans occasionally complain about their lot in life, they do so "as an adolescent might complain about a too strict and demanding father."
Clearly the elder Trudeau had a soft spot for Fidel, but we suspect he might have advised Alexandre to tone it down a few notches - lest he become the object of ridicule. Which he did.
"His father gave us the Charter of Rights," Jonathan Kay wrote in the National Post. "So what is Sacha Trudeau doing writing obsequious agitprop for a communist thug?"
And if Sacha was right that "Cubans will always feel privileged that they, and they alone, had Fidel," Barbara Amiel wondered, why do so many of them "risk drowning to escape him"?
Stockwell Day: columnist
By his standards, Day's stint as Minister of Public Safety has been remarkably smooth sailing. But while the cache of Day's grammatically-impaired columns for the Penticton Western News discovered in December might not rank among his top 50 gaffes, it's definitely good for a few snickers.
Just don't expect him to stop. In his December 20 missive, which featured some questionable verbiage, Day vowed to keep calling things as he sees it. We can only hope.
BAD IDEAS IN DAMAGE CONTROL
Appearing on Tout le monde en parle
Radio-Canada's flagship current affairs show in 2006 offered two studies in how not to get yourself out of trouble.
First there was Guy Fournier, the CBC chair whose September 9 column in 7 Jours included the declaration - possibly in jest - that "In Lebanon, the law allows men to have sexual relations with animals as long as they are female! Doing the same thing with male beasts can result in the death penalty."
When a chastened Fournier showed up on Radio-Canada on September 17 to explain himself, he instead found himself explaining a previously little-heard radio interview in which he had professed great fondness for defecation. "As you grow older, you continue to go poop once a day if you are in good health, while it is not easy to make love every day. So finally, the pleasure is longer-lasting and more frequent than the other," he had said.
Having "lost the confidence of Canada's new government," Fouriner resigned two days after his TV appearance.
In October, Tout le monde en parle claimed another victim. In late July, Liberal leadership candidate Michael Ignatieff had told the Toronto Star that the Israeli bombing of an apartment building in the Lebanese town of Qana was "frankly inevitable in a situation in which you have rocket-launchers within 100 yards of a civilian population." Then, and not for the last time, he jammed his foot in his mouth: "This is the kind of dirty war you're in when you have to do this and I'm not losing sleep about that," he said.
Ignatieff quickly apologized, and was still apologizing two months later when he appeared on Radio-Canada - only to stuff in the other foot. "I demonstrated a lack of compassion, it was a mistake," he said. "…I'm a professor of the laws of war, and what happened at Qana was a war crime."
He later backed down from the "war crime" statement as well, but not before losing his campaign co-chair, Susan Kaldis.
Playing dumb when you've just betrayed your constituents
Former industry minister David Emerson crossed the floor to the Conservatives mere days after being elected in Vancouver Kingsway as a Liberal (the Conservative candidate finished third).
By way of explanation, he claimed that he had run on a non-partisan platform and would be better able to serve his constituents as a member of the government. But as CTV News pointed out, he had sung a much different tune on election night.
"We have got to look at this as Ground Zero for rebuilding a stronger, more vibrant, healthier, winning Liberal party," Emerson told supporters. And he informed reporters that he "would like to be Stephen Harper's worst nightmare."
In the days that followed, he claimed to be shocked at the vicious invective being hurled in his general direction. Canadians could be forgiven for wondering exactly which cave Emerson had been hiding in during Belinda Stronach's defection.
Playing dumb on behalf of someone who's just betrayed his constituents
After Emerson's defection and appointment as international trade minister, various Conservatives attempted to explain why this was altogether different from Stronach's defection and appointment as human resources minister.
An offering from British Columbia MP James Moore - who had called Stronach a "poster child for hypocrisy" - epitomized this line of thinking. Moore stressed that the situations were different because Harper had approached Emerson, whereas Stronach had made the initial overtures to Paul Martin.
It's unclear which he believed was better.
Appearing on Tout le monde en parle
Radio-Canada's flagship current affairs show in 2006 offered two studies in how not to get yourself out of trouble.
First there was Guy Fournier, the CBC chair whose September 9 column in 7 Jours included the declaration - possibly in jest - that "In Lebanon, the law allows men to have sexual relations with animals as long as they are female! Doing the same thing with male beasts can result in the death penalty."
When a chastened Fournier showed up on Radio-Canada on September 17 to explain himself, he instead found himself explaining a previously little-heard radio interview in which he had professed great fondness for defecation. "As you grow older, you continue to go poop once a day if you are in good health, while it is not easy to make love every day. So finally, the pleasure is longer-lasting and more frequent than the other," he had said.
Having "lost the confidence of Canada's new government," Fouriner resigned two days after his TV appearance.
In October, Tout le monde en parle claimed another victim. In late July, Liberal leadership candidate Michael Ignatieff had told the Toronto Star that the Israeli bombing of an apartment building in the Lebanese town of Qana was "frankly inevitable in a situation in which you have rocket-launchers within 100 yards of a civilian population." Then, and not for the last time, he jammed his foot in his mouth: "This is the kind of dirty war you're in when you have to do this and I'm not losing sleep about that," he said.
Ignatieff quickly apologized, and was still apologizing two months later when he appeared on Radio-Canada - only to stuff in the other foot. "I demonstrated a lack of compassion, it was a mistake," he said. "…I'm a professor of the laws of war, and what happened at Qana was a war crime."
He later backed down from the "war crime" statement as well, but not before losing his campaign co-chair, Susan Kaldis.
Playing dumb when you've just betrayed your constituents
Former industry minister David Emerson crossed the floor to the Conservatives mere days after being elected in Vancouver Kingsway as a Liberal (the Conservative candidate finished third).
By way of explanation, he claimed that he had run on a non-partisan platform and would be better able to serve his constituents as a member of the government. But as CTV News pointed out, he had sung a much different tune on election night.
"We have got to look at this as Ground Zero for rebuilding a stronger, more vibrant, healthier, winning Liberal party," Emerson told supporters. And he informed reporters that he "would like to be Stephen Harper's worst nightmare."
In the days that followed, he claimed to be shocked at the vicious invective being hurled in his general direction. Canadians could be forgiven for wondering exactly which cave Emerson had been hiding in during Belinda Stronach's defection.
Playing dumb on behalf of someone who's just betrayed his constituents
After Emerson's defection and appointment as international trade minister, various Conservatives attempted to explain why this was altogether different from Stronach's defection and appointment as human resources minister.
An offering from British Columbia MP James Moore - who had called Stronach a "poster child for hypocrisy" - epitomized this line of thinking. Moore stressed that the situations were different because Harper had approached Emerson, whereas Stronach had made the initial overtures to Paul Martin.
It's unclear which he believed was better.
BAD IDEAS IN PUBLIC URINATION
Decorating a national monument
What Stephen Fernandes couldn't do with a little moderation and a time machine. The 23-year-old Montreal resident celebrated Canada Day 2006 by drinking what he later estimated to be "26 or 27 ounces of vodka, plus five or six beers" - then draining some of it on the National War Memorial.
Fernandes claims not to remember any of it - probably a wise strategy, whether true or not. Unfortunately for him, his drunken exploits were captured for posterity by a retired Canadian Forces Major and splashed across the front page of the Ottawa Citizen. Canadians' outrage knew few bounds, with many suggesting it was indicative of youngsters' ignorance of all things military and historical.
"It's not easy knowing the entire country thinks you're a dim-wit," Fernandes told CanWest News, noting that his résumé included volunteer work at a Veterans' Hospital. His heartfelt apology was mostly well-received on Canadian newspapers' comment pages, but at last check he was still facing a charge of mischief.
Decorating a national monument
What Stephen Fernandes couldn't do with a little moderation and a time machine. The 23-year-old Montreal resident celebrated Canada Day 2006 by drinking what he later estimated to be "26 or 27 ounces of vodka, plus five or six beers" - then draining some of it on the National War Memorial.
Fernandes claims not to remember any of it - probably a wise strategy, whether true or not. Unfortunately for him, his drunken exploits were captured for posterity by a retired Canadian Forces Major and splashed across the front page of the Ottawa Citizen. Canadians' outrage knew few bounds, with many suggesting it was indicative of youngsters' ignorance of all things military and historical.
"It's not easy knowing the entire country thinks you're a dim-wit," Fernandes told CanWest News, noting that his résumé included volunteer work at a Veterans' Hospital. His heartfelt apology was mostly well-received on Canadian newspapers' comment pages, but at last check he was still facing a charge of mischief.
BAD IDEAS IN POLICY
Taking an Afghanistan position without knowing what it is
On September 9, the NDP passed a motion urging the government to "take the necessary measures to ensure the safe and immediate withdrawal of troops from Afghanistan." But a few short weeks later, leader Jack Layton was seemingly softening the stance, claiming in a Toronto Star op-ed that he was calling "for the withdrawal of Canadian Forces from the combat mission in southern Afghanistan."
The confusion has persisted, and is immortalized on a single web page. The NDP's four-month-old petition's catchy title is "Support our troops: bring 'em home." But its message is slightly different: "We, [sic] call upon Government of Canada to begin the withdrawal of Canadian Forces from the counter-insurgency mission in southern Afghanistan."
On October 28, Layton said that "it's time to pull our troops out of Kandahar" and called for "a new role for Canada on the ground in Afghanistan, a balanced role whose priorities are security, aid, and reconstruction." Fairly or not, the impression is that Layton is being deliberately vague - not to mention opportunistic. "If the NDP is so eager to tether its tent to the Afghan mission," the Star's Chantal Hebert wrote in September, "it is in no small part because it is running out of other ground to stake for itself."Declaring the Québécois a nation without knowing who they are
As far as political gamesmanship goes, it was a Canadian classic. As nation-building, it was about as slapdash as it gets. In November, the Bloc Québécois announced it would table a motion recognizing Quebecers - "les Québécoises et les Québécois" - as a nation.
Despite the obvious separatist motives behind the Bloc's move, simply defeating it wasn't seen as an option. That would ostensibly have implied a repudiation of this nationhood, and thus fueled separatist fires. So the Conservatives fired back with a motion proposing to recognize Quebecers "within a united Canada." Game, set and match.
But not so fast. First the Tories lost their their intergovernmental affairs minister - Michael Chong resigning in protest. And then, after the motion had passed with a measly 16 votes against, came an uncomfortable question.
Unlike the Bloc's motion, the government's used the word "Québécois" in both English and French. Why? What did it mean? The Prime Minister having conveniently decamped to Latvia, the likes of Senator Marjory LeBreton and Transport Minister Lawrence Cannon were left to make sense of the developments.
They didn't much succeed.
On September 9, the NDP passed a motion urging the government to "take the necessary measures to ensure the safe and immediate withdrawal of troops from Afghanistan." But a few short weeks later, leader Jack Layton was seemingly softening the stance, claiming in a Toronto Star op-ed that he was calling "for the withdrawal of Canadian Forces from the combat mission in southern Afghanistan."
The confusion has persisted, and is immortalized on a single web page. The NDP's four-month-old petition's catchy title is "Support our troops: bring 'em home." But its message is slightly different: "We, [sic] call upon Government of Canada to begin the withdrawal of Canadian Forces from the counter-insurgency mission in southern Afghanistan."
On October 28, Layton said that "it's time to pull our troops out of Kandahar" and called for "a new role for Canada on the ground in Afghanistan, a balanced role whose priorities are security, aid, and reconstruction." Fairly or not, the impression is that Layton is being deliberately vague - not to mention opportunistic. "If the NDP is so eager to tether its tent to the Afghan mission," the Star's Chantal Hebert wrote in September, "it is in no small part because it is running out of other ground to stake for itself."Declaring the Québécois a nation without knowing who they are
As far as political gamesmanship goes, it was a Canadian classic. As nation-building, it was about as slapdash as it gets. In November, the Bloc Québécois announced it would table a motion recognizing Quebecers - "les Québécoises et les Québécois" - as a nation.
Despite the obvious separatist motives behind the Bloc's move, simply defeating it wasn't seen as an option. That would ostensibly have implied a repudiation of this nationhood, and thus fueled separatist fires. So the Conservatives fired back with a motion proposing to recognize Quebecers "within a united Canada." Game, set and match.
But not so fast. First the Tories lost their their intergovernmental affairs minister - Michael Chong resigning in protest. And then, after the motion had passed with a measly 16 votes against, came an uncomfortable question.
Unlike the Bloc's motion, the government's used the word "Québécois" in both English and French. Why? What did it mean? The Prime Minister having conveniently decamped to Latvia, the likes of Senator Marjory LeBreton and Transport Minister Lawrence Cannon were left to make sense of the developments.
They didn't much succeed.
BAD IDEAS IN ATTACK POLITICS
Implying your opponent wants to invade Canada
It was the campaign ad that launched a thousand parodies - thirty awe-inspiring, tone-deaf seconds that implied Stephen Harper wanted to flood Canadian cities with troops. "Soldiers with guns. In Canada. We did not make this up," the narrator warned viewers.
The ultimate sign of desperation on the part of Paul Martin's Liberals, it was all but an admission they had run out of intelligent ways to attack their opponents. And the best part is, it blew up in the Liberals' face without even airing.
Implying your opponent likes Karla HomolkaLeading up to the bitter provincial by-election campaign in Toronto's Parkdale-High Park - the seat vacated by Gerard Kennedy - NDP candidate Cheri DiNovo freely disclosed her checkered past. Among other things, she admitted to smuggling LSD to Canada from California - no small transgression.
But when the Ontario Liberals oversimplified one of the United Church Minister's sermons to suggest she had compared the persecution of Karla Homolka to that of Jesus Christ, it did for DiNovo exactly what the infamous allegations that Paul Martin supported child pornography did for the federal Liberals in 2004 - it helped her win. And in the process, Dalton McGuinty's party surrendered the moral highground it had claimed after a 2001 by-election in which the NDP dredged up past writings of Liberal candidate Bob Hunter to imply he was a pedophile.
Anything and everything related to "doggate"
Denis Coderre's October 19 point of order in the House of Commons is a fitting introduction to one of Canada's foremost bad idea-rich scandals of 2006.
Responding to a strange comment about his dog, Peter MacKay had told Liberal benches they "already had her" - an alleged reference to noted floor-crosser Belinda Stronach, MacKay's ex-girlfriend. "It is disgusting," Coderre thundered. "It is shameful. I demand to know why the Minister of Foreign Affairs stated that. I want to know at whom he was aiming. I want him to apologize to everyone. It is disgusting."
No apology was forthcoming from MacKay, nor any admission of guilt. But opposition MPs sought to parlay the exchange into a wholesale damnation of the Conservative party's attitude towards women. "After depicting a woman as his dog, how can the minister of foreign affairs pretend to promote women's rights in Afghanistan or anywhere else?" asked Ralph Goodale.
On October 30, when the Speaker refused to rule on the incident, it briefly looked like the issue might die. But that same day, Norman Spector - a Globe and Mail columnist and former ambassador to Israel - stepped things up by calling Stronach a "bitch."
"I think she's a bitch and I think that 90 per cent of men would probably say she's a bitch, for the way she's broken up (former Toronto Maple Leaf) Tie Domi's home and the way she dumped Peter MacKay," he said on Vancouver's CKNW radio. "She is a bitch," he repeated, just for good measure.
Howls of indignation echoed through the universe, including calls for his dismissal from the Globe's comment pages. Stronach was less strident, simply suggesting that Spector might have "some issues that he needs perhaps to deal with."
It was the campaign ad that launched a thousand parodies - thirty awe-inspiring, tone-deaf seconds that implied Stephen Harper wanted to flood Canadian cities with troops. "Soldiers with guns. In Canada. We did not make this up," the narrator warned viewers.
The ultimate sign of desperation on the part of Paul Martin's Liberals, it was all but an admission they had run out of intelligent ways to attack their opponents. And the best part is, it blew up in the Liberals' face without even airing.
Implying your opponent likes Karla HomolkaLeading up to the bitter provincial by-election campaign in Toronto's Parkdale-High Park - the seat vacated by Gerard Kennedy - NDP candidate Cheri DiNovo freely disclosed her checkered past. Among other things, she admitted to smuggling LSD to Canada from California - no small transgression.
But when the Ontario Liberals oversimplified one of the United Church Minister's sermons to suggest she had compared the persecution of Karla Homolka to that of Jesus Christ, it did for DiNovo exactly what the infamous allegations that Paul Martin supported child pornography did for the federal Liberals in 2004 - it helped her win. And in the process, Dalton McGuinty's party surrendered the moral highground it had claimed after a 2001 by-election in which the NDP dredged up past writings of Liberal candidate Bob Hunter to imply he was a pedophile.
Anything and everything related to "doggate"
Denis Coderre's October 19 point of order in the House of Commons is a fitting introduction to one of Canada's foremost bad idea-rich scandals of 2006.
Responding to a strange comment about his dog, Peter MacKay had told Liberal benches they "already had her" - an alleged reference to noted floor-crosser Belinda Stronach, MacKay's ex-girlfriend. "It is disgusting," Coderre thundered. "It is shameful. I demand to know why the Minister of Foreign Affairs stated that. I want to know at whom he was aiming. I want him to apologize to everyone. It is disgusting."
No apology was forthcoming from MacKay, nor any admission of guilt. But opposition MPs sought to parlay the exchange into a wholesale damnation of the Conservative party's attitude towards women. "After depicting a woman as his dog, how can the minister of foreign affairs pretend to promote women's rights in Afghanistan or anywhere else?" asked Ralph Goodale.
On October 30, when the Speaker refused to rule on the incident, it briefly looked like the issue might die. But that same day, Norman Spector - a Globe and Mail columnist and former ambassador to Israel - stepped things up by calling Stronach a "bitch."
"I think she's a bitch and I think that 90 per cent of men would probably say she's a bitch, for the way she's broken up (former Toronto Maple Leaf) Tie Domi's home and the way she dumped Peter MacKay," he said on Vancouver's CKNW radio. "She is a bitch," he repeated, just for good measure.
Howls of indignation echoed through the universe, including calls for his dismissal from the Globe's comment pages. Stronach was less strident, simply suggesting that Spector might have "some issues that he needs perhaps to deal with."
BAD IDEAS IN ACTIVISM
Sealing the deal
Could Paul McCartney's annus horribilis have started with his less-than-spectacular trip to Canada?
When McCartney and then-wife Heather Mills McCartney travelled to Atlantic Canada to protest the annual seal hunt, they quickly found themselves in over their heads. First, an ungrateful seal pup reportedly attempted to take a chunk out of them. Then, appearing on Larry King Live, they responded to Premier Danny Williams' invitation to visit Newfoundland by replying that they already were in Newfoundland - only to learn that they were, in fact, in Prince Edward Island.
Just a few months later, Sir Paul filed for an acrimonious divorce from his wife. Beware the curse of anti-seal hunt activism.BAD IDEAS IN OUTRAGEAssuming the worst about Wayne Gretzky
For nine giddy days, it looked like there might actually be some dirt under The Great One's fingernails. His assistant coach in Phoenix, Rick Tocchet, was charged with running a gambling ring; anonymous sources hinted that Gretzky's wife, Janet, might be implicated as well.
The media had a field day. Would Gretzky himself be charged? Did Janet contradict Wayne - who said he'd never bet on sports - when she said he'd bet on "the occasional horse race"? Would he abandon the Olympic hockey team, for fear he'd be a distraction? Would his eventual decision not to abandon the team "taint" the entire games? Once he was cleared of all charges, would his reputation ever recover?
The Toronto Sun's Mike Ulmer was a rare voice of restraint. "The vast majority of Canadians identify [Gretzky] as one of the finest amalgams of our virtues," he wrote. "And they are wondering what he did to deserve this."
Ten months later, Tocchet remains the only hockey figure under indictment. Janet Gretzky is suing the state of New Jersey for defamation. And Gretzky seems once again to be a national hero and head coach of a mediocre hockey club in the Arizona desert.
Taking Republican attack ads seriously
"Canada can take care of North Korea," said the mustachioed fellow in a broad southern drawl. "They're not busy."
There was plenty to dislike in the Republican National Committee's now-notorious hit job on Democrat Harold Ford, so much so that it was big news south of the border as well. Ford's campaign and the NAACP labeled it as racist, and even Ford's opponent wanted it pulled. But the blustery, hypersensitive Canadian reaction seemed a tad overwrought.
"Is this what Canadians should be expecting as the outcome of cozying up to Mr. Bush by the Prime Minister and his Conservatives?" Liberal MP Omar Alghabra asked in the House of Commons. Then his indignation redlined. "I have a question for the Prime Minister. Will he call his mentor, President Bush, and demand this insulting ad be pulled from the airwaves immediately, and stand up for Canada, but for real this time?"
Could Paul McCartney's annus horribilis have started with his less-than-spectacular trip to Canada?
When McCartney and then-wife Heather Mills McCartney travelled to Atlantic Canada to protest the annual seal hunt, they quickly found themselves in over their heads. First, an ungrateful seal pup reportedly attempted to take a chunk out of them. Then, appearing on Larry King Live, they responded to Premier Danny Williams' invitation to visit Newfoundland by replying that they already were in Newfoundland - only to learn that they were, in fact, in Prince Edward Island.
Just a few months later, Sir Paul filed for an acrimonious divorce from his wife. Beware the curse of anti-seal hunt activism.BAD IDEAS IN OUTRAGEAssuming the worst about Wayne Gretzky
For nine giddy days, it looked like there might actually be some dirt under The Great One's fingernails. His assistant coach in Phoenix, Rick Tocchet, was charged with running a gambling ring; anonymous sources hinted that Gretzky's wife, Janet, might be implicated as well.
The media had a field day. Would Gretzky himself be charged? Did Janet contradict Wayne - who said he'd never bet on sports - when she said he'd bet on "the occasional horse race"? Would he abandon the Olympic hockey team, for fear he'd be a distraction? Would his eventual decision not to abandon the team "taint" the entire games? Once he was cleared of all charges, would his reputation ever recover?
The Toronto Sun's Mike Ulmer was a rare voice of restraint. "The vast majority of Canadians identify [Gretzky] as one of the finest amalgams of our virtues," he wrote. "And they are wondering what he did to deserve this."
Ten months later, Tocchet remains the only hockey figure under indictment. Janet Gretzky is suing the state of New Jersey for defamation. And Gretzky seems once again to be a national hero and head coach of a mediocre hockey club in the Arizona desert.
Taking Republican attack ads seriously
"Canada can take care of North Korea," said the mustachioed fellow in a broad southern drawl. "They're not busy."
There was plenty to dislike in the Republican National Committee's now-notorious hit job on Democrat Harold Ford, so much so that it was big news south of the border as well. Ford's campaign and the NAACP labeled it as racist, and even Ford's opponent wanted it pulled. But the blustery, hypersensitive Canadian reaction seemed a tad overwrought.
"Is this what Canadians should be expecting as the outcome of cozying up to Mr. Bush by the Prime Minister and his Conservatives?" Liberal MP Omar Alghabra asked in the House of Commons. Then his indignation redlined. "I have a question for the Prime Minister. Will he call his mentor, President Bush, and demand this insulting ad be pulled from the airwaves immediately, and stand up for Canada, but for real this time?"
BAD IDEAS IN TELEVISION
Little Mosque on the Prairie
CBC-TV promises "an unabashedly comedic look at a small Muslim community interacting with the denizens of a little prairie town." One way or the other, this has bad idea written all over it.
Unabashedness has been mostly absent from the Mother Corp since Kids in the Hall closed shop in 1995, and in the meantime it may have forgotten what the word means. Viewers will reportedly find that the Muslims and the prairie folk are "surprisingly similar when it comes to family, love, the generation gaps and our attempts to balance our secular and religious lives while trying to understand those of others in the community."
This sounds suspiciously like what most Canadians already believe. But if it's as groundbreaking as some press - including the New York Times - seems to imply, the controversy-averse CBC could be in for a very rough 2007.
Getting Bob Rae naked
To some, a great moment in Canadian comedy. To others, wholly and egregiously unnecessary.
CBC-TV promises "an unabashedly comedic look at a small Muslim community interacting with the denizens of a little prairie town." One way or the other, this has bad idea written all over it.
Unabashedness has been mostly absent from the Mother Corp since Kids in the Hall closed shop in 1995, and in the meantime it may have forgotten what the word means. Viewers will reportedly find that the Muslims and the prairie folk are "surprisingly similar when it comes to family, love, the generation gaps and our attempts to balance our secular and religious lives while trying to understand those of others in the community."
This sounds suspiciously like what most Canadians already believe. But if it's as groundbreaking as some press - including the New York Times - seems to imply, the controversy-averse CBC could be in for a very rough 2007.
Getting Bob Rae naked
To some, a great moment in Canadian comedy. To others, wholly and egregiously unnecessary.
***************************
The year in quotes
A celebration of oratory excellence - from Stephen Harper and Peter MacKay to Michael Ignatieff and Myron Thompson
Compiled by Philippe Gohier, Macleans.ca Updated Wednesday, December 27, 2006, at 15:09 EST
On keeping a stiff upper lip...
"Canadians don't cut and run at the first sign of trouble."-Prime Minister Stephen Harper on why there shouldn't be a parliamentary debate on the extension of the military's mission to Afghanistan. (He later relented.)
"Rebalance the mission. What does that mean? I mean, what the hell does that mean?” -Harper on the opposition's calls for a review of the mission to Afghanistan.
"What do you guys in the media expect? A war without deaths?"-An unidentified senior Conservative, on the media's coverage of mounting Canadian deaths in Afghanistan
"You suffer two dead and you cry and shout all around the place that there are coffins."-Pakistani President Pervez Musharaff on Canada's reaction to military deaths in Afghanistan
"If I come home alive that'll be good, you know what I mean?" -Pte. Jordan Lobb on being on being deployed to Afghanistan
On messaging...
"PMO will have final approval for all communications products - even Notes to Editors or Letters to the Editor."-An internal e-mail distributed to senior bureaucrats shortly after the Conservatives' election victory
"Idiotic buzzwords coined by political hacks." -Geological Survey of Canada scientist Andrew Okulitch on being told to refer in his reports to "Canada's new government" instead of the more traditional "Government of Canada"
"We're certainly not going to hire a comedian to promote it."-Harper on how his government plans to sell the Clean Air Act to Canadians. He was referring to Rick Mercer's turn promoting the Liberals' One-Tonne Challenge.
On damage control...
"We will have to confiscate that tape and consider it, consider our next steps." -Conservative MP Pierre Polièvre's reaction to getting caught on camera swearing at fellow parliamentary committee membersOn chivalry...
"You already have her." -Foreign Affairs Minister Peter MacKay's alleged answer to a question about what the government's green plan would do for his dog. MacKay apparently said it while pointing to the empty seat of Liberal MP Belinda Stronach, his former girlfriend."I don't think she ever had a Conservative bone in her body - well, except for one. Speaking of Peter MacKay..."-Ralph Klein, then the Alberta premier, on Stronach
"I think she's a bitch. It's as simple as that."-Pundit and former Mulroney chief of staff Norman Spector on Belinda Stronach
"She might have the best hair of any COP President, but she will be remembered as the worst COP President in the history of the climate convention."-A newsletter circulated by the Climate Action Network, on Environment Minister Rona AmbroseOn optimism...
"Volunteers right across the land are flowing into campaign offices. We are on the march, and we are marching towards a remarkable comeback." -Paul Martin on the Liberals' momentum heading into the last federal election
On fear...
"Anyone who knows Stephen Harper knows he's not afraid of very many things." -Health Minister Tony Clement on claims the Prime Minister declined to appear at the World AIDS Conference in Toronto because he was afraid of getting booed
On loyalty...
"I do not believe that I have left my party. My party left me." -Ontario MP Garth Turner, on getting kicked out of the Conservative caucus over his blog postings
"I mean, I've still got newspapers in my recycling box that have David Emerson slamming the Conservatives." -An unidentified caller to Vancouver talk-radio station CKNW on Emerson's defection from the Liberals to the Tories
"I can live with these threats as long as they're not from my caucus.'' -Harper on the revelation that Toronto-area terror suspects had allegedly considered beheading himOn dares...
"Well, don't give me the opportunity." -Harper on Liberal Senator Jim Munson's suggestion that the PM "would like nothing better than to fight an election on the backs of the Senate"On moonlighting...
"[Spend] his weekends collecting empty bottles." -Former Quebec finance minister Yves Séguin on how Harper will find the money to fix the "fiscal imbalance"
On fallout...
"In the space of 13 days, the flamboyant and self-assured Charles Guité appears to have withdrawn into himself and become a shadow of what he was, and that is the tragedy of Charles Guité and what he has become." -Justice Fraser Martin in sentencing the former senior bureaucrat to 42 months in jail for his role in the sponsorship scandal
"It was apparent that Parliament, which should be at centre stage in matters of accountability and responsibility for the expenditure of public funds, had been shifted to the side, kept in the dark, and not involved in important decisions of government policy." -Justice John Gomery in his February report on the sponsorship scandal
On injustice
I am able to say categorically that there is no evidence to indicate that Mr. Arar has committed any offence or that his activities constitute a threat to the security of Canada." -Justice Dennis O'Connor, in clearing Maher Arar of any wrongdoing in the case that led to his deportation and subsequent torture in Syria
"Mr. Arar's original removal from the United States in 2002 was based on information from a variety of sources, as is his current watch-list status."-U.S. ambassdor David Wilkins, who declined to elaborate on why his country still considers Arar a threat
On depravity...
"The worst of the worst that society has to offer."-Liberal MP David McGuinty on the men caught urinating on the War Memorial in Ottawa during Canada Day celebrations
On planning ahead...
"You should have sold them yesterday." -Rotman School of Business finance professor Laurence Booth's advice to investors on what to do with income trust units, after Finance Minister Jim Flaherty announced they'll be taxedOn exiting gracefully...
"...unless the party wants me to go earlier.'' -Ralph Klein, setting a retirement date of October 2007. While the comment was delivered with a laugh, it proved prescient when he received just 55% support in a leadership review - prompting him to step down in 2006.
"They were right about us not having a plan."-Klein on his government's response to Alberta's economic boom
On power...
"One of the perks of leadership is that they won't cut your microphone."-Stéphane Dion, after winning the Liberal leadership. He was referring to the previous night, when his convention speech was cut short.
On parliamentary debate...
"When they're yelling and hollering like that, that's like Coach's Corner." -Don Cherry after a brief visit to the House of Commons
On diplomacy and/or romance...
"She loves the cool Atlantic breeze here in Nova Scotia and she left the window open last night." -Peter MacKay on what he learned about U.S. Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice during her visit to his home province of Nova Scotia
"There were no candles."-U.S. State Department spokesman Sean McCormack on Rice's dinner with MacKay
On diplomacy and/or political suicide...
"This is the kind of dirty war you're in when you have to do this and I'm not losing sleep about that." -Liberal MP Michael Ignatieff on Israel's bombing of Qana after initial reports suggested "dozens" of civilian deaths
"I was a professor of human rights, and I am also a professor of the laws of war, and what happened in Qana was a war crime, and I should have said that."-Ignatieff revises his position on the Israeli bombing
On confusion...
"Myron Thompson doesn't know what to think."-Conservative MP Myron Thompson on his government's motion recognizing the Québécois as a nation
On paraphrasing...
"[Supreme Court Justice Beverly McLachlin] herself said when they step into this role that suddenly there's some kind of mystical power that comes over them [and] everything that they've ever decreed is not to be questioned." -Conservative MP Maurice Vellacott on Supreme Court judges. McLachlin "categorically denied" making the statement and the incident pushed Vellacott to resign from his position as chair of the Commons aboriginal affairs committee.
On laziness...
"We work less than Americans and infinitely less than Americans. We have to work harder."-Former Quebec premier Lucien Bouchard, on Quebecers
On 'roid rage...
"I would suggest that he abandon his Perry Mason on steroids routine and just stick to the truth."-Public Safety Minister Stockwell Day on Liberal MP Mark Holland
"They are like the Taliban on steroids." -Peter MacKay on Hezbollah
On analogies...
"That's in the same category as cellphones that now take pictures. That's innovation." -Quebec Premier Jean Charest on the federal government's recognition of the Québécois as a nation
"Mr. Speaker, where I come from, the only thing worse than egg-sucking dogs is when they start running in packs. It would seem there are feathers flying and chicken coops being plundered right across the country as the Liberal leadership candidates are using their parliamentary staff to promote their own Liberal Party members."-New Democrat MP Pat Martin on the Liberal leadership
******************
PoliticsWatch's Top 10 Political Stories for 2006
by Romeo St. Martin
[PoliticsWatch Updated 5:00 p.m. December 22, 2006]
[PoliticsWatch Updated 5:00 p.m. December 22, 2006]
Canada changed a lot in 2006, with a new government, a greater combat role in the War on Terrorism, a new Liberal leader and politicians lining up to prove who was most environmentally friendly. In this year of change, PoliticsWatch has made its selections for the 10 biggest political news stories of 2006.
Prime Minister Stephen Harper on the campaign trail.
Prime Minister Stephen Harper on the campaign trail.
1. Harper wins, Martin resignsAfter 13 years in opposition, the Conservatives return to power winning a minority government on January 23. That same night then prime minister Paul Martin tells supporters in Montreal he will resign as leader of the Liberal party. The results of the 2006 election was a stunning reversal of fortunes for Martin and Conservative Leader Stephen Harper. A little more than two years earlier, Martin appeared to be in the first days of leading Canada for close to decade, while Harper was being written off as too right wing for former Progressive Conservatives and voters in Ontario. Harper and the Tories won a well-scripted and policy-oriented election campaign, while Martin and the Liberals stumbled in the New Year with the blowback from the RCMP income-trust investigation. But the killer blow came on the night of the final leaders' debate when a Liberal election ad was yanked for suggesting Harper and the Tories would put soldiers in the streets of Canadian cities. The ad and the Liberal reaction to it created a backlash with voters and seemed to kill any momentum the Liberals hoped to regain.
> Tory minority> Martin resigns> Critics wrong about Harper> Election 2006- Who's gone-> PoliticsWatch's 10 new MPs to watch> Martin says he approved attack ads> Ask the RCMP, PM tells reporters
> Tory minority> Martin resigns> Critics wrong about Harper> Election 2006- Who's gone-> PoliticsWatch's 10 new MPs to watch> Martin says he approved attack ads> Ask the RCMP, PM tells reporters
2. Dion wins Liberal leadership raceOn December 2, Stephane Dion pulled off a stunning victory in the Liberal leadership race on the convention floor at the Palais des Congres in Montreal. Dion outwitted and outlasted 10 other leadership opponents, including heavy favourites Michael Ignatieff and Bob Rae, in a marathon leadership race that lasted nearly 10 months. "I'm the frontrunner now," a grinning Dion told reporters after the third ballot when Gerard Kennedy's delegates moved to him in large numbers. As far as Canadian politics goes, the 2006 Liberal leadership convention will go down as a classic, with plenty of deal making, drama and the undergo winning the day.
> Liberal Leadership 2006> Liberal leadership race wide open with McKenna out> "Front runner" Ignatieff faces uphill battle> Liberal leadership race takes shape> DION WINS- Puts Harper on notice
> Liberal Leadership 2006> Liberal leadership race wide open with McKenna out> "Front runner" Ignatieff faces uphill battle> Liberal leadership race takes shape> DION WINS- Puts Harper on notice
3. Harper's command and controlA well-publicized battle with the Parliamentary Press Gallery and centralized control of policy and communication from the PMO have dominated much of the storyline of Stephen Harper's first year in office. Harper irked the Press Gallery by insisting reporters put their names on list controlled by his press secretary before asking questions at news conferences. He also refused to announce when cabinet meetings are being held in order to prevent reporters from setting up outside the meeting room. Harper's actions and refusals to hold take questions from reporters unless their names were on his list prompted most reporters to walk out at one of his news conferences in June. But reporters weren't the only ones who felt restricted. In March, the Globe and Mail reported the details of an e-mail sent to bureaucrats outlining the government's rigid communications strategy. "PMO will have final approval for all communications products -- even Notes to Editors or Letters to the Editor," the e-mail obtained by the Globe stated. According to the e-mail, bureaucrats were told to reduce the amount of ministerial and public events that take away from the government's five priorities outlined during the election campaign. The PMO must approve all ministerial events also, the email said.
> Press Gallery accuses PMO of impeding freedom of the press> Harper's code of silence revealed> PMO proposes secret cabinet meetings to avoid press scrutiny > The PM and the media- Understanding "inside Ottawa stuff"> Press Gallery agrees to go on PM's list> Harper losing his tight grip
> Press Gallery accuses PMO of impeding freedom of the press> Harper's code of silence revealed> PMO proposes secret cabinet meetings to avoid press scrutiny > The PM and the media- Understanding "inside Ottawa stuff"> Press Gallery agrees to go on PM's list> Harper losing his tight grip
4. Toronto Terror Plot The June 3 arrest of Toronto-area 17 men suspected of plotting a major terrorist attack on Canadian soil had reverberations on Parliament Hill. "There's an allegation that my client personally indicated that he wanted to behead the prime minister of Canada," Gary Batasar, who represents suspect Steven Chand, told reporters in Brampton on the first day of criminal proceedings. Batasar said a synopsis of the allegations included a plot to storm the Parliament buildings, blow up some of the buildings, take politicians hostage and demand Canada pull out of Afghanistan. That comment made the Toronto terror plot a major political story and prompted renewed concerns about security on Parliament Hill. However, Harper reacted calmly to the alleged threat on his life."I can live with all of these threats as long as they're not from my caucus," Harper told reporters as he left question period and headed up the stairs to his Centre Block office. > Terror suspect's lawyer says client accused of wanting to behead PM> MPs feel safe on Hill despite terror plot> Torture claims in Al-Qaeda playbook
5. AfghanistanThe Canadian mission in Afghanistan became a political focal point this year. Casualties increased dramatically as Canadians battled the Taliban in the country's southern province. In 2006, 35 Canadian soldiers and one diplomat were killed while serving in Afghanistan. At the beginning of the year, all parties seemed supportive of the mission. That was until the prime minister answered the calls of the opposition parties and held a vote in the House of Commons on extending the mission until 2009. The vote created an open split in the Liberal party, which originally agreed to sending Canadian troops to Afghanistan. In the end, Harper's motion passed in the House of Commons by four votes. The difference were the 24 Liberal MPs that voted with the government. By summer, the Green party voted at its convention to pull troops out of Afghanistan and shortly after that NDP Leader Jack Layton took the same position.
> PM visits troops in Afghanistan> PM's Afghan vote puts opposition parties on the spot> Afghanistan not a war- Defence Minister> Opposition turns up heat on Afghan mission> Karzai thanks Canadians; thousands rally to support troops
6. The Green Agenda When the new Conservative government was sworn in in February, the decision to name Rona Ambrose the environment minister was just a footnote in most news coverage. But 10 months later and Ambrose as environment minister seems to hold the most prominent cabinet job in Ottawa. Growing concerns about climate change and the environment has catapulted the issue to the forefront making it second to only health-care in polls.Not surprisingly, the Green Party has been one of the main beneficiaries. The party's leadership convention was covered lived by Newsworld for the first time. And Green Party Leader Elizabeth May finished ahead of the Conservatives and the NDP in a London-area byelection in November. The Liberals picked Dion, a former environment minister with dog named Kyoto, as their leader. Dion campaigned on a platform of sustainable development. And the most anticipated piece of legislation this fall was the government's Clean Air Act, which was criticized by opposition parties and most environmental groups.
> The Made in Canada climate change mystery > Dion defends environmental record > Environment groups claim to have Clean Air Act > Tory Green Day> Opposition parties vow to gut Clean Air Act> Layton not concerned with strong Green showing
> PM visits troops in Afghanistan> PM's Afghan vote puts opposition parties on the spot> Afghanistan not a war- Defence Minister> Opposition turns up heat on Afghan mission> Karzai thanks Canadians; thousands rally to support troops
6. The Green Agenda When the new Conservative government was sworn in in February, the decision to name Rona Ambrose the environment minister was just a footnote in most news coverage. But 10 months later and Ambrose as environment minister seems to hold the most prominent cabinet job in Ottawa. Growing concerns about climate change and the environment has catapulted the issue to the forefront making it second to only health-care in polls.Not surprisingly, the Green Party has been one of the main beneficiaries. The party's leadership convention was covered lived by Newsworld for the first time. And Green Party Leader Elizabeth May finished ahead of the Conservatives and the NDP in a London-area byelection in November. The Liberals picked Dion, a former environment minister with dog named Kyoto, as their leader. Dion campaigned on a platform of sustainable development. And the most anticipated piece of legislation this fall was the government's Clean Air Act, which was criticized by opposition parties and most environmental groups.
> The Made in Canada climate change mystery > Dion defends environmental record > Environment groups claim to have Clean Air Act > Tory Green Day> Opposition parties vow to gut Clean Air Act> Layton not concerned with strong Green showing
7. MideastThe situation in the Mideast had a major impact in Canada this year. The month-long war between Israel and Hezbollah brought the political conflict to Canada like never before after Prime Minister Stephen Harper clearly sided with Israel. And the Liberals were in damage control mode after one of their MPs, Borys Wrzesnewskyj, told reporters while on a fact-finding mission in the region that Canada should talk to the terror group Hezbollah. That prompted Harper's parliamentary secretary, Jason Kenney, to hold a news conference in Ottawa where he made it clear where the government stood. For Kenney, it did not matter whether or not Hezbollah had elected members to Lebanon's parliament, as some had argued. "There was another political party in the past which had support, democratic support, which provided social services, which played an important role in the political life of Germany in the 1930s, which was also dedicated to violence against the Jewish people," Kenney said. "The world was wrong to negotiate with that party and it would be wrong to negotiate with Hezbollah today and I'm shocked that Mr. Wrzesnewskyj doesn't understand that."
> PM talks tough on Iran > Israel has the right to defend itself- Harper > Opposition leaders criticize Harper for taking sides> Tory MP compares Hezbollah to Nazis> Confront terror- Harper
> PM talks tough on Iran > Israel has the right to defend itself- Harper > Opposition leaders criticize Harper for taking sides> Tory MP compares Hezbollah to Nazis> Confront terror- Harper
8. Garth Turner booted, Michael Chong quitsThe good news for the Conservatives this year was that non of its MPs defected to another party and no cabinet ministers had to resign amid scandal. However, the new government still suffered losses. In October, maverick MP Garth Turner was unceremoniously dumped from caucus after months of openly criticizing the government. The official word from the Tories was that caucus members were concerned about Turner revealing caucus confidences on his blog. But Turner said there was no doubt his outspoken nature was the prime reason. "I can tell you this morning that caucus confidentiality at least in the caucus meeting I was in was not discussed," Turner told reporters at his press conference. "It was not the issue. The issue were my belief on policies. That was the issue."Meanwhile, the Tories first cabinet resignation was one of the most selfless and principled acts seen in Ottawa in recent memory. Harper's intergovernmental affairs minister Michael Chong, a promising young Tory, stepped down because he could not support his own government's motion recognizing the Quebecois as a nation. "I believe in this great country of ours, and I believe in one nation undivided, called Canada," Chong said at a press conference hours before a vote on the motion in the House. "This is a fundamental principle for me, and not something I can, or will, compromise -- not now, not ever. While I'm loyal to my party and to my leader, my first loyalty is to my country." Coincidentally, most of Ottawa became aware of Chong's resignation after Turner posed a question to the prime minister in question period.
> Top Tory dissidents to watch > Blogging Tory MP gets the boot > Garth being courted > MPs close to quitting- Turner > Tory quits cabinet over Quebec motion
> Top Tory dissidents to watch > Blogging Tory MP gets the boot > Garth being courted > MPs close to quitting- Turner > Tory quits cabinet over Quebec motion
9. Maher ArarMaher Arar made headlines again this year after the findings of public inquiry were made public on the first day of the fall session of Parliament. The fallout from that report has already been massive, leading to the resignation of RCMP chief Giuliani Zaccardelli.
> MPs want Arar leakers held accountable> Arar pleased with RCMP apology > Harper "concerned" about RCMP chief's testimony
> MPs want Arar leakers held accountable> Arar pleased with RCMP apology > Harper "concerned" about RCMP chief's testimony
10. Emerson, Fortier controversyWhen Stephen Harper and his cabinet were being sworn in at Rideau Hall in February, reporters were surprised with two of the people who arrived for the ceremony -- David Emerson, a former Liberal cabinet minister, and Michael Fortier, a Tory organizer from Quebec. Both men were sworn into cabinet, creating a major controversy for the Tories. Fortier was not elected, but wound up in cabinet after the prime minister appointed him to the Senate. The move seemed highly cynical for Harper, who had been a long critic of the unelected Senate. While Harper was not previously opposed to floor crossers, the decision to include Emerson in cabinet created problems for a large number of Tory MPs who had earlier voted in favour of a private member's bill banning the practice. > First day, first scandal> Tory MPs say Emerson should run in byelection> Harper tells Shapiro to butt out
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PoliticsWatch's Best and Worst Political Performers of 2006
by Romeo St. Martin
[PoliticsWatch Updated 5:00 p.m. December 22, 2006]
[PoliticsWatch Updated 5:00 p.m. December 22, 2006]
The winners (and losers) are in. Find out who were the best and worst cabinet ministers and MPs, the biggest dissidents in 2006 and the MPs to watch out for in the future.
PoliticsWatch presents The Best and Worst Political Performers of 2006.
Cabinet Performers
1. Jim Flaherty, Finance The former Ontario finance minister has made quite an impression in Ottawa in his first year here. Flaherty is unshakeable in question period and scrums. The more the opposition attacks him the more he seems to smile. If Flaherty begins taking French lessons, then Stephen Harper better watch his back.
2. David Emerson, TradeThree words -- softwood lumber deal. After a rocky start when he defected from the Liberals, Emerson proved to be an asset to the Conservative government by getting the provinces and most of the lumber industry on side to settle a never-ending trade dispute with the U.S.
3. John Baird, Treasury BoardSomebody tell this guy he's in government. Baird is a strong believer in the strategy that the best defence is a good offence. So whenever he is grilled in question period, Baird takes great pleasure turning the tables on the Liberals who are questioning him, usually with entertaining results. Baird also was key in getting the government's landmark legislation, the Federal Accountability Act, amended and through a minority Parliament and a Liberal-controlled Senate.
4. Vic Toews, Justice After the prime minister, Toews is probably the busiest man in Ottawa. Toews is overseeing the government's tough-on-crime agenda and has introduced 11 of the 45 bills introduced by the government since January.
5. Jim Prentice, Indian AffairsPrentice chairs the cabinet's powerful operations committee and is rumoured to get a bigger cabinet job if or when there is a cabinet shuffle.
Cabinet Under Performers
1. Michael Fortier, Public Works The Phantom of Ottawa is here. Unlike Emerson, Fortier has not performed well enough in his job to overshadow the controversy that saw him come into cabinet. While he promised he would be accountable, the appointed Senator is rarely seen by reporters on the Hill and almost never scrums after question period.
1. Michael Fortier, Public Works The Phantom of Ottawa is here. Unlike Emerson, Fortier has not performed well enough in his job to overshadow the controversy that saw him come into cabinet. While he promised he would be accountable, the appointed Senator is rarely seen by reporters on the Hill and almost never scrums after question period.
2. Maxime Bernier, IndustryIn fairness, Bernier is a rookie MP who has been thrust into a major cabinet portfolio. Nonetheless, it was hard to differentiate his performance before the Commons industry committee in the spring from a Saturday Night Live skit. Bernier answered virtually every question about what the government was going to do to help various economic sectors with the same answer, which was reading talking points about the tax cuts contained the federal budget.
3. Bev Oda, HeritageOttawa is still waiting for Oda's CBC mandate review and she has been largely silent on the government's decision to cut $4.5 million from the Museums Assistance Program. In addition to being one of the weaker ministers in question period, Oda also had to cancel a Tory fundraiser organized by the head of regulatory affairs for media giant CanWest after the opposition parties suggested it was a conflict of interest.
4. Loyola Hearn, FisheriesHearn is showing himself to be reluctant to take advice from the House of Commons and his caucus colleagues. He was caught by surprise during his appearance before the Commons fisheries committee when Tory MP John Cummins lobbed less than friendly questions to him. On the plus side, Hearn has taken credit, tongue-in-cheek, for the Paul McCartney-Heather Mills break-up, because of the seal hunt debate. "We'll take some credit for that," he said.
5. Rona Ambrose, EnvironmentWith no previous cabinet experience at the federal or provincial level and less than two years in Parliament, Ambrose was given the environment portfolio, which had traditionally been a second-tier cabinet post. And with that, she was given an impossible task of essentially having to admit Canada can't meet its Kyoto targets and then come up with a new "Made in Canada" plan. As much as Ambrose is panned by the opposition parties and some in the media, there aren't too many politicians anywhere in the world that could make that sell. Ambrose begrudgingly makes this list, but mainly to point out that she has become a scapegoat for a poorly-designed government strategy. Whoever was environment minister for Harper would have made this list, even Brian Mulroney.
Top Performing MPs
1. Garth Turner, Independent Love him or hate him, Garth Turner has made his mark in Ottawa this year. In addition to getting booted out of the Tory caucus, Turner has been a leading advocate of democratic reform and income-splitting. He was also the person who broke the news of cabinet minister Michael Chong's resignation during question period. In addition to his role as an MP, Turner diligently updates his blog, which has become a must-read for Press Gallery reporters.
1. Garth Turner, Independent Love him or hate him, Garth Turner has made his mark in Ottawa this year. In addition to getting booted out of the Tory caucus, Turner has been a leading advocate of democratic reform and income-splitting. He was also the person who broke the news of cabinet minister Michael Chong's resignation during question period. In addition to his role as an MP, Turner diligently updates his blog, which has become a must-read for Press Gallery reporters.
2. Jason Kenney, ConservativeThis Tory MP may not be in cabinet, but he appears to be the most powerful backbench MP in recent memory. As Harper's parliamentary secretary, Kenney flawlessly pinch-hits for the PM when he is not in question period. And the MP is believed to be very influential in the government's foreign policy.
3. Pat Martin, NDP NDP MP Pat Martin has been a busy man as the NDP's ethics critic and was the swing vote on the Commons committee examining the Accountability Act. The Winnipeg MP had one of the best quotes of the year after a fundraising controversy overtook Liberal MP Joe Volpe's leadership bid. “The Liberal Party is like an egg-sucking dog … they dig under the fence to get at that money and they just can’t be cured. With an egg-sucking dog, all you can do is put them down.”
4. Serge Menard, BlocAll members of the Commons public security committee deserve credit for their follow-up investigation of the Maher Arar affair, but Bloc MP Serge Menard, a former public security minister in the PQ government, ranks among the best when it comes to grilling witnesses, including former RCMP Commissioner Giuliano Zaccardelli.
5. Peter Stoffer, NDPStoffer was voted by his colleagues this year as Most Collegial MP, but he is also one of the hardest working who champions many causes, including veterans. This year, Stoffer proposed a motion in the Commons to offer a formal state funeral for the last Canadian veteran of the First World War. The motion passed unanimously. "Offering a state funeral for the last Canadian veteran of the First World War is a fitting and symbolic tribute to recognize the great personal sacrifices of those who have served and who are currently serving our country," Stoffer said at the time.
Under Performing MPs
1. Paul Martin, Liberal Martin did a good job not overshadowing the interim Liberal leader and deserves kudos for his private member's bill on the Kelowna Accord. However, the former PM's noticeable absence from the vote on extending the Afghanistan mission puts him at the top of the list.
1. Paul Martin, Liberal Martin did a good job not overshadowing the interim Liberal leader and deserves kudos for his private member's bill on the Kelowna Accord. However, the former PM's noticeable absence from the vote on extending the Afghanistan mission puts him at the top of the list.
2. Colin Mayes, ConservativeThis rookie B.C. MP made headlines this year after he defended the PM's new restrictions on media access in a column to his local paper. Mayes went further and suggested journalists would be more responsible if they faced jail terms for professional misconduct. "Boy, would the public get accurate and true information if a few reporters were hauled away to jail! Maybe it is time that we hauled off in handcuffs reporters that fabricate stories, or twist information and even falsely accuse citizens." Mayes quickly retracted his comments.
3. David McGuinty, Liberal McGuinty played a key role in one of the bigger controversies in the Commons this fall. He was the Liberal that provoked to Foreign Affairs Minister Peter MacKay to allegedly make the "dog" remark in the House of Commons. The whole confrontation took place during a question period debate on the Clean Air Act. McGuinty was able to get under MacKay's skin by asking if MacKay was concerned about climate change's impact on his dog, who was photographed with him after his break-up with Liberal MP Belinda Stronach.. While McGuinty was going on to reporters about MacKay's lack of decorum, he was pressed to explain why he was heckling MacKay. McGuinty's response is about as lame as you can get in politics. "My motivation asking Mr. MacKay about his dog and asking about wildlife and asking in French about other wildlife on a regular basis about climate change is because I've put 22 years of my life into fighting climate and fighting for Kyoto."
4. Rod Bruinooge, ConservativeEven people who aren't fans of Paul Martin were not impressed with Bruinooge's attack of the former prime minister when he appeared before the Commons aboriginal affairs committee to discuss his private member's bill to recognize the Kelowna Accord. "Mr. Martin, are you pursuing this as a legacy item, perhaps due to the fact that the only legacy it seems you have is the fact that your nemesis served you up a rather large political grenade in terms of the sponsorship scandal?" he asked the former prime minister. "Is this something that you're attempting to use as a legacy item?"
5. Pierre Poilievre, ConservativeDropping an f-bomb during a committee meeting, making obscene gestures to opposition MPs during a vote and starting a standing ovation virtually every time Baird speaks in question period puts Poilievre on this list.
Biggest Tory Dissidents
1. Michael Chong, Conservative Michael Chong is no trained seal. The former intergovernmental affairs minister resigned from his cabinet job because he could not support Harper's motion recognizing Quebec as a nation.
1. Michael Chong, Conservative Michael Chong is no trained seal. The former intergovernmental affairs minister resigned from his cabinet job because he could not support Harper's motion recognizing Quebec as a nation.
2. Garth Turner, former Conservative Whether it was floor crossers, MP perks or the environment, Turner was never afraid to speak (or in his case blog) his mind on the issue even if it ruffled the feathers of the PMO. Not surprisingly, Turner was booted from caucus.
3. John Cummins, Conservative The veteran Tory MP has butted heads with a cabinet minister during a committee meeting and sent a letter to the PM and the media publicly stating he cannot support an aboriginal treaty the government plans to sign.
4. Inky Mark, ConservativeMark gets on this list because of his opposition to his own government's plans for the Canadian Wheat Board -- voting against the government twice -- and also for not supporting the motion recognizing Quebec as a nation.
5. Bill Casey, ConservativeWas one of the few Tory MPs to originally voice concerns about Emerson's floor-crossing and was among a handful of MPs to decide to vote against reopening the gay marriage debate after originally voting against it last year.
Top Four MPs Under Forty
1. Helena Guergis, Conservative As parliamentary secretary to Emerson, Guergis played an integral role in seeing the softwood lumber deal through committee. In addition, she had perhaps the best quote about the whole MacKay-Stronach dog comment when she said in the House, “I have to say that I do believe that Canadians are probably sick and tired of being dragged into a high school romance gone wrong."
2. Mark Holland, LiberalStockwell Day calls him "Perry Mason on steroids," but the Toronto-area MP has become the Liberal point man on the Arar scandal. In addition, Holland was one of the key backers of Liberal leadership kingmaker Gerard Kennedy.
3. Dominic LeBlanc, LiberalLeBlanc was the master of ceremonies at the Liberal leadership convention and even moderated a number of the leadership debates. In addition, he was also key in seeing the softwood lumber deal through committee.
4. Ruby Dhalla, LiberalThe Toronto-area MP is the party's health-critic but was also a campaign co-chair for Michael Ignatieff's leadership bid.
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YEAR IN REVIEW - Top Searches of 2006
Reality with a twist and a dip: Striking it rich was a preoccupation with most Canadians using News Search this year as lottery-themed searches dominated our charts showing up twice, including in the No. 1 spot, helped along nicely by the Ontario lottery scandal that dominated the headlines in November.
It was followed closely by the hit reality-TV series Dancing with the Stars and its own scandals. Contestant Shanna Moakler split with her husband Blink 182 drummer Travis Barker as well as getting into a fistfight with Paris Hilton. And contestant Tia Carrere was romantically linked (allegedly) with former Toronto Maple Leafs bruiser Tie Domi, who split with his wife after another alleged romance with Liberal MP Belinda Stronach.
It was followed closely by the hit reality-TV series Dancing with the Stars and its own scandals. Contestant Shanna Moakler split with her husband Blink 182 drummer Travis Barker as well as getting into a fistfight with Paris Hilton. And contestant Tia Carrere was romantically linked (allegedly) with former Toronto Maple Leafs bruiser Tie Domi, who split with his wife after another alleged romance with Liberal MP Belinda Stronach.
Top 10 News Searches:1. OLGC2. Halloween3. Dancing With the Stars4. Toronto Maple Leafs5. Shanna Moakler6. People Magazine7. Lotto 6498. Tia Carrere9. Iran10. Income trusts
Top 10 Newsmakers:1. Shanna Moakler2. Tia Carrere3. Kenneth Thomson4. Stephen Harper5. JonBenet Ramsey6. Zinedine Zidane7. Jack Layton8. Curtis Dagenais9. Michaelle Jean10. Tom Cruise
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Toronto Year in Review
COLIN MCCONNELL / TORONTO STAR
In November, Torontonians, alongside the Radio City Rockettes, set a new Guinness World Record for the longest kick line in history when 1,681 people showed up to beat the previous record set in Stein, Germany, of 1,150 in July 2004.
COLIN MCCONNELL / TORONTO STAR
In November, Torontonians, alongside the Radio City Rockettes, set a new Guinness World Record for the longest kick line in history when 1,681 people showed up to beat the previous record set in Stein, Germany, of 1,150 in July 2004.
December 28, 2006
January
1 – A 21-year-old man found slumped in the front seat of a car in a convenience store parking lot is Toronto's first homicide victim of 2006 – dead of apparent gunshot wounds. Police find the body of Dillan Yhanike Anderson in a Cadillac parked in the Dufferin St.-Eglinton Ave. W. area near a dumpster loaded with garbage, a bullet hole visible through the front windshield.
4 – Vowing to fight crime and keep taxes down, Toronto Councillor Jane Pitfield formally throws her hat into the ring for November's mayoral race.
8 – An 11-year-old girl dies after being hit by a car while using a pedestrian crosswalk. Police say the girl was walking her dog across Islington Ave. near Golfdown Dr. in Rexdale at around 6:30 p.m. when she was hit by a northbound car.
12 – The Cat, the troubled Rochester-Toronto ferry service, dies suddenly after a long illness, leaving in its wake heavy financial losses, grieving supporters and much-beloved sister ferries on the East Coast.
14 – Walking through a rundown Toronto neighbourhood where two young men were shot dead last year, members of the Guardian Angels civilian patrol group receive a warm welcome, despite some critics saying their presence could incite further violence.
20 – The temperature in downtown Toronto reaches a balmy 12C, breaking the record of 11.7C set in 1921. At Pearson airport, the temperature reaches a high of 11.4C, breaking the record for Jan. 20 set in 1988 of 11.1C.
27 – Five people are treated for broken bones after an elevator in the National Life building on University Ave. plunges at least five storeys. "They had to be rescued from inside the elevator. It was considered a rescue," says Stephan Powell from the Toronto Fire Department. A lawsuit has since been launched by those injured.
february
6 – A North York woman, Silvana Conforti, who lives across the street from the Northwood Community Centre, hears what sounds like a bomb going off in her two-storey brick house and discovers a Honda Accord with a dead woman inside had plowed through the side of her home and into the bathroom. The driver is Chantel Dunn, 19, a York University student who had picked up her boyfriend, Shane Morrison, at the centre. As they left the parking lot, assailants shot at the couple. Dunn kept driving, but her boyfriend jumped out of the car and ran. Morrison, who survived, was the apparent target.
7 – Eight TTC workers and four firefighters are taken to hospital after being overcome by fumes in the tunnels near Eglinton station. The subway system is closed between Bloor and York Mills for an investigation.
8 – The TTC hikes its fares for the second time in two years. As of April 1, the cost of a cash fare increases 25 cents to $2.75 and the price of a Metropass by $1. Seniors and students also face higher fares.
15 – A Toronto comic faces pornography charges after police search his home. Robert Norman Smith, 40, the actor who plays an obnoxious Scot in Alexander Keith beer commercials, is charged with two counts of possession of child pornography and one count of making available child pornography. Smith is out on bail awaiting trial. His preliminary inquiry, to determine if there is enough evidence to send to trial, is set for March 5 and 6, 2007.
21 – A court gives the troubled St. Clair streetcar project the go-ahead. The City of Toronto and the Toronto Transit Commission receive permission to build the 6.7-kilometre dedicated streetcar line along St. Clair Ave. W.
march
12 – Marie Curtis, reeve of the former village of Long Branch, dies at 94. She was elected reeve in 1953 and was a fierce advocate for her constituents. As the first woman to sit on Metro Council, she made her mark by opposing the Bloor-Danforth subway line because she couldn't support the idea of Long Branch residents subsidizing the TTC while bus fares in her village were rising unfairly.
15 – Toronto police crack a child pornography Internet ring. Authorities announce the arrest of 27 people in Canada, the U.S., Britain and Australia involved in distributing thousands of child-porn images and "live streaming video" of sex assaults on children.
– Three people at Yonge and Dundas Sts. are injured when sections of a billboard plummet 18 storeys.
21 – Illegal workers in Toronto's underground economy are being deported as the new Conservative government abandons a Liberal amnesty plan, immigration lawyers and consultants say. Some families who have been in Canada five years or more are given less than two weeks to pack up and leave. Toronto's Portuguese community – with up to 15,000 undocumented members, working mainly in the booming construction industry – is especially concerned.
29 – A 46-year-old cyclist falls to his death after a bizarre accident on a bridge in Mississauga. Witnesses say that Andrzej Sacawa lost control as he was riding along a sidewalk on the bridge on Burnamthorpe Rd. over the Credit River. He then tumbled over the railing. According to Peel Const. Kathy Weylie, the railing is "quite low if you're on a bike."
april
7 – A Toronto judge finds the grandparents of Jeffrey Baldwin guilty of the second-degree murder of the five-year-old. Elva Bottineau, 54, and Norman Kidman, 53, face an automatic sentence of life in prison for the Nov. 30, 2002, death. Jeffrey endured terrible abuse, and died emaciated.
12 – Louise Russo, shot in the back and paralyzed in a failed gang hit at a North York restaurant, is awarded $2 million in restitution in a controversial plea bargain. Five Toronto men plead guilty to their role in the conspiracy and are sent to jail.
18 – The neighbourhood featuring four beaches is to be officially called "The Beach." The head of the Beaches business association makes the announcement at the Toronto Public Library Beaches Branch.
19– Toronto's first attempt to survey its entire population of homeless people is done. Volunteers and city staff interviewed 5,052 homeless individuals on Toronto's streets, in ravines and parks, and in shelters, health care facilities and correctional institutions. Overwhelmingly, homeless people said they wanted permanent housing and the assistance to get it.
23 – Steve Stavro, former owner of the Toronto Maple Leafs, dies of a heart attack at the age of 78. The Macedonian-born Stavro was a self-made tycoon who built the Knob Hill Farm grocery empire. He was also a great enthusiast of horse racing and soccer.
25 – Urban activist and author Jane Jacobs dies in Toronto at the age of 89. Born in Pennsylvania in 1916, Jacobs moved to New York during the Depression years. In 1958, after writing about downtowns for Fortune magazine, she received a grant from the Rockefeller Foundation to write about cities. She and her family left New York City and moved to Toronto in 1968. In both New York and Toronto, she led fights to preserve neighbourhoods and stop expressways.
26 – A single-car accident leaves 85-year-old Mississauga Mayor Hazel McCallion unhurt after she drives into a street sign. Municipal observers wonder whether the veteran politician should still be driving. The mayor was slapped with a $110 ticket and agreed to get a chauffeur.
may
1 –A Mississauga woman narrowly escapes injury after the wing flap of a jet aircraft falls hundreds of metres onto her sport utility vehicle. She had just parked her car on Argentia Rd., near Winston Churchill Blvd. and Highway 401, when the wing flap – about three metres long and a metre wide – sliced through the rear metal spoiler and shattered the tinted rear windshield, causing about $3,000 in damage.
4 – A minor earthquake measuring 2.7 on the Richter scale hits Oakville.
9 – Chinese visa student Min Chen, 23, admits in court he abducted and murdered 9-year-old Cecilia Zhang in October 2003.
15 – Blayne Lastman announces that his father, Mel Lastman, is rejoining Bad Boy, the furniture and appliance store the former Toronto mayor founded in 1955. The stores will now be called Lastman's Bad Boy.
18– In the biggest-ever gang sweep in the history of the Toronto police force, 600 officers carry out 78 search warrants and take 100 people into custody in an attempt to dismantle the Jamestown Crew, based in a Rexdale public housing complex. 23 – Toronto City Council restricts the number of garage sales residents can have to just two a year.
25 – Toronto City Council votes 39-2 in favour of making a bid for the world's fair.
27 – A high-speed car crash kills a couple about to celebrate their 17th wedding anniversary, and police charge a driver in the suspected street-racing incident. Rob and Lisa Manchester die when one of two Hondas roaring north on Yonge St. broadsides their Hyundai as it turns onto Stouffville Rd. The Manchesters were the parents of 7-year-old Katie.
29 – Toronto endures an illegal TTC strike on a hot and smoggy Monday morning. The wildcat strike takes riders by surprise and disrupts transit well into the evening. About 700,000 commuters are forced to walk, bicycle or carpool. Highways and roads are jammed with traffic. It takes two separate orders from the Ontario Labour Relations Board to get the drivers and ticket-takers back to work. TTC union and management discord had been brewing for months over issues such as driver safety and health premiums.
31 – A smoking ban in enclosed public places, including specially ventilated smoking rooms, officially comes into effect in Ontario. There are also new restrictions on tobacco displays and cigarette advertising in stores. The provincial ban has angered many bar and pub owners. It fulfills Premier Dalton McGuinty's promise to ban workplace smoking within three years of taking office.
– The Dupont subway station is evacuated and 10 people are treated for smoke inhalation after a mechanical problem aboard a subway car.
June
6 – Amid a labour dispute, Rick Ducharme resigns as chief general manager of the TTC. Ducharme, 58, says he is sick of "political interference" from his commission overlords. The resignation comes at a time when the TTC is reeling from a wildcat strike and struggling with low morale.
14 –Toronto's new opera house, the Four Seasons Centre for the Performing Arts, opens with performances from a bevy of international opera stars.
– Residents of a Richmond Hill neighbourhood are shaken after a 2-year-old boy and his nanny drown in a backyard swimming pool. York Region police say the boy, his mother and their nanny were visiting the home of a friend.
28 – The curtain falls on the Canadian production of Lord of the Rings. The lavish $27 million blockbuster took four years to bring to the stage and opened at Toronto's Princess of Wales Theatre to much fanfare. Blaming poor reviews and commercial North American tastes, producer Kevin Wallace announces the musical will close early and be reworked for London.
July
14 – About 65,000 GO Transit commuters are forced to find alternative ways home after a CN freight train derails in the city's west end, near the GO Mimico station. Tempers flare during rush hour at Union Station, with some commuters yelling at the GO Transit monitors indicating their trains are cancelled or delayed. All seven lines of the commuter service are brought to a halt by the accident. Between six and 10 VIA Rail trains – carrying more than 1,000 passengers – were delayed.
16 – Toronto suffers its fourth extreme heat alert. By this time last year there had been 14. The latest alert is issued when Environment Canada expects temperatures to hit a record 36C. By the end of the day, they reach only 34C.
24 – In a precedent-setting move, the Alcohol and Gaming Commission of Ontario revokes the liquor licence of the Docks, a waterfront nightclub and entertainment complex, over noise complaints.
25 – Patsy the elephant dies at age 40. The matriarch of the Toronto Zoo's elephant herd for 33 years is euthanized after a period of failing health due to long-term degenerative arthritis.
26 –Louise Bennett Coverley, renowned folklorist, dies in Toronto at the age of 86. Known universally as "Miss Lou," the Jamaican-born poet, actress, singer and storyteller had been living in Canada since 1987. She has a long connection with Toronto and was the star performer at the first Caribana festival in 1967.
27–Toronto City Council gives itself a 9-per-cent raise. The increase is decided in a tight 22-21 vote and boosts councillors' salaries to $95,000 a year, from $87,214, and the mayor's salary to $160,000, from $147,856, beginning Jan. 1, 2007.
30 – Ken Morrish dies at the age of 87. By the time he left Metro Council in 1997, Morrish was known far and wide as "Mr. Scarborough." He leaves a legacy of public and private service, building Scarborough from a semi-rural municipality into a suburban city.
august
1 –As the mercury continues to soar toward potentially record-breaking temperatures, the agency that monitors electricity use in Ontario issues a "power warning," requesting that customers cut back. The warning is issued as temperatures reach 36C, which feels more like the low 40s C with humidity.
13 – A revolution in the fight against AIDS is at hand, philanthropists Bill and Melinda Gates say during the keynote speech at the opening ceremony in Toronto of the 16th International AIDS Conference. An estimated 24,000 delegates from around the world attend the conference.
18 – A Toronto lawyer once considered a rainmaker in city and provincial politics pleads guilty to money laundering as friends including police brass, a former general and a judge look on. Peter Shoniker, a former Crown attorney was charged in June 2002 with four counts of money laundering in an RCMP sting operation, involving the movement of $750,000 in cash to a New York bank account.
21– General Motors announces it will build the redesigned Camaro in Oshawa, Ont., a move that will save thousands of Canadian jobs. The new Camaro is scheduled to roll off the line in 2008, the same year the No. 2 Oshawa car plant was slated for closure. The move will save 2,700 jobs in Oshawa.
28 – Two people are taken to hospital after a house explodes near Queensway E. and Cawthra Rd. in Mississauga.
– Toronto has everything, but not one thing to make it stand out and that's why the editors of Travel + Leisure magazine leave it off their list of top 10 U.S. and Canadian cities. Four Canadian cities make the list: Vancouver ranks highest at six. Quebec City is in seventh place, followed by Victoria and Montreal.
september
7 – The 31st Toronto International Film Festival opens with the historical film The Journals of Knud Rasmussen, about Canada's Inuit. Highlights included Away from Her, Sarah Polley's full-feature directorial debut; Babel, starring Brad Pitt; the Borat movie from Sacha Baron Cohen; Shut Up and Sing, about the fallout from the Dixie Chicks' criticism of George W. Bush; and the latest from Pedro Almodovar, Volver.
11 – Toronto police say three deaths at the Delta Chelsea Hotel on Gerrard St. just west of Yonge St. may be a murder-suicide, but they won't rule out the possibility that a fourth person was involved. It is later discovered the incident involves a love-triangle in which a man kills his girlfriend and another man. The killer's father later commits suicide in Switzerland.
13 – Lukas Rossi, a 29-year-old from Toronto, is chosen to front the band Supernova, ending the TV talent search on Rock Star: Supernova.
14 –A suspicious package is found aboard an Air India flight bound for Birmingham, England. The flight returns to Toronto's Pearson International Airport after a passenger discovers the package on a washroom floor. The airplane is taxied to a remote part of the runway and about 150 passengers are removed and taken to the airport's infield terminal.
24–Martin Poyser, 41, of Toronto, becomes the fourth runner in the past five years to die at a marathon event when he collapses about 700 metres from the finish line in his half-marathon race at the Scotiabank Toronto Waterfront Marathon.
26 – Shortly before divorce proceedings between former Maple Leaf Tie Domi and his estranged wife Leanne are to begin in a downtown courtroom, lawyers say the couple have reached an interim settlement. The negotiated consent order includes agreements on giving child custody to the mother, payment of her legal fees and a restraining order that states Tie Domi is to "be restrained from molesting, annoying or harassing Leanne Domi or from communicating with Leanne Domi."
27 – A long-awaited report outlining the future of the Gardiner Expressway proposes the roadway be dismantled, left as is or have sections torn down, some to be replaced with tunnels. The Toronto Waterfront Revitalization Corp., which drafted the 2004 report, backs the removal of the elevated portion of the Gardiner between Spadina Ave. and the Don Valley Parkway for a 10-lane street.
28 – Three people are charged with aggravated assault and a fourth is sought following an egg-throwing incident on Sept. 23 in Mississauga that leaves a 12-year-old girl with possible permanent damage to her eye.
october
6 – A strike by 300 transit workers snarls commuters in Durham Region, forcing them to find alternate means of getting to work.
10 – Former Ontario attorney general Ian Scott, 72, dies at his home in Toronto. Scott, a respected lawyer, was attorney general from 1985-1990 in the Liberal government of David Peterson.
During those years, he introduced pay-equity legislation and waged a battle over full funding to separate schools. He quit the Legislature in 1991 and later suffered a debilitating stroke that robbed him of his ability to speak.
14 – Toronto entertainment promoter Gino Empry dies at age 83. Empry was an entertainment director and consultant for the Royal York Hotel's Imperial Room when it was the most prominent nightclub in the country. He represented some of the most famous names in show biz, such as Tony Bennett, Frank Sinatra, Peggy Lee and Ella Fitzgerald.
20 – A rare seven-alarm call attracts 170 firefighters to the corner of Queen and Sherbourne Sts. to fight a fire at a paint store.
27 – Local developers Joseph and Wolf Lebovic announce they are giving $50 million to Toronto's Mount Sinai Hospital, marking the largest donation of its kind in Canadian history.
november
2 – Toronto's bid to host Expo 2015 is dead due to lack of agreement between the city, Queen's Park and Ottawa. There was disagreement over who would cover an Expo deficit of at least $700 million.
7 – Multi-talented physician Vincent Lam wins the 13th annual Scotiabank Giller Prize and $40,000 for his short story collection Bloodletting & Miraculous Cures.
9 – The Radio City Rockettes kick up their heels – along with hundreds of other dancers and wannabes – and hit a new mark on Guinness World Records Day. Organizers say 1,681 people show up to link arms and dance for five minutes in an effort to beat the German record for the world's longest single line of dancers. The previous record, set in Stein, Germany, in July 2004, was 1,150.
13 – There are new mayors in half of the 24 municipalities across Greater Toronto, a political shift unseen in recent memory. The biggest upset of the night occurs in Vaughan, where Michael Di Biase, a 21-year veteran of Vaughan council and the incumbent, loses by a whisker to Linda Jackson, daughter of late Vaughan mayor Lorna Jackson. Hazel McCallion, 85, is easily elected to her 11th term as mayor of Mississauga and David Miller is elected to a second term as mayor of Toronto.
20 – The TTC unveils its new gold and silver token, with ridged edges, saying "the latest in technology" makes the token "next to impossible to reproduce." The transit agency says it has lost about $10 million from the sale of counterfeit tokens over the past two years.
21 – We're not as fat, we don't smoke as much and we're not as stressed as people in other major Canadian cities, according to a national study. But when you get down to the neighbourhood level, the disparities between the health of Torontonians are great – particularly between high- and low-income earners. The joint study, carried out by the Canadian Institute for Health Information and the Canadian Population Health Initiative, is the first of its kind to compare health outcomes and behaviours in Toronto, Montreal, Halifax, Vancouver and Calgary.
22 – Celtic musician and Cape Bretoner, John Allan Cameron dies in Toronto after a five-year battle with bone marrow cancer and leukemia.
23 –Toronto drug squad detectives arrive at an apartment building on Jane St. just north of Sheppard Ave. W. armed with search warrants for five apartments. By 6 p.m., stunned detectives have seized 6,600 plants in 22 separate apartments at 2600 Jane St., a 13-storey building.
27 –Toronto enjoys spring-like weather with temperatures reaching into the teens. Environment Canada forecasts mild weather for the next four days, although showers are likely.
29 –Terri Callaway, a mother of four, is killed while jogging near her Richmond Hill home when a vehicle hops a curb and strikes her while she runs along the sidewalk on North Lake Road, east of Yonge Street. The driver is charged with impaired driving.
december
6 – Adam Giambrone succeeds Howard Moscoe as chairman of the TTC.
10 – An 11-year-old boy, Brunthan Nadarajah, is dead and his 15-year-old friend, Kishoban Alakeswaran, fights for his life after they plunge through the frozen surface of a Scarborough pond on their way to a game of pick-up soccer. Nadarajah died while trying to rescue Kishoban, who dies in hospital one week later.
13 – A fast-spreading kitchen fire destroys Yorkville's celebrated Sassafraz restaurant over the lunch hour, filling some of downtown Toronto's most fashionable streets with smoke.
15 – A Toronto judge banishes a Christmas tree from a courthouse lobby, reigniting a controversy over public displays many thought ended in 2002 when public outrage overturned a decision to call the Nathan Phillips Square tree a "holiday tree."
17 – Monsignor Thomas Collins is appointed the new archbishop and spiritual leader of the Archdiocese of Toronto's 1.6 million Catholics. Collins, 59, archbishop of Edmonton since 1999, was born in Guelph. He takes over the post in late January replacing the retiring Aloysius Cardinal Ambrozic, 76.
– The Toronto Transit Commission is considering highrise development at its stations, with "hundreds of millions" riding in revenues. A property development committee set up by the TTC will focus on possible developments such as a 35-storey office tower atop the Eglinton-Yonge subway station and a 20-storey tower over the Islington station.
1 – A 21-year-old man found slumped in the front seat of a car in a convenience store parking lot is Toronto's first homicide victim of 2006 – dead of apparent gunshot wounds. Police find the body of Dillan Yhanike Anderson in a Cadillac parked in the Dufferin St.-Eglinton Ave. W. area near a dumpster loaded with garbage, a bullet hole visible through the front windshield.
4 – Vowing to fight crime and keep taxes down, Toronto Councillor Jane Pitfield formally throws her hat into the ring for November's mayoral race.
8 – An 11-year-old girl dies after being hit by a car while using a pedestrian crosswalk. Police say the girl was walking her dog across Islington Ave. near Golfdown Dr. in Rexdale at around 6:30 p.m. when she was hit by a northbound car.
12 – The Cat, the troubled Rochester-Toronto ferry service, dies suddenly after a long illness, leaving in its wake heavy financial losses, grieving supporters and much-beloved sister ferries on the East Coast.
14 – Walking through a rundown Toronto neighbourhood where two young men were shot dead last year, members of the Guardian Angels civilian patrol group receive a warm welcome, despite some critics saying their presence could incite further violence.
20 – The temperature in downtown Toronto reaches a balmy 12C, breaking the record of 11.7C set in 1921. At Pearson airport, the temperature reaches a high of 11.4C, breaking the record for Jan. 20 set in 1988 of 11.1C.
27 – Five people are treated for broken bones after an elevator in the National Life building on University Ave. plunges at least five storeys. "They had to be rescued from inside the elevator. It was considered a rescue," says Stephan Powell from the Toronto Fire Department. A lawsuit has since been launched by those injured.
february
6 – A North York woman, Silvana Conforti, who lives across the street from the Northwood Community Centre, hears what sounds like a bomb going off in her two-storey brick house and discovers a Honda Accord with a dead woman inside had plowed through the side of her home and into the bathroom. The driver is Chantel Dunn, 19, a York University student who had picked up her boyfriend, Shane Morrison, at the centre. As they left the parking lot, assailants shot at the couple. Dunn kept driving, but her boyfriend jumped out of the car and ran. Morrison, who survived, was the apparent target.
7 – Eight TTC workers and four firefighters are taken to hospital after being overcome by fumes in the tunnels near Eglinton station. The subway system is closed between Bloor and York Mills for an investigation.
8 – The TTC hikes its fares for the second time in two years. As of April 1, the cost of a cash fare increases 25 cents to $2.75 and the price of a Metropass by $1. Seniors and students also face higher fares.
15 – A Toronto comic faces pornography charges after police search his home. Robert Norman Smith, 40, the actor who plays an obnoxious Scot in Alexander Keith beer commercials, is charged with two counts of possession of child pornography and one count of making available child pornography. Smith is out on bail awaiting trial. His preliminary inquiry, to determine if there is enough evidence to send to trial, is set for March 5 and 6, 2007.
21 – A court gives the troubled St. Clair streetcar project the go-ahead. The City of Toronto and the Toronto Transit Commission receive permission to build the 6.7-kilometre dedicated streetcar line along St. Clair Ave. W.
march
12 – Marie Curtis, reeve of the former village of Long Branch, dies at 94. She was elected reeve in 1953 and was a fierce advocate for her constituents. As the first woman to sit on Metro Council, she made her mark by opposing the Bloor-Danforth subway line because she couldn't support the idea of Long Branch residents subsidizing the TTC while bus fares in her village were rising unfairly.
15 – Toronto police crack a child pornography Internet ring. Authorities announce the arrest of 27 people in Canada, the U.S., Britain and Australia involved in distributing thousands of child-porn images and "live streaming video" of sex assaults on children.
– Three people at Yonge and Dundas Sts. are injured when sections of a billboard plummet 18 storeys.
21 – Illegal workers in Toronto's underground economy are being deported as the new Conservative government abandons a Liberal amnesty plan, immigration lawyers and consultants say. Some families who have been in Canada five years or more are given less than two weeks to pack up and leave. Toronto's Portuguese community – with up to 15,000 undocumented members, working mainly in the booming construction industry – is especially concerned.
29 – A 46-year-old cyclist falls to his death after a bizarre accident on a bridge in Mississauga. Witnesses say that Andrzej Sacawa lost control as he was riding along a sidewalk on the bridge on Burnamthorpe Rd. over the Credit River. He then tumbled over the railing. According to Peel Const. Kathy Weylie, the railing is "quite low if you're on a bike."
april
7 – A Toronto judge finds the grandparents of Jeffrey Baldwin guilty of the second-degree murder of the five-year-old. Elva Bottineau, 54, and Norman Kidman, 53, face an automatic sentence of life in prison for the Nov. 30, 2002, death. Jeffrey endured terrible abuse, and died emaciated.
12 – Louise Russo, shot in the back and paralyzed in a failed gang hit at a North York restaurant, is awarded $2 million in restitution in a controversial plea bargain. Five Toronto men plead guilty to their role in the conspiracy and are sent to jail.
18 – The neighbourhood featuring four beaches is to be officially called "The Beach." The head of the Beaches business association makes the announcement at the Toronto Public Library Beaches Branch.
19– Toronto's first attempt to survey its entire population of homeless people is done. Volunteers and city staff interviewed 5,052 homeless individuals on Toronto's streets, in ravines and parks, and in shelters, health care facilities and correctional institutions. Overwhelmingly, homeless people said they wanted permanent housing and the assistance to get it.
23 – Steve Stavro, former owner of the Toronto Maple Leafs, dies of a heart attack at the age of 78. The Macedonian-born Stavro was a self-made tycoon who built the Knob Hill Farm grocery empire. He was also a great enthusiast of horse racing and soccer.
25 – Urban activist and author Jane Jacobs dies in Toronto at the age of 89. Born in Pennsylvania in 1916, Jacobs moved to New York during the Depression years. In 1958, after writing about downtowns for Fortune magazine, she received a grant from the Rockefeller Foundation to write about cities. She and her family left New York City and moved to Toronto in 1968. In both New York and Toronto, she led fights to preserve neighbourhoods and stop expressways.
26 – A single-car accident leaves 85-year-old Mississauga Mayor Hazel McCallion unhurt after she drives into a street sign. Municipal observers wonder whether the veteran politician should still be driving. The mayor was slapped with a $110 ticket and agreed to get a chauffeur.
may
1 –A Mississauga woman narrowly escapes injury after the wing flap of a jet aircraft falls hundreds of metres onto her sport utility vehicle. She had just parked her car on Argentia Rd., near Winston Churchill Blvd. and Highway 401, when the wing flap – about three metres long and a metre wide – sliced through the rear metal spoiler and shattered the tinted rear windshield, causing about $3,000 in damage.
4 – A minor earthquake measuring 2.7 on the Richter scale hits Oakville.
9 – Chinese visa student Min Chen, 23, admits in court he abducted and murdered 9-year-old Cecilia Zhang in October 2003.
15 – Blayne Lastman announces that his father, Mel Lastman, is rejoining Bad Boy, the furniture and appliance store the former Toronto mayor founded in 1955. The stores will now be called Lastman's Bad Boy.
18– In the biggest-ever gang sweep in the history of the Toronto police force, 600 officers carry out 78 search warrants and take 100 people into custody in an attempt to dismantle the Jamestown Crew, based in a Rexdale public housing complex. 23 – Toronto City Council restricts the number of garage sales residents can have to just two a year.
25 – Toronto City Council votes 39-2 in favour of making a bid for the world's fair.
27 – A high-speed car crash kills a couple about to celebrate their 17th wedding anniversary, and police charge a driver in the suspected street-racing incident. Rob and Lisa Manchester die when one of two Hondas roaring north on Yonge St. broadsides their Hyundai as it turns onto Stouffville Rd. The Manchesters were the parents of 7-year-old Katie.
29 – Toronto endures an illegal TTC strike on a hot and smoggy Monday morning. The wildcat strike takes riders by surprise and disrupts transit well into the evening. About 700,000 commuters are forced to walk, bicycle or carpool. Highways and roads are jammed with traffic. It takes two separate orders from the Ontario Labour Relations Board to get the drivers and ticket-takers back to work. TTC union and management discord had been brewing for months over issues such as driver safety and health premiums.
31 – A smoking ban in enclosed public places, including specially ventilated smoking rooms, officially comes into effect in Ontario. There are also new restrictions on tobacco displays and cigarette advertising in stores. The provincial ban has angered many bar and pub owners. It fulfills Premier Dalton McGuinty's promise to ban workplace smoking within three years of taking office.
– The Dupont subway station is evacuated and 10 people are treated for smoke inhalation after a mechanical problem aboard a subway car.
June
6 – Amid a labour dispute, Rick Ducharme resigns as chief general manager of the TTC. Ducharme, 58, says he is sick of "political interference" from his commission overlords. The resignation comes at a time when the TTC is reeling from a wildcat strike and struggling with low morale.
14 –Toronto's new opera house, the Four Seasons Centre for the Performing Arts, opens with performances from a bevy of international opera stars.
– Residents of a Richmond Hill neighbourhood are shaken after a 2-year-old boy and his nanny drown in a backyard swimming pool. York Region police say the boy, his mother and their nanny were visiting the home of a friend.
28 – The curtain falls on the Canadian production of Lord of the Rings. The lavish $27 million blockbuster took four years to bring to the stage and opened at Toronto's Princess of Wales Theatre to much fanfare. Blaming poor reviews and commercial North American tastes, producer Kevin Wallace announces the musical will close early and be reworked for London.
July
14 – About 65,000 GO Transit commuters are forced to find alternative ways home after a CN freight train derails in the city's west end, near the GO Mimico station. Tempers flare during rush hour at Union Station, with some commuters yelling at the GO Transit monitors indicating their trains are cancelled or delayed. All seven lines of the commuter service are brought to a halt by the accident. Between six and 10 VIA Rail trains – carrying more than 1,000 passengers – were delayed.
16 – Toronto suffers its fourth extreme heat alert. By this time last year there had been 14. The latest alert is issued when Environment Canada expects temperatures to hit a record 36C. By the end of the day, they reach only 34C.
24 – In a precedent-setting move, the Alcohol and Gaming Commission of Ontario revokes the liquor licence of the Docks, a waterfront nightclub and entertainment complex, over noise complaints.
25 – Patsy the elephant dies at age 40. The matriarch of the Toronto Zoo's elephant herd for 33 years is euthanized after a period of failing health due to long-term degenerative arthritis.
26 –Louise Bennett Coverley, renowned folklorist, dies in Toronto at the age of 86. Known universally as "Miss Lou," the Jamaican-born poet, actress, singer and storyteller had been living in Canada since 1987. She has a long connection with Toronto and was the star performer at the first Caribana festival in 1967.
27–Toronto City Council gives itself a 9-per-cent raise. The increase is decided in a tight 22-21 vote and boosts councillors' salaries to $95,000 a year, from $87,214, and the mayor's salary to $160,000, from $147,856, beginning Jan. 1, 2007.
30 – Ken Morrish dies at the age of 87. By the time he left Metro Council in 1997, Morrish was known far and wide as "Mr. Scarborough." He leaves a legacy of public and private service, building Scarborough from a semi-rural municipality into a suburban city.
august
1 –As the mercury continues to soar toward potentially record-breaking temperatures, the agency that monitors electricity use in Ontario issues a "power warning," requesting that customers cut back. The warning is issued as temperatures reach 36C, which feels more like the low 40s C with humidity.
13 – A revolution in the fight against AIDS is at hand, philanthropists Bill and Melinda Gates say during the keynote speech at the opening ceremony in Toronto of the 16th International AIDS Conference. An estimated 24,000 delegates from around the world attend the conference.
18 – A Toronto lawyer once considered a rainmaker in city and provincial politics pleads guilty to money laundering as friends including police brass, a former general and a judge look on. Peter Shoniker, a former Crown attorney was charged in June 2002 with four counts of money laundering in an RCMP sting operation, involving the movement of $750,000 in cash to a New York bank account.
21– General Motors announces it will build the redesigned Camaro in Oshawa, Ont., a move that will save thousands of Canadian jobs. The new Camaro is scheduled to roll off the line in 2008, the same year the No. 2 Oshawa car plant was slated for closure. The move will save 2,700 jobs in Oshawa.
28 – Two people are taken to hospital after a house explodes near Queensway E. and Cawthra Rd. in Mississauga.
– Toronto has everything, but not one thing to make it stand out and that's why the editors of Travel + Leisure magazine leave it off their list of top 10 U.S. and Canadian cities. Four Canadian cities make the list: Vancouver ranks highest at six. Quebec City is in seventh place, followed by Victoria and Montreal.
september
7 – The 31st Toronto International Film Festival opens with the historical film The Journals of Knud Rasmussen, about Canada's Inuit. Highlights included Away from Her, Sarah Polley's full-feature directorial debut; Babel, starring Brad Pitt; the Borat movie from Sacha Baron Cohen; Shut Up and Sing, about the fallout from the Dixie Chicks' criticism of George W. Bush; and the latest from Pedro Almodovar, Volver.
11 – Toronto police say three deaths at the Delta Chelsea Hotel on Gerrard St. just west of Yonge St. may be a murder-suicide, but they won't rule out the possibility that a fourth person was involved. It is later discovered the incident involves a love-triangle in which a man kills his girlfriend and another man. The killer's father later commits suicide in Switzerland.
13 – Lukas Rossi, a 29-year-old from Toronto, is chosen to front the band Supernova, ending the TV talent search on Rock Star: Supernova.
14 –A suspicious package is found aboard an Air India flight bound for Birmingham, England. The flight returns to Toronto's Pearson International Airport after a passenger discovers the package on a washroom floor. The airplane is taxied to a remote part of the runway and about 150 passengers are removed and taken to the airport's infield terminal.
24–Martin Poyser, 41, of Toronto, becomes the fourth runner in the past five years to die at a marathon event when he collapses about 700 metres from the finish line in his half-marathon race at the Scotiabank Toronto Waterfront Marathon.
26 – Shortly before divorce proceedings between former Maple Leaf Tie Domi and his estranged wife Leanne are to begin in a downtown courtroom, lawyers say the couple have reached an interim settlement. The negotiated consent order includes agreements on giving child custody to the mother, payment of her legal fees and a restraining order that states Tie Domi is to "be restrained from molesting, annoying or harassing Leanne Domi or from communicating with Leanne Domi."
27 – A long-awaited report outlining the future of the Gardiner Expressway proposes the roadway be dismantled, left as is or have sections torn down, some to be replaced with tunnels. The Toronto Waterfront Revitalization Corp., which drafted the 2004 report, backs the removal of the elevated portion of the Gardiner between Spadina Ave. and the Don Valley Parkway for a 10-lane street.
28 – Three people are charged with aggravated assault and a fourth is sought following an egg-throwing incident on Sept. 23 in Mississauga that leaves a 12-year-old girl with possible permanent damage to her eye.
october
6 – A strike by 300 transit workers snarls commuters in Durham Region, forcing them to find alternate means of getting to work.
10 – Former Ontario attorney general Ian Scott, 72, dies at his home in Toronto. Scott, a respected lawyer, was attorney general from 1985-1990 in the Liberal government of David Peterson.
During those years, he introduced pay-equity legislation and waged a battle over full funding to separate schools. He quit the Legislature in 1991 and later suffered a debilitating stroke that robbed him of his ability to speak.
14 – Toronto entertainment promoter Gino Empry dies at age 83. Empry was an entertainment director and consultant for the Royal York Hotel's Imperial Room when it was the most prominent nightclub in the country. He represented some of the most famous names in show biz, such as Tony Bennett, Frank Sinatra, Peggy Lee and Ella Fitzgerald.
20 – A rare seven-alarm call attracts 170 firefighters to the corner of Queen and Sherbourne Sts. to fight a fire at a paint store.
27 – Local developers Joseph and Wolf Lebovic announce they are giving $50 million to Toronto's Mount Sinai Hospital, marking the largest donation of its kind in Canadian history.
november
2 – Toronto's bid to host Expo 2015 is dead due to lack of agreement between the city, Queen's Park and Ottawa. There was disagreement over who would cover an Expo deficit of at least $700 million.
7 – Multi-talented physician Vincent Lam wins the 13th annual Scotiabank Giller Prize and $40,000 for his short story collection Bloodletting & Miraculous Cures.
9 – The Radio City Rockettes kick up their heels – along with hundreds of other dancers and wannabes – and hit a new mark on Guinness World Records Day. Organizers say 1,681 people show up to link arms and dance for five minutes in an effort to beat the German record for the world's longest single line of dancers. The previous record, set in Stein, Germany, in July 2004, was 1,150.
13 – There are new mayors in half of the 24 municipalities across Greater Toronto, a political shift unseen in recent memory. The biggest upset of the night occurs in Vaughan, where Michael Di Biase, a 21-year veteran of Vaughan council and the incumbent, loses by a whisker to Linda Jackson, daughter of late Vaughan mayor Lorna Jackson. Hazel McCallion, 85, is easily elected to her 11th term as mayor of Mississauga and David Miller is elected to a second term as mayor of Toronto.
20 – The TTC unveils its new gold and silver token, with ridged edges, saying "the latest in technology" makes the token "next to impossible to reproduce." The transit agency says it has lost about $10 million from the sale of counterfeit tokens over the past two years.
21 – We're not as fat, we don't smoke as much and we're not as stressed as people in other major Canadian cities, according to a national study. But when you get down to the neighbourhood level, the disparities between the health of Torontonians are great – particularly between high- and low-income earners. The joint study, carried out by the Canadian Institute for Health Information and the Canadian Population Health Initiative, is the first of its kind to compare health outcomes and behaviours in Toronto, Montreal, Halifax, Vancouver and Calgary.
22 – Celtic musician and Cape Bretoner, John Allan Cameron dies in Toronto after a five-year battle with bone marrow cancer and leukemia.
23 –Toronto drug squad detectives arrive at an apartment building on Jane St. just north of Sheppard Ave. W. armed with search warrants for five apartments. By 6 p.m., stunned detectives have seized 6,600 plants in 22 separate apartments at 2600 Jane St., a 13-storey building.
27 –Toronto enjoys spring-like weather with temperatures reaching into the teens. Environment Canada forecasts mild weather for the next four days, although showers are likely.
29 –Terri Callaway, a mother of four, is killed while jogging near her Richmond Hill home when a vehicle hops a curb and strikes her while she runs along the sidewalk on North Lake Road, east of Yonge Street. The driver is charged with impaired driving.
december
6 – Adam Giambrone succeeds Howard Moscoe as chairman of the TTC.
10 – An 11-year-old boy, Brunthan Nadarajah, is dead and his 15-year-old friend, Kishoban Alakeswaran, fights for his life after they plunge through the frozen surface of a Scarborough pond on their way to a game of pick-up soccer. Nadarajah died while trying to rescue Kishoban, who dies in hospital one week later.
13 – A fast-spreading kitchen fire destroys Yorkville's celebrated Sassafraz restaurant over the lunch hour, filling some of downtown Toronto's most fashionable streets with smoke.
15 – A Toronto judge banishes a Christmas tree from a courthouse lobby, reigniting a controversy over public displays many thought ended in 2002 when public outrage overturned a decision to call the Nathan Phillips Square tree a "holiday tree."
17 – Monsignor Thomas Collins is appointed the new archbishop and spiritual leader of the Archdiocese of Toronto's 1.6 million Catholics. Collins, 59, archbishop of Edmonton since 1999, was born in Guelph. He takes over the post in late January replacing the retiring Aloysius Cardinal Ambrozic, 76.
– The Toronto Transit Commission is considering highrise development at its stations, with "hundreds of millions" riding in revenues. A property development committee set up by the TTC will focus on possible developments such as a 35-storey office tower atop the Eglinton-Yonge subway station and a 20-storey tower over the Islington station.
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Labels: 2006 Year in Review
2006: International Year in Review
The Year in Review: 2006
Thanks to http://www.infoplease.com, I was able to post a month by month account of the international news that took place in 2006. Enjoy your reflection of the year that has past. I will try and get one specific to Canadian politics shortly.
-Darryl
*********************************

*Russia Cuts Off Gas to Ukraine (Jan. 1): In a dispute over pricing, state-owned company Gazprom reduces the flow of natural gas to Ukraine. The move affects exports to countries in Western Europe. (Jan. 2): Facing criticism from customers in Western Europe, Russia resumes full flow of gas.
*Iran Says It Will Resume Nuclear Research (Jan. 3): In a letter to the International Atomic Energy Agency, Iran states that it plans to restart work on its “peaceful nuclear energy program.” (Jan. 10): Iran breaks the seals on three of its nuclear facilities. The U.S. and several European nations condemn the move.
*Insurgents Launch Several Attacks in Iraq (Jan. 4 et seq.): More than 50 people are killed in central Iraq by suicide bombers and car bombs. About 30 Shiites die in an attack on a funeral in Miqdadiya. (Jan. 5): Suicide bombers kill about 130 Shiite pilgrims in Karbala. Another 50 men, who were lined up to apply for jobs with the police force, die in Ramadi. (Jan. 9): Two suicide bombers carrying police badges blow themselves up near a celebration at the Police Academy in Baghdad, killing nearly 20 police officers. Al-Qaeda in Iraq takes responsibility.
*Sharon Suffers Massive Stroke (Jan. 5): Israeli prime minister undergoes emergency surgery to stop bleeding on the brain. Deputy Prime Minister Ehud Olmert is named acting prime minister.
*U.S. Helicopter Crashes in Iraq (Jan. 8): Army Black Hawk helicopter crashes between Mosul and Tal Afar, killing 12 Americans.
*U.S. Targets al-Qaeda Leader (Jan. 15): Air strike in the Bajaur tribal region in northwest Pakistan is intended to kill Ayman al-Zawahiri, al-Qaeda's second in command. Pakistan officials say al-Zawahiri did not die in the attack. About 18 civilians, however, were killed in the operation.
*Mass Graves Found in Iraq (Jan. 18): Bodies of 36 Iraqis are found in two towns north of Baghdad. Victims, many of whom were police recruits, were shot execution style.
*Bin Laden Warns U.S. (Jan. 19): After a year of silence, Osama bin Laden says al-Qaeda is planning to attack the United States. He also extends a truce, but does not provide any details of its terms.
*Results of Iraqi Election Released (Jan. 20): Coalition of Shiites and Kurds wins 181 out of 275 seats in parliament, but they are just shy of the two-thirds majority required to form their own government. Sunnis take 58 seats. The results follow a report by the International Mission for Iraqi Elections that finds the vote was flawed but mostly democratic.
*New Judge Appointed to Preside Over Hussein Trial (Jan. 23): Raouf Rasheed Abdel Rahman, a Kurd, is named to replace Rizgar Muhammad Amin, who resigned after facing criticism from Iraqi officials. (Jan. 29): Hussein's trial resumes, with four defendants, including Hussein, ejected from the courtroom. The defense team was replaced after its members walked out of the courtroom.
*Canada Elects Conservative Prime Minister (Jan. 23): Stephen Harper's Conservative Party narrowly defeats the Labor Party, led by outgoing prime minister Paul Martin, in parliamentary elections.
*Audit Critical of Handling of Reconstruction Funds (Jan. 24): Report by the Special Inspector General for Iraq Reconstruction finds evidence of fraud, that money for rebuilding was casually and insecurely stored, and that contract work was improperly certified as complete.
*Hamas Prevails in Elections (Jan. 25): Militant Palestinian group that has called for the destruction of Israel takes 74 out of 132 seats in legislative elections, handing a stunning defeat to Fatah, which won just 43 seats. Fatah had been in control for 40 years. Prime Minister Ahmed Qurei, of Fatah, resigns. (Jan. 29): Acting Israeli prime minister Ehud Olmert says Israel will not “hold any contacts” with Palestinians unless Hamas agrees to recognize Israel and renounce violence.
*Journalists Injured in Iraq (Jan. 29): Bob Woodruff, ABC's evening news co-anchor, and his cameraman, Doug Vogt, are hit by a roadside bomb northwest of Baghdad.

February 2006
*Atomic Energy Board to Report Iran to the UN (Feb. 4): At an emergency meeting of the International Atomic Energy Agency, board members vote to refer Iran to the Security Council, citing its continued nuclear activity. (Feb. 6): Iran formally tells the IAEA that it will not be allowed to inspect Iran's facilities and that Iran will resume enrichment of uranium.
*Protests Over Cartoons Turn Violent (Feb. 4 et seq.): Throughout the Muslim world, angry demonstrators smash windows, set fires, and burn flags, protesting cartoons that depict Muhammad in a negative light. The cartoons have appeared in newspapers in several European countries. In Syria, mobs burn the Danish and Norwegian embassies. (Feb 5): In Lebanon, protesters torch a building that houses the Danish Mission. One person dies in the blaze. (Feb. 6): Violence spreads to Turkey, Indonesia, India, Thailand, and New Zealand. Five protesters die in Afghanistan.
*Iraqi Lawmakers Reelect Prime Minister (Feb. 12): Members of the Shiite alliance vote, 64–63, to retain Ibrahim al-Jaafari as prime minister. He wins after securing the backing of radical cleric Moktada al-Sadr.
*UN Report Calls for Closure of Guantánamo Prison (Feb. 16): Investigators also urge the United States to either release or try the camp's prisoners and to “refrain from any practice amounting to torture.”
*Haiti Declares Winner of Presidential Election (Feb. 16): After protracted negotiations, Haiti's Provisional Electoral Council agrees to discard blank ballots and recalculate the results from the Feb. 7 election. The new formula gives René Préval more than 50% of the vote, enough to avoid a runoff election.
*New Palestinian Parliament Opens (Feb. 18): Militant group Hamas dominates the legislature, holding 74 out of 132 seats. Palestinian Authority president Mahmoud Abbas tells lawmakers they are obligated to honor agreements reached by other leaders. (Feb. 19): Israeli leaders vote to withhold $50 million per month to Palestinians, saying the Palestinian Authority is being led by a terrorist group. Hamas nominates Ismail Haniya as prime minister.
*Bomb Damages Shiite Shrine in Iraq (Feb. 22): A terrorist attack destroys the golden dome atop the most revered Shiite shrine in Iraq, the Askariya Shrine in Samarra. Shiites retaliate against Sunni mosques. (Feb. 23): Sectarian violence continues; nearly 140 people die in two days. (Feb. 24): Iraq imposes an extraordinary daytime curfew to stem the rising violence. (Feb. 27): The curfew is lifted, but the violence continues. Nearly 380 people have died in sectarian attacks related to the shrine bombing.
*Dubai Company to Delay Port Operations (Feb. 23): Responding to the furor among members of Congress, the public, and other government officials, Dubai Ports World says it will delay exercising control of several American ports when it finalizes a deal with Peninsular and Oriental Steam Navigation Company, a British company that manages several U.S. ports.
*Hussein Prosecutors Present Evidence (Feb. 28): Head prosecutor in the trial of Saddam Hussein displays pages of documents that he says show that Hussein signed death warrants for nearly 150 men and boys in Dujail.

*India and the U.S. Agree on Nuclear Pact (March 2): Controversial deal allows India to buy nuclear fuel and components. In exchange, India will separate its nuclear energy program from its military one and allow inspections of the civilian energy facilities. India has never signed the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty.
*Sectarian Violence Continues in Iraq (March 7 et seq.): The bodies of 24 men are found in five locations in Baghdad. (March 8): Gunmen kidnap about 50 employees of a Sunni-owned security company in Baghdad. (March 12): Six car bombs explode in a Shiite section of Baghdad, killing nearly 50 people and wounding 200. (March 21): Over a two-week period, nearly 200 bodies are found in Baghdad. Most of the victims had been executed or tortured.
*Nuclear Watchdog Group Refers Iran to UN (March 8): International Atomic Energy Agency, saying it cannot “conclude that there are no undeclared nuclear materials or activities in Iran,” reports Iran's nuclear activity to the UN Security Council.
*Dubai Company Backs Out of Port Deal (March 9): Dubai Ports World announces that, at the request of the prime minister of the United Arab Emirates, it will transfer the leases to run several U.S. ports to an American company.
*Milosevic Dies in Prison (March 11): Former president of Yugoslavia, Slobodan Milosevic, is found dead in his cell at The Hague. His four-year war-crimes trial was drawing to a close. He dies of a heart attack at age 64.
*Hussein Testifies for the First Time (March 15): In his 40-minute speech, former Iraqi leader Saddam Hussein urges Iraqis to stop fighting each other and instead focus their attacks on the United States.
*UN Approves New Human Rights Council (March 15): General Assembly votes to replace the Human Rights Commission. New council is intended to ban from membership countries that abuse human rights. The U.S. votes against the council, saying it is not enough of an improvement.
*New Iraqi Parliament Meets (March 16): Legislators are sworn in, but the session ends after 30 minutes.
*Iran Agrees to Discuss Iraq with the U.S. (March 16): Iran says it will meet with U.S. officials to discuss ways to help Iraq create a free and independent government in Iraq. It is the first time since 1979 that Iran has initiated a discussion with the United States.
*U.S. Launches Large Assault in Iraq (March 16): Troops target insurgents near Sunni-dominated Samarra. It is the largest air attack since the beginning of the war.
*Belarus Election Is Called Fraudulent (March 20): The U.S. says presidential election that gave Aleksandr G. Lukashenko 83% of the vote was rigged and calls for a new race. Supporters of opposition candidate Aleksandr Milinkevich, who won 6%, demonstrate in Minsk. (March 24): Authorities arrest protesters and opposition members. About 1,000 demonstrators have been arrested since the March 19 election. In response, the U.S. and the European Union announce they will impose sanctions against Belarus. (March 25): Opposition leader Aleksandr Kazulin, one of the presidential candidates, is arrested at a protest.
*Basque Separatists Declare Cease-fire (March 22): Militant group ETA, which has killed about 800 people over almost 40 years, announces it will lay down its arms and focus on gaining independence from Spain.
*France Crippled by Strike (March 28): More than one million people throughout the country protest proposed labor law that would allow employers to fire workers under age 26 within two years without giving a reason. The law is intended to control high unemployment among France's young workers. Violence breaks out in Paris.
*Israel Holds Parliamentary Elections (March 28): Centrist Kadima Party, headed by acting prime minister Ehud Olmert, takes 28 of 120 seats in parliament. Olmert will have to form a coalition. Labor places second, with 20 seats.
*Palestinian Cabinet Sworn In (March 29): Ismail Haniya, leader of militant group Hamas, which dominated legislative elections in January, formally becomes prime minister.
*Security Council Issues Statement on Iran (March 29): The statement, negotiated over a period of three weeks, calls on Iran to suspend its enrichment of uranium.
*American Journalist Released in Iraq (March 30): Jill Carroll, a freelance reporter working for the Christian Science Monitor, is freed in Baghdad after being held for 82 days by a group called the Revenge Brigade.
April 2006*Shiite Bloc Urges Prime Minister to Resign (April 2): Leaders of the Supreme Council for the Islamic Revolution in Iraq call on Ibrahim al-Jaafari to resign, citing his failure to form a government.
*Chirac Signs Controversial Labor Legislation (April 2): Protests continue when French president Jacques Chirac signs into law an amended bill that allows employers to fire workers under age 26 within a year with a reason for termination. The original bill said employers could let employees go within two years without a reason. (April 10): Facing intense pressure as student-led protests continue, Chirac announces that he will repeal the controversial labor law.
*Hussein Is Charged with Genocide (April 4): Iraqi court says former Iraqi president and six other defendants tried to wipe out Iraq's Kurdish population in 1988. More than 50,000 people were killed in the military campaign that destroyed about 2,000 villages.
*General Strike Begins in Nepal (April 6): In defiance of a new ban on political rallies, a loose alliance of seven opposition parties begins pro-democracy demonstrations against King Gyanendra. (April 15): About 8,000 protestors march into the capital city, Katmandu. Police officers break up the protest using canes and tear gas. (April 21): More than 100,000 protesters defy a curfew and pour into Katmandu's main street. King Gyanendra offers to hand over executive power to a prime minister. (April 22): Ignoring pleas from the U.S., India, and other countries, the opposition groups reject the king's offer, saying he failed to address their main demands: the restoration of Parliament and a referendum to redraft the Constitution. (April 24): In a major concession,
King Gyanendra agrees to reinstate Parliament. (April 28): Parliament meets for the first time in four years.
*Dozens Killed at Shiite Mosque (April 7): Three suicide bombers blow themselves up at Baratha Mosque, killing more than 70 people.
*Prodi Declared Winner in Italian Elections (April 11): The center-left Union coalition, led by Romano Prodi, wins 49.8% of the vote and incumbent Silvio Berlusconi's House of Liberties coalition takes 49.7%—a difference of just 25,000 votes. Berlusconi refuses to concede and calls for a recount. (April 20): Italy's highest court declares Prodi the winner.
*Iran Announces Progress in Nuclear Program (April 11): President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad declares that Iran has successfully enriched uranium and will continue to produce nuclear fuel. (April 28): The International Atomic Energy Agency confirms that Iran has enriched uranium. It also reports that Iran has not cooperated with inspectors.
*Suicide Bomber Attacks Tel Aviv Restaurant (April 17): Islamic Jihad claims responsibility for the bombing that kills nine people. Hamas calls it a legitimate response to Israeli aggression. Palestinian president Mahmoud Abbas, however, condemns the attack.
*Germany to Allow Access to Holocaust Archives (April 18): In a policy reversal, the German government announces that it will allow historians and researchers to access up to 50 million documents containing information on Holocaust victims.
*Chinese President Visits the U.S. (April 20): President Hu Jintao and President Bush vow to cooperate on reducing the trade deficit between the two countries and on stemming nuclear proliferation, but no deals are announced. Hu's visit is marred by U.S. gaffes in protocol.
*Iraq Sees Progress in Formation of a Government (April 20): Facing pressure from the U.S. and the leaders of Iraq's political groups, Prime Minister Ibrahim al-Jaafari ends his fight to remain in power. (April 21): Leaders of the Shiite alliance select Nuri al-Maliki to be prime minister. (April 22): Parliament votes to retain President Jalal Talabani.
*Dozens Killed in Egypt Bomb Attack (April 25): Three bombs kill about 30 people and wound about 115 in the resort town Dahab. Attack coincides with Sinai Liberation Day.
*European Investigation Reports Secret CIA Flights (April 26): Inquiry ordered by the European Parliament finds that since 2001, the CIA has conducted about 1,000 undeclared flights over Europe, transporting terrorism suspects to countries that allow torture.
*Peace Agreement Reached in Sudan (April 30): The Sudan government accepts terms of peace agreement to end the violence in Darfur, but two of the three rebel groups reject the plan. All parties, however, agree to extend the deadline for a resolution.
*Olmert Secures Enough Seats to Form Government (April 30): Israeli prime minister gains support of Shas party, giving him a majority in Parliament.

May 2006
*Bolivia Nationalizes Natural Gas Industry (May 1): Under orders of President Evo Morales, the military takes over the country's energy fields.
*Moussaoui Sentenced to Life in Prison (May 3): A federal jury in Virginia sentences Zacarias Moussaoui to life in prison without the chance of parole for his role in the Sept. 11, 2001, terrorist attacks.
*Israeli Parliament Approves Governing Coalition (May 4): Israeli prime minister Ehud Olmert will control 67 of 120 seats in parliament. Coalition includes his Kadima party, the Labor Party, Shas, and the Pensioners Party.
*Leaders Sign Peace Pact for Darfur (May 5): The Sudanese government and the leader of Darfur's main rebel group agree to a cease-fire that calls on the rebels and the government militias to disarm, will allow 5,000 rebels to join the Sudanese Army, and establishes a fund for the war's victims. Two smaller rebel groups do not join the accord.
*Iranian President Lists Grievances in a Letter to Bush (May 9): In his 18-page letter, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad says that the war in Iraq and the abuse of prisoners by U.S. soldiers contradict Bush's Christian values.
*U.S. Endorses Plan on Palestinian Aid (May 9): European proposal would help Palestinians pay salaries of civil servants and alleviate shortages of food and medicine. Aid has been cut off since Hamas took control of the government.
*U.S. to Renew Ties to Libya (May 15): Bush administration announces plans to normalize relations with Libya, citing Libya's decision to renounce terrorism and give up its nuclear weapons program.
*Hussein Charged with Crimes Against Humanity (May 15): Panel of judges indicts former Iraqi president Hussein on charges of crimes against humanity. Ruling is part of his trial that focuses on the execution of about 150 Shiites in Dujail in 1982.
*U.S. Curbs Sales to Venezuela (May 15): The Bush administration announces it will no longer sell military equipment to Venezuela because the country has refused to cooperate with terrorism investigations.
*UN Panel Recommends Closing Guantánamo Prison (May 19): The United Nations Committee Against Torture denounces the treatment of terror suspects and criticizes the CIA for holding prisoners in secret detention centers overseas.
*Iraqi Parliament Approves Government (May 20): Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki's cabinet includes 17 members from his Shiite coalition, seven Kurds, seven from a Sunni coalition, and five from a secular alliance. Three important posts—the ministers of defense, interior, and national security—are left vacant.
*Iraqi Parliament Approves Government (May 20): Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki's cabinet includes 17 members from his Shiite coalition, seven Kurds, seven from a Sunni coalition, and five from a secular alliance. Three important posts—the ministers of defense, interior, and national security—are left vacant.
*Montenegrins Vote for Independence (May 21): Preliminary results from the election commission indicate that 55.4% of voters choose independence from Serbia.
*Bush Meets with Israeli Prime Minister (May 23): President Bush indicates that he supports Ehud Olmert's plan to unilaterally withdraw about 70,000 settlers from the West Bank, but he also encourages Olmert to negotiate with Palestinian president Mahmoud Abbas.
*Bush and Blair Admit Mistakes on Iraq (May 25): In a joint news conference at the White House, president and British prime minister express regret for the abuse of prisoners at the Abu Ghraib prison, for removing all Baathists from positions of power in Iraq, and for other missteps.
*Abbas Challenges Palestinian Government to Accept Peace Plan (May 25): Mahmoud Abbas, president of the Palestinian Authority, says he will call for a referendum on a proposed Palestinian state if the Hamas-led government fails to accept the plan within 10 days.
*Journalists Killed in Iraq (May 29): Paul Douglas and James Brolan, two Britons working for CBS News, are killed by a roadside bomb in Baghdad. A third journalist, Kimberly Dozier, an American, is critically injured.
*Accident Sets Off Riots in Afghanistan (May 29): A truck in a U.S. military convoy crashes into 12 vehicles, killing five civilians. About 15 people are killed and dozens are wounded in anti-American riots that follow the accident.
*U.S. Says It Will Join Europe in Talks with Iran (May 31): Iran, however, must halt its uranium enrichment and reprocessing before the U.S. will enter negotiations.

*UN Declaration Calls for More Action on AIDS (June 2): General Assembly urges countries to triple annual spending to $23 billion a year by 2010 for AIDS and HIV prevention, education, and research.
*Seventeen Canadians Are Arrested on Terrorism Charges (June 3): Ontario police arrest 12 adult men and five youths in Canada's largest counterterrorism operation. The charges against the suspects include attempting to build bombs, planning a series of bomb attacks, and receiving terrorist training.
Islamists Take Control of Mogadishu (June 5): Militants linked to al-Qaeda defeat the warlords that have controlled the capital of Somalia for the past 15 years. Their triumph is seen as a blow to the United States, which had reportedly covertly backed the warlords.
Islamists Take Control of Mogadishu (June 5): Militants linked to al-Qaeda defeat the warlords that have controlled the capital of Somalia for the past 15 years. Their triumph is seen as a blow to the United States, which had reportedly covertly backed the warlords.
*Iran Offered Incentives to Give Up Nuclear Activities (June 6): Javier Solana, the European Union's foreign policy chief, presents Iran a proposal from the United States, Russia, China, France, Britain, and Germany that would offer the country new planes for its civilian fleet and light-water reactors if it stops uranium enrichment and reprocessing.
*Iraq Announces Prisoner Release Program (June 6): Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki says the government will release about 2,500 prisoners who have not been involved in the insurgency. He also says the government plans to reintegrate into society former Baathists—members of Saddam Hussein's party.
*Prominent Militant Is Killed in Iraq (June 8): Abu Musab al-Zarqawi, the leader of al-Qaeda in Iraq and the most-wanted terrorist in Iraq, dies in an attack north of Baghdad.
*Prominent Militant Is Killed in Iraq (June 8): Abu Musab al-Zarqawi, the leader of al-Qaeda in Iraq and the most-wanted terrorist in Iraq, dies in an attack north of Baghdad.
*Iraqi Parliament Approves Important Ministers (June 8): Gen. Abdul Qadr Mohammed Jassim is appointed minister of defense, Jawad Khadim Bolani becomes minister of interior and head of the police, and Shirwan al-Waili is approved as minister of national security.
*Hamas Ends Cease-fire with Israel (June 10): In response to an Israeli shelling of a Gaza beach that killed eight civilians, Hamas fires Qassam rockets into Israeli territory, ending the 16-month truce with Israel.
*Three Detainees Commit Suicide at Guantánamo (June 10): The victims, two Saudi and one Yemeni, hang themselves in their cells. They are the first suicides at the prison camp since it opened in 2002.
*Bush Makes Surprise Visit to Iraq (June 13): Bush meets with the Iraqi prime minister and 17 cabinet members and promises that “America will keep its commitment” to the country.
*Pentagon Releases Study on Interrogations (June 16): Report finds that techniques used by some Special Operations troops on Iraqi detainees in early 2004 were unauthorized and abusive, but not deliberately so. “Inadequate policy guidance” is blamed.
*U.S. Army Charges Three U.S. Soldiers With Murder (June 19): They are accused of murdering three Iraqi detainees and threatening to kill another soldier if he talked to investigators about the case.
Bodies of U.S. Soldiers Found in Iraq (June 20): The two soldiers, who were captured by insurgents in an ambush the previous week, are said to have been tortured, killed, and mutilated beyond recognition.
Bodies of U.S. Soldiers Found in Iraq (June 20): The two soldiers, who were captured by insurgents in an ambush the previous week, are said to have been tortured, killed, and mutilated beyond recognition.
*Hussein Defense Lawyer Is Killed (June 21): A senior member of Hussein's defense team, Khamis al-Obeidi, is pulled from bed by gunmen, abducted, beaten, and shot. He is the tenth person connected with the trial to be killed.
Red Cross Admits Israeli and Palestinian Groups (June 22): The International Conference of the Red Cross and Red Crescent approves a culturally neutral third symbol, the Red Crystal, which may be displayed alone or with other symbols. This enables the admission of Israel’s Magen David Adom (Red Star of David) society. The Palestinian Red Crescent’s admission is approved at the same time.
Red Cross Admits Israeli and Palestinian Groups (June 22): The International Conference of the Red Cross and Red Crescent approves a culturally neutral third symbol, the Red Crystal, which may be displayed alone or with other symbols. This enables the admission of Israel’s Magen David Adom (Red Star of David) society. The Palestinian Red Crescent’s admission is approved at the same time.
*Palestinian Militants Kidnap Israeli Soldier (June 25): Palestinian militants tunnel out of Gaza and into Israel, kill two Israeli soldiers, and kidnap a third, Cpl. Gilad Shalit. Palestinian president Abbas condemns the attack. (June 26): The militants demand that all jailed Palestinian women and children be released in return for information about Shalit. Olmert rejects the demand and Israel masses tanks and 3,000 troops at the Gaza border. (June 27): Israeli troops move into Gaza, disabling its only power plant and destroying three bridges. (June 29): Israeli troops seize Hamas political leaders in the West Bank, including a third of the Palestinian cabinet and 23 legislators.
Hamas and Fatah Complete Draft of an Agreement (June 27): Heading off a national referendum, the rival Palestinian movements agree on a plan calling for a Palestinian state alongside Israel and call on militants to limit attacks to areas captured by Israel in 1967. (June 28): Israeli analysts claim that, due to new language inserted by Hamas, the plan not only fails to recognize Israel's right to exist, but outright rejects the two-state solution being pursued.
Hamas and Fatah Complete Draft of an Agreement (June 27): Heading off a national referendum, the rival Palestinian movements agree on a plan calling for a Palestinian state alongside Israel and call on militants to limit attacks to areas captured by Israel in 1967. (June 28): Israeli analysts claim that, due to new language inserted by Hamas, the plan not only fails to recognize Israel's right to exist, but outright rejects the two-state solution being pursued.
*Dozens Are Killed at Iraqi Market (July 1): More than 60 people are killed by a suicide bomber in a Shiite neighborhood in Baghdad. A Sunni member of parliament, Tayseer Najah al-Mashhadani, and eight of her bodyguards are kidnapped in Baghdad.
*Mexican Election Results Are Inconclusive (July 2): Felipe Calderón of the conservative National Action Party leads leftist candidate Andrés Manuel López Obrador by about 1 percentage point in the presidential election. López Obrador alleges irregularities and calls for a recount.
*Former U.S. Army Private Is Charged with Murder and Rape (July 3): Steven D. Green, who was recently discharged for a “personality disorder,” is accused of raping an Iraqi teenage girl and killing her and three members of her family.
*The incident took place in March 2006. (July 9): Four other soldiers are charged with the rape and murder of the girl and her family. A fifth is charged with “dereliction of duty” for not reporting the incident.
*North Korea Test Fires Missiles (July 4): Country launches at least six missiles over the Sea of Japan. One of them, an intercontinental ballistic missile, fails.
*Violence Intensifies in Gaza (July 6): Israeli soldiers and Palestinian militants continue to clash a week after Israel entered the Gaza Strip to seek the release of Cpl. Gilad Shalit. About 20 Palestinians are killed in the fighting.
*Nobel Peace Laureate Is Named Prime Minister of East Timor (July 8): President Xanana Gusmão appoints José Ramos-Horta as prime minister, hoping to restore stability to the country after several months of fighting between former soldiers and police.
*India Tests a Long-Range Missile (July 9): India launches a missile with a range of 1,800 miles, the longest range in its arsenal.
*Chechen Terrorist Is Killed (July 10): Shamil Basayev, who organized the seizure of a Moscow theater in 2002 and the school in Beslan in 2004, dies in an explosion in Ingushetia carried out by Russian security forces.
*Bombs Kill Hundreds on Trains in India (July 11): More than 200 people die and hundreds more are wounded when a series of bombs explode on commuter trains in Mumbai during the evening rush hour.
*Russia and China Agree with West on Iran (July 12): Countries say they will join the United States and Europe in seeking a Security Council resolution against Iran if it does not respond to an offer of financial incentives if it halts its nuclear activities. Both countries had previously resisted such a move.
*Hezbollah Opens New Front in Middle East (July 13): Lebanese militant group fires rockets into Israel, killing eight soldiers and kidnapping two others. In response, Israel launches a major military attack, bombing the Lebanese airport and parts of southern Lebanon. (July 14): Israel blockades Lebanon and attacks Lebanon’s airport. Hezbollah continues to fire rockets—believed to have been supplied by Iran—into Israel. (July 16): Saudi Arabia, Jordan, Egypt, and other Persian Gulf states take the unusual step of condemning Hezbollah for “inappropriate and irresponsible acts.” (July 17): At the Group of 8 summit meeting in Russia, British prime minister Tony Blair and UN Secretary General Kofi Annan propose deploying an international force to stop the fighting. (July 20): U.S. Marines enter Lebanon for the first time in 20 years to evacuate Americans. (July 24): U.S. Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice travels to Beirut and meets with Lebanese prime minister Fouad Siniora and the speaker of Parliament, Nabih Berri. Israeli troops and Hezbollah militants engage in fierce ground battles. (July 25): Four unarmed UN observers are killed by an Israeli air strike. (July 30): After more than 50 civilians, including 37 children, are killed in Qana, Lebanon, by an Israeli air strike, Israel says it will suspend air attacks on Lebanon for 48 hours. (July 31): Israel resumes air strikes on Lebanon, despite promise to suspend them, saying they are justified to respond to “imminent threats.”
*Baghdad Endures Increased Sectarian Violence (July 15): Nearly 150 people are killed in five days of suicide bombings, mortar attacks, and shootings that bring the country to the brink of civil war. The U.S. increases its troop presence in the city to help quell the violence. (July 19): According to a UN report, more than 100 civilians died each day in June in Iraq. (July 25): Nuri al-Maliki visits the White House for the first time as Iraqi prime minister, and President Bush says he will redeploy 4,000 U.S. troops to Baghdad to try to stop the escalating violence.
*Security Council Resolution Condemns North Korea (July 15): Voting unanimously, council demands that North Korea halt its ballistic missile program and urges it to return to negotiations on its nuclear program.
*Olympic Committee Members Are Kidnapped (July 15): More than 30 members of Iraq’s Olympic committee, including the group’s president, are abducted in Baghdad. The members represent several ethnic groups, casting doubt that the motive was sectarian.
*Hussein Is Hospitalized (July 23): After being on a hunger strike for about two weeks, the former Iraqi president, who is on trial on charges of crimes against humanity, is being fed through a tube. Hussein and other defendants are protesting the trial procedures and are seeking increased protection for their lawyers.
*Hussein's Trial Ends (July 27): The trial of the former Iraqi president on charges of crimes against humanity ends after nine months. He is accused of ordering the 1982 execution of 148 men and boys in a Shiite village.
*Agency Masked Reconstruction Costs in Iraq (July 28): Audit finds that the United States Agency for International Development used an accounting scheme to mask budget overruns on projects in Iraq.
*Congo Holds Historic Multiparty Elections (July 30): About 9,700 candidates vie for 500 seats in the national assembly, and 33 run for president in the country's first multiparty elections in 46 years.
*Castro Temporarily Steps Aside (July 31): Cuban president hands over power to his brother Raúl while he undergoes surgery on his intestines. It is the first time in 47 years as president that Castro has relinquished control over the country.
*UN Passes Resolution on Iran (July 31): Security Council resolution calls on Iran to stop enriching uranium by Aug. 31 or face the threat of sanctions.
*NATO Takes Command of Southern Afghanistan (July 31): The U.S. transfers control of an international force, giving NATO responsibility for fighting the Taliban and drug lords in the troubled region.
August 2006*Israel Intensifies Ground Offensive in Lebanon (Aug. 1): More than 7,000 additional troops enter southern Lebanon.
*U.S. General Gives Grim Report on Iraq (Aug. 3): Gen. John Abizaid, the commander of American forces in the Middle East, tells the Senate Armed Services Committee that the sectarian violence in Iraq could further deteriorate into a civil war.
*Ukrainian Parliament Approves New Prime Minister (Aug. 4): Former president Viktor Yanukovich is named prime minister. He is a bitter rival of President Viktor Yushchenko.
*Mexican Electoral Tribunal Rules in Recount Demand (Aug. 5): Judges decide that votes from about 12,000 polling places will be recounted. Andrés Manuel Lopéz Obrador, the leftist candidate who was narrowly defeated by conservative candidate Felipe Calderón, had demanded a full recount. (Aug. 28): Electoral tribunal dismisses legal challenge by Lopéz Obrador, saying it did not find proof of electoral fraud.
*Rape and Murder Hearing Opens in Iraq (Aug. 7): Article 32 hearing, similar to a grand jury proceeding, begins for five U.S. soldiers who are accused of raping a 14-year-old Iraqi girl and killing her and three members of her family.
*British Authorities Thwart Major Terrorist Operation (Aug. 10): Police arrest 24 British-born Muslims, most of whom have ties to Pakistan, who had allegedly plotted to blow up as many as 10 planes using liquid explosives. Officials say details of the plan were similar to other schemes devised by al-Qaeda. Airports all over the world beef up security. (Aug. 21): British officials charge 11 people in connection with the suspected plot. Eight are charged with conspiracy to commit murder and preparing acts of terrorism. The others are charged with lesser crimes.
*Suicide Bomber Attempts to Blow Up Shiite Shrine in Iraq (Aug. 10): The attacker's explosives detonate during a police check outside the Shrine of Imam Ali in Najaf, killing 35 people and wounding more than 120.
*Security Council Agrees on Resolution to End Violence in Lebanon (Aug. 11): Votes unanimously to expand the UN peacekeeping force in southern Lebanon to 15,000 troops from 2,000 and to send 15,000 Lebanese troops to help the UN soldiers. The document also calls upon Hezbollah to cease attacks, Israel to end “all offensive military operations,” and Israel to withdraw its troops from southern Lebanon. The resolution, however, does not indicate how Hezbollah will be disarmed. (Aug. 15): The cease-fire goes into effect and violence subsides. Thousands of Lebanese stream back to their homes, many of which have been destroyed.
*Two Journalists Are Kidnapped in Gaza (Aug. 14): Steve Centanni, an American, and Olaf Wiig, a cameraman from New Zealand, who both work for
*Fox News, are taken from their armored car at gunpoint. (Aug. 27): The journalists are both released and are in good health.
*Record Number of Iraqi Civilians Die (Aug. 15): Figures from the Iraqi Health Ministry and the Baghdad morgue show that more than 3,400 civilians died in July, a 9% increase over the June figure.
*Runoff Necessary in Congo Presidential Election (Aug. 20): Incumbent president Joseph Kabila, who won 45% of the vote, will face businessman Jean-Pierre Bemba, who took 20%, in the runoff.
*Hussein Faces Another Genocide Trial (Aug. 21): Former Iraqi president refuses to enter a plea in the opening day of his trial for allegedly orchestrating the murder of about 50,000 Kurds in 1988—what was called the Anfal campaign.
*Iran Offers to Talk About Its Nuclear Program (Aug. 22): Officials, however, do not say they will end enrichment of uranium, which was required by the U.S. and Europe as part of an incentives package.
*Security Council Passes Resolution on Darfur (Aug. 31): Votes to send up to 17,300 peacekeeping troops to Darfur, Sudan, to help implement the peace agreement signed in May. The Sudanese government, however, objects to the resolution.
*Iran Ignores Deadline on Nuclear Activity (Aug. 31): Iran, which defiantly refuses to follow UN Security Council demand to stop enriching uranium by Aug. 31, now faces the threat of sanctions. In addition, the International Atomic Energy Agency reports to the Security Council that it has found traces of highly enriched uranium at Iran's Natanz facility.
September 2006*Iraqi Casualties Have Risen Sharply (Sept. 1): Pentagon report finds that since the new Iraqi government was established in May, civilian and security forces casualties have increased by 51%. Civilians are the hardest hit by violence.
*Top Insurgent Leader Is Captured in Iraq (Sept. 3): U.S. and Iraqi troops capture Hamid Juma Faris Jouri al-Saeedi, a senior leader of al-Qaeda in Iraq who oversaw the bombing of the Shiite Askariya shrine in February that resulted in days of deadly sectarian violence.
*Conservative Candidate Declared Winner in Mexico (Sept. 5): Electoral court ends the crisis that has consumed Mexico for more than two months, declaring Felipe Calderón of the conservative National Action Party the winner of July's presidential election. Challenger Andrés Manuel López Obrador vows to continue protesting the election.
*Terror Suspects Moved to Guantánamo (Sept. 6): President Bush announces that 14 high-level terror suspects have been transferred from secret foreign prisons run by the Central Intelligence Agency to the prison center in Cuba. If authorized by Congress, the detainees will face military tribunals.
*Blair Announces Plans to Step Aside (Sept. 7): Under pressure from members of his Labor Party, British prime minister Tony Blair says he will resign within a year.
*Israel Lifts Air Blockade of Lebanon (Sept. 7): Commercial flights to and from Lebanon begin when Israel lifts its eight-week air embargo.
*Reports Contradict White House Claim on Link Between Hussein and al-Qaeda (Sept. 8): Senate Intelligence Committee and CIA findings refute Bush administration assertion that former Iraqi president and al-Qaeda leader Abu Musab al-Zarqawi were allies.
*Afghanistan Suffers from Continued Violence (Sept. 8): Car bomb explodes near the U.S. Embassy in Kabul killing 16 people, including five Americans. (Sept. 10): Governor of Paktia Province, Hakim Taniwal, is killed in a suicide attack.
*Bush Administration Paid Journalists for Reports Critical of Castro (Sept. 8): White House's Office of Cuba Broadcasting paid ten Cuban-American reporters to deliver anti-Castro commentary on Radio and TV Martí.
*U.S. Embassy in Syria Is Attacked (Sept. 12): Three gunmen, also armed with grenades, are killed by Syrian security officers when they storm the embassy in Damascus; a fourth is wounded.
*Sweden Ousts Governing Party (Sept. 17): Social Democrats, led by Goran Persson, who have been in power for 12 years, lose to a right of center coalition, headed by the Moderate Party.
*Protesters Riot in Hungary (Sept. 18): Antigovernment demonstrators demand that Prime Minister Ferenc Gyurcsany resign after he is heard on tape, which was leaked to the media, admitting that he lied about the state of the economy to win reelection.
*Thai Military Seizes Power (Sept. 20): Gen. Sondhi Boonyaratkalin stages a bloodless coup and declares martial law while Prime Minister Thaksin Shinawatra is at the meeting of the UN General Assembly in New York.
*Assessment Finds Iraq War Has Fueled Islamic Radicalism (Sept. 23): Classified National Intelligence Estimate, parts of which were leaked to several newspapers, reports that “the Iraq war has made the overall terrorism problem worse.” John Negroponte, director of national intelligence approved the report, which was compiled by government spy agencies and completed in April.
*New Prime Minister Takes the Helm in Japan (Sept. 26): Shinzo Abe succeeds Junichiro Koizumi as prime minister. He promptly assembles a conservative cabinet and says he hopes to increase Japan's influence on global issues.
October 2006*Runoff Election Necessary in Brazil (Oct. 1): Incumbent president Luiz Inácio da Silva fails to win a majority in presidential election, taking 48.65% of the vote. He'll face Geraldo Alckmin of the Brazilian Social Democratic Party.
*Violence Intensifies Between Palestinian Factions (Oct. 2): At least 10 people are killed and more than 100 wounded in two days of fighting between Hamas and Fatah. The situation casts doubt that Palestinian president, Mahmoud Abbas, will be able to form a unity government.
*Monitoring Group Says IRA Has Stopped Terror Activity (Oct. 4): Report by the Independent Monitoring Commission finds that the Irish Republican Army has ceased paramilitary activity and has stopped sponsoring criminal enterprises.
*North Korea Tests a Nuclear Missile (Oct. 9): International outrage and condemnation follows the explosion of a nuclear device in the mountains of North Korea. President Bush calls the test a “threat to international peace and security.” The United Nations Security Council meets to consider sanctions on the country.
*Iraqi Parliament Passes Law to Divide Country into Regions (Oct. 11): Parliament votes in favor of a law that would allow provinces to unite and form semi-independent regions. Sunnis in parliament, who oppose the move out of fear that Shiites and Kurds will control most of the country's oil, boycott the vote.
*New Secretary General of the UN Is Appointed (Oct. 13): General Assembly approves the nomination of Ban Ki-moon, South Korea's foreign minister. He will begin his five-year term on Jan. 1, 2007.
*Security Council Agrees on Sanctions for North Korea (Oct. 14): Votes unanimously in favor of a resolution punishing North Korea for its reported testing of a nuclear weapon. Resolution bans the sale of materials that could be used to produce nuclear, biological, chemical, or ballistic weapons and allows authorities of other countries to inspect cargo entering and leaving North Korea. The resolution does not mention using military force against North Korea. After voting in favor of the resolution, China says it will not take part in cargo inspections.
*Iraqi Government Replaces Top Police Commanders (Oct. 17): Under pressure to control violence that has spiralled out of control, Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki fires two police generals. The security forces have been criticized for having been infiltrated by members of Shiite militias.
*U.S. Says Campaign to Stem Violence in Baghdad Has Failed (Oct. 19): Maj. Gen. William Caldwell IV says attacks on U.S. troops have increased and sectarian violence has soared since the additional troops were deployed to the Iraqi capital in August.
*Militias Battle for Control of Amarra (Oct. 20): The Mahdi Army, which is connected to Shiite cleric Moktada al-Sadr, and the Badr Organization destroy police stations and bring the city to a standstill.
*Bush Speaks Candidly About the War in Iraq (Oct. 25): In a news conference, president acknowledges that the war is not going as planned, Iraqi troops are falling far short of expectations, and that the U.S. military may have to change tactics to succeed. “The fact that the fighting is tough does not mean our efforts in Iraq are not worth it,” Bush said. “To the contrary; the consequences in Iraq will have a decisive impact on the security of our country, because defeating the terrorists in Iraq is essential to turning back the cause of extremism in the Middle East.” Iraqi prime minister Nura al-Maliki also makes a speech, which seems to contradict Bush's plan.
*Reports Say Iran Is Enriching Uranium at Second Facility (Oct. 27): News report from Iran says that a second set of 164 centrifuges is in operation, doubling the country's ability to enrich uranium.
*U.S. Has Failed to Track Arms in Iraq (Oct. 29): Report by the Special Inspector for Iraq Reconstruction, which was requested by Republican senator John Warner, says the U.S. military has not appropriately tracked or maintained thousands of weapons that were sent to Iraq.
*President of Brazil Is Reelected (Oct. 29): Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva prevails over Geraldo Alckmin, 60.8% to 41.6% in the runoff election.
*Pakistan Military Targets Islamic School (Oct. 30): Missiles kill about 80 people who government officials say were militants when they destroy a school on the Afghanistan border. Officials also claim the school harbored members of al-Qaeda.
*North Korea Says It Will Return to Negotiations (Oct. 31): China announces that North Korea has agreed to resume disarmament talks with China, Russia, the U.S., and South Korea.
*U.S. Removes Checkpoints from Baghdad Streets (Oct. 31): Move follows demand by Iraqi prime minister Nuri al-Maliki. The U.S. military had set up checkpoints in an attempt to find a U.S. soldier who had been kidnapped.
November 2006*Taiwanese President Accused of Corruption (Nov. 3): Prosecutors indict Wu Shu-chen, the wife of President Chen Shui-ban, charging that she spent $450,000 in public funds on personal expenditures. Authorities also say that President Chen submitted fake receipts when drawing from the same fund and lied about how he spent the money.
*Hussein Is Found Guilty (Nov. 5): An Iraqi court convicts the former Iraqi president of crimes against humanity and sentences him to death by hanging. An appeal of the death sentence is automatic.
*Israel Ends Gaza Incursion (Nov. 7): Military withdraws from Gaza Strip after six-day mission to stop Palestinians from firing rockets into Israel. More than 50 Palestinians are killed in the operation and about 30 houses are destroyed. (Nov. 8): Israeli artillery kills 18 Palestinians, including eight children and six women, in Gaza. Israel expresses regret and says it was a preventive attack.
*Ortega Returns to Power (Nov. 7): Daniel Ortega, the former Marxist president of Nicaragua, is declared the winner of the country's presidential election.
*Dozens Are Kidnapped in Iraqi (Nov. 14): About 150 people are abducted from Iraq's Ministry of Higher Education by gunmen wearing police commando uniforms. (Nov. 16:) Four American security guards on one Austrian are taken when a supply convoy is hijacked in southern Iraq.
*South African Parliament Votes to Legalize Same-Sex Marriage (Nov. 14): Overwhelmingly approves proposal to legalize same-sex marriages.
*Data Say Land Occupied by Israel Is Palestinian (Nov. 20): Maps and figures obtained by Peace Now, an Israeli group, indicate that about 40% of the land in Israeli settlements in the West Bank is owned privately by Palestinians.
*Lebanese Minister Is Assassinated (Nov. 21): Christian cabinet minister Pierre Gemayel, a critic of Syria, is shot several times while in his car. His father, Amin Gemayel, is a former president of Lebanon.
*Nepal Government and Rebels Sign Accord (Nov. 21): Maoist rebels agree to lay down their arms and participate in government. They agree that elections will determine if the monarchy is to continue.
Civilian Deaths Reach Record High in Iraq (Nov. 22): Some 3,700 Iraqi civilians died in October, the highest toll since the war began in 2003, according to the United Nations. Report also says that about 100,000 Iraqis flee each month to Jordan and Syria.
Civilian Deaths Reach Record High in Iraq (Nov. 22): Some 3,700 Iraqi civilians died in October, the highest toll since the war began in 2003, according to the United Nations. Report also says that about 100,000 Iraqis flee each month to Jordan and Syria.
*Sectarian Violence Plagues Iraq (Nov. 23): More than 200 people die when five car bombs and a mortar shell explode in the Shiite-dominated Sadr City district of Baghdad. (Nov. 24): Shiites retaliate, attacking mosques in Baghdad and Baquba. Dozens die in the attacks.
*Israelis and Palestinian Agree to Cease-fire in Gaza (Nov. 25): Palestinian militants will end attacks into Israel and the Israelis will withdraw troops from the territory.
*Leaked Memo Questions Iraqi Leader (Nov. 28): A classified document, which was leaked to the New York Times, written by Stephen Hadley, President Bush's national security adviser, says Iraqi prime minister Nuri al-Maliki may not have the clout to stem the sectarian violence that has ravaged Iraq. “The reality on the streets of Baghdad suggests Maliki is either ignorant of what is going on, misrepresenting his intentions, or that his capabilities are not yet sufficient to turn his good intentions into action.”
*Bush Meets with Maliki in Jordan (Nov. 30): After meeting with Iraqi prime minister Nuri al-Maliki, President Bush says the United States will not withdraw a large amount of troops from Iraq in the near future. Malilki says he expects his troops to be ready to assume security of the country by June 2007. Maliki had canceled an earlier meeting with Bush shortly after a memo by Bush's national security adviser that was critical of Maliki was leaked in the press.
December 2006*Thousands Protest in Lebanon (Dec. 1): Members of Hezbollah and its supporters gather peacefully in Beirut and call for the resignation of Fouad Siniora, the U.S.-backed prime minister. The protests continue for nearly two weeks.
*Chávez Wins in a Landslide (Dec. 3): Hugo Chávez is reelected president of Venezuela, defeating Manuel Rosales 61% to 38%. Rosales accuses Chávez of voter intimidation and other tactics to win votes.
*Report Envisions Looming Crisis in Iraq (Dec. 6): Report by the Iraq Study Group, led by former secretary of state James Baker and former Democratic congressman Lee Hamilton, says, “The situation in Iraq is grave and deteriorating” and calls on the Bush administration to reach out diplomatically to Iran and Syria to help prevent utter chaos. Report also recommends that the U.S. military beef up its effort to train Iraqi troops.
*Dozens Die in Suicide Bomb in Baghdad (Dec. 12): About 70 day laborers are killed in central Baghdad. The attack comes on the same day that the Iraqi government announces it wants to assume control of security in Baghdad.
*New UN Leader Is Sworn In (Dec. 14): Ban Ki-moon of South Korea is sworn in as the secretary general of the United Nations. He replaces Kofi Annan.
Palestinian Leader Calls for Early Elections (Dec. 16): Expressing frustration with the growing violence between his Fatah party and the militant group Hamas, Mahmoud Abbas orders early presidential and parliamentary elections. Hamas leaders say he lacks the authority to demand the elections. The two groups have failed to create a unity government.
*Report Says Violence Has Reached a Peak in Iraq (Dec. 18): Pentagon assessment finds that attacks on Americans and Iraqis average about 960 a week, the highest number since it began writing the reports in 2005.
*Saddam Hussein is Executed (Dec. 30): Saddam Hussein is hung at 10:05pm Eastern Time for his crimes against Iraqis
*Chávez Wins in a Landslide (Dec. 3): Hugo Chávez is reelected president of Venezuela, defeating Manuel Rosales 61% to 38%. Rosales accuses Chávez of voter intimidation and other tactics to win votes.
*Report Envisions Looming Crisis in Iraq (Dec. 6): Report by the Iraq Study Group, led by former secretary of state James Baker and former Democratic congressman Lee Hamilton, says, “The situation in Iraq is grave and deteriorating” and calls on the Bush administration to reach out diplomatically to Iran and Syria to help prevent utter chaos. Report also recommends that the U.S. military beef up its effort to train Iraqi troops.
*Dozens Die in Suicide Bomb in Baghdad (Dec. 12): About 70 day laborers are killed in central Baghdad. The attack comes on the same day that the Iraqi government announces it wants to assume control of security in Baghdad.
*New UN Leader Is Sworn In (Dec. 14): Ban Ki-moon of South Korea is sworn in as the secretary general of the United Nations. He replaces Kofi Annan.
Palestinian Leader Calls for Early Elections (Dec. 16): Expressing frustration with the growing violence between his Fatah party and the militant group Hamas, Mahmoud Abbas orders early presidential and parliamentary elections. Hamas leaders say he lacks the authority to demand the elections. The two groups have failed to create a unity government.
*Report Says Violence Has Reached a Peak in Iraq (Dec. 18): Pentagon assessment finds that attacks on Americans and Iraqis average about 960 a week, the highest number since it began writing the reports in 2005.
*Saddam Hussein is Executed (Dec. 30): Saddam Hussein is hung at 10:05pm Eastern Time for his crimes against Iraqis
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Labels: 2006 Year in Review, World Politics
Saddam Hanging


Yesterday at 10:05 Eastern Time, Saddam Hussein was
executed for his role in the death of about 2 million Iraqis during his time in office. He was also responsible for deaths during his American backed war against Iran, an illegal invasion of Kuwait and firing missiles at Israel during the Gulf War. Hussein's death was a big moment for Iranians, Shia and Kurdish Iraqis who suffered under his rule. It is a day of mourning for Sunnis in Iraq and Palestinians who benefited from his rule.
Coverage of Saddam's execution increased questions about the fairness of his trial, the use of the death penalty and the war on Iraq itself. World leaders were largely split in their reactions to yesterday's news. Personally, I am opposed to the death penalty, however I am hopeful that his death will close an era in Iraq and allow the country to rebuild and move away from violence. The world is better off without Saddam Hussein.
Now heading in to 2007, what will the future of Iraq look like. Many people are opposed to the war in Iraq, but very few of those critics supported Saddam Hussein remaining in power. The death of Saddam Hussein will likely have very little impact on the current insurgency along ethnic lines who are struggling for power in the new Iraq. The difference in reactions among Kurds and Shia Iraqis who were celebrating and dancing in the streets against those in Sunni areas who believe Saddam Hussein represented the glory years for their ethnic group in Iraq raises questions about the feasibility of a united Iraq in the future. Will Iraq split into three distinct nations? Will an American troop increase control the ethnic civil war in the country? Will Saddam's death truly mark the end of an era and provide a new motivation for all groups to unite and build a new democratic Iraq with representation from all sides? Does the death of Saddam Hussein justify the war in Iraq? Where should happen to Hussein's body? All of these questions will likely be answered fairly quickly in the new year.
On a side note, when are the trials coming for the American politicians and CIA agents who put him in power, supplied him with weapons, turned a blind eye to his actions until Kuwait oil was at stake and supported his war against Iran? Rumsfeld should be first in line for a war crimes trial, but I would suggest several others should be held accountable for Hussein, Pinochet and other dictators who advanced American interests in their regions throughout the history of the cold war. While it is a good day to see Hussein removed from the future of Iraq, it is unfortunate that others will never pay for their crimes against Iraqis and millions of others. Perhaps Eric Margolis is also correct. The kangeroo court procedure in Iraq was a better alternative to the Hague in the UN, simply because it silienced Hussein's true cooperation with the CIA and the Whitehouse.
Thanks for reading...
-Darryl
***************
U.S. buries truth
By ERIC MARGOLIS
On my first visit to Iraq in 1976, so-called "Israeli spies" were being hanged in front of my Baghdad hotel.
While covering Iraq just before the 1991 Gulf War, Saddam Hussein's secret police threatened to hang me as an American/Israeli spy.
I always considered "President Hussein," who was hanged Friday, a sadistic bully and a loathsome megalomaniac.
No one can accuse me of sympathy for Saddam or his fellow thugs who terrorized Iraq. But I was thoroughly disgusted and ashamed by the kangaroo court created and stage-managed by the U.S. that condemned Saddam.
It was a disgraceful farrago of Soviet-style show trial and judicial circus. Washington, which claimed to be bringing the fruits of democracy to the benighted Arab World, put on a sinister legal farce worthy of, ironically, Saddam's courts.
Iraq's deposed president, whom Osama bin Laden called "the worst Arab despot" should have faced real justice at an international legal tribunal like the UN Hague Court. That would have served warning to other despots who violated human rights and committed aggression.
The United States did right to hand over Serb tyrant Slobodan Milosevic to the Hague. But Saddam had to be silenced before he told the world about his long collusion with the United States. Dead men tell no tales.
Saddam's biggest crime was not killing rebellious Kurds or Shia. As ruler of the unnatural, British-created Frankenstein state Iraq, Saddam was forced to keep putting down rebellions.
Saintly Winston Churchill authorized the RAF to bomb Iraq's rebellious Kurdish tribesmen with poison gas -- exactly as Saddam later did. Saddam's most brutal repression of Kurds and Shia occurred when they revolted during Iraq's wars with Iran and the U.S.
Saddam should have faced trial for his unprovoked 1980 aggression against Iran that ended up causing one million dead and wounded.
But in this crime, Saddam was covertly backed by his principal accomplices, the U.S. and Britain. Donald Rumsfeld even went to Baghdad to offer Saddam arms, finance and intelligence. Hanging Saddam eliminated the main witness.
Saddam was helped into power by the CIA, which stood by while he slaughtered Iraqi communists and Nasserites.
The U.S. and Britain, as I discovered in Baghdad in 1990, supplied Saddam with poison gas and germs to make battlefield weapons (these were not "weapons of mass destruction." The germs were never successfully weaponized).
So long as Saddam was killing and torturing people America and Britain did not like, he was "our SOB."
But when Saddam grew too big for his britches and invaded Kuwait, he went from being the West's regional bullyboy to devil No. 1.
Once he touched the West's oil in Kuwait, he was marked for death.
Some of the tame U.S. media have been spinning Saddam's execution as a justification for the Bush/Cheney administration's unprovoked invasion of Iraq, without ever asking why Saddam was an ally in 1988 yet a devil in 1991 and again in 2003.
Nor has there been much reporting that under Saddam, Iraq became the Arab world's most industrialized nation, a leader in women's rights, medical care, education, and public projects.
Back in 2003, I predicted that once the U.S. got rid of old pal Saddam, it would look for another Saddam-clone to replace him. The mutant state of Iraq and its feuding peoples can only be ruled by an iron fist. Saddam's greatest error was believing he had frightened Iraqis into a national unity that would support invasions of his neighbours. He was dead wrong.
There are plenty of other brutal regimes that rival Saddam's Iraq for nastiness. Most are close U.S. allies. As Henry Kissinger once quipped, being America's ally is far more dangerous than being its enemy.
After jubilation among Shia and Kurds over Saddam's execution subsides, Iraq will return to its daily bloody chaos. Saddam called himself a martyr. In years to come, many Arabs will forget his many crimes and remember him as a flawed hero and martyr who dared challenge the United States and Israel, and paid the price for his audacity.
***********************
Saddam hanged at dawn
Saddam was executed at an Iraqi military base in northern Baghdad [AFP]
Saddam Hussein, the former Iraqi president, has been hanged, Iraqi officials have said.
The execution took place shortly before 6am (03:00 GMT) on Saturday at an Iraqi miltary facility in northern Baghdad.
Iraqi television later showed footage of Saddam being placed in a noose by hangmen, cutting away just before his execution.
The 69-year-old appeared calm, chatting to his hangmen as they wrapped his neck in black cloth and steered him towards the gallows.
Iraqi television later showed footage of his body.
Saddam was convicted last month of the killings of 148 Shias after a failed assassination attempt in 1982.
Death of Saddam
Obituary
Timeline: Saddam's life
World reaction
Bomb hits Shia town
Pilgrims outraged
The Iraqi prime minister, Nuri al-Maliki, later urged Saddam's fellow Baathists to reconsider their tactics and join the political process.
"I urged followers of the ousted regime to reconsider their stance as the door is still open to anyone who has no innocent blood on his hands, to help in rebuilding an Iraq for all Iraqis," he said.
In Sadr City, a Shia area of Baghdad, people danced in the streets while others fired guns in the air to celebrate the former leader's death.
Kurds also welcomed the hanging and the office of the Kurdish regional president, Massud Barzani, issued a statement saying: "We hope that Saddam Hussein's execution will open a new chapter among Iraqis and the end of using violence against civilians."
Violence in Iraq continued on Saturday after Saddam's death and at least 30 people were killed when a bomb exploded in a fish market south of Baghdad in the first.
US satisfaction
George Bush said the execution was an important milestone on the country's path to democracy.
Iraqi Shias in Sadr City celebrated the death of the former Iraqi leader. [AFP]"Bringing Saddam Hussein to justice will not end the violence in Iraq, but it is an important milestone on Iraq's course to becoming a democracy that can govern, sustain, and defend itself," the US president said in a statement.
An appeals court had upheld the death penalty on Tuesday and the Iraqi government rushed through the procedures to hang Saddam by the end of the year and before the Eid al-Adha holiday that starts on Saturday.
Saddam's half-brother, Barzan al-Tikriti, and a former judge, Awad al-Bander, also sentenced to death for their roles in the killings of the villagers in Dujail, will be hanged after Eid, officials said on Saturday.
Hanging footage
The execution took place at an Iraqi army base in Kadhimiya.
The base was the former headquarters for Saddam's military intelligence where many of his victims were tortured and executed in the same gallows.
The northern Baghdad district is also home to one of Shia Islam's holiest shrines.
Your Views
"Saddam's death will serve only to hasten World War III"
Andrew, Isle of Wight, UK
Send us your viewsThe government had kept details of the execution plan secret amid concerns that it may provoke a violent backlash from Saddam's supporters with Iraq on the brink of civil war.
"It was very quick. He died right away," an official Iraqi witnesses told the Reuters news agency.
"We heard his neck snap," said Sami al-Askari, a political ally of al-Maliki.
Another witness said: "He seemed very calm. He did not tremble."
As guards took him to the scaffold, according to witnesses, Saddam said: "There is no God but God and Muhammad is his prophet."
Criticism
During his three decades in power, Saddam was accused of widespread oppression of political opponents and genocide against Kurds in northern Iraq. His execution means that he will never face justice on those charges.
Others have questioned the timing of the killing, coming at the beginning of the Muslim holiday of Eid al-Adha.
Saddam insisted during his trial that he was still the president of Iraq. He said in a letter written after his conviction that he offered himself as a "sacrifice".
"If my soul goes down this path [of martyrdom] it will face God in serenity," he wrote in the letter.
'Biased' trial
Saddam's defence team and human rights groups complained that the former Iraqi leader had not recieved a fair trial.
Najeeb Al-Nuaimi, one of the defence lawyers, told Al Jazeera: "There was bias, the prosecution sided with their politicians, it was an ethnically established court with three Shia and one Sunni."
The US-based rights group Human Rights Watch condemned the hanging, saying history would judge his trial and execution harshly.
Richard Dicker, a Human Rights Watch director, said: "Saddam Hussein was responsible for horrific, widespread human rights violations, but those acts, however brutal, cannot justify his execution, a cruel and inhuman punishment."
Timeline: Saddam's life
Saddam in exile in Egypt [AFP]
April 1937: Saddam Hussein is born in the village of Tikrit in central Iraq.
October 1956: Saddam joins the Baath party.
October 1959: He takes part in an assassination attempt against Iraq's ruler, General Abdul Karim Qassem. He flees Iraq and spends four years in exile in Egypt.
February 1963: He returns to Baghdad after the Baath party comes to power in a military coup. The Baathists are defeated nine months later. Saddam is jailed and elected – while in prison - as the Baath party deputy secretary-general.
July 1968: The Baath party seizes power from Abdul Mohammed Aref. Saddam is the party's number two.
March 1975: He signs a border agreement with Shah of Iran. The latter then supported Kurdish rebellions.
July 1979: Ahmed Hassan Al-Bakr steps down and Saddam becomes president.
September 1980: War starts between Iraq and Iran. Iraq is backed by the US during the eight-year war, in which a million people die.
March 1988: The Iraqi army bombs Halabjah and gases 5,000 Kurdish villagers.
August 1988: A ceasefire is signed between Iran and Iraq.
August 1990: Saddam invades and annexes Kuwait.
Saddam brandishing an assault rifle during avisit to villages in northern Iraq [AFP]January 1991: US-led operation "desert storm" drives the Iraqi army out of Kuwait.
October 1995: Saddam wins a presidential referendum, official figures giving him more than 99 per cent of the votes.
September 2001: George Bush, the US president, calls Iraq "a rogue state".
October 2002: Saddam wins 100 per cent of votes in another presidential referendum.
December 2002: He apologises for invading Kuwait. Kuwait does not accept the apology.
February 2003: Saddam denies being in possession of any chemical or nuclear weapons and denies that he has any links with al-Qaeda.
20 March 2003: A US-led coalition invades Iraq, despite not securing a UN resolution authorising it to do so.
9 April 2003: US troops enter Baghdad.
Saddam as a young member of theBaath Party [AFP]
22 July 2003: Uday and Qusay Hussein, Saddam's sons, are killed by US troops in a raid on a house in Mosul.
13 December 2003: US officials announce the capture of Saddam.
19 October 2005: Start of Saddam’s trial for the 1982 killing of 148 Shia men in Dujail after a failed assassination attempt on the president.
21 August 2006: Start of the Anfal. Saddam is accused of killing thousands of Kurdish civilians in 1988.
5 November 2006: Saddam is found guilty and sentenced to death for crimes against humanity.
26 December 2006: The Iraqi court of appeal upholds the death sentence against Saddam.
Iran welcomes Saddam execution
Saddam's death has provoked mixed reactions across the Middle East. [AFP]
Iran has welcomed the execution of Saddam Hussein, saying his hanging was a victory for all Iraqis.
The IRNA agency reported the deputy foreign minister, Hamid Reza Asefi, as saying: "With regards to Saddam's execution, the Iraqi people are the victorious ones, as they were victorious when Saddam fell."
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Saddam was universally reviled in Iran for attacking the Islamic republic in 1980, sparking an eight-year war that cost about a million lives on both sides.
Israel also hailed the execution and said the former president brought about his own demise.
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Shimon Peres, the deputy prime minister, said: "Saddam Hussein brought about his own demise. This was a man who caused a great deal of harm to his people and who was a major threat to Israel."
However, the ruling Palestinian movement, Hamas, described the execution as a "political assassination" which "violates all international laws".
The oppostion Palestinian Fatah faction said that the execution was "a disrespectful tribute to Eid al-Adha, and should never have taken place now".
Libya declared three days of national mourning and described Saddam as a "prisoner of war".
Held to account
George Bush, the US president, hailed the execution as "an important milestone" on the road to an Iraqi democracy, but said it would not end the violence there.
"Saddam Hussein's execution comes at the end of a difficult year for the Iraqi people and for our troops," Bush said after the execution.
"Many difficult choices and further sacrifices lie ahead. Yet the safety and security of the American people require that we not relent in ensuring that Iraq's young democracy continues to progress."
Margaret Beckett, the British foreign secretary, said Saddam had been held to account for some of his crimes against the Iraqi people; however, Britain remains opposed to capital punishment.
She said:"I welcome the fact that Saddam Hussein has been tried by an Iraqi court for at least some of the appalling crimes he committed against the Iraqi people. He has now been held to account."
National unity
France, staunchly opposed to the death penalty, called on Iraqis to work towards reconciliation and national unity.
The French foreign ministry said in statement: "France calls upon all Iraqis to look towards the future and work towards reconciliation and national unity. Now more than ever, the objective should be a return to full sovereignty and stability in Iraq."
Japan, a close US ally, said it respected Iraq's decision to execute Saddam, saying the act was based on the "rule of law".
"This is a decision made by Iraq's new government on the rule of law," a foreign ministry official said. "We respect it."
Syed Hamid Albar, the Malaysian foreign minister, said: "A lot of people, the international community generally are not in favour of the hanging and question the due process that took place.
"We are surprised that they went ahead nowithstanding.
"I think there will be repercussions. The only thing is we hope they will be able to contain this. Because the conflict is not going to end. This is not the answer."
Vatican spokesman denounces Saddam's execution as 'tragic'
Updated 12/30/2006 7:22 AM ET
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SADDAM EXECUTED
Hussein's legacy: 'Megalomania and cruelty' Gallery Timeline
Politics: Bush says death won't halt Iraq violence Text World leaders divided
Death by hanging: Witnesses watch in Green Zone Hussein faced grim end at gallows
Reactions: Vatican denounces death penalty as 'tragic' Iraqi-Americans celebrate Military kin have mixed feelings Troops in Iraq brace for violence
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VATICAN CITY (AP) — The Vatican on Saturday denounced Saddam Hussein's execution as "tragic" and said it risked fueling revenge and new violence in Iraq.
"An execution is always tragic news, reason for sadness, even in the case of a person who is guilty of grave crimes," the Holy See's spokesman, Rev. Federico Lombardi, said in a statement released by the Vatican press office.
Earlier in the morning, Lombardi made similar comments on Vatican Radio.
"The position of the Catholic Church — against the death penalty — has been reiterated many times," the spokesman said in the statement, referring to the Vatican's overall opposition to capital punishment.
"Killing the guilty one is not the way to rebuild justice and reconcile society," the spokesman said. "On the contrary, there is the risk that the spirit of revenge is fueled and that the seeds of new violence are sown."
"In this dark time in the life of the Iraq people, one can only hope that all leaders truly make every effort so that in a dramatic situation glimmers of reconciliation and of peace finally can be seen," Lombardi said.
The Vatican's top official for dialogue between religions, Cardinal Paul Poupard, said: "We pray to the Lord and for the dead and the living so that this will not become an occasion for new violence."
"We are always sad when men take lives which belong to the Lord," Poupard told the Italian news agency ANSA.
In an interview published in an Italian daily earlier in the week, the Vatican's top prelate for justice issues, Cardinal Renato Martino, said executing Saddam would mean punishing "a crime with another crime."
In one of the late Pope John Paul II's encyclicals, "Evangelium Vitae" (The Gospel of Life) in 1995, the pontiff laid out the Catholic Church's stance against capital punishment, saying that in a modern world, with improved prison systems, cases in which the death penalty could be justified were "practically non-existent."
The staunch opposition was reiterated in 1997, in the Church's updated catechism, a compendium of Church doctrine.
Saddam Hussein dies on the gallows
Associated Press
Baghdad — Saddam Hussein struggled briefly after American military guards handed him over to Iraqi executioners. But as his final moments approached, he grew calm.
He clutched a Quran as he was led to the gallows, and in one final moment of defiance, refused to have a hood pulled over his head before facing the same fate he was accused of inflicting on countless thousands during a quarter-century of ruthless power.
A man whose testimony helped lead to Mr. Hussein's conviction and execution before sunrise said he was shown the body because "everybody wanted to make sure that he was really executed."
"Now, he is in the garbage of history," said Jawad Abdul-Aziz, who lost his father, three brothers and 22 cousins in the reprisal killings that followed a botched 1982 assassination attempt against Saddam in the Shiite town of Dujail.
Related to this article
In this television screen grab taken from Iraqi national television station Al-iraqia, a video shows the moments leading up to the execution of former Iraqi dictator Saddam Hussein as he is led on to the gallows as he is prepared for hanging on Dec. 30. (Al-iraqia via Getty Images)
Articles
Fate of Hussein's body remains unclear
Saddam Hussein dies on the gallows
World reacts to Hussein's execution
A brutal legacy that will shape Iraq for decades
Question of timing
Life and death of a dictator
Photogalleries
The life and times of Saddam Hussein
Iraqi television showed what it said was Mr. Hussein's body, his head uncovered and the neck twisted at a sharp angle.
The footage showed the man identified as Mr. Hussein lying on a stretcher, covered in a white shroud. His neck and part of the shroud have what appear to be bloodstains. His eyes are closed.
In Baghdad's Shiite enclave of Sadr City, hundreds of people danced in the streets while others fired guns in the air to celebrate. The government did not impose a round-the-clock curfew as it did last month when Mr. Hussein was convicted to thwart any surge in retaliatory violence.
It was a grim end for the 69-year-old leader who had vexed three U.S. presidents. Despite his ouster, Washington, its allies and the new Iraqi leaders remain mired in a fight to quell a stubborn insurgency by Hussein loyalists and a vicious sectarian conflict.
The execution took place during the year's deadliest month for U.S. troops, with the toll reaching 108.
U.S. President George W. Bush said in a statement issued from his ranch in Texas that bringing Mr. Hussein to justice "is an important milestone on Iraq's course to becoming a democracy that can govern, sustain and defend itself, and be an ally in the war on terror."
He said that the execution marks the "end of a difficult year for the Iraqi people and for our troops" and cautioned that Saddam's death will not halt the violence in Iraq.
Within hours of Mr. Hussein's execution, a bomb planted aboard a minibus exploded in a fish market south of Baghdad, killing 31 people. At least 58 others were wounded in the explosion in Kufa, a Shiite town 160 kilometres south of the Iraqi capital, said Issa Mohammed, director of the morgue in the neighbouring town of Najaf.
Ali Hamza, a 30-year-old university professor, said he went outside to shoot his gun into the air after he learned of Mr. Hussein's death.
"Now all the victims' families will be happy because Saddam got his just sentence," said Hamza, who lives in Diwaniyah, a Shiite town 140 kilometres south of Baghdad.
But people in the Sunni-dominated city of Tikrit, once a power base of Mr. Hussein, lamented his death.
"The president, the leader Saddam Hussein is a martyr and God will put him along with other martyrs. Do not be sad nor complain because he has died the death of a holy warrior," said Sheik Yahya al-Attawi, a cleric at the Saddam Big Mosque.
Police blocked the entrances to Tikrit and said nobody was allowed to leave or enter the city for four days. Despite the security precaution, gunmen took to the streets of Tikrit, carrying pictures of Mr. Hussein, shooting into the air, and calling for vengeance.
Security forces also set up roadblocks at the entrance to another Sunni stronghold, Samarra, and a curfew was imposed after about 500 people took to the streets protesting Mr. Hussein execution.
A couple hundred people also protested the execution just outside the Anbar capital of Ramadi, and more than 2,000 people demonstrated in Adwar, the village south of Tikrit where Mr. Hussein was captured by U.S. troops hiding in an underground bunker.
"I urged followers of the ousted regime to reconsider their stance as the door is still open to anyone who has no innocent blood on his hands, to help in rebuilding an Iraq for all Iraqis," he said.
In Sadr City, a Shia area of Baghdad, people danced in the streets while others fired guns in the air to celebrate the former leader's death.
Kurds also welcomed the hanging and the office of the Kurdish regional president, Massud Barzani, issued a statement saying: "We hope that Saddam Hussein's execution will open a new chapter among Iraqis and the end of using violence against civilians."
Violence in Iraq continued on Saturday after Saddam's death and at least 30 people were killed when a bomb exploded in a fish market south of Baghdad in the first.
US satisfaction
George Bush said the execution was an important milestone on the country's path to democracy.
Iraqi Shias in Sadr City celebrated the death of the former Iraqi leader. [AFP]"Bringing Saddam Hussein to justice will not end the violence in Iraq, but it is an important milestone on Iraq's course to becoming a democracy that can govern, sustain, and defend itself," the US president said in a statement.
An appeals court had upheld the death penalty on Tuesday and the Iraqi government rushed through the procedures to hang Saddam by the end of the year and before the Eid al-Adha holiday that starts on Saturday.
Saddam's half-brother, Barzan al-Tikriti, and a former judge, Awad al-Bander, also sentenced to death for their roles in the killings of the villagers in Dujail, will be hanged after Eid, officials said on Saturday.
Hanging footage
The execution took place at an Iraqi army base in Kadhimiya.
The base was the former headquarters for Saddam's military intelligence where many of his victims were tortured and executed in the same gallows.
The northern Baghdad district is also home to one of Shia Islam's holiest shrines.
Your Views
"Saddam's death will serve only to hasten World War III"
Andrew, Isle of Wight, UK
Send us your viewsThe government had kept details of the execution plan secret amid concerns that it may provoke a violent backlash from Saddam's supporters with Iraq on the brink of civil war.
"It was very quick. He died right away," an official Iraqi witnesses told the Reuters news agency.
"We heard his neck snap," said Sami al-Askari, a political ally of al-Maliki.
Another witness said: "He seemed very calm. He did not tremble."
As guards took him to the scaffold, according to witnesses, Saddam said: "There is no God but God and Muhammad is his prophet."
Criticism
During his three decades in power, Saddam was accused of widespread oppression of political opponents and genocide against Kurds in northern Iraq. His execution means that he will never face justice on those charges.
Others have questioned the timing of the killing, coming at the beginning of the Muslim holiday of Eid al-Adha.
Saddam insisted during his trial that he was still the president of Iraq. He said in a letter written after his conviction that he offered himself as a "sacrifice".
"If my soul goes down this path [of martyrdom] it will face God in serenity," he wrote in the letter.
'Biased' trial
Saddam's defence team and human rights groups complained that the former Iraqi leader had not recieved a fair trial.
Najeeb Al-Nuaimi, one of the defence lawyers, told Al Jazeera: "There was bias, the prosecution sided with their politicians, it was an ethnically established court with three Shia and one Sunni."
The US-based rights group Human Rights Watch condemned the hanging, saying history would judge his trial and execution harshly.
Richard Dicker, a Human Rights Watch director, said: "Saddam Hussein was responsible for horrific, widespread human rights violations, but those acts, however brutal, cannot justify his execution, a cruel and inhuman punishment."
************
Storm rages over trial, sentence
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Human rights advocates sayprocess that saw three lawyers murderedamounted to a travesty of justice
December 30, 2006 Olivia WardStaff reporter
A trail of blood led across the Middle East to the door of Saddam Hussein's cell.
But while the man labelled the Butcher of Baghdad had few defenders, a number of prominent human rights advocates have criticized his death sentence, and the trial that preceded it, as a travesty of justice.
During the year-long proceedings three defence lawyers were murdered, a judge resigned and two others were fired, lawyers boycotted the courtroom and Saddam told the tribunal to "go to hell."
"There were a number of concerns as to the fairness of the original trial, and there needs to be assurance that these issues have been comprehensively addressed," said Louise Arbour, the United Nations High Commissioner for Human Rights, before Saddam's hanging was carried out. "I therefore call on the Iraqi authorities not to act precipitately in seeking to execute the sentence in these cases."
Arbour, a former prosecutor at the International Criminal Tribunal for Former Yugoslavia, indicted Serbian strongman Slobodan Milosevic, who later died before the court could arrive at a verdict.
Saddam was executed this morning following the rejection of an appeal earlier this week. The Iraqi government had a 30-day deadline to carry out the death sentence, but pressed for the earliest time.
The much-feared dictator was convicted for his role in the killing of 148 Shiite men and boys after an assassination attempt against him in the central Iraqi town of Dujail in 1982.
He would not go on trial for a second case charging him with responsibility in the deaths of thousands of Kurds during an anti-Kurdish campaign in the late 1980s. Hundreds of thousands of other Iraqis were killed during Saddam's regime, including Shiites who rebelled after the 1991 Gulf War.
From the time U.S. forces dragged Saddam, bewildered and unkempt, from an underground hideout in December 2003, fierce debate raged about how to bring him to justice.
With Iraq emerging from war and political tumult, and its legal system for decades a captive of a corrupt and authoritarian regime, many judicial experts believed Saddam should be tried in an international court, or by a "mixed court" including international experts and Iraqis.
But, says Richard Dicker of Human Rights Watch, one of the leading critics of the trial, "even before the U.S. troops took Baghdad the American government announced it wanted an all-Iraqi tribunal. The decision was made regardless of the facts on the ground."
Dicker said that holding the trial in Iraq was "not wrong," in spite of spiralling violence that later created a security nightmare. But without any international lawyers and jurists taking part, "the trial went off the rails at the moment of conception."
U.S. President George W. Bush's administration, Dicker said, "was at a low point in its jihad against the International Criminal Court," when insisting on an all-Iraqi trial, "and it also wanted to make sure (the verdict) would include the death penalty, which wouldn't happen in an international court."
But with America the biggest financial and technical supporter of the trial – contributing more than $100 million (U.S.) to courtroom construction, and supplying the Iraqis with advisers, lawyers and forensic investigators – the trial was also open to charges of bias from the start.
In addition it suffered from meddling by Iraqi politicians, who publicly criticized the proceedings. Human Rights watch said the tribunal "was undermined from the outset by Iraqi government actions that threatened the independence ... of the court." It also pointed to failures to disclose key evidence, violations of the defendant's right to confront witnesses, and lapses of judicial demeanour.
The trial was conducted in an atmosphere of intensifying violence, with Saddam's Sunni Muslim supporters threatening retaliation, and revenge attacks on Shiites and Sunnis escalating.
But Michael Scharf, an internationally respected American law professor who helped to train Iraqi judges and lawyers for Saddam's trial, says that although it "will probably go down in history as the messiest war crimes trial ever," the court did a "reasonable job against amazing challenges."
"The people who criticized the trial were premature," he said in a phone interview, referring to Human Rights Watch. "They should have waited for the written judgment. It is 298 single-spaced pages, the longest in history. The findings were very detailed, and you're left with a history of the regime that will withstand the forces of revisionism."
Amnesty International has also condemned the trial, calling it "deeply flawed and unfair, due to political interference which undermined the independence of the court." And it adds, "the Appeals Court should have ... ordered a fair retrial, not simply confirmed the sentences as if all was satisfactory at the trial stage."
The Vatican, too, weighed in, saying that Saddam's death penalty punishes "a crime with another crime." And the Reverend Jesse Jackson pointed out that Saddam had been a U.S. ally while committing "heinous crimes against humanity... Saddam as a war trophy only deepens the catastrophe to which we are indelibly linked."
In a report issued earlier this month, the U.S. Congress's Iraq Study Group said "the problems in the Iraqi police and criminal justice system are profound," recommending that the U.S. Justice Department take part in a sweeping reform.
But Scharf, author of the newly published Saddam on Trial, said that the training of the Iraqi judges and lawyers for the trial anticipated some of the "crazy things" that happened as it got underway. "We had standby lawyers in case they walked out – and ultimately they boycotted about 90 per cent of the trial. The challenge of trying to maintain order and give Saddam his day in court were so overwhelming that it was one the tribunal just couldn't live up to."
But he said, "he got 39 days to make speeches and say the most outlandish things.
"It was the rule of law, and hopefully, one of the lessons of the trial."
He added, "it's hard in the middle of a moment in history to see how this will be remembered. If Iraq ends up as a failed state like Somalia, it will not be significant. "But if in 10 years Iraq has a democratic government, the trial of Saddam will be one of the seminal events in the transition toward democracy and peace."
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Human rights advocates sayprocess that saw three lawyers murderedamounted to a travesty of justice
December 30, 2006 Olivia WardStaff reporter
A trail of blood led across the Middle East to the door of Saddam Hussein's cell.
But while the man labelled the Butcher of Baghdad had few defenders, a number of prominent human rights advocates have criticized his death sentence, and the trial that preceded it, as a travesty of justice.
During the year-long proceedings three defence lawyers were murdered, a judge resigned and two others were fired, lawyers boycotted the courtroom and Saddam told the tribunal to "go to hell."
"There were a number of concerns as to the fairness of the original trial, and there needs to be assurance that these issues have been comprehensively addressed," said Louise Arbour, the United Nations High Commissioner for Human Rights, before Saddam's hanging was carried out. "I therefore call on the Iraqi authorities not to act precipitately in seeking to execute the sentence in these cases."
Arbour, a former prosecutor at the International Criminal Tribunal for Former Yugoslavia, indicted Serbian strongman Slobodan Milosevic, who later died before the court could arrive at a verdict.
Saddam was executed this morning following the rejection of an appeal earlier this week. The Iraqi government had a 30-day deadline to carry out the death sentence, but pressed for the earliest time.
The much-feared dictator was convicted for his role in the killing of 148 Shiite men and boys after an assassination attempt against him in the central Iraqi town of Dujail in 1982.
He would not go on trial for a second case charging him with responsibility in the deaths of thousands of Kurds during an anti-Kurdish campaign in the late 1980s. Hundreds of thousands of other Iraqis were killed during Saddam's regime, including Shiites who rebelled after the 1991 Gulf War.
From the time U.S. forces dragged Saddam, bewildered and unkempt, from an underground hideout in December 2003, fierce debate raged about how to bring him to justice.
With Iraq emerging from war and political tumult, and its legal system for decades a captive of a corrupt and authoritarian regime, many judicial experts believed Saddam should be tried in an international court, or by a "mixed court" including international experts and Iraqis.
But, says Richard Dicker of Human Rights Watch, one of the leading critics of the trial, "even before the U.S. troops took Baghdad the American government announced it wanted an all-Iraqi tribunal. The decision was made regardless of the facts on the ground."
Dicker said that holding the trial in Iraq was "not wrong," in spite of spiralling violence that later created a security nightmare. But without any international lawyers and jurists taking part, "the trial went off the rails at the moment of conception."
U.S. President George W. Bush's administration, Dicker said, "was at a low point in its jihad against the International Criminal Court," when insisting on an all-Iraqi trial, "and it also wanted to make sure (the verdict) would include the death penalty, which wouldn't happen in an international court."
But with America the biggest financial and technical supporter of the trial – contributing more than $100 million (U.S.) to courtroom construction, and supplying the Iraqis with advisers, lawyers and forensic investigators – the trial was also open to charges of bias from the start.
In addition it suffered from meddling by Iraqi politicians, who publicly criticized the proceedings. Human Rights watch said the tribunal "was undermined from the outset by Iraqi government actions that threatened the independence ... of the court." It also pointed to failures to disclose key evidence, violations of the defendant's right to confront witnesses, and lapses of judicial demeanour.
The trial was conducted in an atmosphere of intensifying violence, with Saddam's Sunni Muslim supporters threatening retaliation, and revenge attacks on Shiites and Sunnis escalating.
But Michael Scharf, an internationally respected American law professor who helped to train Iraqi judges and lawyers for Saddam's trial, says that although it "will probably go down in history as the messiest war crimes trial ever," the court did a "reasonable job against amazing challenges."
"The people who criticized the trial were premature," he said in a phone interview, referring to Human Rights Watch. "They should have waited for the written judgment. It is 298 single-spaced pages, the longest in history. The findings were very detailed, and you're left with a history of the regime that will withstand the forces of revisionism."
Amnesty International has also condemned the trial, calling it "deeply flawed and unfair, due to political interference which undermined the independence of the court." And it adds, "the Appeals Court should have ... ordered a fair retrial, not simply confirmed the sentences as if all was satisfactory at the trial stage."
The Vatican, too, weighed in, saying that Saddam's death penalty punishes "a crime with another crime." And the Reverend Jesse Jackson pointed out that Saddam had been a U.S. ally while committing "heinous crimes against humanity... Saddam as a war trophy only deepens the catastrophe to which we are indelibly linked."
In a report issued earlier this month, the U.S. Congress's Iraq Study Group said "the problems in the Iraqi police and criminal justice system are profound," recommending that the U.S. Justice Department take part in a sweeping reform.
But Scharf, author of the newly published Saddam on Trial, said that the training of the Iraqi judges and lawyers for the trial anticipated some of the "crazy things" that happened as it got underway. "We had standby lawyers in case they walked out – and ultimately they boycotted about 90 per cent of the trial. The challenge of trying to maintain order and give Saddam his day in court were so overwhelming that it was one the tribunal just couldn't live up to."
But he said, "he got 39 days to make speeches and say the most outlandish things.
"It was the rule of law, and hopefully, one of the lessons of the trial."
He added, "it's hard in the middle of a moment in history to see how this will be remembered. If Iraq ends up as a failed state like Somalia, it will not be significant. "But if in 10 years Iraq has a democratic government, the trial of Saddam will be one of the seminal events in the transition toward democracy and peace."
***********************
Timeline: Saddam's life
Saddam in exile in Egypt [AFP]
April 1937: Saddam Hussein is born in the village of Tikrit in central Iraq.
October 1956: Saddam joins the Baath party.
October 1959: He takes part in an assassination attempt against Iraq's ruler, General Abdul Karim Qassem. He flees Iraq and spends four years in exile in Egypt.
February 1963: He returns to Baghdad after the Baath party comes to power in a military coup. The Baathists are defeated nine months later. Saddam is jailed and elected – while in prison - as the Baath party deputy secretary-general.
July 1968: The Baath party seizes power from Abdul Mohammed Aref. Saddam is the party's number two.
March 1975: He signs a border agreement with Shah of Iran. The latter then supported Kurdish rebellions.
July 1979: Ahmed Hassan Al-Bakr steps down and Saddam becomes president.
September 1980: War starts between Iraq and Iran. Iraq is backed by the US during the eight-year war, in which a million people die.
March 1988: The Iraqi army bombs Halabjah and gases 5,000 Kurdish villagers.
August 1988: A ceasefire is signed between Iran and Iraq.
August 1990: Saddam invades and annexes Kuwait.
Saddam brandishing an assault rifle during avisit to villages in northern Iraq [AFP]January 1991: US-led operation "desert storm" drives the Iraqi army out of Kuwait.
October 1995: Saddam wins a presidential referendum, official figures giving him more than 99 per cent of the votes.
September 2001: George Bush, the US president, calls Iraq "a rogue state".
October 2002: Saddam wins 100 per cent of votes in another presidential referendum.
December 2002: He apologises for invading Kuwait. Kuwait does not accept the apology.
February 2003: Saddam denies being in possession of any chemical or nuclear weapons and denies that he has any links with al-Qaeda.
20 March 2003: A US-led coalition invades Iraq, despite not securing a UN resolution authorising it to do so.
9 April 2003: US troops enter Baghdad.
Saddam as a young member of theBaath Party [AFP]
22 July 2003: Uday and Qusay Hussein, Saddam's sons, are killed by US troops in a raid on a house in Mosul.
13 December 2003: US officials announce the capture of Saddam.
19 October 2005: Start of Saddam’s trial for the 1982 killing of 148 Shia men in Dujail after a failed assassination attempt on the president.
21 August 2006: Start of the Anfal. Saddam is accused of killing thousands of Kurdish civilians in 1988.
5 November 2006: Saddam is found guilty and sentenced to death for crimes against humanity.
26 December 2006: The Iraqi court of appeal upholds the death sentence against Saddam.
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Iran welcomes Saddam execution
Saddam's death has provoked mixed reactions across the Middle East. [AFP]
Iran has welcomed the execution of Saddam Hussein, saying his hanging was a victory for all Iraqis.
The IRNA agency reported the deputy foreign minister, Hamid Reza Asefi, as saying: "With regards to Saddam's execution, the Iraqi people are the victorious ones, as they were victorious when Saddam fell."
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Saddam was universally reviled in Iran for attacking the Islamic republic in 1980, sparking an eight-year war that cost about a million lives on both sides.
Israel also hailed the execution and said the former president brought about his own demise.
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Shimon Peres, the deputy prime minister, said: "Saddam Hussein brought about his own demise. This was a man who caused a great deal of harm to his people and who was a major threat to Israel."
However, the ruling Palestinian movement, Hamas, described the execution as a "political assassination" which "violates all international laws".
The oppostion Palestinian Fatah faction said that the execution was "a disrespectful tribute to Eid al-Adha, and should never have taken place now".
Libya declared three days of national mourning and described Saddam as a "prisoner of war".
Held to account
George Bush, the US president, hailed the execution as "an important milestone" on the road to an Iraqi democracy, but said it would not end the violence there.
"Saddam Hussein's execution comes at the end of a difficult year for the Iraqi people and for our troops," Bush said after the execution.
"Many difficult choices and further sacrifices lie ahead. Yet the safety and security of the American people require that we not relent in ensuring that Iraq's young democracy continues to progress."
Margaret Beckett, the British foreign secretary, said Saddam had been held to account for some of his crimes against the Iraqi people; however, Britain remains opposed to capital punishment.
She said:"I welcome the fact that Saddam Hussein has been tried by an Iraqi court for at least some of the appalling crimes he committed against the Iraqi people. He has now been held to account."
National unity
France, staunchly opposed to the death penalty, called on Iraqis to work towards reconciliation and national unity.
The French foreign ministry said in statement: "France calls upon all Iraqis to look towards the future and work towards reconciliation and national unity. Now more than ever, the objective should be a return to full sovereignty and stability in Iraq."
Japan, a close US ally, said it respected Iraq's decision to execute Saddam, saying the act was based on the "rule of law".
"This is a decision made by Iraq's new government on the rule of law," a foreign ministry official said. "We respect it."
Syed Hamid Albar, the Malaysian foreign minister, said: "A lot of people, the international community generally are not in favour of the hanging and question the due process that took place.
"We are surprised that they went ahead nowithstanding.
"I think there will be repercussions. The only thing is we hope they will be able to contain this. Because the conflict is not going to end. This is not the answer."
*********************
Palestinians mourn Saddam's execution
By ASSOCIATED PRESSRAMALLAH, West Bank
The execution of Saddam Hussein sent many Palestinians into deep mourning Saturday as they struggled to come to terms with the demise of perhaps their most steadfast ally.
Unlike much of the rest of the world, where Saddam was viewed as a brutal dictator who oppressed his people and started regional wars, in the West Bank and Gaza he was seen as a generous benefactor unafraid to fight for the Palestinian cause, even to the end.
In Israel, where Saddam was seen as a bitter enemy, there was little sadness. But Deputy Defense Minister Ephraim Sneh expressed concerns about Iraq's path in the post-Saddam era.
Sneh told Israel Radio that Israel was concerned about the strengthening of Iranian influence in the Shi'ite sections of southern Iraq and also in the central government. Iraq had also become a regional "power station" for terror that could spread chaos throughout the Middle East, he said."We have to be worried about what is going to happen now," he said.
Saddam's final words were reportedly, "Palestine is Arab."
"We heard of his martyrdom, and I swear to God we were deeply shaken from within," said Khadejeh Ahmad from the Qadora refugee camp in the West Bank. "Nobody was as supportive or stood with the Palestinians as he did."
During the first Gulf War in 1991, the Palestinians cheered Saddam's missile attacks on Israel, chanting "Beloved Saddam, strike Tel Aviv," as the Scud missiles flew overhead.
He further endeared himself to the Palestinians during the recent uprising with Israel by giving US$25,000 to the family of each suicide bomber and US$10,000 for each Palestinian killed in fighting. The stipends amounted to an estimated US$35 million.
Saddam's support for the Palestinians, whose cause is deeply popular with Arabs throughout the Middle East, was at least partially aimed at gaining widespread support throughout the Arab world.
"Saddam was a person who had the ability to say, 'No' in the face of a great country," said Hosni al Ejel, 46, from the al Amari refugee camp near Ramallah.
"He wanted the Palestinian people to have a state and a government and to be united. But God supports us, and we pray to God to punish those who did this," said Ghanem Mezel, 72, from the town of Saeer in the southern West Bank.
Others were happy to hear Saddam's final words, knowing that his support for them remained unshakable until the end.
Palestinians in the West Bank town of Bethlehem opened a "house of condolences" where people can gather to mourn Saddam. The organizers hung Iraqi flags, pictures of Saddam and broadcast Iraqi revolutionary songs.
Mohammed Barghouti, the minister of labor in the Hamas-led Palestinian Cabinet, said that although his Islamic group was often at odds with the secular Saddam, his execution was wrong."The Palestinians had bonded with Iraqis in brotherhood," he said.
The execution of Saddam Hussein sent many Palestinians into deep mourning Saturday as they struggled to come to terms with the demise of perhaps their most steadfast ally.
Unlike much of the rest of the world, where Saddam was viewed as a brutal dictator who oppressed his people and started regional wars, in the West Bank and Gaza he was seen as a generous benefactor unafraid to fight for the Palestinian cause, even to the end.
In Israel, where Saddam was seen as a bitter enemy, there was little sadness. But Deputy Defense Minister Ephraim Sneh expressed concerns about Iraq's path in the post-Saddam era.
Sneh told Israel Radio that Israel was concerned about the strengthening of Iranian influence in the Shi'ite sections of southern Iraq and also in the central government. Iraq had also become a regional "power station" for terror that could spread chaos throughout the Middle East, he said."We have to be worried about what is going to happen now," he said.
Saddam's final words were reportedly, "Palestine is Arab."
"We heard of his martyrdom, and I swear to God we were deeply shaken from within," said Khadejeh Ahmad from the Qadora refugee camp in the West Bank. "Nobody was as supportive or stood with the Palestinians as he did."
During the first Gulf War in 1991, the Palestinians cheered Saddam's missile attacks on Israel, chanting "Beloved Saddam, strike Tel Aviv," as the Scud missiles flew overhead.
He further endeared himself to the Palestinians during the recent uprising with Israel by giving US$25,000 to the family of each suicide bomber and US$10,000 for each Palestinian killed in fighting. The stipends amounted to an estimated US$35 million.
Saddam's support for the Palestinians, whose cause is deeply popular with Arabs throughout the Middle East, was at least partially aimed at gaining widespread support throughout the Arab world.
"Saddam was a person who had the ability to say, 'No' in the face of a great country," said Hosni al Ejel, 46, from the al Amari refugee camp near Ramallah.
"He wanted the Palestinian people to have a state and a government and to be united. But God supports us, and we pray to God to punish those who did this," said Ghanem Mezel, 72, from the town of Saeer in the southern West Bank.
Others were happy to hear Saddam's final words, knowing that his support for them remained unshakable until the end.
Palestinians in the West Bank town of Bethlehem opened a "house of condolences" where people can gather to mourn Saddam. The organizers hung Iraqi flags, pictures of Saddam and broadcast Iraqi revolutionary songs.
Mohammed Barghouti, the minister of labor in the Hamas-led Palestinian Cabinet, said that although his Islamic group was often at odds with the secular Saddam, his execution was wrong."The Palestinians had bonded with Iraqis in brotherhood," he said.
**********************
World leaders welcome, condemn Saddam's execution
The Associated Press
Published: December 30, 2006
LONDON: World political and religious leaders were divided over whether Saddam Hussein's execution Saturday would serve as a milestone toward peace — or motivation for further conflict in the Middle East.
In Washington, U.S. President George W. Bush said Saddam was executed "after receiving a fair trial — the kind of justice he denied the victims of his brutal regime."
"Bringing Saddam Hussein to justice will not end the violence in Iraq, but it is an important milestone on Iraq's course to becoming a democracy that can govern, sustain and defend itself, and be an ally in the war on terror," Bush said in a statement.
In Britain, a key U.S. ally in the war in Iraq, Foreign Secretary Margaret Beckett said Saddam has been "held to account for at least some of the appalling crimes he committed against the Iraqi people."
But at the same time, she condemned the death penalty — a position taken by many European leaders and human rights organizations.
Today in Europe
Saddam's death sentence exposes a rift
Dictator who ruled Iraq for 30 years is hanged for crimes against humanity
News Analysis: New Year ushering in Germany's star turn
"The European Union has a very consistent stand ... on opposing the death penalty and it should not have been applied in this case either — even though there is no doubt about Saddam Hussein's guilt over serious violations against human rights," Foreign Minister Erkki Tuomioja of Finland, which holds the rotating EU presidency, said in Helsinki.
Russia — whose president, Vladimir Putin, had vocally opposed the U.S.-led invasion that toppled Saddam — expressed regret that international opposition to the execution was ignored.
"The political consequences of this step should have been taken into account," Foreign Ministry spokesman Mikhail Kamynin said in Moscow.
Moscow warned that Saddam's death could worsen the discord and violence in Iraq.
"The country is being plunged into violence and is essentially on the edge of large-scale civil conflict," Kamynin said. "The execution of Saddam Hussein may lead to the further aggravation of the military-political atmosphere and an increase in ethnic and religious tension."
The Vatican denounced the execution as "tragic."
The human rights group Amnesty International said it welcomed the attempt to hold Saddam responsible for crimes, but said his trial was not fair and was subject to political interference.
"The execution appeared a foregone conclusion once the original verdict was pronounced, with the Appeals Court providing little more than a veneer of legitimacy for what was, in fact, a fundamentally flawed process," the group said in a statement.
The German government said dealing with crimes committed under an earlier regime was "an important contribution to reconciliation and a national dialogue in Iraq" but said it opposed the death penalty.
In Paris, the Foreign Ministry said simply that it had "taken note" of Saddam's execution; France was a vocal opponent of the 2003 invasion of Iraq.
The former Iraqi leader was hanged before dawn Saturday in Baghdad as Iraqis prepared for the festival of Eid al-Adha, one of the two most important holidays in Islam.
There was little official reaction from Arab leaders in the rest of the region. Libya will mark a three-day period of national mourning, lowering flags to half staff and canceling Eid celebrations.
In the West Bank and Gaza, Saddam's death was met with sadness, and in Bethlehem, a "house of condolences" — decorated with Iraqi flags and pictures of the former dictator — was organized as a place for people to mourn.
In Afghanistan, President Hamid Karzai appeared to criticize the timing of the execution, but said it was "the work of the Iraqi government."
"We wish to say that Eid is a day for happiness and reconciliation. It is not a day for revenge," Karzai told reporters after offering an Eid prayer at Kabul's main mosque.
In Australia, another U.S. ally in the Iraq war, Prime Minister John Howard said the execution was significant because Iraqis had given the brutal dictator a fair trial.
"I believe there is something quite heroic about a country that is going through the pain and the suffering that Iraq is going through, yet still extends due process to somebody who was a tyrant and brutal suppressor and murderer of his people," Howard told reporters.
"That is the mark of a country that is trying against fearful odds to embrace democracy," he said.
Indian officials worried the execution could trigger more sectarian violence.
"We hope that this unfortunate event will not affect the process of reconciliation, restoration of peace and normalcy in Iraq," External Affairs Minister Pranab Mukherjee said in a statement.
South Africa called for U.N. intervention in Iraq: "South Africa remains convinced that his execution is not the panacea to the current political problems in Iraq but could fuel violence in an already volatile situation," said Foreign Affairs spokesman Ronnie Mamoepa.
The Associated Press
Published: December 30, 2006
LONDON: World political and religious leaders were divided over whether Saddam Hussein's execution Saturday would serve as a milestone toward peace — or motivation for further conflict in the Middle East.
In Washington, U.S. President George W. Bush said Saddam was executed "after receiving a fair trial — the kind of justice he denied the victims of his brutal regime."
"Bringing Saddam Hussein to justice will not end the violence in Iraq, but it is an important milestone on Iraq's course to becoming a democracy that can govern, sustain and defend itself, and be an ally in the war on terror," Bush said in a statement.
In Britain, a key U.S. ally in the war in Iraq, Foreign Secretary Margaret Beckett said Saddam has been "held to account for at least some of the appalling crimes he committed against the Iraqi people."
But at the same time, she condemned the death penalty — a position taken by many European leaders and human rights organizations.
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"The European Union has a very consistent stand ... on opposing the death penalty and it should not have been applied in this case either — even though there is no doubt about Saddam Hussein's guilt over serious violations against human rights," Foreign Minister Erkki Tuomioja of Finland, which holds the rotating EU presidency, said in Helsinki.
Russia — whose president, Vladimir Putin, had vocally opposed the U.S.-led invasion that toppled Saddam — expressed regret that international opposition to the execution was ignored.
"The political consequences of this step should have been taken into account," Foreign Ministry spokesman Mikhail Kamynin said in Moscow.
Moscow warned that Saddam's death could worsen the discord and violence in Iraq.
"The country is being plunged into violence and is essentially on the edge of large-scale civil conflict," Kamynin said. "The execution of Saddam Hussein may lead to the further aggravation of the military-political atmosphere and an increase in ethnic and religious tension."
The Vatican denounced the execution as "tragic."
The human rights group Amnesty International said it welcomed the attempt to hold Saddam responsible for crimes, but said his trial was not fair and was subject to political interference.
"The execution appeared a foregone conclusion once the original verdict was pronounced, with the Appeals Court providing little more than a veneer of legitimacy for what was, in fact, a fundamentally flawed process," the group said in a statement.
The German government said dealing with crimes committed under an earlier regime was "an important contribution to reconciliation and a national dialogue in Iraq" but said it opposed the death penalty.
In Paris, the Foreign Ministry said simply that it had "taken note" of Saddam's execution; France was a vocal opponent of the 2003 invasion of Iraq.
The former Iraqi leader was hanged before dawn Saturday in Baghdad as Iraqis prepared for the festival of Eid al-Adha, one of the two most important holidays in Islam.
There was little official reaction from Arab leaders in the rest of the region. Libya will mark a three-day period of national mourning, lowering flags to half staff and canceling Eid celebrations.
In the West Bank and Gaza, Saddam's death was met with sadness, and in Bethlehem, a "house of condolences" — decorated with Iraqi flags and pictures of the former dictator — was organized as a place for people to mourn.
In Afghanistan, President Hamid Karzai appeared to criticize the timing of the execution, but said it was "the work of the Iraqi government."
"We wish to say that Eid is a day for happiness and reconciliation. It is not a day for revenge," Karzai told reporters after offering an Eid prayer at Kabul's main mosque.
In Australia, another U.S. ally in the Iraq war, Prime Minister John Howard said the execution was significant because Iraqis had given the brutal dictator a fair trial.
"I believe there is something quite heroic about a country that is going through the pain and the suffering that Iraq is going through, yet still extends due process to somebody who was a tyrant and brutal suppressor and murderer of his people," Howard told reporters.
"That is the mark of a country that is trying against fearful odds to embrace democracy," he said.
Indian officials worried the execution could trigger more sectarian violence.
"We hope that this unfortunate event will not affect the process of reconciliation, restoration of peace and normalcy in Iraq," External Affairs Minister Pranab Mukherjee said in a statement.
South Africa called for U.N. intervention in Iraq: "South Africa remains convinced that his execution is not the panacea to the current political problems in Iraq but could fuel violence in an already volatile situation," said Foreign Affairs spokesman Ronnie Mamoepa.
In Pakistan, an Islamic U.S. ally, a brief statement from the Foreign Ministry called the former dictator's death "a sad event."
"The execution ... which can only be described as a sad event, is another poignant reminder of the violence that continues to grip Iraq," the statement said. "We hope that this event would not further exacerbate the security situation."
The government in the world's largest Muslim nation, Indonesia, said it hoped Saddam's execution "will not further separate conflicting parties in the effort toward a national reconciliation, which is a precondition in recovering Iraqi sovereignty."
Fauzan Al Anshori, from the militant group of Majelis Mujahidin Indonesia, said Bush, too, should stand trial.
"Given the crime blamed on Saddam, it is unfair if George Bush is not also put on an international tribunal," he said. "Saddam was executed for killings 148 people, Shiite Muslims, while Bush is responsible for the killing of about 600,000 Iraqis since the March 2003 invasion."
"The execution ... which can only be described as a sad event, is another poignant reminder of the violence that continues to grip Iraq," the statement said. "We hope that this event would not further exacerbate the security situation."
The government in the world's largest Muslim nation, Indonesia, said it hoped Saddam's execution "will not further separate conflicting parties in the effort toward a national reconciliation, which is a precondition in recovering Iraqi sovereignty."
Fauzan Al Anshori, from the militant group of Majelis Mujahidin Indonesia, said Bush, too, should stand trial.
"Given the crime blamed on Saddam, it is unfair if George Bush is not also put on an international tribunal," he said. "Saddam was executed for killings 148 people, Shiite Muslims, while Bush is responsible for the killing of about 600,000 Iraqis since the March 2003 invasion."
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Vatican spokesman denounces Saddam's execution as 'tragic'
Updated 12/30/2006 7:22 AM ET
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SADDAM EXECUTED
Hussein's legacy: 'Megalomania and cruelty' Gallery Timeline
Politics: Bush says death won't halt Iraq violence Text World leaders divided
Death by hanging: Witnesses watch in Green Zone Hussein faced grim end at gallows
Reactions: Vatican denounces death penalty as 'tragic' Iraqi-Americans celebrate Military kin have mixed feelings Troops in Iraq brace for violence
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VATICAN CITY (AP) — The Vatican on Saturday denounced Saddam Hussein's execution as "tragic" and said it risked fueling revenge and new violence in Iraq.
"An execution is always tragic news, reason for sadness, even in the case of a person who is guilty of grave crimes," the Holy See's spokesman, Rev. Federico Lombardi, said in a statement released by the Vatican press office.
Earlier in the morning, Lombardi made similar comments on Vatican Radio.
"The position of the Catholic Church — against the death penalty — has been reiterated many times," the spokesman said in the statement, referring to the Vatican's overall opposition to capital punishment.
"Killing the guilty one is not the way to rebuild justice and reconcile society," the spokesman said. "On the contrary, there is the risk that the spirit of revenge is fueled and that the seeds of new violence are sown."
"In this dark time in the life of the Iraq people, one can only hope that all leaders truly make every effort so that in a dramatic situation glimmers of reconciliation and of peace finally can be seen," Lombardi said.
The Vatican's top official for dialogue between religions, Cardinal Paul Poupard, said: "We pray to the Lord and for the dead and the living so that this will not become an occasion for new violence."
"We are always sad when men take lives which belong to the Lord," Poupard told the Italian news agency ANSA.
In an interview published in an Italian daily earlier in the week, the Vatican's top prelate for justice issues, Cardinal Renato Martino, said executing Saddam would mean punishing "a crime with another crime."
In one of the late Pope John Paul II's encyclicals, "Evangelium Vitae" (The Gospel of Life) in 1995, the pontiff laid out the Catholic Church's stance against capital punishment, saying that in a modern world, with improved prison systems, cases in which the death penalty could be justified were "practically non-existent."
The staunch opposition was reiterated in 1997, in the Church's updated catechism, a compendium of Church doctrine.
**********************
Saddam Hussein dies on the gallows
Associated Press
Baghdad — Saddam Hussein struggled briefly after American military guards handed him over to Iraqi executioners. But as his final moments approached, he grew calm.
He clutched a Quran as he was led to the gallows, and in one final moment of defiance, refused to have a hood pulled over his head before facing the same fate he was accused of inflicting on countless thousands during a quarter-century of ruthless power.
A man whose testimony helped lead to Mr. Hussein's conviction and execution before sunrise said he was shown the body because "everybody wanted to make sure that he was really executed."
"Now, he is in the garbage of history," said Jawad Abdul-Aziz, who lost his father, three brothers and 22 cousins in the reprisal killings that followed a botched 1982 assassination attempt against Saddam in the Shiite town of Dujail.
Related to this article
In this television screen grab taken from Iraqi national television station Al-iraqia, a video shows the moments leading up to the execution of former Iraqi dictator Saddam Hussein as he is led on to the gallows as he is prepared for hanging on Dec. 30. (Al-iraqia via Getty Images)
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Iraqi television showed what it said was Mr. Hussein's body, his head uncovered and the neck twisted at a sharp angle.
The footage showed the man identified as Mr. Hussein lying on a stretcher, covered in a white shroud. His neck and part of the shroud have what appear to be bloodstains. His eyes are closed.
In Baghdad's Shiite enclave of Sadr City, hundreds of people danced in the streets while others fired guns in the air to celebrate. The government did not impose a round-the-clock curfew as it did last month when Mr. Hussein was convicted to thwart any surge in retaliatory violence.
It was a grim end for the 69-year-old leader who had vexed three U.S. presidents. Despite his ouster, Washington, its allies and the new Iraqi leaders remain mired in a fight to quell a stubborn insurgency by Hussein loyalists and a vicious sectarian conflict.
The execution took place during the year's deadliest month for U.S. troops, with the toll reaching 108.
U.S. President George W. Bush said in a statement issued from his ranch in Texas that bringing Mr. Hussein to justice "is an important milestone on Iraq's course to becoming a democracy that can govern, sustain and defend itself, and be an ally in the war on terror."
He said that the execution marks the "end of a difficult year for the Iraqi people and for our troops" and cautioned that Saddam's death will not halt the violence in Iraq.
Within hours of Mr. Hussein's execution, a bomb planted aboard a minibus exploded in a fish market south of Baghdad, killing 31 people. At least 58 others were wounded in the explosion in Kufa, a Shiite town 160 kilometres south of the Iraqi capital, said Issa Mohammed, director of the morgue in the neighbouring town of Najaf.
Ali Hamza, a 30-year-old university professor, said he went outside to shoot his gun into the air after he learned of Mr. Hussein's death.
"Now all the victims' families will be happy because Saddam got his just sentence," said Hamza, who lives in Diwaniyah, a Shiite town 140 kilometres south of Baghdad.
But people in the Sunni-dominated city of Tikrit, once a power base of Mr. Hussein, lamented his death.
"The president, the leader Saddam Hussein is a martyr and God will put him along with other martyrs. Do not be sad nor complain because he has died the death of a holy warrior," said Sheik Yahya al-Attawi, a cleric at the Saddam Big Mosque.
Police blocked the entrances to Tikrit and said nobody was allowed to leave or enter the city for four days. Despite the security precaution, gunmen took to the streets of Tikrit, carrying pictures of Mr. Hussein, shooting into the air, and calling for vengeance.
Security forces also set up roadblocks at the entrance to another Sunni stronghold, Samarra, and a curfew was imposed after about 500 people took to the streets protesting Mr. Hussein execution.
A couple hundred people also protested the execution just outside the Anbar capital of Ramadi, and more than 2,000 people demonstrated in Adwar, the village south of Tikrit where Mr. Hussein was captured by U.S. troops hiding in an underground bunker.
In a statement, Mr. Hussein's lawyers said that in the aftermath of his death, "the world will know that Saddam Hussein lived honestly, died honestly, and maintained his principles."
"He did not lie when he declared his trial null," they said.
Mr. Hussein's half-brother Barzan Ibrahim and Awad Hamed al-Bandar, the former chief justice of the Revolutionary Court, were not hanged along with their former leader as originally planned. Officials wanted to reserve the occasion for Saddam alone.
"We wanted him to be executed on a special day," National Security adviser Mouwafak al-Rubaie told state-run al-Iraqiya television.
Related to this article
In this television screen grab taken from Iraqi national television station Al-iraqia, a video shows the moments leading up to the execution of former Iraqi dictator Saddam Hussein as he is led on to the gallows as he is prepared for hanging on Dec. 30. (Al-iraqia via Getty Images)
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Saddam Hussein dies on the gallows
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A brutal legacy that will shape Iraq for decades
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Latest Comments
This is one Iraqi wrote before execution :"Why make things worse...
GWB is responsible for more Iraqi deaths than Saddam. When will...
Only one more in the million or so Bush-whacked Iraquis.
State-sanctioned murder (i.e. the death penalty) has always been...
10 reader comments Join the conversation
Sami al-Askari, the political adviser of Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki, told The Associated Press that Mr. Hussein initially resisted when he was taken by Iraqi guards but was composed in his final moments.
He said Mr. Hussein was clad in a black suit, hat and shoes, rather than prison garb. His hat was removed and his hands tied shortly before the noose was slipped around his neck.
Mr. Hussein repeated a prayer after a Sunni Muslim cleric who was present.
"[Mr. Hussein] later was taken to the gallows and refused to have his head covered with a hood," Mr. al-Askari said. "Before the rope was put around his neck, Saddam shouted: 'God is great. The nation will be victorious and Palestine is Arab."'
Iraqi state television showed footage of guards in ski masks placing a noose around Mr. Hussein's neck. Mr. Hussein appeared calm as he stood on the metal framework of the gallows. The footage cuts off just before the execution.
Mr. Hussein was executed at a former military intelligence headquarters in Baghdad's Shiite neighbourhood of Kazimiyah, Mr. al-Askari said. During his regime, Mr. Hussein had numerous dissidents executed in the facility, located in a neighbourhood that is home to the Iraqi capital's most important Shiite shine — the Imam Kazim shrine.
Mr. al-Askari said the government had not decided what to do with Mr. Hussein's body.
The Iraqi prime minister's office released a statement that said Mr. Hussein's execution was a "strong lesson" to ruthless leaders who commit crimes against their own people.
"We strongly reject considering Saddam as a representative of any sect in Iraq because the tyrant only represented his evil soul," the statement said. "The door is still open for those whose hands are not tainted with the blood of innocent people to take part in the political process and work on rebuilding Iraq."
The execution came 56 days after a court convicted Mr. Hussein and sentenced him to death for his role in the killings of 148 Shiite Muslims from Dujail. Iraq's highest court rejected Mr. Hussein's appeal Monday and ordered him executed within 30 days.
A U.S. judge on Friday refused to stop Mr. Hussein's execution, rejecting a last-minute court challenge.
U.S. troops cheered as news of Mr. Hussein's execution appeared on television at the mess hall at Forward Operating Base Loyalty in eastern Baghdad. But some soldiers expressed doubt that Mr. Hussein's death would be a significant turning point for Iraq.
"First it was weapons of mass destruction. Then when there were none, it was that we had to find Saddam. We did that, but then it was that we had to put him on trial," said Specialist Thomas Sheck, 25, who is on his second tour in Iraq. "So now, what will be the next story they tell us to keep us over here?"
At his death, he was in the midst of a second trial, charged with genocide and other crimes for a 1987-88 military crackdown that killed an estimated 180,000 Kurds in northern Iraq. Experts said the trial of his co-defendants was likely to continue despite his execution.
Many people in Iraq's Shiite majority were eager to see the execution of a man whose Sunni Arab-dominated regime oppressed them and Kurds. Before the hanging, a mosque preacher in the Shiite holy city of Najaf on Friday called Saddam's execution "God's gift to Iraqis."
"He did not lie when he declared his trial null," they said.
Mr. Hussein's half-brother Barzan Ibrahim and Awad Hamed al-Bandar, the former chief justice of the Revolutionary Court, were not hanged along with their former leader as originally planned. Officials wanted to reserve the occasion for Saddam alone.
"We wanted him to be executed on a special day," National Security adviser Mouwafak al-Rubaie told state-run al-Iraqiya television.
Related to this article
In this television screen grab taken from Iraqi national television station Al-iraqia, a video shows the moments leading up to the execution of former Iraqi dictator Saddam Hussein as he is led on to the gallows as he is prepared for hanging on Dec. 30. (Al-iraqia via Getty Images)
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Fate of Hussein's body remains unclear
Saddam Hussein dies on the gallows
World reacts to Hussein's execution
A brutal legacy that will shape Iraq for decades
Question of timing
Life and death of a dictator
Photogalleries
The life and times of Saddam Hussein
Latest Comments
This is one Iraqi wrote before execution :"Why make things worse...
GWB is responsible for more Iraqi deaths than Saddam. When will...
Only one more in the million or so Bush-whacked Iraquis.
State-sanctioned murder (i.e. the death penalty) has always been...
10 reader comments Join the conversation
Sami al-Askari, the political adviser of Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki, told The Associated Press that Mr. Hussein initially resisted when he was taken by Iraqi guards but was composed in his final moments.
He said Mr. Hussein was clad in a black suit, hat and shoes, rather than prison garb. His hat was removed and his hands tied shortly before the noose was slipped around his neck.
Mr. Hussein repeated a prayer after a Sunni Muslim cleric who was present.
"[Mr. Hussein] later was taken to the gallows and refused to have his head covered with a hood," Mr. al-Askari said. "Before the rope was put around his neck, Saddam shouted: 'God is great. The nation will be victorious and Palestine is Arab."'
Iraqi state television showed footage of guards in ski masks placing a noose around Mr. Hussein's neck. Mr. Hussein appeared calm as he stood on the metal framework of the gallows. The footage cuts off just before the execution.
Mr. Hussein was executed at a former military intelligence headquarters in Baghdad's Shiite neighbourhood of Kazimiyah, Mr. al-Askari said. During his regime, Mr. Hussein had numerous dissidents executed in the facility, located in a neighbourhood that is home to the Iraqi capital's most important Shiite shine — the Imam Kazim shrine.
Mr. al-Askari said the government had not decided what to do with Mr. Hussein's body.
The Iraqi prime minister's office released a statement that said Mr. Hussein's execution was a "strong lesson" to ruthless leaders who commit crimes against their own people.
"We strongly reject considering Saddam as a representative of any sect in Iraq because the tyrant only represented his evil soul," the statement said. "The door is still open for those whose hands are not tainted with the blood of innocent people to take part in the political process and work on rebuilding Iraq."
The execution came 56 days after a court convicted Mr. Hussein and sentenced him to death for his role in the killings of 148 Shiite Muslims from Dujail. Iraq's highest court rejected Mr. Hussein's appeal Monday and ordered him executed within 30 days.
A U.S. judge on Friday refused to stop Mr. Hussein's execution, rejecting a last-minute court challenge.
U.S. troops cheered as news of Mr. Hussein's execution appeared on television at the mess hall at Forward Operating Base Loyalty in eastern Baghdad. But some soldiers expressed doubt that Mr. Hussein's death would be a significant turning point for Iraq.
"First it was weapons of mass destruction. Then when there were none, it was that we had to find Saddam. We did that, but then it was that we had to put him on trial," said Specialist Thomas Sheck, 25, who is on his second tour in Iraq. "So now, what will be the next story they tell us to keep us over here?"
At his death, he was in the midst of a second trial, charged with genocide and other crimes for a 1987-88 military crackdown that killed an estimated 180,000 Kurds in northern Iraq. Experts said the trial of his co-defendants was likely to continue despite his execution.
Many people in Iraq's Shiite majority were eager to see the execution of a man whose Sunni Arab-dominated regime oppressed them and Kurds. Before the hanging, a mosque preacher in the Shiite holy city of Najaf on Friday called Saddam's execution "God's gift to Iraqis."
In a farewell message to Iraqis posted Wednesday on the Internet, Mr. Hussein said he was giving his life for his country as part of the struggle against the U.S. "Here, I offer my soul to God as a sacrifice, and if he wants, he will send it to heaven with the martyrs," he said.
One of Mr. Hussein's lawyers, Issam Ghazzawi, said the letter was written by Mr. Hussein on Nov. 5, the day he was convicted by an Iraqi tribunal in the Dujail killings.
Najeeb al-Nauimi, a member of Mr. Hussein's legal team, said U.S. authorities maintained physical custody of Mr. Hussein until the execution to prevent him being humiliated publicly or his corpse being mutilated, as has happened to previous Iraqi leaders deposed by force. He said they didn't want anything to happen to further inflame Sunni Arabs.
"This is the end of an era in Iraq," Mr. al-Nauimi said from Doha, Qatar. "The Baath regime ruled for 35 years. Mr. Hussein was vice president or president of Iraq during those years. For Iraqis, he will be very well remembered. Like a martyr, he died for the sake of his country."
Related to this article
In this television screen grab taken from Iraqi national television station Al-iraqia, a video shows the moments leading up to the execution of former Iraqi dictator Saddam Hussein as he is led on to the gallows as he is prepared for hanging on Dec. 30. (Al-iraqia via Getty Images)
Articles
Fate of Hussein's body remains unclear
Saddam Hussein dies on the gallows
World reacts to Hussein's execution
A brutal legacy that will shape Iraq for decades
Question of timing
Life and death of a dictator
Photogalleries
The life and times of Saddam Hussein
Iraq's death penalty was suspended by the U.S. military after it toppled Saddam in 2003, but the new Iraqi government reinstated it two years later, saying executions would deter criminals.
Mr. Hussein's own regime used executions and extrajudicial killings as a tool of political repression, both to eliminate real or suspected political opponents and to maintain a reign of terror.
In the months after he seized power on July 16, 1979, he had hundreds of members of his own party and army officers slain. In 1996, he ordered the slaying of two sons-in-law who had defected to Jordan but returned to Baghdad after receiving guarantees of safety.
Mr. Hussein built Iraq into a one of the Arab world's most modern societies, but then plunged the country into an eight-year war with neighbouring Iran that killed hundreds of thousands of people on both sides and wrecked Iraq's economy.
When the U.S. invaded in 2003, Iraqis had been transformed from among the region's most prosperous people to some of its most impoverished
One of Mr. Hussein's lawyers, Issam Ghazzawi, said the letter was written by Mr. Hussein on Nov. 5, the day he was convicted by an Iraqi tribunal in the Dujail killings.
Najeeb al-Nauimi, a member of Mr. Hussein's legal team, said U.S. authorities maintained physical custody of Mr. Hussein until the execution to prevent him being humiliated publicly or his corpse being mutilated, as has happened to previous Iraqi leaders deposed by force. He said they didn't want anything to happen to further inflame Sunni Arabs.
"This is the end of an era in Iraq," Mr. al-Nauimi said from Doha, Qatar. "The Baath regime ruled for 35 years. Mr. Hussein was vice president or president of Iraq during those years. For Iraqis, he will be very well remembered. Like a martyr, he died for the sake of his country."
Related to this article
In this television screen grab taken from Iraqi national television station Al-iraqia, a video shows the moments leading up to the execution of former Iraqi dictator Saddam Hussein as he is led on to the gallows as he is prepared for hanging on Dec. 30. (Al-iraqia via Getty Images)
Articles
Fate of Hussein's body remains unclear
Saddam Hussein dies on the gallows
World reacts to Hussein's execution
A brutal legacy that will shape Iraq for decades
Question of timing
Life and death of a dictator
Photogalleries
The life and times of Saddam Hussein
Iraq's death penalty was suspended by the U.S. military after it toppled Saddam in 2003, but the new Iraqi government reinstated it two years later, saying executions would deter criminals.
Mr. Hussein's own regime used executions and extrajudicial killings as a tool of political repression, both to eliminate real or suspected political opponents and to maintain a reign of terror.
In the months after he seized power on July 16, 1979, he had hundreds of members of his own party and army officers slain. In 1996, he ordered the slaying of two sons-in-law who had defected to Jordan but returned to Baghdad after receiving guarantees of safety.
Mr. Hussein built Iraq into a one of the Arab world's most modern societies, but then plunged the country into an eight-year war with neighbouring Iran that killed hundreds of thousands of people on both sides and wrecked Iraq's economy.
When the U.S. invaded in 2003, Iraqis had been transformed from among the region's most prosperous people to some of its most impoverished
*************************
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Climate Change Urgent Issue 2007
Climate Change Urgent Issue for 2007:
There is little debate that the environment will become the biggest domestic and international issue facing politicians of all stripes come the new year. In Canada, the surge in support for the Green Party, the election of Dion as Liberal Party leader, comments from Mulroney and Manning, the failure of the Clean Air Act and new developments such as the ice shelf breaking from Canada's arctic is leading to this issue being placed front and centre in the next election campaign. Over the nex few months, look for Layton and Harper to revise the Clean Air Act to neutralize this issue prior to an election campaign. Rona Ambrose will start the new year off in intergovernmental affairs, Van Loan will move to Indian Affairs and Jim Prentice will take over the most important file for the government. In year end interviews, Stephen Harper declared the environment to be his top priority - and with good reason.
The rest of the world will also be dealing with this issue. Europe is already far ahead of North America in addressing Kyoto. The Al Gore movie "Inconvenient Truth" combined with George W. Bush potentially looking to go Green as a legacy saving move could lead to real action on this global file. The rise of China and India and the strain that will put on the planet and our shared resources is another crucial argument for action. Examples in Brazil in terms of alternative fuel sources and Africa in terms of solar power are very good examples of what the world has to build on. Wind power and other green technology will be in high demand as the green economy begins to experience a boom. Announcements by Honda and other car companies regarding hybrids and fuel cell cars by 2018 is also very positive news from the auto industry. If cars ran on hydrogen and oxygen with no carbon emissions, imagine the impact that would have in the GTA and around the world! 2007 should be a green year and the beginning of an environmental revolution.
The continued instability in the Middle East could also drive business to consider finding alternatives for oil in order to end American reliance on questionable regimes such as Saudi Arabia, Nigeria, Russia, Iran, Venezuela, Iraq, Sudan etc. Oil resources are drying up and regimes in the Middle East remain unpredictable. Competition from China, India and elsewhere will likely continue to drive up the prices of oil. The current addiction to oil is unsustainable and threatens the global economy. The threat of global warming and its affects, also raise a strong economic argument for dealing with this issue now.
In 2007, expect a major shift in international politics that moves the world together on fighting climate change as oppose to terrorism. The Green issue is one we can no longer avoid. In Canada, Stephen Harper and the Conservative Party will only be re-elected if they can prove they are serious and ready to act on this file. A sustainable environment could become a key Canadian value along with multiculturalism, universal healthcare and peacekeeping.
Thanks for reading...
Darryl
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Giant ice shelf snaps free from Canada's Arctic
STEVE LILLEBUEN
Canadian Press
A giant ice shelf the size of 11,000 football fields has snapped free from Canada's Arctic, leaving a trail of icy boulders floating in its wake.
The mass of ice broke clear from the coast of Ellesmere Island, about 800 kilometres south of the North Pole.
Warwick Vincent of Laval University, who studies Arctic conditions, travelled to the newly formed ice island and couldn't believe what he saw.
“It was extraordinary,” Dr. Vincent said Thursday, adding that in 10 years of working in the region he has never seen such a dramatic loss of sea ice.
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This NASA Terra satellite image from 2003 shows the Arctic's largest ice shelf was breaking up even then. Rising temperatures have reduced the original Ward Hunt Ice Shelf into a number of smaller shelves, the largest of which was the Ward Hunt Ice Shelf on the northwest fringe of the Ellesmere island. (NASA/AFP/Getty images)
“This is a piece of Canadian geography that no longer exists.”
The collapse was so powerful that earthquake monitors 250 kilometres away picked up tremors from it.
Scientists say it is the largest event of its kind in 30 years and point their fingers at climate change as a major contributing factor.
“We think this incident is consistent with global climate change,” Dr. Vincent said, adding that the remaining ice shelves are 90 per cent smaller than when they were first discovered in 1906.
“We aren't able to connect all of the dots ... but unusually warm temperatures definitely played a major role.”
The ice shelf actually broke up 16 months ago, but no one witnessed the dramatic event.
Laurie Weir, who monitors ice conditions for the Canadian Ice Service, was poring over satellite images when she noticed that the shelf had split and separated.
Ms. Weir notified Luke Copland, head of the new global ice lab at the University of Ottawa, who initiated an effort to find out what happened.
Using U.S. and Canadian satellite images, as well as data from seismic monitors, Dr. Copland discovered that the ice shelf collapsed in the early afternoon of Aug. 13, 2005.
“These ice shelves can break up really quickly, perhaps more quickly than we thought they could do in the past,” he said.
“Within an hour we could see this entire ice chunk just disconnect and float away.”
Within days, the floating ice shelf had drifted a few kilometres offshore. It travelled west for 50 kilometres until it finally froze into the sea ice in the early winter.
Derek Mueller, a polar researcher with Dr. Vincent's team, saw that Ellesmere's Ward Hunt Ice Shelf had cracked in half in 2002. He also saw that sea ice, which creates a buffer zone around ice shelves, was approaching lower and lower levels.
“These ice shelves get weaker and weaker as the temperature rises,” he said.
“And the summer of 2005 had a combination of high temperatures and strong winds that probably blew the sea ice away, making this ice shelf much more vulnerable.”
The Ayles Ice Shelf, roughly 66 square kilometres in area, was one of six major ice shelves remaining in Canada's Arctic.
They are packed with ancient ice that dates back over 3000 years, and scientists like Dr. Vincent treat their loss as a sign that the global climate is crossing an unprecedented threshold.
“We're seeing the tragic loss of unique features of the Canadian landscape,” he said.
“There are microscopic organisms and entire ecosystems associated with this ice, so we're losing a part of Canada's natural richness.”
Meanwhile, the spring thaw may bring another concern as the warming temperatures could release the ice shelf from its Arctic grip.
Prevailing winds could then send the ice island southwards, deep into the Beaufort Sea.
“Over the next few years this ice island could drift into populated shipping routes,” Ms. Weir said.
“There's significant oil and gas development in this region as well, so we'll have to keep monitoring its location over the next few years.”
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Arctic ice shelf collapse poses risk: expert
Last Updated: Thursday, December 28, 2006 6:39 PM ET
CBC News
An ancient ice shelf the size of 11,000 football fields that broke off Ellesmere Island could be dangerous when it starts to drift in the spring, a scientist says.
The collapse of the ice island's northern coast represents the largest breakup of its kind in the Canadian Arctic in 30 years, the head of a new global ice lab at the University of Ottawa said on Thursday.
The collapse of the ice island's northern coast represents the largest breakup of its kind in the Canadian Arctic in 30 years.
Luke Copland, an assistant professor at the school's department of geography, said scientists are surprised at the speed of the collapse of the Ayles ice shelf, about 800 kilometres south of the North Pole. It took less than an hour.
He said the new island formed by the 66-square-kilometre fragment, which could be up to 4,500 years old, could present a serious risk to oil platforms in its drift path in the spring.
At the longest and widest spans, the remains of the Ayles shelf are about 15 kilometres long and five kilometres wide. The fragment is between 30 and 40 metres thick Copland learned of the break after an official with the federal government's Canadian Ice Service noticed the change on satellite images and passed it on to him to determine what happened, according to a report by CanWest News Service.
In June, Copland received nearly $206,000 in grant funding from the Canada Foundation for Innovation to create the Laboratory for Cryospheric Research, which will monitor the state of glaciers, climate change and study ice in all of its forms.
A satellite image shows a 66-square-kilometre chunk of ice has broken off Ellesmere Island.(CBC)
Warwick Vincent of Laval University in Quebec City, who travelled to the new segment, said in 10 years of working in the Arctic, he had never seen such a dramatic collapse.
"It's like a cruise missile has come down and hit the ice shelf," he told CanWest News Service. Vincent is a professor at the university's biology department, where he does ecological research.
The collapse of the Ayles shelf — one of six that still existed in Canada — occurred 16 months ago, on Aug. 13, 2005, but because it is so remote, no one saw it.
Scientists have been combining seismic and satellite data to determine what happened and are now releasing details of the collapse.
The researchers suspect climate change may have played a role in the collapse but said they cannot definitively say it is a result of global warming.With files from the Canadian Press
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Disappearing world: Global warming claims tropical island
For the first time, an inhabited island has disappeared beneath rising seas. Environment Editor Geoffrey Lean reports
Published: 24 December 2006
Rising seas, caused by global warming, have for the first time washed an inhabited island off the face of the Earth. The obliteration of Lohachara island, in India's part of the Sundarbans where the Ganges and the Brahmaputra rivers empty into the Bay of Bengal, marks the moment when one of the most apocalyptic predictions of environmentalists and climate scientists has started coming true.
As the seas continue to swell, they will swallow whole island nations, from the Maldives to the Marshall Islands, inundate vast areas of countries from Bangladesh to Egypt, and submerge parts of scores of coastal cities.
Eight years ago, as exclusively reported in The Independent on Sunday, the first uninhabited islands - in the Pacific atoll nation of Kiribati - vanished beneath the waves. The people of low-lying islands in Vanuatu, also in the Pacific, have been evacuated as a precaution, but the land still juts above the sea. The disappearance of Lohachara, once home to 10,000 people, is unprecedented.
It has been officially recorded in a six-year study of the Sunderbans by researchers at Calcutta's Jadavpur University. So remote is the island that the researchers first learned of its submergence, and that of an uninhabited neighbouring island, Suparibhanga, when they saw they had vanished from satellite pictures.
Two-thirds of nearby populated island Ghoramara has also been permanently inundated. Dr Sugata Hazra, director of the university's School of Oceanographic Studies, says "it is only a matter of some years" before it is swallowed up too. Dr Hazra says there are now a dozen "vanishing islands" in India's part of the delta. The area's 400 tigers are also in danger.
Until now the Carteret Islands off Papua New Guinea were expected to be the first populated ones to disappear, in about eight years' time, but Lohachara has beaten them to the dubious distinction.
Human cost of global warming: Rising seas will soon make 70,000 people homeless
Refugees from the vanished Lohachara island and the disappearing Ghoramara island have fled to Sagar, but this island has already lost 7,500 acres of land to the sea. In all, a dozen islands, home to 70,000 people, are in danger of being submerged by the rising seas.
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Feeling the heat
http://www.economist.com/theworldin/leaders/displayStory.cfm?story_id=8131322&d=2007
From The World in 2007 print edition
Emma Duncan predicts a political climate change
Most of the manifestations of climate change that the world will be talking about next year are not predictable. The north Atlantic hurricane season may or may not be particularly violent; it was brutal in 2004 and 2005, but wasn’t in 2006.There may or may not be heatwaves; there was one in Europe in 2003, but subsequent summers have been only pleasantly warm; there was one in the American West in 2006. Uncertainty is what makes climate change so difficult to deal with. Global warming increases the risk of dangerous events, but the timing and frequency of those events are unpredictable, which makes them hard to prepare for.
One development, however, is pretty certain since international bureaucracies are more reliable than the weather: the completion of the fourth report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. It will be more interesting than it sounds, for it will be gloomier than previous ones, and will cause plenty of argument.
The IPCC was set up by the United Nations to establish a consensus about what is happening to the climate, so that governments should be able to make policy on the basis of some agreed facts. It has produced three reports, but no consensus. Sceptics maintain that it has frozen out dissenters. A hurricane climatologist resigned because the lead author of the chapter on hurricanes and typhoons gave a press conference attributing the increase in the number of intense storms to climate change. There have been complaints that its predictions of the likely spread of malaria are alarmist, given that economic development, rather than temperature, determines the disease’s prevalence. And other critics have complained that the panel’s economics are dodgy. But even if its conclusions are disputed, the IPCC remains the most authoritative body holding forth on climate change, so its reports influence policymaking.
Its new report will surely feature some alarming developments in climate-change science. The melting of Arctic sea ice, for instance, has speeded up. A paper published in September 2006 suggested that perennial sea ice (the sort that is around all year, as opposed to the stuff that melts in summer) shrank by 14% between 2004 and 2005. And the (very slow) rise in sea level seems to have accelerated; the IPCC report is likely to attribute this in part to an increase in glacier flow in Greenland and West Antarctica.
As the science of climate change shifts, so the pressure on politicians increases
As the science of climate change shifts, so the pressure on politicians increases—particularly in America. America is the world’s biggest emitter of greenhouse gases, and the only developed-world polluter, other than Australia, not to ratify the Kyoto protocol to control emissions. China will overtake America within the next decade, and India is coming up fast too. Climate change is just starting to become part of the political debate in those countries. But since developed countries, not developing ones, are mostly responsible for the historical build-up of greenhouse gases, it is generally accepted that they have a moral responsibility to act first. So America is regarded as the key to a solution.
Many Democrats are eager to introduce federal emissions controls. Significantly, a growing number of Republicans are starting to take that view—and not just in California, where Arnold Schwarzenegger, the Republican governor, backed Kyoto-style controls that were passed into law in 2006.
Evangelical Christians concerned about the stewardship of the Earth, farmers who see alternative energy sources as a new income stream, hawks who want to reduce America’s dependency on Middle Eastern oil and hunters who worry about the environment have all come together to put pressure on the White House. And many businesses are also pushing for federal controls. This is partly because they fear a confusing patchwork of state-level controls, partly because they would rather have regulation of the sort that George Bush would endorse than the sort that, say, Hillary Clinton would bring in, and partly because they reckon that regulation will spawn new businesses that they may benefit from.
A bunch of climate-change bills in Congress is gaining support. Politics, like climate change itself, is an uncertain business. But the chances of an American shift on controlling carbon emissions are growing.
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It’s still down to George Bush
http://www.economist.com/theworldin/leaders/displayStory.cfm?story_id=8074164&d=2007
From The World in 2007 print edition
Weakened and chastened, the president has one last chance to prove his worth in 2007, argues John Micklethwait
Reuters
It is hard to be optimistic about 2007. That is not just because the world faces a daunting array of problems—from a nuclear-armed North Korea to growing Islamic militancy to the wreck of global trade talks—but also because of the likely dearth of political leadership. Two veterans of the world stage, Jacques Chirac and Tony Blair, will step aside, leaving Europe even more introverted. Japan’s Shinzo Abe will be concentrating on Upper House elections. In China, Hu Jintao’s main attention will remain focused on his country’s extraordinary economy.
Nowhere, however, is the sense of drift and weakness felt more keenly than in Washington, DC. George Bush, after all, was a president who wanted to change things. At home he pushed through huge tax cuts and tried to create a period of conservative hegemony. Abroad, after the terrorist attacks of September 11th 2001, he set about reordering the world, sending troops into Afghanistan and Iraq, trying to establish a Bush doctrine based on pre-emptive force and exporting democracy. Millions of people around the world may have loathed Mr Bush for his actions, but it was hard to accuse him of a lack of ambition.
Yet what has he to show for the blood, treasure and political capital he has spent? Not only has the world turned out to be a little more complicated than Mr Bush presumed; his administration has hitherto proved woefully incompetent at executing his dreams. As a result, Mr Bush’s prospects in 2007 look, at first sight, pretty glum. Having deservedly lost the Republicans’ grip on Congress, the president would seem to have given up the chance of any big domestic initiative. Abroad, things look even grimmer, with American troops bogged down in Iraq and Afghanistan and the unappetising issues of North Korea and Iran to deal with.
So it would not be surprising if Mr Bush chose to bunker down in 2007, treating the rest of his presidency as a damage-limitation exercise. But it would be deeply wrong for him to do so—for two reasons. First, his position is not as weak as it seems. And second, he still has a chance to establish a more useful legacy.
Perhaps the most intriguing possibility for Mr Bush is the environment
At home Mr Bush is bruised, but hardly out of the battle. Despite the Republicans’ battering in the mid-term elections, America remains a country where conservatives outnumber liberals handsomely. One area where Mr Bush can both unite his party and make up for past sins is government spending. In his first six years in the White House Mr Bush made no attempt to rein in Congress. Now, with the Democrats likely to lavish ever more on boondoggles, he has a partisan reason to be tough.
But it is in foreign policy that his best hope of redemption lies. Once again, do not underestimate Mr Bush’s strength. If the past six years have proved that America is a less dominant force than the neoconservatives hoped, they have also reinforced the indispensability of the world’s only superpower: nothing meaningful happens without America. And, hard though it may be to credit, Mr Bush will have experience on his side. He is set to become the most experienced voice around the G7 table.
That is not to deny the toughness of the task that Mr Bush faces. With Iraq, he has to mix resolution—America surely must keep its troops there throughout 2007—with contrition: he owes Americans and Iraqis a frank explanation of the mistakes made. The other parts of the “axis of evil” are hardly easier to deal with. The best chance—and to be frank it is not a good one—of steering North Korea and Iran into line is to increase the size of both the sticks and carrots on offer. Mr Bush will probably have to offer more fulsome security guarantees to the loathsome regimes in Pyongyang and Tehran. That will stick in the great democratiser’s gullet, but it is worth doing if it secures a verifiable end to their bomb-building.
Be bold, be green
This makes 2007 sound like a hard slog. But there are also more adventurous opportunities for Mr Bush to establish a meaningful legacy. As a politician, he has always been something of a gambler. One opportunity is the unglamorous business of world trade: if Mr Bush can save the Doha trade round, he will do more to advance his freedom agenda in the developing world than he would by any amount of regime change. Another is the Israeli-Palestinian dispute—a cancer that eats away at relations not just between Islam and the West, but also between America and Europe. Mr Bush has declared himself in favour of a Palestinian state, but has done too little to help bring one about.
Perhaps the most intriguing possibility for Mr Bush is the environment. The idea of the Toxic Texan confronting global warming may make verdant voters splutter on their camomile tea. But the mood has changed since Mr Bush spurned Kyoto in 2001. An increasing number of American businesses and state governments now take climate change seriously. India and China will do nothing to restrain their carbon output unless America leads the way. With panache and a little cunning, Mr Bush could start to fashion a replacement for Kyoto.
There will be people around the president who will tell him not to take any more risks. Mr Bush should dwell on two things: he is not running for anything; and, sadly, when it comes to his legacy, he does not have much to lose.
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The Man Who Could Stop Hillary....Al Gore?
Sunday, May 14, 2006
By Susan Estrich
E-MAIL STORY
RESPOND TO EDITOR
PRINTER FRIENDLY VERSION
LOS ANGELES — There is a new name on Democrats’ lips. Or rather, an old one. He is the one man who could stop Hillary Clinton.
If. If he runs. If the stars are right. But he could.
He is, of course, Al Gore.
He is already polling. No one hates her more. Just kidding, of course. But no love lost. Remember, he could’ve won in 2000 if he’d let Clinton help, and it was almost clear at the time. But he wouldn’t.
Consider the alternatives. Mark Warner, who was the flavor of the month until the New York Times gave him its worst kiss, is trying to challenge Hillary from the center-right. But the skew in Democratic nomination politics is from the left, not the right.
Who goes out to vote in a Democratic caucus or primary? The same kinds of people who go out to vote in Republican caucuses and primaries. Activists.
Democratic activists tend to be left wing, Republicans right-wing. Centrists who run for president as Democrats get no votes; think Lieberman, Bruce Babbitt, Lloyd Bentsen, for example. They often, however, get great press.
John Kerry is going nowhere. His money people are heading for the Hills, or Hillary. John Edwards has one note, and voted the same way as Hillary on the war. Warner is wed to the middle. Were it not for Gore, if Gore goes away, Hillary looks to cruise.
But Gore could change that.
So what if he went to Saudi Arabia and criticized America? That’s for Rush and Bill to worry about next fall.
Swift Boats. Gore deprives Hillary of administration bragging rights. He’s got the same ones, without the baggage. And then he’s got the right position on the war, and the superstar record on the environment to boot.
Add to that some liberal Hollywood money, and he gives her a run for hers.
The problem is: then what? No one fits Hugh Hewitt’s stereotype of the losing angry Democrat better than Al Gore. The place to win elections in this country is not the left but the middle. You want to lose for sure, run to Hillary’s left.
Beware Confident Democrats
Watch out fellow Democrats. You’re starting to sound like winners. This is when we get in trouble. Don’t count the Republicans out. It’s a long way to November.
Remember what the Republicans have going for them.
ONE: The White House. I know, the president’s poll numbers are low. But he still controls the power of the presidency. That means that any Congressman who is in trouble can deliver goodies at the last minute to his district from any department or agency in the government.
I’ll never forget Anne Wexler’s famous comment from the painful days of the Carter-Kennedy battle: "Is this an election or an auction?"
All politics is local? You may not want to be seen with the president, but everybody wants to be seen delivering the pork chops, excuse me, the goodies. And goodies there will be, between now and Election Day, for every Republican who is in trouble.
TWO: Money. I know, Democrats are raising it too. But corporate America has every interest in seeing Republicans maintain their control of Congress. Who is for a higher minimum wage? Who is against it? Do you have to be a rocket scientist to figure this one out?
Do you know that it was Democrats who insisted on preserving PACs in the first campaign finance bill because they thought labor would be able to trump corporate America? Fools R us. Within a year, corporate PACs outnumbered labor PACs by 10-1. And that was just the beginning.
How hard will the business community fight? Read my lips. Hard.
THREE: Organization. They have lists. We don’t. They have infrastructure. We don’t. In this game, they’re at home plate, having already rounded the bases, we’re almost at first base. They know what issues individual voters care about, how to appeal to them, what makes swing voters swing, who they are and how to get them out at the last minute.
You know how Amazon sends you those emails saying that if you liked one book, you’ll probably like two more. Republicans can do the same thing. Democrats can’t.
Harold Ickes, Hillary’s consigliere, has formed an organization outside the party, to try to catch up; the fact that it is outside the party tells you more than you want to know about what the party is doing, see below.
FOUR: Coordination and Focus. According to published reports, it wasn’t pretty at last week’s meeting between Congressional Campaign Chiefs Rahm Emmanuel and Chuck Schumer and Democratic National Committee Chairman Howard Dean. Why would it be? They don’t share the same vision.
Dean is embarked on a 50-state party building program which, if nothing else, ensures him the support of the party pooh-bahs in the 50 states who love him. Problem is, if you’re trying to win Congress back, or win the next presidential election, for that matter, you need to focus on states where you can win, which doesn’t include all 50; you need to focus, and you need to be coordinated, which the Democrats aren’t.
So for all intents and purposes, the DNC is out of the game of trying to win elections any time in the near term, but Howard Dean is safe in his job.
FIVE: The Advantages of Triangulation? I’m not sure I buy this one, but I actually know one Republican (a friend of a friend) who is working for a Democratic Congress as the surest way to stop Hillary in ’08. He figures that if the Democrats win Congress, the voters will be determined to provide balance in ’08 by electing a Republican President. Now that’s what I call a Dick Morris stretch...
California Dreaming...
Not to say I told you so, but with no real differences on issues between them, Democrats Phil Angelides and Steve Westley have resorted to tearing each other apart in the last of their debates that no one is paying attention to, while in Sacramento, the Comeback Kid, Arnold, keeps coming back.
He’s doing everything right. He not only got his bond deal, but both Phil Angelides and Steve Westly endorsed it. Now he’s taken extra tax dollars and given them back to the schools. This is one of those primaries that makes the candidates look smaller and smaller, while the incumbent looks bigger and bigger.
If the country goes south for Republicans in November, California could be the only bright spot.
Susan Estrich is currently the Robert Kingsley Professor of Law and Political Science at the University of Southern California and a member of the Board of Contributors of USA Today. She writes the "Portia" column for American Lawyer Media and is a contributing editor of The Los Angeles Times. She was appointed by the president to serve on the National Holocaust Council and by the mayor of the City of Los Angeles to serve on that city's Ethics Commission.
Estrich's books include "Real Rape," "Getting Away with Murder: How Politics is Destroying the Criminal Justice System," "Dealing with Dangerous Offenders," "Making the Case for Yourself: A Diet Book for Smart Women" and "Sex & Power," currently a Los Angeles Times bestseller.
She served as campaign manager for Michael Dukakis' presidential bid, becoming the first woman to head a U.S. presidential campaign. Estrich appears regularly on the Fox News Channel.
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Here they come again
SHERYL NADLER
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Urquhart: Provincial election
Expect political ads to take the low road
It's the unknown parties fear
December 30, 2006 James TraversOttawa Columnist
Ottawa–Something simple and something complex are about all that's certain about the coming year in federal politics: It will take at least two parties to bring down this Conservative minority government and one of them could well be led by Stephen Harper.
Why? Because a timely defeat over, say, the budget increasingly looks like the best of a bad bunch of Conservative options.
Time is not the government's friend on any of the big issues unfolding here as one year morphs into the next. Middle-class tax breaks are more seductive before service cuts grab headlines. Fixing fiscal federalism is more easily said than done. And the already troubled Afghanistan mission will only become more politically problematic in August when Quebec's famous "Van Doos" regiment leaves Valcartier for Kandahar.
Something else makes an early campaign attractive: Attacking an unprepared enemy is always tempting, and Liberals are a long way from election-readiness after a divisive, costly leadership contest.
Given a few months and a separatist victory in the anticipated Quebec election, and suddenly Harper has a problem. A better-prepared Liberal party would come out to fight led by a federalist champion defined by his authorship, and fearless defence, of Jean Chrétien's Clarity Act.
So why wouldn't the Prime Minister use the budget to sew the seeds of his own demise? Why wouldn't he hold the sword to the Conservatives' chest and let the opposition plunge the country into the fourth election in eight years?
Well, he likely will. But it won't be done carelessly or without deconstructing the dangers.
A leader who a few months ago seemed set to win a majority now has a lot to lose. A poor campaign followed by another weak minority would spell potentially fatal trouble for a prime minister so controlling that he and his government are synonymous.
Still, Harper has more to worry about than a palace revolt among spiteful ministers. So many variables are in play at year end that predictions are purely speculative.
To transplant former U.S. defence secretary Donald Rumsfeld's mangled syntax from there to here, the immediate future holds fewer knowns than unknowns and, worse still, a slew of unknown unknowns.
No one, not even Liberals, are sure that getting to know Stéphane Dion better will make voters like him better. No one knows if Jack Layton can pull the NDP out of what looks like a death spiral. No one knows if Elizabeth May's strong London by-election performance finally signals the arrival of the Green party as a significant political force.
And then there are those marvellously elusive unknown unknowns. Last year, war along Israel's border with Lebanon came out of nowhere, first to expose the Prime Minister's international inexperience and, then, his resolve to rescue Canadians. Whatever it is next year – and there will be something – it will test Conservative ability to do what successful governments do well: react, improvise and cope when unexpected events turn carefully prepared agendas into mere lists.
But we do know this: Next year's surprise won't be the environment. Even a party that once shared conspiracy theories with climate change deniers has figured out that green is political gold.
A convincing environment policy is to political parties now what the little black dress has always been to women's wardrobes: essential.
Harper's Conservatives somehow missed that while designing a Clean Air Act that instantly became a dirty little joke. With the important exception of some sectors, notably oil, the Prime Minister and the hapless Rona Ambrose were justly pilloried for commitments vague and distant enough to be meaningless.
Now, this year's mistake must be corrected before an election the past confidently predicts will be in 2007. Average life expectancy for federal minorities is less than 18 months and that means Harper has until June at the latest to recover lost credibility, to turn green.
Of course, he won't wait that long. Harper knows time is running out and he was only pulling legs by saying he would happily keep this government alive until the first fixed-date federal election in October 2009.
Sure, being in government is better than being in opposition. But power this circumscribed is cold comfort for a prime minister who doesn't much like Canada the way it is and wants to make changes that are, depending on perspective, either broadly transformational or narrowly regressive.
Run a moist finger down the Conservative to-do list and find priorities too controversial for most minority governments to survive. Consider just three:
Adding the illusion of elected senators without full consideration of the democratic implications may be grassroots popular in the West but is already annoying, among others, Quebec Premier Jean Charest.
Limiting federal spending powers delights those who believe the best central government is small and weak but puts social cohesion and economic competitiveness at risk.
And letting a more muscular military leave a bigger foreign bootprint pleases generals, U.S. presidents and arms suppliers but worries civil society already mourning the loss of a more constructively benign international image.
True, Harper has done a lot with not much. Until summer, when he first stumbled, and until Liberals started getting the hang of effective opposition, the Prime Minister ruled as if he had a majority and soon would have another.
But that's now long ago. To change Canada in the ways he wants, Harper needs the freedom only a majority provides.
His problem is federal majorities are getting more, not less, elusive. Mostly blame that on the mischievous Bloc Québécois.
It's only basic math but there's slim chance any party will win a majority as long as Gilles Duceppe's separatists continue to hold 50 or more of Quebec's 75 seats. Controlling a 308-seat Parliament just gets that much more difficult when three other parties (four when the Greens are included) are contesting the remaining seats.
Still, Harper has a habit of exceeding expectations and is counting on a surprisingly transparent strategy to help him repeat history. In bold contrast to the big-tent, something-for-everyone Liberals, Conservatives are relying on a narrow base while hoping to attract enough fringe supporters to ultimately swing their way.
Stripped to its U.S. Republican bones, the appeal is to cautious self-interest. It wraps tax cuts and the catch-all of family values around the spine of father-knows-best leadership.
It's an attractive package, particularly for Western, rural and exurban voters who knowingly nod over coffee and crullers that Ottawa is criminally wasteful and the world is spinning too fast. But are there enough of them, and are they strategically enough placed, in a country dominated by five increasingly cosmopolitan cities?
As 2006 becomes 2007, that's another of the unknowns. What is known is that a Conservative prime minister's fate is inextricably intertwined with that of three Liberal leaders, two provincial and one federal.
First, there's Harper's symbiotic relationship with Charest. Both would want to ask for new mandates immediately after a federal budget strengthens the federalist vote with generous promises and before they are shouted down in separatist demands for more.
That makes Quebec timing delicate, as it is in Ontario where the provincial election is set for October. Even more important are the outcomes, and what would work well for Harper would be a resounding Charest victory and a less decisive one for Dalton McGuinty.
Wisdom here holds that the return of a federalist premier would limit Dion's Quebec growth while a weaker Ontario Liberal government would give hope to the province's federal Conservatives because voters would not have to worry about having Conservatives in power both at Queen's Park and in Ottawa.
If that sounds hard to manage, consider the Conservative-NDP relationship.
Ideally, Harper would like to see Layton recover enough to split left-of-centre votes with Liberals in Eastern Canada but not enough to hurt Conservatives in the West. It's tricky, but Harper may try by sharing some credit with Layton for a stronger environment package, while exposing the NDP to the danger of being seen propping up Conservatives.
Add the Greens to the bigger question of Dion's ability to manage around his party's rivalries and balloon egos and 2007 begins to look like a fascinating year for political junkies. But before anything happens, something must happen.
Even a cursory glance at the polls reveals there's nothing in the numbers to persuade parties that there's a pot of political gold at the end of the campaign rainbow. As inevitable as an election now seems, only two things can make it possible.
One is that the opposition parties find individual advantage in common cause. Barring catastrophe there, Afghanistan isn't likely to provide that glue, and with a new environment package expected, that leaves the budget.
Shrewd governments artfully bring themselves down on election budgets, all the while blaming their rivals for another unwanted, early campaign. And Harper is a shrewd prime minister about to offer the country a by-the-numbers vision.
How it will play out is still an unknown. But it's a known unknown, and in the coming year they promise to be scarce as hen's teeth.
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Environment top priority, PM says
CHRIS WATTIE/REUTERS
Prime Minister Stephen Harper speaks during an interview in his office on Parliament Hill in Ottawa today, Dec. 19, 2006.
document.write
December 19, 2006 Canadian Press
OTTAWA – In a year-end interview, Prime Minister Stephen Harper said today that the environment is now among his top priorities and signalled that he will make major improvements to the much-maligned clean air plan he tabled this fall.
Harper cited a host of factors when asked in an interview with The Canadian Press why his plan had come under such heavy criticism.
"We have to point out why the environment is a priority for the public," he said in French.
"Because there are no more scandals, there are no more threats against national unity, there is no longer a government that never acts, there is a strong economy.
"Things are going well for Canada and for Quebec. It's not the same for the environment."
Polls have consistently shown that Canadians believe the Conservatives have mishandled the environment file. Harper came to office suggesting that the Kyoto Protocol, which limits greenhouse gases that cause global warming, would be essentially ignored.
His government hoped that past Liberal governments' repeated failures to meet Kyoto targets would buffer the Conservatives from any significant voter outrage on the issue.
"After years of ignoring the problem, Canada has perhaps the worst environmental record of any developed country," he said.
Greenhouse gas emissions rose by about 25 per cent under the previous Liberal government, even though it signed the Kyoto accord and always insisted its gas-reduction targets were achievable.
But some prominent Conservatives have said Harper has not gone far enough in his effort to make the environmental issue his own.
Former prime minister Brian Mulroney said earlier this month that a sound environmental policy will be a key to winning the middle class vote in the next election. Mulroney told CBC "it would be politically regrettable" if the Conservatives ceded control of the issue to the Liberals.
Harper did not deny rumours of a cabinet shuffle involving Environment Minister Rona Ambrose as part of an effort to relaunch the Conservatives' climate change plan.
The plan has been widely ridiculed for failing to set any firm greenhouse-gas reduction targets until the year 2050.
"We are only at the beginning of our program," Harper said.
"It's not an easy file. We're only at the beginning – without results yet. As we continue, the reactions will improve."
The environment remains just one of his main challenges, Harper said in an interview in his Parliament Hill office.
The prime minister said his most important short-term achievement has been improving national unity and making the country feel better about itself.
He referred to Afghanistan and the growing sense that Canadians are making a difference in the world.
As for domestic politics, he says allowing Quebec a more formal role at the United Nations culture organization and recognizing the Quebecois as a nation have harmed the separatist cause.
"Our whole goal – my whole goal as prime minister – has been to get Canadians to see the potential of this country," he said.
"In particular to get Quebecers to understand the importance of their role and to look forward to the future rather than fighting old battles of separatists versus centralists."
He cited two longer-term goals for his time in office.
One is retooling the nation's economy to deal with new global challenges, which he said will require lower taxes, investments in skilled labour, and quicker integration of skilled immigrants.
The other is a new environmental plan.
Other revelations from the interview:
– His most difficult decision was taxing income trusts – something he had promised not to do in the last election but he says it needed to be done.
– He is still writing a book on the early history of hockey, and tries writing 15 minutes every day but admits his pace has slacked off lately.
– The foreign politician he admires most is the late British prime minister Sir Winston Churchill, partly for his oratorical skills but mainly because he stood up to fascism and communism while others failed to recognize the threat.
"Domestically I've worked with and observed a number of leaders: Pierre Trudeau, Brian Mulroney, Jean Chrétien, Preston Manning," he said.
"I've tried to learn things from all of them. I've watched things I thought they did right, and things they did wrong, and tried to learn things from my observations."
– He doesn't have much free time for reading. He said those rare spare moments are consumed by research into hockey history and reading children's books.
"What was it called, the Blue Moon? Oh, I've forgotten the full title, we just finished that. Artemis Fowl. It's a book Ben and I are reading. It includes the attempts of the pixie Belinda to take over the world. It's very interesting."
– He enjoys being prime minister.
"I just love the job," he said.
"I used to have colleagues who had been in government before who used to say that the worst day in government is better than the best day in opposition.
"I used to think that was kind of a line, but it's true. Especially if you know where you want to go and what you want to do."
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A Honda car powered by fuel cells?
Associated Press
TOKYO — Honda Motor Co. expects to sell fuel-cell vehicles in the general market by 2018, a news report said Friday.
Honda President Takeo Fukui disclosed the forecast in a recent interview, Kyodo News agency said.
In September, Japan's third-largest auto maker unveiled its FCX Concept fuel-cell car, which is planned for limited marketing in Japan and the U.S. in 2008. Honda declined to say what the vehicle will cost.
“In 2018, I believe the development (of a fuel-cell car) will have been very advanced,” Mr. Fukui was quoted as saying by Kyodo in the interview in Tokyo on Dec. 25.
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“It will become a real possibility to a large degree,” he said, according to Kyodo.
Kyodo said Fukui was confident that many customers will want to buy a fuel-cell car if it costs no more than about 10 million yen ($84,000 U.S.).
A fuel-cell car runs on power generated by oxygen in the air combining with hydrogen stored in a fuel tank. The end product is harmless water vapour.
Earlier this month, Japan's second-largest auto maker, Nissan Motor Co., said it plans to launch a fuel-cell vehicle in Japan and North America in the early 2010s.
Fukui acknowledged that some technological challenges need to be resolved before fuel-cell cars becomes common, including improving the way in which hydrogen is stored and reducing the cost of producing hydrogen, Kyodo said.
Honda officials were not available for comment Friday. Many companies and government agencies were closed for the year-end holidays.
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There is little debate that the environment will become the biggest domestic and international issue facing politicians of all stripes come the new year. In Canada, the surge in support for the Green Party, the election of Dion as Liberal Party leader, comments from Mulroney and Manning, the failure of the Clean Air Act and new developments such as the ice shelf breaking from Canada's arctic is leading to this issue being placed front and centre in the next election campaign. Over the nex few months, look for Layton and Harper to revise the Clean Air Act to neutralize this issue prior to an election campaign. Rona Ambrose will start the new year off in intergovernmental affairs, Van Loan will move to Indian Affairs and Jim Prentice will take over the most important file for the government. In year end interviews, Stephen Harper declared the environment to be his top priority - and with good reason.
The rest of the world will also be dealing with this issue. Europe is already far ahead of North America in addressing Kyoto. The Al Gore movie "Inconvenient Truth" combined with George W. Bush potentially looking to go Green as a legacy saving move could lead to real action on this global file. The rise of China and India and the strain that will put on the planet and our shared resources is another crucial argument for action. Examples in Brazil in terms of alternative fuel sources and Africa in terms of solar power are very good examples of what the world has to build on. Wind power and other green technology will be in high demand as the green economy begins to experience a boom. Announcements by Honda and other car companies regarding hybrids and fuel cell cars by 2018 is also very positive news from the auto industry. If cars ran on hydrogen and oxygen with no carbon emissions, imagine the impact that would have in the GTA and around the world! 2007 should be a green year and the beginning of an environmental revolution.
The continued instability in the Middle East could also drive business to consider finding alternatives for oil in order to end American reliance on questionable regimes such as Saudi Arabia, Nigeria, Russia, Iran, Venezuela, Iraq, Sudan etc. Oil resources are drying up and regimes in the Middle East remain unpredictable. Competition from China, India and elsewhere will likely continue to drive up the prices of oil. The current addiction to oil is unsustainable and threatens the global economy. The threat of global warming and its affects, also raise a strong economic argument for dealing with this issue now.
In 2007, expect a major shift in international politics that moves the world together on fighting climate change as oppose to terrorism. The Green issue is one we can no longer avoid. In Canada, Stephen Harper and the Conservative Party will only be re-elected if they can prove they are serious and ready to act on this file. A sustainable environment could become a key Canadian value along with multiculturalism, universal healthcare and peacekeeping.
Thanks for reading...
Darryl
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Giant ice shelf snaps free from Canada's Arctic
STEVE LILLEBUEN
Canadian Press
A giant ice shelf the size of 11,000 football fields has snapped free from Canada's Arctic, leaving a trail of icy boulders floating in its wake.
The mass of ice broke clear from the coast of Ellesmere Island, about 800 kilometres south of the North Pole.
Warwick Vincent of Laval University, who studies Arctic conditions, travelled to the newly formed ice island and couldn't believe what he saw.
“It was extraordinary,” Dr. Vincent said Thursday, adding that in 10 years of working in the region he has never seen such a dramatic loss of sea ice.
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This NASA Terra satellite image from 2003 shows the Arctic's largest ice shelf was breaking up even then. Rising temperatures have reduced the original Ward Hunt Ice Shelf into a number of smaller shelves, the largest of which was the Ward Hunt Ice Shelf on the northwest fringe of the Ellesmere island. (NASA/AFP/Getty images)
“This is a piece of Canadian geography that no longer exists.”
The collapse was so powerful that earthquake monitors 250 kilometres away picked up tremors from it.
Scientists say it is the largest event of its kind in 30 years and point their fingers at climate change as a major contributing factor.
“We think this incident is consistent with global climate change,” Dr. Vincent said, adding that the remaining ice shelves are 90 per cent smaller than when they were first discovered in 1906.
“We aren't able to connect all of the dots ... but unusually warm temperatures definitely played a major role.”
The ice shelf actually broke up 16 months ago, but no one witnessed the dramatic event.
Laurie Weir, who monitors ice conditions for the Canadian Ice Service, was poring over satellite images when she noticed that the shelf had split and separated.
Ms. Weir notified Luke Copland, head of the new global ice lab at the University of Ottawa, who initiated an effort to find out what happened.
Using U.S. and Canadian satellite images, as well as data from seismic monitors, Dr. Copland discovered that the ice shelf collapsed in the early afternoon of Aug. 13, 2005.
“These ice shelves can break up really quickly, perhaps more quickly than we thought they could do in the past,” he said.
“Within an hour we could see this entire ice chunk just disconnect and float away.”
Within days, the floating ice shelf had drifted a few kilometres offshore. It travelled west for 50 kilometres until it finally froze into the sea ice in the early winter.
Derek Mueller, a polar researcher with Dr. Vincent's team, saw that Ellesmere's Ward Hunt Ice Shelf had cracked in half in 2002. He also saw that sea ice, which creates a buffer zone around ice shelves, was approaching lower and lower levels.
“These ice shelves get weaker and weaker as the temperature rises,” he said.
“And the summer of 2005 had a combination of high temperatures and strong winds that probably blew the sea ice away, making this ice shelf much more vulnerable.”
The Ayles Ice Shelf, roughly 66 square kilometres in area, was one of six major ice shelves remaining in Canada's Arctic.
They are packed with ancient ice that dates back over 3000 years, and scientists like Dr. Vincent treat their loss as a sign that the global climate is crossing an unprecedented threshold.
“We're seeing the tragic loss of unique features of the Canadian landscape,” he said.
“There are microscopic organisms and entire ecosystems associated with this ice, so we're losing a part of Canada's natural richness.”
Meanwhile, the spring thaw may bring another concern as the warming temperatures could release the ice shelf from its Arctic grip.
Prevailing winds could then send the ice island southwards, deep into the Beaufort Sea.
“Over the next few years this ice island could drift into populated shipping routes,” Ms. Weir said.
“There's significant oil and gas development in this region as well, so we'll have to keep monitoring its location over the next few years.”
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Arctic ice shelf collapse poses risk: expert
Last Updated: Thursday, December 28, 2006 6:39 PM ET
CBC News
An ancient ice shelf the size of 11,000 football fields that broke off Ellesmere Island could be dangerous when it starts to drift in the spring, a scientist says.
The collapse of the ice island's northern coast represents the largest breakup of its kind in the Canadian Arctic in 30 years, the head of a new global ice lab at the University of Ottawa said on Thursday.
The collapse of the ice island's northern coast represents the largest breakup of its kind in the Canadian Arctic in 30 years.
Luke Copland, an assistant professor at the school's department of geography, said scientists are surprised at the speed of the collapse of the Ayles ice shelf, about 800 kilometres south of the North Pole. It took less than an hour.
He said the new island formed by the 66-square-kilometre fragment, which could be up to 4,500 years old, could present a serious risk to oil platforms in its drift path in the spring.
At the longest and widest spans, the remains of the Ayles shelf are about 15 kilometres long and five kilometres wide. The fragment is between 30 and 40 metres thick Copland learned of the break after an official with the federal government's Canadian Ice Service noticed the change on satellite images and passed it on to him to determine what happened, according to a report by CanWest News Service.
In June, Copland received nearly $206,000 in grant funding from the Canada Foundation for Innovation to create the Laboratory for Cryospheric Research, which will monitor the state of glaciers, climate change and study ice in all of its forms.
A satellite image shows a 66-square-kilometre chunk of ice has broken off Ellesmere Island.(CBC)
Warwick Vincent of Laval University in Quebec City, who travelled to the new segment, said in 10 years of working in the Arctic, he had never seen such a dramatic collapse.
"It's like a cruise missile has come down and hit the ice shelf," he told CanWest News Service. Vincent is a professor at the university's biology department, where he does ecological research.
The collapse of the Ayles shelf — one of six that still existed in Canada — occurred 16 months ago, on Aug. 13, 2005, but because it is so remote, no one saw it.
Scientists have been combining seismic and satellite data to determine what happened and are now releasing details of the collapse.
The researchers suspect climate change may have played a role in the collapse but said they cannot definitively say it is a result of global warming.With files from the Canadian Press
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Disappearing world: Global warming claims tropical island
For the first time, an inhabited island has disappeared beneath rising seas. Environment Editor Geoffrey Lean reports
Published: 24 December 2006
Rising seas, caused by global warming, have for the first time washed an inhabited island off the face of the Earth. The obliteration of Lohachara island, in India's part of the Sundarbans where the Ganges and the Brahmaputra rivers empty into the Bay of Bengal, marks the moment when one of the most apocalyptic predictions of environmentalists and climate scientists has started coming true.
As the seas continue to swell, they will swallow whole island nations, from the Maldives to the Marshall Islands, inundate vast areas of countries from Bangladesh to Egypt, and submerge parts of scores of coastal cities.
Eight years ago, as exclusively reported in The Independent on Sunday, the first uninhabited islands - in the Pacific atoll nation of Kiribati - vanished beneath the waves. The people of low-lying islands in Vanuatu, also in the Pacific, have been evacuated as a precaution, but the land still juts above the sea. The disappearance of Lohachara, once home to 10,000 people, is unprecedented.
It has been officially recorded in a six-year study of the Sunderbans by researchers at Calcutta's Jadavpur University. So remote is the island that the researchers first learned of its submergence, and that of an uninhabited neighbouring island, Suparibhanga, when they saw they had vanished from satellite pictures.
Two-thirds of nearby populated island Ghoramara has also been permanently inundated. Dr Sugata Hazra, director of the university's School of Oceanographic Studies, says "it is only a matter of some years" before it is swallowed up too. Dr Hazra says there are now a dozen "vanishing islands" in India's part of the delta. The area's 400 tigers are also in danger.
Until now the Carteret Islands off Papua New Guinea were expected to be the first populated ones to disappear, in about eight years' time, but Lohachara has beaten them to the dubious distinction.
Human cost of global warming: Rising seas will soon make 70,000 people homeless
Refugees from the vanished Lohachara island and the disappearing Ghoramara island have fled to Sagar, but this island has already lost 7,500 acres of land to the sea. In all, a dozen islands, home to 70,000 people, are in danger of being submerged by the rising seas.
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Feeling the heat
http://www.economist.com/theworldin/leaders/displayStory.cfm?story_id=8131322&d=2007
From The World in 2007 print edition
Emma Duncan predicts a political climate change
Most of the manifestations of climate change that the world will be talking about next year are not predictable. The north Atlantic hurricane season may or may not be particularly violent; it was brutal in 2004 and 2005, but wasn’t in 2006.There may or may not be heatwaves; there was one in Europe in 2003, but subsequent summers have been only pleasantly warm; there was one in the American West in 2006. Uncertainty is what makes climate change so difficult to deal with. Global warming increases the risk of dangerous events, but the timing and frequency of those events are unpredictable, which makes them hard to prepare for.
One development, however, is pretty certain since international bureaucracies are more reliable than the weather: the completion of the fourth report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. It will be more interesting than it sounds, for it will be gloomier than previous ones, and will cause plenty of argument.
The IPCC was set up by the United Nations to establish a consensus about what is happening to the climate, so that governments should be able to make policy on the basis of some agreed facts. It has produced three reports, but no consensus. Sceptics maintain that it has frozen out dissenters. A hurricane climatologist resigned because the lead author of the chapter on hurricanes and typhoons gave a press conference attributing the increase in the number of intense storms to climate change. There have been complaints that its predictions of the likely spread of malaria are alarmist, given that economic development, rather than temperature, determines the disease’s prevalence. And other critics have complained that the panel’s economics are dodgy. But even if its conclusions are disputed, the IPCC remains the most authoritative body holding forth on climate change, so its reports influence policymaking.
Its new report will surely feature some alarming developments in climate-change science. The melting of Arctic sea ice, for instance, has speeded up. A paper published in September 2006 suggested that perennial sea ice (the sort that is around all year, as opposed to the stuff that melts in summer) shrank by 14% between 2004 and 2005. And the (very slow) rise in sea level seems to have accelerated; the IPCC report is likely to attribute this in part to an increase in glacier flow in Greenland and West Antarctica.
As the science of climate change shifts, so the pressure on politicians increases
As the science of climate change shifts, so the pressure on politicians increases—particularly in America. America is the world’s biggest emitter of greenhouse gases, and the only developed-world polluter, other than Australia, not to ratify the Kyoto protocol to control emissions. China will overtake America within the next decade, and India is coming up fast too. Climate change is just starting to become part of the political debate in those countries. But since developed countries, not developing ones, are mostly responsible for the historical build-up of greenhouse gases, it is generally accepted that they have a moral responsibility to act first. So America is regarded as the key to a solution.
Many Democrats are eager to introduce federal emissions controls. Significantly, a growing number of Republicans are starting to take that view—and not just in California, where Arnold Schwarzenegger, the Republican governor, backed Kyoto-style controls that were passed into law in 2006.
Evangelical Christians concerned about the stewardship of the Earth, farmers who see alternative energy sources as a new income stream, hawks who want to reduce America’s dependency on Middle Eastern oil and hunters who worry about the environment have all come together to put pressure on the White House. And many businesses are also pushing for federal controls. This is partly because they fear a confusing patchwork of state-level controls, partly because they would rather have regulation of the sort that George Bush would endorse than the sort that, say, Hillary Clinton would bring in, and partly because they reckon that regulation will spawn new businesses that they may benefit from.
A bunch of climate-change bills in Congress is gaining support. Politics, like climate change itself, is an uncertain business. But the chances of an American shift on controlling carbon emissions are growing.
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It’s still down to George Bush
http://www.economist.com/theworldin/leaders/displayStory.cfm?story_id=8074164&d=2007
From The World in 2007 print edition
Weakened and chastened, the president has one last chance to prove his worth in 2007, argues John Micklethwait
Reuters
It is hard to be optimistic about 2007. That is not just because the world faces a daunting array of problems—from a nuclear-armed North Korea to growing Islamic militancy to the wreck of global trade talks—but also because of the likely dearth of political leadership. Two veterans of the world stage, Jacques Chirac and Tony Blair, will step aside, leaving Europe even more introverted. Japan’s Shinzo Abe will be concentrating on Upper House elections. In China, Hu Jintao’s main attention will remain focused on his country’s extraordinary economy.
Nowhere, however, is the sense of drift and weakness felt more keenly than in Washington, DC. George Bush, after all, was a president who wanted to change things. At home he pushed through huge tax cuts and tried to create a period of conservative hegemony. Abroad, after the terrorist attacks of September 11th 2001, he set about reordering the world, sending troops into Afghanistan and Iraq, trying to establish a Bush doctrine based on pre-emptive force and exporting democracy. Millions of people around the world may have loathed Mr Bush for his actions, but it was hard to accuse him of a lack of ambition.
Yet what has he to show for the blood, treasure and political capital he has spent? Not only has the world turned out to be a little more complicated than Mr Bush presumed; his administration has hitherto proved woefully incompetent at executing his dreams. As a result, Mr Bush’s prospects in 2007 look, at first sight, pretty glum. Having deservedly lost the Republicans’ grip on Congress, the president would seem to have given up the chance of any big domestic initiative. Abroad, things look even grimmer, with American troops bogged down in Iraq and Afghanistan and the unappetising issues of North Korea and Iran to deal with.
So it would not be surprising if Mr Bush chose to bunker down in 2007, treating the rest of his presidency as a damage-limitation exercise. But it would be deeply wrong for him to do so—for two reasons. First, his position is not as weak as it seems. And second, he still has a chance to establish a more useful legacy.
Perhaps the most intriguing possibility for Mr Bush is the environment
At home Mr Bush is bruised, but hardly out of the battle. Despite the Republicans’ battering in the mid-term elections, America remains a country where conservatives outnumber liberals handsomely. One area where Mr Bush can both unite his party and make up for past sins is government spending. In his first six years in the White House Mr Bush made no attempt to rein in Congress. Now, with the Democrats likely to lavish ever more on boondoggles, he has a partisan reason to be tough.
But it is in foreign policy that his best hope of redemption lies. Once again, do not underestimate Mr Bush’s strength. If the past six years have proved that America is a less dominant force than the neoconservatives hoped, they have also reinforced the indispensability of the world’s only superpower: nothing meaningful happens without America. And, hard though it may be to credit, Mr Bush will have experience on his side. He is set to become the most experienced voice around the G7 table.
That is not to deny the toughness of the task that Mr Bush faces. With Iraq, he has to mix resolution—America surely must keep its troops there throughout 2007—with contrition: he owes Americans and Iraqis a frank explanation of the mistakes made. The other parts of the “axis of evil” are hardly easier to deal with. The best chance—and to be frank it is not a good one—of steering North Korea and Iran into line is to increase the size of both the sticks and carrots on offer. Mr Bush will probably have to offer more fulsome security guarantees to the loathsome regimes in Pyongyang and Tehran. That will stick in the great democratiser’s gullet, but it is worth doing if it secures a verifiable end to their bomb-building.
Be bold, be green
This makes 2007 sound like a hard slog. But there are also more adventurous opportunities for Mr Bush to establish a meaningful legacy. As a politician, he has always been something of a gambler. One opportunity is the unglamorous business of world trade: if Mr Bush can save the Doha trade round, he will do more to advance his freedom agenda in the developing world than he would by any amount of regime change. Another is the Israeli-Palestinian dispute—a cancer that eats away at relations not just between Islam and the West, but also between America and Europe. Mr Bush has declared himself in favour of a Palestinian state, but has done too little to help bring one about.
Perhaps the most intriguing possibility for Mr Bush is the environment. The idea of the Toxic Texan confronting global warming may make verdant voters splutter on their camomile tea. But the mood has changed since Mr Bush spurned Kyoto in 2001. An increasing number of American businesses and state governments now take climate change seriously. India and China will do nothing to restrain their carbon output unless America leads the way. With panache and a little cunning, Mr Bush could start to fashion a replacement for Kyoto.
There will be people around the president who will tell him not to take any more risks. Mr Bush should dwell on two things: he is not running for anything; and, sadly, when it comes to his legacy, he does not have much to lose.
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The Man Who Could Stop Hillary....Al Gore?
Sunday, May 14, 2006
By Susan Estrich
E-MAIL STORY
RESPOND TO EDITOR
PRINTER FRIENDLY VERSION
LOS ANGELES — There is a new name on Democrats’ lips. Or rather, an old one. He is the one man who could stop Hillary Clinton.
If. If he runs. If the stars are right. But he could.
He is, of course, Al Gore.
He is already polling. No one hates her more. Just kidding, of course. But no love lost. Remember, he could’ve won in 2000 if he’d let Clinton help, and it was almost clear at the time. But he wouldn’t.
Consider the alternatives. Mark Warner, who was the flavor of the month until the New York Times gave him its worst kiss, is trying to challenge Hillary from the center-right. But the skew in Democratic nomination politics is from the left, not the right.
Who goes out to vote in a Democratic caucus or primary? The same kinds of people who go out to vote in Republican caucuses and primaries. Activists.
Democratic activists tend to be left wing, Republicans right-wing. Centrists who run for president as Democrats get no votes; think Lieberman, Bruce Babbitt, Lloyd Bentsen, for example. They often, however, get great press.
John Kerry is going nowhere. His money people are heading for the Hills, or Hillary. John Edwards has one note, and voted the same way as Hillary on the war. Warner is wed to the middle. Were it not for Gore, if Gore goes away, Hillary looks to cruise.
But Gore could change that.
So what if he went to Saudi Arabia and criticized America? That’s for Rush and Bill to worry about next fall.
Swift Boats. Gore deprives Hillary of administration bragging rights. He’s got the same ones, without the baggage. And then he’s got the right position on the war, and the superstar record on the environment to boot.
Add to that some liberal Hollywood money, and he gives her a run for hers.
The problem is: then what? No one fits Hugh Hewitt’s stereotype of the losing angry Democrat better than Al Gore. The place to win elections in this country is not the left but the middle. You want to lose for sure, run to Hillary’s left.
Beware Confident Democrats
Watch out fellow Democrats. You’re starting to sound like winners. This is when we get in trouble. Don’t count the Republicans out. It’s a long way to November.
Remember what the Republicans have going for them.
ONE: The White House. I know, the president’s poll numbers are low. But he still controls the power of the presidency. That means that any Congressman who is in trouble can deliver goodies at the last minute to his district from any department or agency in the government.
I’ll never forget Anne Wexler’s famous comment from the painful days of the Carter-Kennedy battle: "Is this an election or an auction?"
All politics is local? You may not want to be seen with the president, but everybody wants to be seen delivering the pork chops, excuse me, the goodies. And goodies there will be, between now and Election Day, for every Republican who is in trouble.
TWO: Money. I know, Democrats are raising it too. But corporate America has every interest in seeing Republicans maintain their control of Congress. Who is for a higher minimum wage? Who is against it? Do you have to be a rocket scientist to figure this one out?
Do you know that it was Democrats who insisted on preserving PACs in the first campaign finance bill because they thought labor would be able to trump corporate America? Fools R us. Within a year, corporate PACs outnumbered labor PACs by 10-1. And that was just the beginning.
How hard will the business community fight? Read my lips. Hard.
THREE: Organization. They have lists. We don’t. They have infrastructure. We don’t. In this game, they’re at home plate, having already rounded the bases, we’re almost at first base. They know what issues individual voters care about, how to appeal to them, what makes swing voters swing, who they are and how to get them out at the last minute.
You know how Amazon sends you those emails saying that if you liked one book, you’ll probably like two more. Republicans can do the same thing. Democrats can’t.
Harold Ickes, Hillary’s consigliere, has formed an organization outside the party, to try to catch up; the fact that it is outside the party tells you more than you want to know about what the party is doing, see below.
FOUR: Coordination and Focus. According to published reports, it wasn’t pretty at last week’s meeting between Congressional Campaign Chiefs Rahm Emmanuel and Chuck Schumer and Democratic National Committee Chairman Howard Dean. Why would it be? They don’t share the same vision.
Dean is embarked on a 50-state party building program which, if nothing else, ensures him the support of the party pooh-bahs in the 50 states who love him. Problem is, if you’re trying to win Congress back, or win the next presidential election, for that matter, you need to focus on states where you can win, which doesn’t include all 50; you need to focus, and you need to be coordinated, which the Democrats aren’t.
So for all intents and purposes, the DNC is out of the game of trying to win elections any time in the near term, but Howard Dean is safe in his job.
FIVE: The Advantages of Triangulation? I’m not sure I buy this one, but I actually know one Republican (a friend of a friend) who is working for a Democratic Congress as the surest way to stop Hillary in ’08. He figures that if the Democrats win Congress, the voters will be determined to provide balance in ’08 by electing a Republican President. Now that’s what I call a Dick Morris stretch...
California Dreaming...
Not to say I told you so, but with no real differences on issues between them, Democrats Phil Angelides and Steve Westley have resorted to tearing each other apart in the last of their debates that no one is paying attention to, while in Sacramento, the Comeback Kid, Arnold, keeps coming back.
He’s doing everything right. He not only got his bond deal, but both Phil Angelides and Steve Westly endorsed it. Now he’s taken extra tax dollars and given them back to the schools. This is one of those primaries that makes the candidates look smaller and smaller, while the incumbent looks bigger and bigger.
If the country goes south for Republicans in November, California could be the only bright spot.
Susan Estrich is currently the Robert Kingsley Professor of Law and Political Science at the University of Southern California and a member of the Board of Contributors of USA Today. She writes the "Portia" column for American Lawyer Media and is a contributing editor of The Los Angeles Times. She was appointed by the president to serve on the National Holocaust Council and by the mayor of the City of Los Angeles to serve on that city's Ethics Commission.
Estrich's books include "Real Rape," "Getting Away with Murder: How Politics is Destroying the Criminal Justice System," "Dealing with Dangerous Offenders," "Making the Case for Yourself: A Diet Book for Smart Women" and "Sex & Power," currently a Los Angeles Times bestseller.
She served as campaign manager for Michael Dukakis' presidential bid, becoming the first woman to head a U.S. presidential campaign. Estrich appears regularly on the Fox News Channel.
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Here they come again
SHERYL NADLER
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Urquhart: Provincial election
Expect political ads to take the low road
It's the unknown parties fear
December 30, 2006 James TraversOttawa Columnist
Ottawa–Something simple and something complex are about all that's certain about the coming year in federal politics: It will take at least two parties to bring down this Conservative minority government and one of them could well be led by Stephen Harper.
Why? Because a timely defeat over, say, the budget increasingly looks like the best of a bad bunch of Conservative options.
Time is not the government's friend on any of the big issues unfolding here as one year morphs into the next. Middle-class tax breaks are more seductive before service cuts grab headlines. Fixing fiscal federalism is more easily said than done. And the already troubled Afghanistan mission will only become more politically problematic in August when Quebec's famous "Van Doos" regiment leaves Valcartier for Kandahar.
Something else makes an early campaign attractive: Attacking an unprepared enemy is always tempting, and Liberals are a long way from election-readiness after a divisive, costly leadership contest.
Given a few months and a separatist victory in the anticipated Quebec election, and suddenly Harper has a problem. A better-prepared Liberal party would come out to fight led by a federalist champion defined by his authorship, and fearless defence, of Jean Chrétien's Clarity Act.
So why wouldn't the Prime Minister use the budget to sew the seeds of his own demise? Why wouldn't he hold the sword to the Conservatives' chest and let the opposition plunge the country into the fourth election in eight years?
Well, he likely will. But it won't be done carelessly or without deconstructing the dangers.
A leader who a few months ago seemed set to win a majority now has a lot to lose. A poor campaign followed by another weak minority would spell potentially fatal trouble for a prime minister so controlling that he and his government are synonymous.
Still, Harper has more to worry about than a palace revolt among spiteful ministers. So many variables are in play at year end that predictions are purely speculative.
To transplant former U.S. defence secretary Donald Rumsfeld's mangled syntax from there to here, the immediate future holds fewer knowns than unknowns and, worse still, a slew of unknown unknowns.
No one, not even Liberals, are sure that getting to know Stéphane Dion better will make voters like him better. No one knows if Jack Layton can pull the NDP out of what looks like a death spiral. No one knows if Elizabeth May's strong London by-election performance finally signals the arrival of the Green party as a significant political force.
And then there are those marvellously elusive unknown unknowns. Last year, war along Israel's border with Lebanon came out of nowhere, first to expose the Prime Minister's international inexperience and, then, his resolve to rescue Canadians. Whatever it is next year – and there will be something – it will test Conservative ability to do what successful governments do well: react, improvise and cope when unexpected events turn carefully prepared agendas into mere lists.
But we do know this: Next year's surprise won't be the environment. Even a party that once shared conspiracy theories with climate change deniers has figured out that green is political gold.
A convincing environment policy is to political parties now what the little black dress has always been to women's wardrobes: essential.
Harper's Conservatives somehow missed that while designing a Clean Air Act that instantly became a dirty little joke. With the important exception of some sectors, notably oil, the Prime Minister and the hapless Rona Ambrose were justly pilloried for commitments vague and distant enough to be meaningless.
Now, this year's mistake must be corrected before an election the past confidently predicts will be in 2007. Average life expectancy for federal minorities is less than 18 months and that means Harper has until June at the latest to recover lost credibility, to turn green.
Of course, he won't wait that long. Harper knows time is running out and he was only pulling legs by saying he would happily keep this government alive until the first fixed-date federal election in October 2009.
Sure, being in government is better than being in opposition. But power this circumscribed is cold comfort for a prime minister who doesn't much like Canada the way it is and wants to make changes that are, depending on perspective, either broadly transformational or narrowly regressive.
Run a moist finger down the Conservative to-do list and find priorities too controversial for most minority governments to survive. Consider just three:
Adding the illusion of elected senators without full consideration of the democratic implications may be grassroots popular in the West but is already annoying, among others, Quebec Premier Jean Charest.
Limiting federal spending powers delights those who believe the best central government is small and weak but puts social cohesion and economic competitiveness at risk.
And letting a more muscular military leave a bigger foreign bootprint pleases generals, U.S. presidents and arms suppliers but worries civil society already mourning the loss of a more constructively benign international image.
True, Harper has done a lot with not much. Until summer, when he first stumbled, and until Liberals started getting the hang of effective opposition, the Prime Minister ruled as if he had a majority and soon would have another.
But that's now long ago. To change Canada in the ways he wants, Harper needs the freedom only a majority provides.
His problem is federal majorities are getting more, not less, elusive. Mostly blame that on the mischievous Bloc Québécois.
It's only basic math but there's slim chance any party will win a majority as long as Gilles Duceppe's separatists continue to hold 50 or more of Quebec's 75 seats. Controlling a 308-seat Parliament just gets that much more difficult when three other parties (four when the Greens are included) are contesting the remaining seats.
Still, Harper has a habit of exceeding expectations and is counting on a surprisingly transparent strategy to help him repeat history. In bold contrast to the big-tent, something-for-everyone Liberals, Conservatives are relying on a narrow base while hoping to attract enough fringe supporters to ultimately swing their way.
Stripped to its U.S. Republican bones, the appeal is to cautious self-interest. It wraps tax cuts and the catch-all of family values around the spine of father-knows-best leadership.
It's an attractive package, particularly for Western, rural and exurban voters who knowingly nod over coffee and crullers that Ottawa is criminally wasteful and the world is spinning too fast. But are there enough of them, and are they strategically enough placed, in a country dominated by five increasingly cosmopolitan cities?
As 2006 becomes 2007, that's another of the unknowns. What is known is that a Conservative prime minister's fate is inextricably intertwined with that of three Liberal leaders, two provincial and one federal.
First, there's Harper's symbiotic relationship with Charest. Both would want to ask for new mandates immediately after a federal budget strengthens the federalist vote with generous promises and before they are shouted down in separatist demands for more.
That makes Quebec timing delicate, as it is in Ontario where the provincial election is set for October. Even more important are the outcomes, and what would work well for Harper would be a resounding Charest victory and a less decisive one for Dalton McGuinty.
Wisdom here holds that the return of a federalist premier would limit Dion's Quebec growth while a weaker Ontario Liberal government would give hope to the province's federal Conservatives because voters would not have to worry about having Conservatives in power both at Queen's Park and in Ottawa.
If that sounds hard to manage, consider the Conservative-NDP relationship.
Ideally, Harper would like to see Layton recover enough to split left-of-centre votes with Liberals in Eastern Canada but not enough to hurt Conservatives in the West. It's tricky, but Harper may try by sharing some credit with Layton for a stronger environment package, while exposing the NDP to the danger of being seen propping up Conservatives.
Add the Greens to the bigger question of Dion's ability to manage around his party's rivalries and balloon egos and 2007 begins to look like a fascinating year for political junkies. But before anything happens, something must happen.
Even a cursory glance at the polls reveals there's nothing in the numbers to persuade parties that there's a pot of political gold at the end of the campaign rainbow. As inevitable as an election now seems, only two things can make it possible.
One is that the opposition parties find individual advantage in common cause. Barring catastrophe there, Afghanistan isn't likely to provide that glue, and with a new environment package expected, that leaves the budget.
Shrewd governments artfully bring themselves down on election budgets, all the while blaming their rivals for another unwanted, early campaign. And Harper is a shrewd prime minister about to offer the country a by-the-numbers vision.
How it will play out is still an unknown. But it's a known unknown, and in the coming year they promise to be scarce as hen's teeth.
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Environment top priority, PM says
CHRIS WATTIE/REUTERS
Prime Minister Stephen Harper speaks during an interview in his office on Parliament Hill in Ottawa today, Dec. 19, 2006.
document.write
December 19, 2006 Canadian Press
OTTAWA – In a year-end interview, Prime Minister Stephen Harper said today that the environment is now among his top priorities and signalled that he will make major improvements to the much-maligned clean air plan he tabled this fall.
Harper cited a host of factors when asked in an interview with The Canadian Press why his plan had come under such heavy criticism.
"We have to point out why the environment is a priority for the public," he said in French.
"Because there are no more scandals, there are no more threats against national unity, there is no longer a government that never acts, there is a strong economy.
"Things are going well for Canada and for Quebec. It's not the same for the environment."
Polls have consistently shown that Canadians believe the Conservatives have mishandled the environment file. Harper came to office suggesting that the Kyoto Protocol, which limits greenhouse gases that cause global warming, would be essentially ignored.
His government hoped that past Liberal governments' repeated failures to meet Kyoto targets would buffer the Conservatives from any significant voter outrage on the issue.
"After years of ignoring the problem, Canada has perhaps the worst environmental record of any developed country," he said.
Greenhouse gas emissions rose by about 25 per cent under the previous Liberal government, even though it signed the Kyoto accord and always insisted its gas-reduction targets were achievable.
But some prominent Conservatives have said Harper has not gone far enough in his effort to make the environmental issue his own.
Former prime minister Brian Mulroney said earlier this month that a sound environmental policy will be a key to winning the middle class vote in the next election. Mulroney told CBC "it would be politically regrettable" if the Conservatives ceded control of the issue to the Liberals.
Harper did not deny rumours of a cabinet shuffle involving Environment Minister Rona Ambrose as part of an effort to relaunch the Conservatives' climate change plan.
The plan has been widely ridiculed for failing to set any firm greenhouse-gas reduction targets until the year 2050.
"We are only at the beginning of our program," Harper said.
"It's not an easy file. We're only at the beginning – without results yet. As we continue, the reactions will improve."
The environment remains just one of his main challenges, Harper said in an interview in his Parliament Hill office.
The prime minister said his most important short-term achievement has been improving national unity and making the country feel better about itself.
He referred to Afghanistan and the growing sense that Canadians are making a difference in the world.
As for domestic politics, he says allowing Quebec a more formal role at the United Nations culture organization and recognizing the Quebecois as a nation have harmed the separatist cause.
"Our whole goal – my whole goal as prime minister – has been to get Canadians to see the potential of this country," he said.
"In particular to get Quebecers to understand the importance of their role and to look forward to the future rather than fighting old battles of separatists versus centralists."
He cited two longer-term goals for his time in office.
One is retooling the nation's economy to deal with new global challenges, which he said will require lower taxes, investments in skilled labour, and quicker integration of skilled immigrants.
The other is a new environmental plan.
Other revelations from the interview:
– His most difficult decision was taxing income trusts – something he had promised not to do in the last election but he says it needed to be done.
– He is still writing a book on the early history of hockey, and tries writing 15 minutes every day but admits his pace has slacked off lately.
– The foreign politician he admires most is the late British prime minister Sir Winston Churchill, partly for his oratorical skills but mainly because he stood up to fascism and communism while others failed to recognize the threat.
"Domestically I've worked with and observed a number of leaders: Pierre Trudeau, Brian Mulroney, Jean Chrétien, Preston Manning," he said.
"I've tried to learn things from all of them. I've watched things I thought they did right, and things they did wrong, and tried to learn things from my observations."
– He doesn't have much free time for reading. He said those rare spare moments are consumed by research into hockey history and reading children's books.
"What was it called, the Blue Moon? Oh, I've forgotten the full title, we just finished that. Artemis Fowl. It's a book Ben and I are reading. It includes the attempts of the pixie Belinda to take over the world. It's very interesting."
– He enjoys being prime minister.
"I just love the job," he said.
"I used to have colleagues who had been in government before who used to say that the worst day in government is better than the best day in opposition.
"I used to think that was kind of a line, but it's true. Especially if you know where you want to go and what you want to do."
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A Honda car powered by fuel cells?
Associated Press
TOKYO — Honda Motor Co. expects to sell fuel-cell vehicles in the general market by 2018, a news report said Friday.
Honda President Takeo Fukui disclosed the forecast in a recent interview, Kyodo News agency said.
In September, Japan's third-largest auto maker unveiled its FCX Concept fuel-cell car, which is planned for limited marketing in Japan and the U.S. in 2008. Honda declined to say what the vehicle will cost.
“In 2018, I believe the development (of a fuel-cell car) will have been very advanced,” Mr. Fukui was quoted as saying by Kyodo in the interview in Tokyo on Dec. 25.
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“It will become a real possibility to a large degree,” he said, according to Kyodo.
Kyodo said Fukui was confident that many customers will want to buy a fuel-cell car if it costs no more than about 10 million yen ($84,000 U.S.).
A fuel-cell car runs on power generated by oxygen in the air combining with hydrogen stored in a fuel tank. The end product is harmless water vapour.
Earlier this month, Japan's second-largest auto maker, Nissan Motor Co., said it plans to launch a fuel-cell vehicle in Japan and North America in the early 2010s.
Fukui acknowledged that some technological challenges need to be resolved before fuel-cell cars becomes common, including improving the way in which hydrogen is stored and reducing the cost of producing hydrogen, Kyodo said.
Honda officials were not available for comment Friday. Many companies and government agencies were closed for the year-end holidays.
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Labels: Environment
Nuclear Free World
Time to Push for a Nuclear Free World:
In 2006, the world took heavy losses in the battle to stop the spread of nuclear weapons. For much of the year we watched the world focus on the nuclear weapon test from North Korea and the growing threat of a potential Iranian nuclear program. We also saw nations like Japan debating if they should acquire a nuclear weapon in response to North Korea. A growing list of countries including Australia, Saudi Arabia, Egypt and many others looked to increase or start programs related to nuclear energy. Pakistan and India both obtained nuclear weapons and as recent as this year continued to test missiles. Russia, France, UK and the United States all looked to upgrade their nuclear arsenals. China increased the budget of their military and it can be assumed have also continued to upgrade their nuclear arsenal and deterrent. Towards the end of the year, Prime Minister Ehud Omert started a fire storm when he appeared to admit Israel was a nuclear power. The statement led to Saudi Arabia and Iran calling for sanctions against Israel. The idea that Israel is allowed to maintain a policy of nuclear ambiguity is a slap in the face to the world and completely unacceptable. Without question, the world saw an expansion in nuclear countries and several setbacks in the non proliferation of nuclear weapons.
Sanctions have never really been effective in history when it comes to dismantling a nation with nuclear weapons. Pakistan and India both faced international pressure and sanctions for their nuclear programs and testing. Today Pakistan is considered a friend in the “War on Terror” and India just signed nuclear technology deals with both the United States and China. When Mordechai Vanunu proved to the world in 1986 that Israel had developed an illegal nuclear program, the world largely ignored it. Canada blocked a resolution this year at the UN aimed at disarming Israel’s nuclear weapons program with a “no action” motion. Following Olmert’s admission that Israel was in possession of nuclear arms, again the world was silent in addressing Iran, Saudi Arabia and Egypt’s call for a nuclear free middle east. Tony Blair also refused to reduce the British nuclear arsenal without other nuclear powers taking the same action. Following North Korea’s nuclear test and declaration as a nuclear power, China and South Korea blocked tough sanctions resulting in a slap on the wrist for the actions of Kim Jong Il. Six party talks have gotten absolutely no where and there is little potential that will change in the year ahead. Iran’s parliament passed a bill that would allow for leaders in Iran to pull out of the NPT treaty and reduce cooperation with inspectors. This path was paved by North Korea. China and Russia also blocked any serious sanctions against of Iran due to their economic and military interests in the nation. Should Iran acquire nuclear weapons, the expectation would be that minimal action would be taken at the end of the day. A nuclear armed Iran could also lead to a nuclear Egypt, Saudi Arabia, UAE, Taiwan, South Korea, Japan, Turkey and 20 other nations in the world. Clearly in 2006 we lost ground and went backwards on the fight to reduce and eliminate nuclear arms throughout the world.
In 2007 a new approach needs to be taken. A nuclear free Africa and South America is very good news and this pattern should be adapted elsewhere. If a settlement takes place with Kashmir, India and Pakistan should both set the example for the world and verifiably dismantle its nuclear weapons. The UK and France are also in a position to set the example for other members on the Security Council by agreeing to a nuclear free EU. As part of a settlement to the Middle East conflict, Israel and Iran should sign on to a nuclear free Middle East treaty and verifiably dismantle their nuclear weapon programs. China, Russia and the United States as the three leading superpowers should also take reciprocal actions through treaties to reduce nuclear weapons among themselves. The goal for stopping the spread of nuclear weapons must be all nations giving up their programs leading to a nuclear weapon free world, not the status quo of only some nations can have them while others cannot. For America to have any credibility in negotiations with Iran and North Korea, it needs to set the example. The double standards set with Israel, Pakistan, India and themselves is not unnoticed by Iran and North Korea and not justifiable by any standard. There needs to be a more aggressive attitude by citizens of the world and in nations with nuclear weapons to put pressure on their governments to disarm.
Heading into the new year and over the next decade, the treat of nuclear war has not been this high since the Cuban missile crisis. In the future a long term resource conflict between China, India, Russia and the United States could erupt if oil/water supplies are disrupted. Taking military action in Iran and Sudan would place drastic threats on China’s oil supply and fuel its rapidly growing economy. Increasing energy influence in Russia is feeding Putin turning the clock backwards on democracy, oppression of Chechnya and Soviet era diplomacy over Eastern Europe and elsewhere. Any US or Israeli military strike on Iran could escalate out of hand rapidly. Any military action on North Korea could result in a disaster for South Korea, Japan and elsewhere in the region. The further pursuit of nuclear weapons by rogue states, continue to threaten the world’s prosperity and security. The though of nuclear weapons in the hands of terrorists is unthinkable. It is time to begin the dialogue of a balanced worldwide dismantling of nuclear weapons and the motivation to attain them.
Next year the world will continue to focus on North Korea and the growing threat of Iran. In 2006 we went backwards in trying to disarm these countries. The cold war brought about great hope that the threat of nuclear war was behind us. Today the media needs to focus on other nuclear powers as well and place pressure on everyone in order to eliminate this man made threat to the human species and the planet. Today the idea seems unrealistic wishful thinking but tomorrow it could be a big opportunity missed. Double standard thinking will get us no where. Cluster bombs, landmines and nuclear bombs do not improve worldwide quality of life standards or promote international peace. It is time to wake up and do something!
Thanks for reading…
Darryl
Canada blocks bid by Arab countries for vote Israel's nuclear capabilities
VIENNA, Austria (AP) - More than a dozen Arab countries were blocked by a Canadian motion in their bid to have a vote on a resolution labelling Israel's nuclear capabilities a threat on the final day of the International Atomic Energy Agency's annual meeting.
The draft resolution, which also called upon Israel to join the Nuclear Non-proliferation Treaty, was blocked from going to a vote Friday by the Canadian delegate.
The final session of the UN nuclear watchdog agency's weeklong meeting did adopt a separate, non-binding resolution calling on all Middle Eastern countries to accept IAEA safeguards and take steps toward the establishment of a nuclear weapons-free zone. Israel and the United States were the only two countries that voted against it. Three countries abstained.
The measure calling Israel's program a threat, which was co-sponsored by Iran, was kept from going to a vote after 45 countries backed a no-action motion by the Canadian delegate, effectively adjourning the debate Friday evening.
Among those supporting the effort to block the vote were the United States, Israel, France, Germany and Britain. Those abstaining included China, Russia and Nigeria, among others.
The 15 Arab countries behind the resolution, which would also have been non-binding, had hoped to send a signal to Israel following its monthlong war with Hezbollah, which killed hundreds of people - most of them civilians - in Lebanon.
"Peace and nuclear weapons are two enemies - there is no cohabitation," said Ramzy Ramzy, head of the Egyptian delegation to the meeting and his country's ambassador to Austria.
In co-sponsoring the resolution, Iran was also seeking to counter criticism of its own nuclear program, which the United States and others insist is aimed at the production of atomic weapons. Iran insists it only wants to generate power.
"Iran...has always called for establishing a Middle East free of weapons of mass destruction...It is of profound regret that this issue is trapped in a vicious cycle," said Ali Ashgar Soltanieh, Iran's ambassador to the IAEA.
Arab countries at the annual conference have regularly threatened to submit such a resolution but in past years have opted instead to voice their concerns about Israel's nuclear program through a statement from the conference president, which carries less weight than a resolution.
The last time such a resolution was submitted at the annual IAEA conference was in 1991. It passed.
Israel neither confirms nor denies its nuclear status but is considered to be the only country in the region with nuclear weapons. Israel does not accept IAEA controls on its nuclear activities.
Israel's ambassador to the IAEA said efforts to bring security to the Middle East should be focused on peace efforts, not necessarily arms control.
"The fundamental goal in the Middle East, as in other regions, is obtaining regional peace, security and stability, not arms control per se," Israel Michaeli said.
December 13, 2006
JERUSALEM -- Prime Minister Ehud Olmert spent Tuesday trying to put the nuclear genie back in the bottle, after a slip of the tongue in an interview was interpreted as confirming Israel has atomic weapons -- widely assumed to be true, but never officially acknowledged.
In an interview with a German television station broadcast Monday, Olmert appeared to list Israel among the world's nuclear powers.
Asked by the interviewer about Iran's calls for the destruction of Israel, Olmert replied that Israel has never threatened to annihilate anyone.
"Iran openly, explicitly and publicly threatens to wipe Israel off the map," Olmert said. "Can you say that this is the same level, when you are aspiring to have nuclear weapons, as America, France, Israel, Russia?"
Israel, which foreign experts say has the sixth-largest nuclear arsenal in the world, has stuck to a policy of ambiguity on nuclear weapons for decades, refusing to confirm or deny whether it has them.
Speaking in Germany, Olmert denied Tuesday that he had "outed" Israel's nuclear program.
"Israel has said many times -- and I also said this to German television in an interview -- that we will not be the first country that introduces nuclear weapons to the Middle East," Olmert said after meeting German Chancellor Angela Merkel. "That was our position, that is our position -- nothing has changed."
The comments came days after incoming Defense Secretary Robert Gates, in testimony to a Senate committee, identified Israel as a nuclear power.
With Olmert's comments featured on the front pages of all of Israel's major papers Tuesday and with political rivals calling for his resignation, aides to Olmert hurriedly said the remark had been misinterpreted.
Olmert spokeswoman Miri Eisin said the prime minister had been listing not nuclear states but "responsible nations."
The premier's office said the quote, made in English, was taken out of context, noting that in other parts of the interview, Olmert several times refused to confirm that Israel has nuclear weapons.
One newspaper wondered whether the list of countries raised the possibility the reference to "nuclear weapons" could apply to Iran, not the list including Israel -- but that grammatical nuance was lost on the rest of the Israeli media and political world.
Opposition lawmaker Yossi Beilin, head of the dovish Meretz party, criticized what he termed Olmert's "carelessness." Together with Olmert's perceived failures of leadership during the Lebanon war, Beilin said, "it might be an indication that he isn't fit to serve as prime minister."
Former Foreign Minister Silvan Shalom of the hard-line Likud, another opposition party, said the comment could hurt Israel's attempt to get the international community to prevent Iran from obtaining nuclear weapons.
Shalom said Olmert "gave tools" to Israel's enemies, allowing them to say, "Why are you dealing only with Iran while Israel is confirming that it has the same kind of weapons?"
A senior Arab official echoed that, calling for punishing Israel. Abdul Rahman al-Attiyah, secretary-general of the Gulf Cooperation Council, said, "The United States should not apply double standards since it calls for sanctions on countries that have nuclear programs that we have not ruled out are frameworks of nuclear weapons."
Defense analyst Amir Oren, writing in the Haaretz daily, gave Olmert backhand praise. "Thanks to him, there is no longer any need to rely on real or bogus 'foreign sources' when referring to Israel's nuclear potential," a longtime requirement from Israel's military censor.
Iran acts over Israeli nukes
The request comes while the Security Council debates imposing sanctions on Iran [GALLO/GETTY]
Iran has called for the UN Security Council to compel Israel to give up its nuclear weapons.
The request, made on Tuesday in a letter to the Security Council, comes after Ehud Olmert, the Israeli prime minister, appeared to admit in a TV interview that Israel had nuclear weapons.
Javad Zarif, Iran's UN ambassador, said that Olmert's comments had "removed any excuse - if there ever were any - for continued inaction by the council in the face of this actual threat to international peace and security".
He said the council should "compel it [Israel] to abandon nuclear weapons, urge it to accede to the NPT [nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty] without delay and demand this regime to place promptly all its nuclear facilities under IAEA [International Atomic Energy Agency] full-scope safeguards".
The letter marks the first formal call for action to be taken against Israel and comes at a time when the Security Council is debating imposing sanctions on Iran in an attempt to halt the country's own nuclear programme.
Many have criticised the West as working under a double standard in pressing Iran to suspend its nuclear activities while ignoring Israeli weapons.
Hans Blix, former head of the IAEA, said last June that Israel is thought to have about 200 nuclear weapons.
"They are aspiring to have nuclear weapons, as America, France, Israel, Russia"
Ehud Olmet, Israeli prime minister
In his interview, broadcast in Israel on Channel 10, Olmert said: "Iran, openly, explicitly and publicly threatens to wipe Israel off the map. Can you say that this is the same level, when they are aspiring to have nuclear weapons, as America, France, Israel, Russia?"
Israel has never formally acknowledged that it has nuclear weapons and has not a signed up to the NPT.
Iran, which has signed the NPT, says that its nuclear programme is for civilian purposes and will not be used to make nuclear weapons.
Russia's foreign minister said on Wednesday that Western powers were trying to punish Iran in the UN Security Council draft resolution on the Islamic republic's nuclear programme.
Sergei Lavrov, referring to the Europeans and the United States, said a proposed travel ban on Iranian officials "is in our view an attempt to bring an element of punishment and we agreed from the start not to do that".
"Our partners ... are trying to turn the situation around in their favour by inserting into the resolution statements which would de facto lift all limits on the restraints that are being introduced in Iran and will sever ... trade-economic ties with Iran in completely legitimate areas," he told a news conference.
Earlier, at the UN, Britain and France, which drafted the text along with Germany, decided to distribute the measure to the council so the 15 members could prepare for a vote
A NEW power struggle between an increasingly assertive Russia (rich in oil and gas) and a weak-willed West will start in earnest in 2007. The big battleground will be energy.
Poland and its allies in the Baltic states will try to diversify their energy supplies, by agreeing to build a new nuclear power station at Ignalina in Lithuania, hooking up their electricity networks and accelerating their plans for a terminal on Poland’s northern coast to import liquefied natural gas. But Russia will find this little obstacle. Its cash-rich energy firms will step up their purchases of downstream firms in Europe.
Even ex-communist countries will be signing up for special deals with Russia. Hungary will increase its dependence on Russian gas; as an austerity programme bites into living standards and employment, cheap gas will be a useful lubricant. It will be a similar story with the leftist-nationalist government in Slovakia, which will face sharp disapproval from its west European neighbours because of its increasingly harsh treatment of minorities and its authoritarian ways. Friendly ties with Russia will be a welcome balance.
Farther east, Russian companies will continue to gobble up the energy infrastructure in chaotic Ukraine. In Belarus, rows with the Kremlin over energy are the most likely source of trouble for the regime of the eccentric autocrat, Alyaksandr Lukashenka.
The Kremlin’s energy clout and cash pile spell doom in 2007 for plans to build new pipelines bringing non-Russian gas to Europe. Nabucco, a trans-Balkan pipeline which aims to bring Middle Eastern and Central Asian gas to Europe via Turkey’s excellent gas infrastructure, will be at the heart of the power struggle. The EU counts this as one of its top energy priorities. But without individual customers willing to sign up, and pay up, for its construction, buying more Russian gas through existing pipelines will seem an easier and cheaper option. In 2007 Nabucco will be forced to accept Russian involvement, including a hook-up to the underused Blue Stream pipeline that links Russia and Turkey.
Russia will develop its energy muscles in 2007. But it will flex them selectively. The Kremlin is keen to be seen as a reliable partner, playing by market rules. Those customers that pay on time will receive prompt deliveries. But countries and companies that challenge Russian energy hegemony will face short shrift.
Poland’s PKN Orlen, for example, which will complete its $3 billion acquisition of Lithuania’s clapped-out Mazeikiai refinery in 2007, will find itself facing a gale of financial and commercial pressure. Oil supplies from the Russian-controlled pipeline to the refinery will be erratic. The resulting fluctuations in its share price will be an excellent opportunity for Russian insider traders to make a killing—and build up their stake in the company. By the end of 2007, PKN Orlen will be trying to sell Mazeikiai, to Russian bidders. In next-door Latvia, Russia will continue to block oil transit to that country’s Ventspils terminal, again with the same end in view: acquisition of energy infrastructure at a bargain price.
Europe will also find that some of its alternative oil and gas suppliers will come into Russia’s orbit. A multi-billion-dollar arms deal with Algeria, and joint ventures in extraction and marketing, will underline Russia’s return as a major power.
That may dismay east Europeans, but Russia’s resurgence will bring juicy profits to financiers in London. Russian energy IPOs will be one of 2007’s most lively financial stories. Regulatory worries will be brushed aside. The profits will win Russia respectability—and influence. If a former German chancellor, Gerhard Schröder, can accept a well-paid directorship from a Russian-backed joint venture, why should other politicians and officials hold back?
America will worry more about Europe’s energy security in 2007. It successfully promoted the Baku-Ceyhan oil pipeline (which came onstream in the middle of 2006, connecting Azerbaijan and Turkey via Georgia); by early 2007 the gas pipeline from Baku to Erzurum in Turkey will be functioning too. But these will prove mere pinpricks in Russia’s advance.
The mood in the former satellite countries of eastern Europe is bleak. Where energy dominance is assured, political clout necessarily follows. Europe’s uneasy and reluctant adaptation to the new realities of energy politics will continue. Two decades after the Kremlin started beating the retreat from the Soviet empire, a new hegemony, based on pipelines rather than tanks, is advancing—and shows every sign of proving durable.
From The World in 2007 print editionIt is time to plan for the unthinkable: the collapse of North Korea
Reuters
The headache that is a nuclear North Korea is about to get worse. After its first nuclear test in October 2006, the regime of Kim Jong Il was hit with UN-sponsored moves that tightened financial sanctions, banned imports of luxury goods (the Kim regime had been the biggest customer for Hennessy’s top cognac) and strengthened surveillance of North Korea’s dealings in weapons-related material.
This policy of “malign neglect” is also an admission of impotence, which Mr Kim will now attempt to exploit—for instance, by agreeing to return to talks about dismantling its nuclear capability. Even so, the humiliation that China will suffer from being unable to influence its neighbour will lead it to tear up a friendship treaty with North Korea that dates from after the Korean war half a century ago. International pressure will grow for China to block the regime’s funds in Chinese banks. But for fear of chaos along its north-eastern border, China will not lightly cut off all the supplies of food and oil on which this miserable country depends.
Japan’s hard line against North Korea—including a total ban on imports—will give its new prime minister, Shinzo Abe, authority at home. But in South Korea, figuring out how to deal with Mr Kim will discredit the final year in office of President Roh Moo-hyun. While cutting humanitarian aid to the North, Mr Roh will cling to the only fruits of ten years of “sunshine policy”: the Kaesong industrial zone and the Mount Kumgang tourist enclave. Both provide hard currency for Mr Kim.
With hostility abroad and doubts about loyalty at home, Mr Kim, who may not be healthy, will become increasingly unpredictable
As for the United States, Mr Kim’s defiance buries President George Bush’s liberation theology, first articulated in his “axis of evil” speech in 2002. Military retaliation is out of the question: America cannot risk provoking the North to unleash its huge conventional forces against South Korea; besides, it does not even know where all of Mr Kim’s underground nuclear facilities are.
So the United States will grudgingly accept North Korea as a nuclear power. (After all, Mr Kim would never do anything so suicidal as actually threaten to use his new weapons, would he?) It will satisfy itself with the narrower goal of limiting North Korea’s ability to spread nuclear technology or other unconventional weapons. Here, policing North Korea’s proliferation will prove quite effective, confounding sceptics.
Yet those who argue that this will keep Mr Kim in his box will get a shock. Proliferation was never Mr Kim’s chief aim, which has been to reshape the environment on the Korean peninsula in a way that allows him and his family to survive. Acquiring nuclear capability was central to this aim. So, too, is putting the interests of the army above everything else—including the economy and North Korea’s brutalised people.
This is also Mr Kim’s weak point, however. In the coming year, financial sanctions will hit hard, denying him the funds to keep the regime sweet, the army in particular. After floods last summer, food shortages will spread even to parts of the army, and disaffected army units will for the first time join a growing number of refugees escaping into China. Reports will reach Mr Kim of local baronies flouting central rule.
With hostility abroad and doubts about loyalty at home, Mr Kim, who may not be healthy, will become increasingly unpredictable. Since the alternative to ruling North Korea is not a cosy retirement in Gstaad, the tyrant’s actions will become irrational, within his frame of reference. He could loose off missiles, or threaten nuclear war. He could put his special forces on a war footing. Such actions will alarm; but they will also hint at the fragility of Mr Kim’s position.
Regime collapse, in other words, becomes possible. Yet in even the least bloody scenario (Mr Kim seeks asylum in China and the army refuses to fight in his name), the challenge of stabilising the country will be immense, and fraught with tensions. Under UN auspices, American and South Korean forces would move in swiftly to secure the North’s vast arsenals of conventional and unconventional weapons against an unravelling chain of command, while also mounting a humanitarian effort to help a hungry and traumatised population. China would also want to pour troops across the border, seeking the creation of a buffer state friendly to its interests. Once the North was stabilised, South Korea would lead the North’s hugely costly reconstruction.
That’s the rosy picture. There are many grimmer ones. In 2007 it will be high time for North Korea’s neighbours and America to start talking about them.
Analysis: Pyongyang stonewalled on nukes, demanding the U.S. first end banking sanctions. In reality, North Korea holds most of the cardsBy SIMON ELEGANT/BEIJING
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The Nuke Talks: Tough Opening Bids
Posted Saturday, Dec. 23, 2006Here's a no-brainer prediction for 2007: North Korean negotiators will spend the year driving their American counterparts crazy. They will also manage to squeeze some concessions out of the U.S. while giving nothing substantial away themselves, and in the meantime continue developing an arsenal of nuclear weapons. That may sound a little pessimistic; after all, Pyongyang did return to the negotiating table this week after boycotting the talks or nearly a year. But after the resumed six-party talks aimed at bringing the North's nuclear program to an end concluded in Beijing, Friday, it was depressingly clear that Dear Leader Kim Jong-il is in no hurry to end his newly-minted membership in the nuclear club. Pyongyang's delegates refused to even discuss the nuclear program, instead insisting that the talks first solve the issue of some $24 million in North Korean funds that are frozen in a Macau bank account at Washington's behest. The North Koreans even threatened to raise the stakes: After five days of stonewalling, North Korean delegate Kim Kye Gwan told reporters that in response to Washington's "carrot and stick" approach, the North would adopt a "dialog and shield" approach, adding ominously that by "shield," Pyongyang meant that it would "further improve our deterrent." That was a code word for one thing that no one wants to see: a second, and likely bigger, nuclear test.
Last week's talks underlined the painful truth that, right now, Pyongyang is holding most of the cards. The two principals leading the talks with Pyongyang, Washington and Beijing, are seemingly hamstrung. China is scrambling to find a new approach to its wayward client after being blindsided by the North's nuclear test on October 9, which was undertaken despite a specific request for restraint from Chinese President Hu Jintao. Fearful that putting pressure on the North's fragile economy could lead to an implosion that would send hundreds of thousands of refugees streaming into China's north east, Beijing has hardly any room to maneuver. Presumably this will lead to closer cooperation with Washington, a trend foreshadowed by chief U.S. negotiator Christopher Hill, who was noticeably lavish with his praise of his Chinese counterparts.
But the U.S. also has few choices. Most analysts say that military action is not even a real option at this stage. Nor does dangling a carrot seem to be very effective. After adamantly refusing to consider concessions as a means to get Pyongyang to cooperate, Washington for the first time last week reportedly gave a written pledge not to attack North Korea and proffered a package of financial aid. But the North was having none of it.
By the end of the week the frustration was evidently getting to U.S. negotiator Christopher Hill. "One day it's financial issues," the assistant secretary of state was quoted as saying, "another day it's something they want but they know they can't have, another day it's something we said about them that hurt their feelings." Hill returned to the U.S. for the Christmas break Saturday, suggesting that talks might resume early in the new year. Let's hope he has a good rest — 2007 promises to be a long, long year.
Ahmadinejad suffers election blow
Ahmadinejad's confrontation with the West appears to have eroded his domestic constituency [EPA]
Final results announced by the interior ministry on Thursday show that the Iranian president's opponents have won last Friday's elections for local councils.
Moderate conservatives opposed to Mahmoud Ahmadinejad won a majority of the seats, followed by reformists, who were suppressed by ultra-conservatives loyal to Ahmadinejad in 2004.
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The vote is being seen as a sign of public discontent with Ahmadinejad's constant fights with the West which have led Iran closer to UN sanctions.
His anti-Israel rhetoric and unbending stand on the nuclear programme are believed to have divided Iranians who voted him into power last year.
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Some conservatives feel Ahmadinejad has spent too much time confronting the US and its allies and failed to deal with Iran's struggling economy.
Reformists' comeback
The voting also represented a partial comeback for reformists, who favour closer ties with the West and further loosening of social and political restrictions under the Islamic government.
Leading reformist Saeed Shariati said the results of the election was a "big no" to Ahmadinejad and his allies.
"People's vote means they don't support Ahmadinejad's policies and want change," Shariati, a leader of the Islamic Iran Participation Front, the country's largest reformist party, said on Thursday.
Shariati, whose party seeks democratic changes within Iran's ruling Islamic establishment and supports relations with the US, said: "We consider this government's policy to be against Iran's national interests and security. It is simply acting against Iran's interests."
Parallel election
Similar anti-Ahmadinejad sentiment was visible in the final results of a parallel election held to select members of the Assembly of Experts, a conservative body of 86 senior clerics that monitors Iran's supreme leader and chooses his successor.
A big boost for moderates within the ruling Islamic establishment was visible in the big number of votes for Hashemi Rafsanjani, who lost to Ahmadinejad in the 2005 presidential election run-off.
Rafsanjani, who supports dialogue with the US, received the most votes of any Tehran candidate to win re-election to the assembly.
Also re-elected was Hasan Rowhani, Iran's former top nuclear negotiator whom Ahmadinejad repeatedly accused of making too many concessions to the Europeans.
Mayoral poll
In Tehran, the capital, candidates supporting Mohammed Bagher Qalibaf, the city's moderate-conservative mayor, won seven of the 15 council seats.
Reformists won four, while Ahmadinejad's allies won three. The last seat went to Ali Reza Dabir, a wrestling champion who won a gold medal in the 2000 Sydney Olympics and is considered an independent.
Final results for the rest of the country also showed a heavy defeat for Ahmadinejad supporters, and analysts said his allies won less than 20 per cent of local council seats nationwide.
None of his candidates won seats on the councils in the cities of Shiraz, Bandar Abbas, Sari, Zanjan, Rasht, Islam, Sanandaj and Kerman. Many councils in other cities were divided along similar proportions as Tehran's.
Khatami's legacy
Iran started having council elections after a reform introduced in 1999 by Mohammed Khatami, the then president. More than 233,000 candidates ran for more than 113,000 council seats in cities, towns and villages across the vast nation on Friday.
All municipal council candidates, including some 5,000 women, were vetted by parliamentary committees dominated by ultra-conservatives. The committees disqualified about 10,000 nominees, reports said.
The election does not directly effect Ahmadinejad's administration and is not expected to bring immediate policy changes.
The local councils handle community matters in cities and town across the country. But it represented the first time the public has weighed in on Ahmadinejad's stormy presidency since he took office in June 2005.
Possible impact
The results are expected to pressure him to change his populist anti-Western tone and focus more on Iran's high unemployment and economic problems at home.
In an interview posted on December 19 the website of the Council on Foreign Relations, Ray Takeyh, the US think-tank's senior fellow for Middle East studies, says: "[Ahmadinejad] came into office pledging economic equality, economic justice, an end to corruption, a sort of chicken in every pot. And that has not come about, so there's a degree of disillusionment from the public that he's confronting today.
"... some of his core supporters in the lower-middle class and the working class are not that dissatisfied with him. It is the middle class that seems disenchanted.
"And also, not his conservatism per se, but his radicalism is beginning to rub people the wrong way. The confrontational rhetoric, the anti-Semitism and the opprobrium that he brings internationally to Iran is not something that's appreciated by the public."
"the president of Iran should remember that Iran can also be wiped off the map."
-Shimon Peres
In 2006, the world took heavy losses in the battle to stop the spread of nuclear weapons. For much of the year we watched the world focus on the nuclear weapon test from North Korea and the growing threat of a potential Iranian nuclear program. We also saw nations like Japan debating if they should acquire a nuclear weapon in response to North Korea. A growing list of countries including Australia, Saudi Arabia, Egypt and many others looked to increase or start programs related to nuclear energy. Pakistan and India both obtained nuclear weapons and as recent as this year continued to test missiles. Russia, France, UK and the United States all looked to upgrade their nuclear arsenals. China increased the budget of their military and it can be assumed have also continued to upgrade their nuclear arsenal and deterrent. Towards the end of the year, Prime Minister Ehud Omert started a fire storm when he appeared to admit Israel was a nuclear power. The statement led to Saudi Arabia and Iran calling for sanctions against Israel. The idea that Israel is allowed to maintain a policy of nuclear ambiguity is a slap in the face to the world and completely unacceptable. Without question, the world saw an expansion in nuclear countries and several setbacks in the non proliferation of nuclear weapons.
Sanctions have never really been effective in history when it comes to dismantling a nation with nuclear weapons. Pakistan and India both faced international pressure and sanctions for their nuclear programs and testing. Today Pakistan is considered a friend in the “War on Terror” and India just signed nuclear technology deals with both the United States and China. When Mordechai Vanunu proved to the world in 1986 that Israel had developed an illegal nuclear program, the world largely ignored it. Canada blocked a resolution this year at the UN aimed at disarming Israel’s nuclear weapons program with a “no action” motion. Following Olmert’s admission that Israel was in possession of nuclear arms, again the world was silent in addressing Iran, Saudi Arabia and Egypt’s call for a nuclear free middle east. Tony Blair also refused to reduce the British nuclear arsenal without other nuclear powers taking the same action. Following North Korea’s nuclear test and declaration as a nuclear power, China and South Korea blocked tough sanctions resulting in a slap on the wrist for the actions of Kim Jong Il. Six party talks have gotten absolutely no where and there is little potential that will change in the year ahead. Iran’s parliament passed a bill that would allow for leaders in Iran to pull out of the NPT treaty and reduce cooperation with inspectors. This path was paved by North Korea. China and Russia also blocked any serious sanctions against of Iran due to their economic and military interests in the nation. Should Iran acquire nuclear weapons, the expectation would be that minimal action would be taken at the end of the day. A nuclear armed Iran could also lead to a nuclear Egypt, Saudi Arabia, UAE, Taiwan, South Korea, Japan, Turkey and 20 other nations in the world. Clearly in 2006 we lost ground and went backwards on the fight to reduce and eliminate nuclear arms throughout the world.
In 2007 a new approach needs to be taken. A nuclear free Africa and South America is very good news and this pattern should be adapted elsewhere. If a settlement takes place with Kashmir, India and Pakistan should both set the example for the world and verifiably dismantle its nuclear weapons. The UK and France are also in a position to set the example for other members on the Security Council by agreeing to a nuclear free EU. As part of a settlement to the Middle East conflict, Israel and Iran should sign on to a nuclear free Middle East treaty and verifiably dismantle their nuclear weapon programs. China, Russia and the United States as the three leading superpowers should also take reciprocal actions through treaties to reduce nuclear weapons among themselves. The goal for stopping the spread of nuclear weapons must be all nations giving up their programs leading to a nuclear weapon free world, not the status quo of only some nations can have them while others cannot. For America to have any credibility in negotiations with Iran and North Korea, it needs to set the example. The double standards set with Israel, Pakistan, India and themselves is not unnoticed by Iran and North Korea and not justifiable by any standard. There needs to be a more aggressive attitude by citizens of the world and in nations with nuclear weapons to put pressure on their governments to disarm.
Heading into the new year and over the next decade, the treat of nuclear war has not been this high since the Cuban missile crisis. In the future a long term resource conflict between China, India, Russia and the United States could erupt if oil/water supplies are disrupted. Taking military action in Iran and Sudan would place drastic threats on China’s oil supply and fuel its rapidly growing economy. Increasing energy influence in Russia is feeding Putin turning the clock backwards on democracy, oppression of Chechnya and Soviet era diplomacy over Eastern Europe and elsewhere. Any US or Israeli military strike on Iran could escalate out of hand rapidly. Any military action on North Korea could result in a disaster for South Korea, Japan and elsewhere in the region. The further pursuit of nuclear weapons by rogue states, continue to threaten the world’s prosperity and security. The though of nuclear weapons in the hands of terrorists is unthinkable. It is time to begin the dialogue of a balanced worldwide dismantling of nuclear weapons and the motivation to attain them.
Next year the world will continue to focus on North Korea and the growing threat of Iran. In 2006 we went backwards in trying to disarm these countries. The cold war brought about great hope that the threat of nuclear war was behind us. Today the media needs to focus on other nuclear powers as well and place pressure on everyone in order to eliminate this man made threat to the human species and the planet. Today the idea seems unrealistic wishful thinking but tomorrow it could be a big opportunity missed. Double standard thinking will get us no where. Cluster bombs, landmines and nuclear bombs do not improve worldwide quality of life standards or promote international peace. It is time to wake up and do something!
Thanks for reading…
Darryl
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Canada blocks bid by Arab countries for vote Israel's nuclear capabilities
VIENNA, Austria (AP) - More than a dozen Arab countries were blocked by a Canadian motion in their bid to have a vote on a resolution labelling Israel's nuclear capabilities a threat on the final day of the International Atomic Energy Agency's annual meeting.
The draft resolution, which also called upon Israel to join the Nuclear Non-proliferation Treaty, was blocked from going to a vote Friday by the Canadian delegate.
The final session of the UN nuclear watchdog agency's weeklong meeting did adopt a separate, non-binding resolution calling on all Middle Eastern countries to accept IAEA safeguards and take steps toward the establishment of a nuclear weapons-free zone. Israel and the United States were the only two countries that voted against it. Three countries abstained.
The measure calling Israel's program a threat, which was co-sponsored by Iran, was kept from going to a vote after 45 countries backed a no-action motion by the Canadian delegate, effectively adjourning the debate Friday evening.
Among those supporting the effort to block the vote were the United States, Israel, France, Germany and Britain. Those abstaining included China, Russia and Nigeria, among others.
The 15 Arab countries behind the resolution, which would also have been non-binding, had hoped to send a signal to Israel following its monthlong war with Hezbollah, which killed hundreds of people - most of them civilians - in Lebanon.
"Peace and nuclear weapons are two enemies - there is no cohabitation," said Ramzy Ramzy, head of the Egyptian delegation to the meeting and his country's ambassador to Austria.
In co-sponsoring the resolution, Iran was also seeking to counter criticism of its own nuclear program, which the United States and others insist is aimed at the production of atomic weapons. Iran insists it only wants to generate power.
"Iran...has always called for establishing a Middle East free of weapons of mass destruction...It is of profound regret that this issue is trapped in a vicious cycle," said Ali Ashgar Soltanieh, Iran's ambassador to the IAEA.
Arab countries at the annual conference have regularly threatened to submit such a resolution but in past years have opted instead to voice their concerns about Israel's nuclear program through a statement from the conference president, which carries less weight than a resolution.
The last time such a resolution was submitted at the annual IAEA conference was in 1991. It passed.
Israel neither confirms nor denies its nuclear status but is considered to be the only country in the region with nuclear weapons. Israel does not accept IAEA controls on its nuclear activities.
Israel's ambassador to the IAEA said efforts to bring security to the Middle East should be focused on peace efforts, not necessarily arms control.
"The fundamental goal in the Middle East, as in other regions, is obtaining regional peace, security and stability, not arms control per se," Israel Michaeli said.
The draft resolution was submitted earlier this week by 15 countries: Algeria, Egypt, Iraq, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Libya, Morocco, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Sudan, Syria, Tunisia, the United Arab Emirates and Yemen.
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Olmert's nuclear remark draws fire
December 13, 2006
JERUSALEM -- Prime Minister Ehud Olmert spent Tuesday trying to put the nuclear genie back in the bottle, after a slip of the tongue in an interview was interpreted as confirming Israel has atomic weapons -- widely assumed to be true, but never officially acknowledged.
In an interview with a German television station broadcast Monday, Olmert appeared to list Israel among the world's nuclear powers.
Asked by the interviewer about Iran's calls for the destruction of Israel, Olmert replied that Israel has never threatened to annihilate anyone.
"Iran openly, explicitly and publicly threatens to wipe Israel off the map," Olmert said. "Can you say that this is the same level, when you are aspiring to have nuclear weapons, as America, France, Israel, Russia?"
Israel, which foreign experts say has the sixth-largest nuclear arsenal in the world, has stuck to a policy of ambiguity on nuclear weapons for decades, refusing to confirm or deny whether it has them.
Speaking in Germany, Olmert denied Tuesday that he had "outed" Israel's nuclear program.
"Israel has said many times -- and I also said this to German television in an interview -- that we will not be the first country that introduces nuclear weapons to the Middle East," Olmert said after meeting German Chancellor Angela Merkel. "That was our position, that is our position -- nothing has changed."
The comments came days after incoming Defense Secretary Robert Gates, in testimony to a Senate committee, identified Israel as a nuclear power.
With Olmert's comments featured on the front pages of all of Israel's major papers Tuesday and with political rivals calling for his resignation, aides to Olmert hurriedly said the remark had been misinterpreted.
Olmert spokeswoman Miri Eisin said the prime minister had been listing not nuclear states but "responsible nations."
The premier's office said the quote, made in English, was taken out of context, noting that in other parts of the interview, Olmert several times refused to confirm that Israel has nuclear weapons.
One newspaper wondered whether the list of countries raised the possibility the reference to "nuclear weapons" could apply to Iran, not the list including Israel -- but that grammatical nuance was lost on the rest of the Israeli media and political world.
Opposition lawmaker Yossi Beilin, head of the dovish Meretz party, criticized what he termed Olmert's "carelessness." Together with Olmert's perceived failures of leadership during the Lebanon war, Beilin said, "it might be an indication that he isn't fit to serve as prime minister."
Former Foreign Minister Silvan Shalom of the hard-line Likud, another opposition party, said the comment could hurt Israel's attempt to get the international community to prevent Iran from obtaining nuclear weapons.
Shalom said Olmert "gave tools" to Israel's enemies, allowing them to say, "Why are you dealing only with Iran while Israel is confirming that it has the same kind of weapons?"
A senior Arab official echoed that, calling for punishing Israel. Abdul Rahman al-Attiyah, secretary-general of the Gulf Cooperation Council, said, "The United States should not apply double standards since it calls for sanctions on countries that have nuclear programs that we have not ruled out are frameworks of nuclear weapons."
Defense analyst Amir Oren, writing in the Haaretz daily, gave Olmert backhand praise. "Thanks to him, there is no longer any need to rely on real or bogus 'foreign sources' when referring to Israel's nuclear potential," a longtime requirement from Israel's military censor.
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Iran can also be wiped off the map'
By NATHAN GUTTMAN AND NEWS AGENCIES
http://www.jpost.com/servlet/Satellite?pagename=JPost/JPArticle/ShowFull&cid=1145961301962
Vice Premier Shimon Peres said Monday that "the president of Iran should remember that Iran can also be wiped off the map."
"Teheran is making a mockery of the international community's efforts to solve the crisis surrounding Iran's nuclear program," Peres told Reuters, adding that "Iran presents a danger to the entire world, not just to us."
[For a Jerusalem Online video of events click here]
Peres's vehement expressions came the same day that Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad wrote to US President George W. Bush proposing "new solutions" to their differences in the first letter from an Iranian leader to an American president in 27 years, Iranian government spokesman Gholam-Hossein Elham said Monday.
In the letter, Ahmadinejad proposes "new solutions for getting out of international problems and current fragile situation of the world," Elham said.
Peres did not say who should act against Iran if it continues with its nuclear program, but implied military action should be led by the United States, pointing to the recent wars in Afghanistan and Iraq. Israeli officials have indicated that Israel would join any international operation against Iran.
Peres urged China and Russia to join Western efforts to impose sanctions on Iran. The two countries have been reluctant to back such proposals in the UN Security Council. If all world powers are united against Iran, military action can be avoided, Peres said.
"We can prevent all of this threat, without weapons, if there will be unity," Peres said, adding that the Security Council had to act on the matter. "If the crucial moment comes and they are incapable of taking [action] or making a policy...then they endanger their existence as an important world body," he said.
Ahmadinejad's letter may also contain ideas on how to resolve the conflict over Iran's nuclear ambitions. Yet neither Teheran nor Washington provided any information regarding the content of the letter or the proposals it contains.
Iran's top nuclear negotiator Ali Larijani said Monday that the Iranian president's letter to Bush could create a "new diplomatic opening," but also warned that the letter did not reflect a softening in Iran's position.
Larijani refused to give details of the letter's content, but said, "Perhaps it could lead to a new diplomatic opening. It needs to be given some time."
"There is a need to wait before disclosing the content of the letter, let it make its diplomatic way," Larijani said in an interview with Turkey's NTV television.
Larijani added, however, that the "tone of the letter is not something like softening."
He also warned against any US attack against Iran.
"If they have a little bit of a brain, they would not commit such a mistake," he said. "Iran is not Iraq. Iraq was a weak country, it did not have a legitimate government. Iran is a powerful country."
The White House announced late Monday afternoon that the letter of Iranian president Mahmuod Ahmadinejad has arrived. Spokesman Fredrick Jones said that the National Security Adviser Stephen Hadley would be the one in charge of examining the Iranian letter.
It is the first time that an Iranian president has written to his US counterpart since 1979, when the two countries broke relations after Iranian militants stormed the US Embassy and held the occupants hostage for more than a year.
The US sees the letter as no more than an attempt to influence world opinion on the eve of a United Nations Security Council new resolution regarding Iran. John Negroponte, the head of the US intelligence, said Monday that "certainly one of the hypotheses you'd have to examine is whether and in what way the timing of the dispatch of that letter is connected with trying in some manner to influence the debate before the Security Council."
Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice will discuss the Iranian nuclear project this week with foreign ministers of the five permanent members of the UN Security Council and Germany, known as the P5+Germany group.
The US is trying to form a broad coalition which will support a new UN resolution under Chapter 7 of the UN charter that would include the threat of sanctions against Iran if it does not comply with international demands regarding its nuclear project. China and Russia still oppose such a resolution and wish to maintain a non-sanction approach to Iran.
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http://www.jpost.com/servlet/Satellite?pagename=JPost/JPArticle/ShowFull&cid=1145961301962
Vice Premier Shimon Peres said Monday that "the president of Iran should remember that Iran can also be wiped off the map."
"Teheran is making a mockery of the international community's efforts to solve the crisis surrounding Iran's nuclear program," Peres told Reuters, adding that "Iran presents a danger to the entire world, not just to us."
[For a Jerusalem Online video of events click here]
Peres's vehement expressions came the same day that Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad wrote to US President George W. Bush proposing "new solutions" to their differences in the first letter from an Iranian leader to an American president in 27 years, Iranian government spokesman Gholam-Hossein Elham said Monday.
In the letter, Ahmadinejad proposes "new solutions for getting out of international problems and current fragile situation of the world," Elham said.
Peres did not say who should act against Iran if it continues with its nuclear program, but implied military action should be led by the United States, pointing to the recent wars in Afghanistan and Iraq. Israeli officials have indicated that Israel would join any international operation against Iran.
Peres urged China and Russia to join Western efforts to impose sanctions on Iran. The two countries have been reluctant to back such proposals in the UN Security Council. If all world powers are united against Iran, military action can be avoided, Peres said.
"We can prevent all of this threat, without weapons, if there will be unity," Peres said, adding that the Security Council had to act on the matter. "If the crucial moment comes and they are incapable of taking [action] or making a policy...then they endanger their existence as an important world body," he said.
Ahmadinejad's letter may also contain ideas on how to resolve the conflict over Iran's nuclear ambitions. Yet neither Teheran nor Washington provided any information regarding the content of the letter or the proposals it contains.
Iran's top nuclear negotiator Ali Larijani said Monday that the Iranian president's letter to Bush could create a "new diplomatic opening," but also warned that the letter did not reflect a softening in Iran's position.
Larijani refused to give details of the letter's content, but said, "Perhaps it could lead to a new diplomatic opening. It needs to be given some time."
"There is a need to wait before disclosing the content of the letter, let it make its diplomatic way," Larijani said in an interview with Turkey's NTV television.
Larijani added, however, that the "tone of the letter is not something like softening."
He also warned against any US attack against Iran.
"If they have a little bit of a brain, they would not commit such a mistake," he said. "Iran is not Iraq. Iraq was a weak country, it did not have a legitimate government. Iran is a powerful country."
The White House announced late Monday afternoon that the letter of Iranian president Mahmuod Ahmadinejad has arrived. Spokesman Fredrick Jones said that the National Security Adviser Stephen Hadley would be the one in charge of examining the Iranian letter.
It is the first time that an Iranian president has written to his US counterpart since 1979, when the two countries broke relations after Iranian militants stormed the US Embassy and held the occupants hostage for more than a year.
The US sees the letter as no more than an attempt to influence world opinion on the eve of a United Nations Security Council new resolution regarding Iran. John Negroponte, the head of the US intelligence, said Monday that "certainly one of the hypotheses you'd have to examine is whether and in what way the timing of the dispatch of that letter is connected with trying in some manner to influence the debate before the Security Council."
Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice will discuss the Iranian nuclear project this week with foreign ministers of the five permanent members of the UN Security Council and Germany, known as the P5+Germany group.
The US is trying to form a broad coalition which will support a new UN resolution under Chapter 7 of the UN charter that would include the threat of sanctions against Iran if it does not comply with international demands regarding its nuclear project. China and Russia still oppose such a resolution and wish to maintain a non-sanction approach to Iran.
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Iran demands UNSC condemn Israel
By ASSOCIATED PRESS
Iran demanded Tuesday that the UN Security Council condemn what it said was Israel's clandestine development and possession of nuclear weapons and "compel" it to abandon nuclear arms and place all its nuclear facilities under UN inspection.
If Israel refuses to comply, Iran said the council must take "resolute action" under Chapter 7 of the UN Charter, which authorizes a range of measures from diplomatic and economic sanctions to military action.
Iran insists its own nuclear program is purely peaceful to develop nuclear energy, but the United States and many European nations believe Tehran's real aim in enriching uranium is to produce nuclear weapons. The Security Council is currently debating a resolution that would impose sanctions on Iran for refusing to suspend its enrichment program.
Iran's UN Ambassador, Javad Zarif, said in identical letters to the council and the secretary-general that the council's actions would show whether it was acting under the UN Charter or as "a tool" for a few permanent members who have encouraged Israel "to persist in its lawless behavior with impunity."
The reference appeared aimed at the United States, Israel's closest ally, which would almost certainly veto any council resolution on Israel's nuclear program.
Zarif said Israel was the only obstacle to establishing a nuclear weapons-free zone in the Middle East.
"Peace and stability cannot be achieved in the Middle East while the massive Israeli nuclear arsenal continues to threaten the region and beyond," he said.
Zarif said Prime Minister Ehud Olmert's recent comments in a German television interview constituted not only a public admission of the country's nuclear weapons but a public boast of how dangerous they are.
Israel has a long-standing policy of ambiguity on nuclear weapons, refusing to confirm or deny whether it has them. But in the German TV interview broadcast Dec. 12, Olmert listed Israel among countries that possess nuclear weapons.
Olmert's comments _- which his office said were misinterpreted - came days after Robert Gates, who took over Monday as US. defense secretary, said in testimony to a Senate committee that Israel was a member of the club of nuclear-armed nations.
The prime minister's remarks were in response to a question about Iran's threat to destroy Israel.
Olmert said Israel has never threatened to annihilate anyone and added: "Iran openly, explicitly and publicly threatens to wipe Israel off the map. Can you say that this is the same level, when you are aspiring to have nuclear weapons, as America, France, Israel, Russia?"
Israel's UN Mission had no immediate comment on Zarif's letters.
The Iranian ambassador insisted in the letters, obtained by the Associated Press, that Olmert's comments were a clear admission that Israel possessed nuclear weapons in violation of international law, the UN Charter and numerous Security Council and General Assembly resolutions.
"Nuclear weapons in the hands of a regime with an unparalleled record of noncompliance with Security Council resolutions and a long and dark catalogue of crimes and atrocities such as occupation, aggression, militarism, state-terrorism, and crimes against humanity, poses a uniquely grave threat to regional as well as international peace and security," Zarif claimed.
He called on the council to fulfill its responsibility under the UN. Charter "to address such a clear and serious threat to international peace and security."
"The council should ... condemn Israeli regime's clandestine development and possession of nuclear weapons, compel it to abandon nuclear weapons, (and) urge it to accede" to the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty, Zarif said. It should also demand that all of Israel's nuclear facilities be subject to inspection by the International Atomic Energy Agency and be placed under its safeguards program.
"Should the Israeli regime fail to do so, the council must take resolute action under Chapter 7 of the Charter to ensure compliance," he said.
Iran demanded Tuesday that the UN Security Council condemn what it said was Israel's clandestine development and possession of nuclear weapons and "compel" it to abandon nuclear arms and place all its nuclear facilities under UN inspection.
If Israel refuses to comply, Iran said the council must take "resolute action" under Chapter 7 of the UN Charter, which authorizes a range of measures from diplomatic and economic sanctions to military action.
Iran insists its own nuclear program is purely peaceful to develop nuclear energy, but the United States and many European nations believe Tehran's real aim in enriching uranium is to produce nuclear weapons. The Security Council is currently debating a resolution that would impose sanctions on Iran for refusing to suspend its enrichment program.
Iran's UN Ambassador, Javad Zarif, said in identical letters to the council and the secretary-general that the council's actions would show whether it was acting under the UN Charter or as "a tool" for a few permanent members who have encouraged Israel "to persist in its lawless behavior with impunity."
The reference appeared aimed at the United States, Israel's closest ally, which would almost certainly veto any council resolution on Israel's nuclear program.
Zarif said Israel was the only obstacle to establishing a nuclear weapons-free zone in the Middle East.
"Peace and stability cannot be achieved in the Middle East while the massive Israeli nuclear arsenal continues to threaten the region and beyond," he said.
Zarif said Prime Minister Ehud Olmert's recent comments in a German television interview constituted not only a public admission of the country's nuclear weapons but a public boast of how dangerous they are.
Israel has a long-standing policy of ambiguity on nuclear weapons, refusing to confirm or deny whether it has them. But in the German TV interview broadcast Dec. 12, Olmert listed Israel among countries that possess nuclear weapons.
Olmert's comments _- which his office said were misinterpreted - came days after Robert Gates, who took over Monday as US. defense secretary, said in testimony to a Senate committee that Israel was a member of the club of nuclear-armed nations.
The prime minister's remarks were in response to a question about Iran's threat to destroy Israel.
Olmert said Israel has never threatened to annihilate anyone and added: "Iran openly, explicitly and publicly threatens to wipe Israel off the map. Can you say that this is the same level, when you are aspiring to have nuclear weapons, as America, France, Israel, Russia?"
Israel's UN Mission had no immediate comment on Zarif's letters.
The Iranian ambassador insisted in the letters, obtained by the Associated Press, that Olmert's comments were a clear admission that Israel possessed nuclear weapons in violation of international law, the UN Charter and numerous Security Council and General Assembly resolutions.
"Nuclear weapons in the hands of a regime with an unparalleled record of noncompliance with Security Council resolutions and a long and dark catalogue of crimes and atrocities such as occupation, aggression, militarism, state-terrorism, and crimes against humanity, poses a uniquely grave threat to regional as well as international peace and security," Zarif claimed.
He called on the council to fulfill its responsibility under the UN. Charter "to address such a clear and serious threat to international peace and security."
"The council should ... condemn Israeli regime's clandestine development and possession of nuclear weapons, compel it to abandon nuclear weapons, (and) urge it to accede" to the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty, Zarif said. It should also demand that all of Israel's nuclear facilities be subject to inspection by the International Atomic Energy Agency and be placed under its safeguards program.
"Should the Israeli regime fail to do so, the council must take resolute action under Chapter 7 of the Charter to ensure compliance," he said.
*********************
Iran acts over Israeli nukes
The request comes while the Security Council debates imposing sanctions on Iran [GALLO/GETTY]
Iran has called for the UN Security Council to compel Israel to give up its nuclear weapons.
The request, made on Tuesday in a letter to the Security Council, comes after Ehud Olmert, the Israeli prime minister, appeared to admit in a TV interview that Israel had nuclear weapons.
Javad Zarif, Iran's UN ambassador, said that Olmert's comments had "removed any excuse - if there ever were any - for continued inaction by the council in the face of this actual threat to international peace and security".
He said the council should "compel it [Israel] to abandon nuclear weapons, urge it to accede to the NPT [nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty] without delay and demand this regime to place promptly all its nuclear facilities under IAEA [International Atomic Energy Agency] full-scope safeguards".
The letter marks the first formal call for action to be taken against Israel and comes at a time when the Security Council is debating imposing sanctions on Iran in an attempt to halt the country's own nuclear programme.
Many have criticised the West as working under a double standard in pressing Iran to suspend its nuclear activities while ignoring Israeli weapons.
Hans Blix, former head of the IAEA, said last June that Israel is thought to have about 200 nuclear weapons.
"They are aspiring to have nuclear weapons, as America, France, Israel, Russia"
Ehud Olmet, Israeli prime minister
In his interview, broadcast in Israel on Channel 10, Olmert said: "Iran, openly, explicitly and publicly threatens to wipe Israel off the map. Can you say that this is the same level, when they are aspiring to have nuclear weapons, as America, France, Israel, Russia?"
Israel has never formally acknowledged that it has nuclear weapons and has not a signed up to the NPT.
Iran, which has signed the NPT, says that its nuclear programme is for civilian purposes and will not be used to make nuclear weapons.
Russia's foreign minister said on Wednesday that Western powers were trying to punish Iran in the UN Security Council draft resolution on the Islamic republic's nuclear programme.
Sergei Lavrov, referring to the Europeans and the United States, said a proposed travel ban on Iranian officials "is in our view an attempt to bring an element of punishment and we agreed from the start not to do that".
"Our partners ... are trying to turn the situation around in their favour by inserting into the resolution statements which would de facto lift all limits on the restraints that are being introduced in Iran and will sever ... trade-economic ties with Iran in completely legitimate areas," he told a news conference.
Earlier, at the UN, Britain and France, which drafted the text along with Germany, decided to distribute the measure to the council so the 15 members could prepare for a vote
*************************
Gulf group calls for nuclear sanctions on Israel
By AP AND JPOST.COM STAFFKUWAIT CITY
The chief of the organization grouping Arab Gulf countries urged the United States and the international community on Tuesday to press for sanctions on Israel for its nuclear program.
Abdul Rahman al-Attiyah, secretary-general of the Gulf Cooperation Council, said, "The United States should not apply double standards since it calls for sanctions on countries that have nuclear programs that we have not ruled out are framework of nuclear weapons."
Al-Attiyah's comments followed Prime Minister Ehud Olmert's comments on Monday night during an interview with a German television station during which he argued that a nuclear Israel did not pose the same threat as a nuclear Iran.
The US should "seek the implementation of international resolutions, international laws and Chapter 7," Al-Attiyah added, referring to the section of the United Nation's charter that provides for imposing sanctions.
Al-Attiyah, a Qatari diplomat, spoke to journalists along the sidelines of the conference in Kuwait to enhance cooperation between the oil-rich Gulf states and NATO.
Al-Attiyah said, "I believe it is time now for the international community to see that peace and security are now threatened by this announcement."
The NATO meeting follows a summit by the GCC, which groups Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, the United Arab Emirates, Qatar and Oman, that ended Sunday.
Gulf countries have expressed safety concerns about Iran's nuclear program. They are also said to be worried that as host to US military bases they would be on the front line of any Iranian reprisals if the US attacked Iran over its nuclear program.
Most other Arab countries have maintained a diplomatic silence over Iran's program, calling instead for a Middle East free of weapons of mass destruction - pointed reference to Israel's presumed nuclear weapons' capabilities.
The chief of the organization grouping Arab Gulf countries urged the United States and the international community on Tuesday to press for sanctions on Israel for its nuclear program.
Abdul Rahman al-Attiyah, secretary-general of the Gulf Cooperation Council, said, "The United States should not apply double standards since it calls for sanctions on countries that have nuclear programs that we have not ruled out are framework of nuclear weapons."
Al-Attiyah's comments followed Prime Minister Ehud Olmert's comments on Monday night during an interview with a German television station during which he argued that a nuclear Israel did not pose the same threat as a nuclear Iran.
The US should "seek the implementation of international resolutions, international laws and Chapter 7," Al-Attiyah added, referring to the section of the United Nation's charter that provides for imposing sanctions.
Al-Attiyah, a Qatari diplomat, spoke to journalists along the sidelines of the conference in Kuwait to enhance cooperation between the oil-rich Gulf states and NATO.
Al-Attiyah said, "I believe it is time now for the international community to see that peace and security are now threatened by this announcement."
The NATO meeting follows a summit by the GCC, which groups Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, the United Arab Emirates, Qatar and Oman, that ended Sunday.
Gulf countries have expressed safety concerns about Iran's nuclear program. They are also said to be worried that as host to US military bases they would be on the front line of any Iranian reprisals if the US attacked Iran over its nuclear program.
Most other Arab countries have maintained a diplomatic silence over Iran's program, calling instead for a Middle East free of weapons of mass destruction - pointed reference to Israel's presumed nuclear weapons' capabilities.
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Power politics
Dec 29th 2006
An assertive Russia will flex its energy muscles next year
Dec 29th 2006
An assertive Russia will flex its energy muscles next year
A NEW power struggle between an increasingly assertive Russia (rich in oil and gas) and a weak-willed West will start in earnest in 2007. The big battleground will be energy.
Poland and its allies in the Baltic states will try to diversify their energy supplies, by agreeing to build a new nuclear power station at Ignalina in Lithuania, hooking up their electricity networks and accelerating their plans for a terminal on Poland’s northern coast to import liquefied natural gas. But Russia will find this little obstacle. Its cash-rich energy firms will step up their purchases of downstream firms in Europe.
Even ex-communist countries will be signing up for special deals with Russia. Hungary will increase its dependence on Russian gas; as an austerity programme bites into living standards and employment, cheap gas will be a useful lubricant. It will be a similar story with the leftist-nationalist government in Slovakia, which will face sharp disapproval from its west European neighbours because of its increasingly harsh treatment of minorities and its authoritarian ways. Friendly ties with Russia will be a welcome balance.
Farther east, Russian companies will continue to gobble up the energy infrastructure in chaotic Ukraine. In Belarus, rows with the Kremlin over energy are the most likely source of trouble for the regime of the eccentric autocrat, Alyaksandr Lukashenka.
The Kremlin’s energy clout and cash pile spell doom in 2007 for plans to build new pipelines bringing non-Russian gas to Europe. Nabucco, a trans-Balkan pipeline which aims to bring Middle Eastern and Central Asian gas to Europe via Turkey’s excellent gas infrastructure, will be at the heart of the power struggle. The EU counts this as one of its top energy priorities. But without individual customers willing to sign up, and pay up, for its construction, buying more Russian gas through existing pipelines will seem an easier and cheaper option. In 2007 Nabucco will be forced to accept Russian involvement, including a hook-up to the underused Blue Stream pipeline that links Russia and Turkey.
Russia will develop its energy muscles in 2007. But it will flex them selectively. The Kremlin is keen to be seen as a reliable partner, playing by market rules. Those customers that pay on time will receive prompt deliveries. But countries and companies that challenge Russian energy hegemony will face short shrift.
Poland’s PKN Orlen, for example, which will complete its $3 billion acquisition of Lithuania’s clapped-out Mazeikiai refinery in 2007, will find itself facing a gale of financial and commercial pressure. Oil supplies from the Russian-controlled pipeline to the refinery will be erratic. The resulting fluctuations in its share price will be an excellent opportunity for Russian insider traders to make a killing—and build up their stake in the company. By the end of 2007, PKN Orlen will be trying to sell Mazeikiai, to Russian bidders. In next-door Latvia, Russia will continue to block oil transit to that country’s Ventspils terminal, again with the same end in view: acquisition of energy infrastructure at a bargain price.
Europe will also find that some of its alternative oil and gas suppliers will come into Russia’s orbit. A multi-billion-dollar arms deal with Algeria, and joint ventures in extraction and marketing, will underline Russia’s return as a major power.
That may dismay east Europeans, but Russia’s resurgence will bring juicy profits to financiers in London. Russian energy IPOs will be one of 2007’s most lively financial stories. Regulatory worries will be brushed aside. The profits will win Russia respectability—and influence. If a former German chancellor, Gerhard Schröder, can accept a well-paid directorship from a Russian-backed joint venture, why should other politicians and officials hold back?
America will worry more about Europe’s energy security in 2007. It successfully promoted the Baku-Ceyhan oil pipeline (which came onstream in the middle of 2006, connecting Azerbaijan and Turkey via Georgia); by early 2007 the gas pipeline from Baku to Erzurum in Turkey will be functioning too. But these will prove mere pinpricks in Russia’s advance.
The mood in the former satellite countries of eastern Europe is bleak. Where energy dominance is assured, political clout necessarily follows. Europe’s uneasy and reluctant adaptation to the new realities of energy politics will continue. Two decades after the Kremlin started beating the retreat from the Soviet empire, a new hegemony, based on pipelines rather than tanks, is advancing—and shows every sign of proving durable.
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After the Bouffant of Pyongyang
Dominic Ziegler SEOUL
Dominic Ziegler SEOUL
From The World in 2007 print editionIt is time to plan for the unthinkable: the collapse of North Korea
Reuters
The headache that is a nuclear North Korea is about to get worse. After its first nuclear test in October 2006, the regime of Kim Jong Il was hit with UN-sponsored moves that tightened financial sanctions, banned imports of luxury goods (the Kim regime had been the biggest customer for Hennessy’s top cognac) and strengthened surveillance of North Korea’s dealings in weapons-related material.
This policy of “malign neglect” is also an admission of impotence, which Mr Kim will now attempt to exploit—for instance, by agreeing to return to talks about dismantling its nuclear capability. Even so, the humiliation that China will suffer from being unable to influence its neighbour will lead it to tear up a friendship treaty with North Korea that dates from after the Korean war half a century ago. International pressure will grow for China to block the regime’s funds in Chinese banks. But for fear of chaos along its north-eastern border, China will not lightly cut off all the supplies of food and oil on which this miserable country depends.
Japan’s hard line against North Korea—including a total ban on imports—will give its new prime minister, Shinzo Abe, authority at home. But in South Korea, figuring out how to deal with Mr Kim will discredit the final year in office of President Roh Moo-hyun. While cutting humanitarian aid to the North, Mr Roh will cling to the only fruits of ten years of “sunshine policy”: the Kaesong industrial zone and the Mount Kumgang tourist enclave. Both provide hard currency for Mr Kim.
With hostility abroad and doubts about loyalty at home, Mr Kim, who may not be healthy, will become increasingly unpredictable
As for the United States, Mr Kim’s defiance buries President George Bush’s liberation theology, first articulated in his “axis of evil” speech in 2002. Military retaliation is out of the question: America cannot risk provoking the North to unleash its huge conventional forces against South Korea; besides, it does not even know where all of Mr Kim’s underground nuclear facilities are.
So the United States will grudgingly accept North Korea as a nuclear power. (After all, Mr Kim would never do anything so suicidal as actually threaten to use his new weapons, would he?) It will satisfy itself with the narrower goal of limiting North Korea’s ability to spread nuclear technology or other unconventional weapons. Here, policing North Korea’s proliferation will prove quite effective, confounding sceptics.
Yet those who argue that this will keep Mr Kim in his box will get a shock. Proliferation was never Mr Kim’s chief aim, which has been to reshape the environment on the Korean peninsula in a way that allows him and his family to survive. Acquiring nuclear capability was central to this aim. So, too, is putting the interests of the army above everything else—including the economy and North Korea’s brutalised people.
This is also Mr Kim’s weak point, however. In the coming year, financial sanctions will hit hard, denying him the funds to keep the regime sweet, the army in particular. After floods last summer, food shortages will spread even to parts of the army, and disaffected army units will for the first time join a growing number of refugees escaping into China. Reports will reach Mr Kim of local baronies flouting central rule.
With hostility abroad and doubts about loyalty at home, Mr Kim, who may not be healthy, will become increasingly unpredictable. Since the alternative to ruling North Korea is not a cosy retirement in Gstaad, the tyrant’s actions will become irrational, within his frame of reference. He could loose off missiles, or threaten nuclear war. He could put his special forces on a war footing. Such actions will alarm; but they will also hint at the fragility of Mr Kim’s position.
Regime collapse, in other words, becomes possible. Yet in even the least bloody scenario (Mr Kim seeks asylum in China and the army refuses to fight in his name), the challenge of stabilising the country will be immense, and fraught with tensions. Under UN auspices, American and South Korean forces would move in swiftly to secure the North’s vast arsenals of conventional and unconventional weapons against an unravelling chain of command, while also mounting a humanitarian effort to help a hungry and traumatised population. China would also want to pour troops across the border, seeking the creation of a buffer state friendly to its interests. Once the North was stabilised, South Korea would lead the North’s hugely costly reconstruction.
That’s the rosy picture. There are many grimmer ones. In 2007 it will be high time for North Korea’s neighbours and America to start talking about them.
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Egypt slams Ahmadinejad for nuclear claims
By ASSOCIATED PRESSCAIRO, Egypt
Egypt's foreign minister on Monday rebuked Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad for boasting that his country had turned nuclear, saying such language should be used by only those who have the nuclear bomb.
The rebuke fits with the increasing unease in the Arab world about Iran's influence in Iraq and its potential for stirring up tension between Shi'ite and Sunni Muslims.
Reacting to the UN Security Council resolution that imposed limited sanctions on Iran for its refusal to cease uranium enrichment, President Ahmadinejad told a gathering in Teheran on Sunday that, whether the world liked it or not, "Iran is a nuclear country."
Egyptian Foreign Minister Ahmed Aboul Gheit disputed this on Monday, saying in a statement that "the possession by some countries of peaceful nuclear technology, or some of stages of the nuclear cycle, or carrying out some peaceful nuclear activities, does not mean by any means that it can call itself a nuclear state."
"Nuclear states are only those that have military nuclear capabilities," Aboul Gheit added.
Iran has consistently denied that it seeks to build an atomic bomb, saying it aims to produce only electrical power from nuclear sources.
The United States and some allies have accused Iran of using a civilian nuclear program as a cover for acquiring nuclear weapons. Enriched uranium, which Iran insists on producing, can be used as fuel for nuclear reactors or as material for atomic weapons.
Iran's declaring itself a nuclear power undermines Egypt's campaign to get the whole Middle East declared a zone free of nuclear weapons. At the moment Israel is regarded as the one Middle Eastern state with a nuclear arsenal.
Egypt, together with Jordan and Saudi Arabia, has voiced concern about Iran's growing influence in Iraq. Both countries have Shi'ite Muslim majorities. The Shi'ites political success in Iraq - where they now lead the government - is seen as emboldening Shi'ite communities in other parts of the Arab world.
Egypt's foreign minister on Monday rebuked Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad for boasting that his country had turned nuclear, saying such language should be used by only those who have the nuclear bomb.
The rebuke fits with the increasing unease in the Arab world about Iran's influence in Iraq and its potential for stirring up tension between Shi'ite and Sunni Muslims.
Reacting to the UN Security Council resolution that imposed limited sanctions on Iran for its refusal to cease uranium enrichment, President Ahmadinejad told a gathering in Teheran on Sunday that, whether the world liked it or not, "Iran is a nuclear country."
Egyptian Foreign Minister Ahmed Aboul Gheit disputed this on Monday, saying in a statement that "the possession by some countries of peaceful nuclear technology, or some of stages of the nuclear cycle, or carrying out some peaceful nuclear activities, does not mean by any means that it can call itself a nuclear state."
"Nuclear states are only those that have military nuclear capabilities," Aboul Gheit added.
Iran has consistently denied that it seeks to build an atomic bomb, saying it aims to produce only electrical power from nuclear sources.
The United States and some allies have accused Iran of using a civilian nuclear program as a cover for acquiring nuclear weapons. Enriched uranium, which Iran insists on producing, can be used as fuel for nuclear reactors or as material for atomic weapons.
Iran's declaring itself a nuclear power undermines Egypt's campaign to get the whole Middle East declared a zone free of nuclear weapons. At the moment Israel is regarded as the one Middle Eastern state with a nuclear arsenal.
Egypt, together with Jordan and Saudi Arabia, has voiced concern about Iran's growing influence in Iraq. Both countries have Shi'ite Muslim majorities. The Shi'ites political success in Iraq - where they now lead the government - is seen as emboldening Shi'ite communities in other parts of the Arab world.
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A Setback for Ahmadinejad
The rejection of his candidates in municipal elections highlights the domestic weaknesses of Iran's fiery presidentBy SCOTT MACLEOD/TEHRAN
SUBSCRIBE TO TIMEPRINTE-MAILMORE BY AUTHOR
Q&A: Ahmadinejad Talks With TIME
Analysis: Behind the Rise of the Shi'ites
Photo Essay: An Iranian Paradox
Posted Tuesday, Dec. 19, 2006The latest events in Iran could spell trouble for President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad's hold on power. During a speech to students at Tehran's Amir Khabir University, hecklers shouted "Death to the dictator!" and burned his photograph in effigy. Then, voters in municipal elections held nationwide on Friday rejected candidates he supported in favor of hopefuls backed by pragmatic conservatives and reformists. Both developments illustrate that while Ahmadinejad's radical, assertive policies have made him a formidable global figure, he still has a long way to go in consolidating his influence at home.
A natural-born populist, Ahmadinejad cleverly expanded his support base after his election last year by turning Iran's quest to become a nuclear power into a nationalist cause. His outspoken defense of Palestinian rights, threat to wipe Israel off the map and questioning of the Jewish Holocaust have likewise made him a hero in much of the Muslim world. Coming at a time of dwindling American influence in Iraq and throughout the Middle East, Ahmadinejad's leadership is an emblem of a resurgent Iran that is assuming a role as a major regional power. Until now, his assertiveness has enabled him to set the agenda within a political system where foreign policy had been mainly in the hands of Supreme Leader Ayatullah Ali Khamenei and his Supreme National Security Council. When council head Ali Larijani recently seemed to indicate a willingness to freeze uranium enrichment in negotiations with European countries, Ahmadinejad quickly shot him down, publicly declaring that Iran would never take such a step.
However, the events of the last few days have starkly exposed the limits of Ahmadinejad's influence. He started out his presidency under a political cloud; his upset election victory was not really as impressive as it looked. He received only 5.7 million votes, enough to place second, but far fewer than the 20 million-plus his reformist predecessor Mohammed Khatami received in sweeping to first-round victories in 1997 and 2001. Ahmadinejad went on to win the run-off, but he benefited mainly from the massive protest vote cast against his opponent, former President Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani.
Ahmadinejad's loyalists come from the regime's powerful core institutions, from groups like the Revolutionary Guards Corps and the basij, a vast paramilitary network of students and other mostly young Iranians. Beyond that, he has indeed attracted strong support from nationalists for his defiance of the West and underprivileged Iranians who hope to benefit from his promise to spread the country's oil wealth around more evenly. But there are doubts about how long he can sustain that broader support. Less than halfway into his four-year term, many Iranians are griping about rising inflation and the economic and political risks in isolating Iran from the West. Both the protests and the election results show that Iranians are more interested in what Ahmadinejad does for their stomachs, even though their hearts are tugged by his populist appeal on issues like nuclear power and the Palestinians.
Ahmadinejad's biggest problem down the road may be the desire of Iran's political establishment to prove his 2005 election a fluke. Ahmadinejad's moves to shut them out of power — even kicking Khatami out of a courtesy office within the presidential compound — have made conservatives and reformists alike determined to get their revenge. One senior conservative leader, who did not want to be identified, even predicted in a TIME interview that the Iranian parliament would oust Ahmadinejad before the end of his term in 2009. "Most of the decision makers and the elite are against him," he said with a disdainful look. "If he becomes less popular, even the Supreme Leader will withdraw his support." That is doubtful, given Ahmadinejad's closeness to Khamenei. But the senior conservative leader's remarks point to the tough fight ahead for Ahmadinejad's political future.
The rejection of his candidates in municipal elections highlights the domestic weaknesses of Iran's fiery presidentBy SCOTT MACLEOD/TEHRAN
SUBSCRIBE TO TIMEPRINTE-MAILMORE BY AUTHOR
Q&A: Ahmadinejad Talks With TIME
Analysis: Behind the Rise of the Shi'ites
Photo Essay: An Iranian Paradox
Posted Tuesday, Dec. 19, 2006The latest events in Iran could spell trouble for President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad's hold on power. During a speech to students at Tehran's Amir Khabir University, hecklers shouted "Death to the dictator!" and burned his photograph in effigy. Then, voters in municipal elections held nationwide on Friday rejected candidates he supported in favor of hopefuls backed by pragmatic conservatives and reformists. Both developments illustrate that while Ahmadinejad's radical, assertive policies have made him a formidable global figure, he still has a long way to go in consolidating his influence at home.
A natural-born populist, Ahmadinejad cleverly expanded his support base after his election last year by turning Iran's quest to become a nuclear power into a nationalist cause. His outspoken defense of Palestinian rights, threat to wipe Israel off the map and questioning of the Jewish Holocaust have likewise made him a hero in much of the Muslim world. Coming at a time of dwindling American influence in Iraq and throughout the Middle East, Ahmadinejad's leadership is an emblem of a resurgent Iran that is assuming a role as a major regional power. Until now, his assertiveness has enabled him to set the agenda within a political system where foreign policy had been mainly in the hands of Supreme Leader Ayatullah Ali Khamenei and his Supreme National Security Council. When council head Ali Larijani recently seemed to indicate a willingness to freeze uranium enrichment in negotiations with European countries, Ahmadinejad quickly shot him down, publicly declaring that Iran would never take such a step.
However, the events of the last few days have starkly exposed the limits of Ahmadinejad's influence. He started out his presidency under a political cloud; his upset election victory was not really as impressive as it looked. He received only 5.7 million votes, enough to place second, but far fewer than the 20 million-plus his reformist predecessor Mohammed Khatami received in sweeping to first-round victories in 1997 and 2001. Ahmadinejad went on to win the run-off, but he benefited mainly from the massive protest vote cast against his opponent, former President Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani.
Ahmadinejad's loyalists come from the regime's powerful core institutions, from groups like the Revolutionary Guards Corps and the basij, a vast paramilitary network of students and other mostly young Iranians. Beyond that, he has indeed attracted strong support from nationalists for his defiance of the West and underprivileged Iranians who hope to benefit from his promise to spread the country's oil wealth around more evenly. But there are doubts about how long he can sustain that broader support. Less than halfway into his four-year term, many Iranians are griping about rising inflation and the economic and political risks in isolating Iran from the West. Both the protests and the election results show that Iranians are more interested in what Ahmadinejad does for their stomachs, even though their hearts are tugged by his populist appeal on issues like nuclear power and the Palestinians.
Ahmadinejad's biggest problem down the road may be the desire of Iran's political establishment to prove his 2005 election a fluke. Ahmadinejad's moves to shut them out of power — even kicking Khatami out of a courtesy office within the presidential compound — have made conservatives and reformists alike determined to get their revenge. One senior conservative leader, who did not want to be identified, even predicted in a TIME interview that the Iranian parliament would oust Ahmadinejad before the end of his term in 2009. "Most of the decision makers and the elite are against him," he said with a disdainful look. "If he becomes less popular, even the Supreme Leader will withdraw his support." That is doubtful, given Ahmadinejad's closeness to Khamenei. But the senior conservative leader's remarks point to the tough fight ahead for Ahmadinejad's political future.
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N. Korean leader vows harsh response to sanctionsBy ASSOCIATED PRESSSEOUL, South Korea
The North Korean army's chief of staff vowed Saturday to take strong countermeasures against US sanctions, the North's media said, after disarmament talks on the North's nuclear weapons program ended without any breakthrough.
Kim Yong Chun accused the United States of demanding that North Korea unilaterally end its nuclear program while refusing to lift financial restrictions the US imposed on the regime over its alleged money laundering and counterfeiting of $100 bills.
The nuclear talks - held in Beijing this week after a 13-month break due to a North Korean boycott over the US sanctions - ended Friday without an agreement to move ahead on the North's nuclear disarmament. Last year, the North pledged to disarm in exchange for security guarantees and aid.
Negotiators said the North Koreans refused to talk about their nuclear weapons program until the US lifts its financial restrictions.
"Sanctions and pressure will never work on us. If hostile forces continue to strengthen the maneuver of sanctions and pressure, we will sternly cope with stronger countermeasures," Kim in a speech to thousands of top government and military officials in Pyongyang, North Korea's capital.
Kim didn't elaborate on what he meant by stronger countermeasures in the speech, broadcast on North Korean Central TV.
North Korean nuclear envoy Kim Kye Gwan said Friday that his country would bolster its atomic arsenal in response to US pressure.
"The US is taking a tactic of both dialogue and pressure, and carrots and sticks," Kim told reporters in Beijing. "We are responding with dialogue and a shield, and by a shield we are saying we will further improve our deterrent."
The North Korean army's chief of staff vowed Saturday to take strong countermeasures against US sanctions, the North's media said, after disarmament talks on the North's nuclear weapons program ended without any breakthrough.
Kim Yong Chun accused the United States of demanding that North Korea unilaterally end its nuclear program while refusing to lift financial restrictions the US imposed on the regime over its alleged money laundering and counterfeiting of $100 bills.
The nuclear talks - held in Beijing this week after a 13-month break due to a North Korean boycott over the US sanctions - ended Friday without an agreement to move ahead on the North's nuclear disarmament. Last year, the North pledged to disarm in exchange for security guarantees and aid.
Negotiators said the North Koreans refused to talk about their nuclear weapons program until the US lifts its financial restrictions.
"Sanctions and pressure will never work on us. If hostile forces continue to strengthen the maneuver of sanctions and pressure, we will sternly cope with stronger countermeasures," Kim in a speech to thousands of top government and military officials in Pyongyang, North Korea's capital.
Kim didn't elaborate on what he meant by stronger countermeasures in the speech, broadcast on North Korean Central TV.
North Korean nuclear envoy Kim Kye Gwan said Friday that his country would bolster its atomic arsenal in response to US pressure.
"The US is taking a tactic of both dialogue and pressure, and carrots and sticks," Kim told reporters in Beijing. "We are responding with dialogue and a shield, and by a shield we are saying we will further improve our deterrent."
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Why the Six-Party North Korea Talks Failed
Analysis: Pyongyang stonewalled on nukes, demanding the U.S. first end banking sanctions. In reality, North Korea holds most of the cardsBy SIMON ELEGANT/BEIJING
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The Nuke Talks: Tough Opening Bids
Posted Saturday, Dec. 23, 2006Here's a no-brainer prediction for 2007: North Korean negotiators will spend the year driving their American counterparts crazy. They will also manage to squeeze some concessions out of the U.S. while giving nothing substantial away themselves, and in the meantime continue developing an arsenal of nuclear weapons. That may sound a little pessimistic; after all, Pyongyang did return to the negotiating table this week after boycotting the talks or nearly a year. But after the resumed six-party talks aimed at bringing the North's nuclear program to an end concluded in Beijing, Friday, it was depressingly clear that Dear Leader Kim Jong-il is in no hurry to end his newly-minted membership in the nuclear club. Pyongyang's delegates refused to even discuss the nuclear program, instead insisting that the talks first solve the issue of some $24 million in North Korean funds that are frozen in a Macau bank account at Washington's behest. The North Koreans even threatened to raise the stakes: After five days of stonewalling, North Korean delegate Kim Kye Gwan told reporters that in response to Washington's "carrot and stick" approach, the North would adopt a "dialog and shield" approach, adding ominously that by "shield," Pyongyang meant that it would "further improve our deterrent." That was a code word for one thing that no one wants to see: a second, and likely bigger, nuclear test.
Last week's talks underlined the painful truth that, right now, Pyongyang is holding most of the cards. The two principals leading the talks with Pyongyang, Washington and Beijing, are seemingly hamstrung. China is scrambling to find a new approach to its wayward client after being blindsided by the North's nuclear test on October 9, which was undertaken despite a specific request for restraint from Chinese President Hu Jintao. Fearful that putting pressure on the North's fragile economy could lead to an implosion that would send hundreds of thousands of refugees streaming into China's north east, Beijing has hardly any room to maneuver. Presumably this will lead to closer cooperation with Washington, a trend foreshadowed by chief U.S. negotiator Christopher Hill, who was noticeably lavish with his praise of his Chinese counterparts.
But the U.S. also has few choices. Most analysts say that military action is not even a real option at this stage. Nor does dangling a carrot seem to be very effective. After adamantly refusing to consider concessions as a means to get Pyongyang to cooperate, Washington for the first time last week reportedly gave a written pledge not to attack North Korea and proffered a package of financial aid. But the North was having none of it.
By the end of the week the frustration was evidently getting to U.S. negotiator Christopher Hill. "One day it's financial issues," the assistant secretary of state was quoted as saying, "another day it's something they want but they know they can't have, another day it's something we said about them that hurt their feelings." Hill returned to the U.S. for the Christmas break Saturday, suggesting that talks might resume early in the new year. Let's hope he has a good rest — 2007 promises to be a long, long year.
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Iran to push nuke plan despite sanctions
By ASSOCIATED PRESSTEHERAN, Iran
Talkbacks for this article: 6
Iran vowed to press ahead with uranium enrichment despite UN economic sanctions aimed at forcing a rollback in its nuclear program, and hard-line President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad warned that the penalties would hurt the West more than Iran.
The measures adopted unanimously Saturday by the 15 members of the UN Security Council were the first concrete steps taken against Iran for defying a UN demand that it rein in the nuclear program to allay suspicions it is trying to develop atomic weapons.
Iranian analysts on Sunday were more cautious about the impact that the sanctions might have on Iran's troubled economy, saying it could chase away foreign investment needed to create jobs.
Editorial: Lead or fail
But Ahmadinejad predicted the United Nations would have to accept Iran's nuclear program"This will not damage the nation of Iran, but its issuers will soon regret this superficial and nil act," he told a group of veterans from the 1980-88 Iran-Iraq war.
Addressing countries that voted for the sanctions, Ahmadinejad said the only impact of the sanctions would be "dissolving your reputation," the official Islamic Republic News Agency quoted him as telling the veterans gathered at the former US Embassy in Teheran.
Iran's top nuclear negotiator, Ali Larijani, said the resolution made his country more "decisive in realizing our nuclear aims." He said it would step up enrichment activities.
"From Sunday morning, we will begin activities at Natanz - the site of 3,000-centrifuge machines - and we will drive it with full speed. It will be our immediate response to the resolution," Iran's Kayhan newspaper quoted Larijani as saying.
Oil-rich Iran insists its nuclear program is intended only to produce fuel for nuclear reactors that would generate electricity, but Washington and some allies suspect its ultimate goal is to create atomic weapons in violation of Iran's treaty commitments.
The UN resolution orders all countries to stop supplying Iran with materials and technology that could contribute to its nuclear and missile programs. It also freezes the assets of 10 key Iranian companies and 12 individuals related to those programs.
If Iran refuses to comply, the council warned it would adopt further nonmilitary sanctions, but the resolution emphasized the importance of diplomacy in seeking guarantees "that Iran's nuclear program is exclusively for peaceful purposes."
Layla Chamankhah, an independent political analyst, predicted that "Iran's international reputation will be damaged" by the dispute, but he played down the potential for economic harm from the sanctions.
"Regardless, Iran's economy will continue in its own way," he said.
But Hamid Reza Shokouhi, a columnist for the independent newspaper Mardomsalari, said the sanctions will reduce the confidence of foreign investors.
"At a time when the country is trying to attract foreign investors - to create job opportunities - the sanctions will decrease their appetite for investment in Iran," Shokouhi said.
Foreign Ministry spokesman Mohammed Ali Hosseini said the Security Council vote would lead Iran to change the way it deals with the UN nuclear watchdog, the International Atomic Energy Association.
"We are not obliged and it is not expected that cooperation with the IAEA continues" as it did in the past, Hosseini told reporters. He did not provide details about what would change.
Talkbacks for this article: 6
Iran vowed to press ahead with uranium enrichment despite UN economic sanctions aimed at forcing a rollback in its nuclear program, and hard-line President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad warned that the penalties would hurt the West more than Iran.
The measures adopted unanimously Saturday by the 15 members of the UN Security Council were the first concrete steps taken against Iran for defying a UN demand that it rein in the nuclear program to allay suspicions it is trying to develop atomic weapons.
Iranian analysts on Sunday were more cautious about the impact that the sanctions might have on Iran's troubled economy, saying it could chase away foreign investment needed to create jobs.
Editorial: Lead or fail
But Ahmadinejad predicted the United Nations would have to accept Iran's nuclear program"This will not damage the nation of Iran, but its issuers will soon regret this superficial and nil act," he told a group of veterans from the 1980-88 Iran-Iraq war.
Addressing countries that voted for the sanctions, Ahmadinejad said the only impact of the sanctions would be "dissolving your reputation," the official Islamic Republic News Agency quoted him as telling the veterans gathered at the former US Embassy in Teheran.
Iran's top nuclear negotiator, Ali Larijani, said the resolution made his country more "decisive in realizing our nuclear aims." He said it would step up enrichment activities.
"From Sunday morning, we will begin activities at Natanz - the site of 3,000-centrifuge machines - and we will drive it with full speed. It will be our immediate response to the resolution," Iran's Kayhan newspaper quoted Larijani as saying.
Oil-rich Iran insists its nuclear program is intended only to produce fuel for nuclear reactors that would generate electricity, but Washington and some allies suspect its ultimate goal is to create atomic weapons in violation of Iran's treaty commitments.
The UN resolution orders all countries to stop supplying Iran with materials and technology that could contribute to its nuclear and missile programs. It also freezes the assets of 10 key Iranian companies and 12 individuals related to those programs.
If Iran refuses to comply, the council warned it would adopt further nonmilitary sanctions, but the resolution emphasized the importance of diplomacy in seeking guarantees "that Iran's nuclear program is exclusively for peaceful purposes."
Layla Chamankhah, an independent political analyst, predicted that "Iran's international reputation will be damaged" by the dispute, but he played down the potential for economic harm from the sanctions.
"Regardless, Iran's economy will continue in its own way," he said.
But Hamid Reza Shokouhi, a columnist for the independent newspaper Mardomsalari, said the sanctions will reduce the confidence of foreign investors.
"At a time when the country is trying to attract foreign investors - to create job opportunities - the sanctions will decrease their appetite for investment in Iran," Shokouhi said.
Foreign Ministry spokesman Mohammed Ali Hosseini said the Security Council vote would lead Iran to change the way it deals with the UN nuclear watchdog, the International Atomic Energy Association.
"We are not obliged and it is not expected that cooperation with the IAEA continues" as it did in the past, Hosseini told reporters. He did not provide details about what would change.
Iran's parliament voted Sunday to urge Ahmadinejad's administration to revise its cooperation with the IAEA but did not set a timeline or provide further details. Many legislators chanted "Death to America" after the vote.
The United States has said it hopes the resolution will clear the way for tougher measures by individual countries, particularly Russia, if Iran doesn't back down.
The US administration had pushed for tougher penalties, but compromised to bring on board Russia and China, both of which have strong trade ties with Iran, and Qatar, one of Iran's Persian Gulf neighbors.
To get their votes, the resolution dropped a ban on international travel by Iranian officials involved in nuclear and missile development and specified the banned items and technologies.
It says the council will review Iran's actions in light of a report from the head of the IAEA, requested within 60 days, on whether Iran has suspended uranium enrichment and complied with other demands.
Sanctions will end when the IAEA confirms Iran has complied with all its obligations, the resolution says.
Six countries trying to negotiate a curb in Iran's nuclear program - the United States, Britain, France, Germany Russia and China - offered Teheran a package of economic and political incentives if it agreed to suspend uranium enrichment. But Iran refused and rejected an Aug. 31 Security Council deadline to freeze enrichment.
Iran first showed its ability to enrich uranium in February, when it produced a small batch of low-enriched uranium using a first set of 164 centrifuges at its pilot complex in Natanz.
Iran said it planned to move toward large-scale uranium enrichment involving 3,000 centrifuges by late 2006, and then expand the program to 54,000 centrifuges, which spin uranium gas into enriched material to produce nuclear fuel.
The United States has said it hopes the resolution will clear the way for tougher measures by individual countries, particularly Russia, if Iran doesn't back down.
The US administration had pushed for tougher penalties, but compromised to bring on board Russia and China, both of which have strong trade ties with Iran, and Qatar, one of Iran's Persian Gulf neighbors.
To get their votes, the resolution dropped a ban on international travel by Iranian officials involved in nuclear and missile development and specified the banned items and technologies.
It says the council will review Iran's actions in light of a report from the head of the IAEA, requested within 60 days, on whether Iran has suspended uranium enrichment and complied with other demands.
Sanctions will end when the IAEA confirms Iran has complied with all its obligations, the resolution says.
Six countries trying to negotiate a curb in Iran's nuclear program - the United States, Britain, France, Germany Russia and China - offered Teheran a package of economic and political incentives if it agreed to suspend uranium enrichment. But Iran refused and rejected an Aug. 31 Security Council deadline to freeze enrichment.
Iran first showed its ability to enrich uranium in February, when it produced a small batch of low-enriched uranium using a first set of 164 centrifuges at its pilot complex in Natanz.
Iran said it planned to move toward large-scale uranium enrichment involving 3,000 centrifuges by late 2006, and then expand the program to 54,000 centrifuges, which spin uranium gas into enriched material to produce nuclear fuel.
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Ahmadinejad suffers election blow
Ahmadinejad's confrontation with the West appears to have eroded his domestic constituency [EPA]
Final results announced by the interior ministry on Thursday show that the Iranian president's opponents have won last Friday's elections for local councils.
Moderate conservatives opposed to Mahmoud Ahmadinejad won a majority of the seats, followed by reformists, who were suppressed by ultra-conservatives loyal to Ahmadinejad in 2004.
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The vote is being seen as a sign of public discontent with Ahmadinejad's constant fights with the West which have led Iran closer to UN sanctions.
His anti-Israel rhetoric and unbending stand on the nuclear programme are believed to have divided Iranians who voted him into power last year.
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Some conservatives feel Ahmadinejad has spent too much time confronting the US and its allies and failed to deal with Iran's struggling economy.
Reformists' comeback
The voting also represented a partial comeback for reformists, who favour closer ties with the West and further loosening of social and political restrictions under the Islamic government.
Leading reformist Saeed Shariati said the results of the election was a "big no" to Ahmadinejad and his allies.
"People's vote means they don't support Ahmadinejad's policies and want change," Shariati, a leader of the Islamic Iran Participation Front, the country's largest reformist party, said on Thursday.
Shariati, whose party seeks democratic changes within Iran's ruling Islamic establishment and supports relations with the US, said: "We consider this government's policy to be against Iran's national interests and security. It is simply acting against Iran's interests."
Parallel election
Similar anti-Ahmadinejad sentiment was visible in the final results of a parallel election held to select members of the Assembly of Experts, a conservative body of 86 senior clerics that monitors Iran's supreme leader and chooses his successor.
A big boost for moderates within the ruling Islamic establishment was visible in the big number of votes for Hashemi Rafsanjani, who lost to Ahmadinejad in the 2005 presidential election run-off.
Rafsanjani, who supports dialogue with the US, received the most votes of any Tehran candidate to win re-election to the assembly.
Also re-elected was Hasan Rowhani, Iran's former top nuclear negotiator whom Ahmadinejad repeatedly accused of making too many concessions to the Europeans.
Mayoral poll
In Tehran, the capital, candidates supporting Mohammed Bagher Qalibaf, the city's moderate-conservative mayor, won seven of the 15 council seats.
Reformists won four, while Ahmadinejad's allies won three. The last seat went to Ali Reza Dabir, a wrestling champion who won a gold medal in the 2000 Sydney Olympics and is considered an independent.
Final results for the rest of the country also showed a heavy defeat for Ahmadinejad supporters, and analysts said his allies won less than 20 per cent of local council seats nationwide.
None of his candidates won seats on the councils in the cities of Shiraz, Bandar Abbas, Sari, Zanjan, Rasht, Islam, Sanandaj and Kerman. Many councils in other cities were divided along similar proportions as Tehran's.
Khatami's legacy
Iran started having council elections after a reform introduced in 1999 by Mohammed Khatami, the then president. More than 233,000 candidates ran for more than 113,000 council seats in cities, towns and villages across the vast nation on Friday.
All municipal council candidates, including some 5,000 women, were vetted by parliamentary committees dominated by ultra-conservatives. The committees disqualified about 10,000 nominees, reports said.
The election does not directly effect Ahmadinejad's administration and is not expected to bring immediate policy changes.
The local councils handle community matters in cities and town across the country. But it represented the first time the public has weighed in on Ahmadinejad's stormy presidency since he took office in June 2005.
Possible impact
The results are expected to pressure him to change his populist anti-Western tone and focus more on Iran's high unemployment and economic problems at home.
In an interview posted on December 19 the website of the Council on Foreign Relations, Ray Takeyh, the US think-tank's senior fellow for Middle East studies, says: "[Ahmadinejad] came into office pledging economic equality, economic justice, an end to corruption, a sort of chicken in every pot. And that has not come about, so there's a degree of disillusionment from the public that he's confronting today.
"... some of his core supporters in the lower-middle class and the working class are not that dissatisfied with him. It is the middle class that seems disenchanted.
"And also, not his conservatism per se, but his radicalism is beginning to rub people the wrong way. The confrontational rhetoric, the anti-Semitism and the opprobrium that he brings internationally to Iran is not something that's appreciated by the public."
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Iran may need nuclear power: study
Tue Dec 26, 2006 10:49am ET
By Jim Wolf
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Iran's claim to need nuclear power may be genuine, given that it could run out of oil to export as soon as eight years from now, according to an analysis published on Tuesday by the National Academy of Sciences.
The study's author, Roger Stern, a researcher at Johns Hopkins University in Maryland, said investment in Iranian oil production had been inadequate to offset oil field declines and the explosive growth in domestic demand.
"I'm not saying that Iran will have no oil in eight years," Stern said in a telephone interview. "I'm saying that they will be using all of it for themselves."
The top news, photos, and videos of 2006. Full Coverage
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The analysis, published in the latest issue of Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, said the Iranian government could become "politically vulnerable" from declining exports.
Oil exports account for about 70 percent of Iranian government revenue, said Stern, of the university's department of geography and environmental engineering.
He projected that in five years, Iranian oil exports may be less than half their present level, and could drop to zero by 2015.
"It therefore seems possible that Iran's claim to need nuclear power might be genuine, an indicator of distress from anticipated export revenue shortfalls," he wrote. "If so, the Iranian regime may be more vulnerable than is presently understood."
Iran has vowed to boost its uranium enrichment drive despite new U.N. sanctions approved on Saturday aimed at rolling back a nuclear program that the West fears is a prelude to atomic weapons.
Under Secretary of State Nicholas Burns called on Japan, Europe, Russia and China to stop "business as usual" with Iran "to drive up the cost to the Iranians of essentially doing what they're doing" with uranium enrichment.
Tue Dec 26, 2006 10:49am ET
By Jim Wolf
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Iran's claim to need nuclear power may be genuine, given that it could run out of oil to export as soon as eight years from now, according to an analysis published on Tuesday by the National Academy of Sciences.
The study's author, Roger Stern, a researcher at Johns Hopkins University in Maryland, said investment in Iranian oil production had been inadequate to offset oil field declines and the explosive growth in domestic demand.
"I'm not saying that Iran will have no oil in eight years," Stern said in a telephone interview. "I'm saying that they will be using all of it for themselves."
The top news, photos, and videos of 2006. Full Coverage
if(!CMSB_ID){var CMSB_ID=""} CMSB_ID+="yir_midAr,";document.write('');
The analysis, published in the latest issue of Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, said the Iranian government could become "politically vulnerable" from declining exports.
Oil exports account for about 70 percent of Iranian government revenue, said Stern, of the university's department of geography and environmental engineering.
He projected that in five years, Iranian oil exports may be less than half their present level, and could drop to zero by 2015.
"It therefore seems possible that Iran's claim to need nuclear power might be genuine, an indicator of distress from anticipated export revenue shortfalls," he wrote. "If so, the Iranian regime may be more vulnerable than is presently understood."
Iran has vowed to boost its uranium enrichment drive despite new U.N. sanctions approved on Saturday aimed at rolling back a nuclear program that the West fears is a prelude to atomic weapons.
Under Secretary of State Nicholas Burns called on Japan, Europe, Russia and China to stop "business as usual" with Iran "to drive up the cost to the Iranians of essentially doing what they're doing" with uranium enrichment.
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Iran to revise ties with nuclear agency







